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Market MapMarket MapMarket Map
Draw Downs
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Favorable NeutralHigh Risk
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Low risk marketmarketmarket
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price entries
trend "B" years
trend years
trend years
Favorable NeutralHigh Risk
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duringYearsYearsYears
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Favorable yearsintra periodMarket Map
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EOYdrawdown% declineFavorable returnyear returnyear returnIntrayearIntrayearIntrayear
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Entry date% return SPXfrom CCI from peak tomarketinvested for DrawdownDrawdownDrawdown
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from entryinto year endCCI entry
trend years
1st half of year
measured from
measured from
measured from
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year returnDec 31Dec 31Dec 31
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192405/29/2434%192427.1%1924
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192504/09/2531%-10%192525.8%19250%
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193204/17/327.8%-31%-3.2%1932-8.2%1932-42%
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193305/14/3372%-26%193354%1933-20%
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193405/14/34-5.4%-13.1%-20%19341.4%1934-14%
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193503/23/3552.3%-11.6%193547.1%1935-14.7%
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193605/09/3623%-4.4193634%19360%
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193804/08/3914.9%-18%193831.3%1938-18.9%
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19412/8/1941-12.7%-17.1%-6.4%1941-11.1%1941-20.8%
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194203/19/4221%-6.1%-10%194220.3%1942-13.8%
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194308/01/43-1.7%-5.9%-5.6%194326%19430%
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194409/16/446%-5.3%194419.7%192611.5%192847.5%19440%
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194508/02/4517.7%-3.9%194536.4%192737.1%1931-43.4%19450%
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194704/26/476.3%-2.7%-10.5%19475.7%1930-25%1940-9.8%1947-9.7%
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19482/2/19483.4%-2.7%-3.2%19485.8%192916%1937-35%19566.60%1948-7.9%1930-29.8%1931-47%
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194902/17/4913.6%-6%-4.5%194918.8%19465.7%19390%1962-8.70%1949-8.6%1937-38.2%1940-27.1%
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195007/03/5015.3%-4.50%-9%195031.70%198727.20%19530.00%1969-8.50%19500.00%1939-20.6%1956-5.30%
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195110/29/5110.6%-2.40%-6%195124.00%1992-0.72%1957-10.70%19704.00%19510.00%19290%1953-13.90%1962-16.00%
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195202/25/5212.2%-4%195218.40%199723.80%19600.00%1974-26.50%1952-2.90%1946-18.5%1957-16.00%1969-14.40%
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195409/05/5418%-2%195452.60%199921.10%196512.50%19786.90%19540.00%19870%1960-12.70%1970-17.50%
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1955nonenone195531.60%2010-3.32%1966-10.00%1981-5.00%19550.00%1992-1.6%1965-2.70%1974-36.10%
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1958nonenone195841.30%20116.80%196811.00%198221.40%19580.00%1997-2.3%1966-19.50%1978-8.30%
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195903/07/596.4%-5%-1%195912.00%1973-14.60%1990-3.17%1959-2.90%19990%1968-9.00%1981-16.90%
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196106/26/6110.7%-4%196126.90%1977-7.18%2001-12.00%19610.00%2010-6.3%1973-21.00%1982-16.00%
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196307/01/636.8%-1%196322.80%19846.27%2002-22.00%19630.00%20110%1977-15.50%1990-15.00%
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196406/08/646.4%-2%196416.50%199828.60%2008-38.00%19640.00%1984-9.70%2001-24.00%
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196711/13/673.3%-5%196724.00%2000-9.10%19670.00%19980.00%2002-30.10%
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197107/01/710.7%-9.90%-4%197114.30%1971-2.20%2000-13.70%2008-48.80%
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197205/15/728.3%-1%197219.00%19720.00%
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197508/11/754.4%-2.40%-9%197537.20%Cum96.56%Cum-4.61%Cum-90.67%1975-1.50%
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197606/01/768.5%-4%197623.80%Avg12.07%Avg-0.29%Avg-9.87%19760.00%avg-3.59%avg-15.88%avg-23.04%
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197905/14/798.1%-3%197918.40%1979-3.60%
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198003/24/8034.8%-15%198032.40%19800.00%
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198306/04/830.3%-5%198322.50%19830.00%
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198509/28/8512.9%-4%198532.10%19850.00%
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198608/07/862.2%-5%198618.50%1986-2.90%
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198808/22/886.4%-3%198816.80%19880.00%
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198910/16/891.7%-3%198931.50%19890.00%
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199110/19/916.4%-4.20%-3%199130.50%1991-5.20%
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199305/02/935.9%none199310.00%19930.00%
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199404/04/942.7%-7%19941.30%1994-6.00%
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199509/03/959.4%none199537.40%19950.00%
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199607/22/9618.3%-8%199623.00%1996-2.00%
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20035/14/0319.20%-11%200328.50%2003-3.50%
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200403/22/049.4%-4.10%-4%200410.70%2004-4.30%
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200504/18/055.00%-3%20054.80%2005-6.30%
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200605/22/0610.0%-2.80%-5%200615.60%2006-1.20%
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200703/02/076.6%-5%20075.40%2007-2.20%
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200910/05/0910.5%none200926.40%2009-24.00%
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201205/21/128.2%-1.50%-7%201213.40%20120.00%
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20136/28/20132013 ??
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Cum1109.40%
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Avg11.93%-7.14%Avg DD-16.39%Avg22.19%avg-5.02%
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http://tinyurl.com/d6d6o3e
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