Fermi calc on drugs impact
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Cost of intervention
People effected
Duration (years)
happiness increase/yr
HALYSCost per HALYHALYs/\$10,000
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AMF7,500.001.0035.001.0045.00\$166.6760.00
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Give Directly365.001.001.001.001.00\$365.0027.40
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Basic Needs168.001.001.000.300.30\$560.0017.86
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UK drugs for MH (conservative; AMF as comparison)166,666,666.6710,000,000.001.000.101,000,000.00\$166.6760.00
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UK drugs for MH (optimistic; AMF as comparison)10,500,000,000.0020,000,000.0010.000.3263,000,000.00\$166.6760.00
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World wide depression and anxiety250,000,000,000.00500000000100.31,500,000,000.00\$166.6760.00
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UK drug for MH (conservative; Basic Needs as comparison)
560,000,000.0010,000,000.001.000.101,000,000.00\$560.0017.86
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UK drug for MH (optimistic; Basic needs as comparison)35,280,000,000.0020,000,000.0010.000.3263,000,000.00\$560.0017.86
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Notes:
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"happiness/year" is on a -1 to 1 scale. It assume 1 is the maximum score, 0 is neutral (neither good nor bad).
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The happiness increase/year are subjective speculation
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This is basically just copying the QALY approach, but using happiness instead. So giving someone 1 happiness/year is worth 1 'happiness adjusted life year' or 'HALY'
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Cost of interventions data
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Give Well estimate AMF 'save a life' for around \$7,500. See row 52 of "bed nets"
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Basics Needs claims their per participant, per month cost is \$14
http://www.basicneeds.org/what-we-do/our-impact/
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Give Directly figures from World Bank's international poverty line of \$1.90/day
http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/brief/global-poverty-line-faq
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