Polling Accuracy in Final Two Weeks Before Special Elections Since 2004
Comments
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

 
$
%
123
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Still loading...
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAG
1
DistrictElectionRoundstartendPollResultAbsolute Errordem_canddem_pctrep_candrep_pctother_candother_pctother_cand2other_pct2undecidedPollsterLinkNotesNote: Negative numbers indicate Democrat deficit, positive indicate Republican lead
2
GA-620173/27/174/2/17Jon Ossoff43Karen Handel15Bob Gray14Judson Hill57SurveyUSAhttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=beb816c4-e822-406e-8729-039e99afcfe0more candidates
3
GA-620173/26/173/28/17Jon Ossoff40Karen Handel18Judson Hill8Bob Gray719Lake Researchhttps://front.moveon.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/LRP.MoveOn.PublicMemo.f.033117.pdf
4
MS-120155/28/155/28/15Walter Zinn37Trent Kelly549Gravishttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mississippi%27s_1st_congressional_district_special_election,_2015
5
FL-1320143/7/143/9/14Alex Sink48David Jolly45Lucas Overby62PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida%27s_13th_congressional_district_special_election,_2014#Polling_3
6
FL-1320142/25/142/27/14Alex Sink44David Jolly46Lucas Overby55Red Racing Horseshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida%27s_13th_congressional_district_special_election,_2014#Polling_3
7
FL-1320142/25/142/25/14Alex Sink45.9David Jolly45.6Lucas Overby6.42.1St. Pete Pollshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida%27s_13th_congressional_district_special_election,_2014#Polling_3
8
FL-1320142/17/142/18/14Alex Sink42David Jolly4414Fabrizio Lee & Associateshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida%27s_13th_congressional_district_special_election,_2014#Polling_3
9
SC-120135/4/135/5/13-1-98Elizabeth Colbert Bush46Mark Sanford47Eugene Platt44PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Carolina%27s_1st_congressional_district_special_election,_2013#Polling_2
10
SC-120134/19/134/21/139-918Elizabeth Colbert Bush50Mark Sanford41Eugene Platt33PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Carolina%27s_1st_congressional_district_special_election,_2013#Polling_2
11
SC-120134/29/20135/1/20130-99Elizabeth Colbert Bush46Mark Sanford468Red Racing Horseshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Carolina%27s_1st_congressional_district_special_election,_2013#Polling_2added undecided
12
AZ-820126/9/126/10/20121275Ron Barber53Jesse Kelly41Charlie Manolakis43PPPhttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AZ_611.pdf
13
NV-220119/9/119/11/11-13-229Kate Marshall37Mark Amodei50Timothy Fasano4Helmuth Lehmann45PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada%27s_2nd_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Polling
14
NY-2620115/21/115/22/11651Kathy Hochul42Jane Corwin36Jack Davis13Ian Murphy35PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York%27s_26th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Pollingadded undecided
15
NY-2620115/18/115/20/11451Kathy Hochul42Jane Corwin38Jack Davis12Ian Murphy17Siena Pollhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York%27s_26th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Pollingadded undecided
16
NY-2620115/5/115/8/11451Kathy Hochul35Jane Corwin31Jack Davis24Ian Murphy28PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York%27s_26th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Pollingadded undecided
17
NY-2620115/2/115/4/11Kathy Hochul30Jane Corwin31Jack Davis2613Global Strategy Grouphttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York%27s_26th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Pollingadded undecided
18
NY-920119/8/119/11/11-6-51David Weprin41Bob Turner47Christopher P. Hoeppner47PPPhttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NY9_9111118.pdfadded undecided
19
NY-920119/6/119/8/11-4-51David Weprin44Bob Turner506Siena Pollhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York%27s_9th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Pollingadded undecided
20
NY-920119/1/119/1/11-6-51David Weprin40.4Bob Turner44.6Christopher P. Hoeppner3.211.8Magellan Strategieshttp://web.archive.org/web/20110929005833/http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Magellan-BR-NY-CD09-Survey-Press-Release-090611.pdfadded undecided, decimal point values
21
NY-920118/31/118/31/11David Weprin42Bob Turner4216McLaughlin and Associateshttp://www.mclaughlinonline.com/lib/sitefiles/NY_CD_09_-_Exec._Summary.pdfadded undecided
22
CA-3620112nd round7/8/117/10/118102Janice Hahn52Craig Huey444PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_36th_congressional_district_special_election,_2011#Polling_2
23
HI-120105/6/105/7/10-14-95Ed Case25.5Charles Djou39.5Colleen Hanabusa25.510Merriman River Grouphttp://www.civilbeat.org/2010/05/890-civil-beat-poll-djou-on-way-to-may-22-victory/
24
IN-3201010/27/1010/28/10Tom Hayhurst40Martin Stutzman36Scot Wise321Riggs Researchhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana%27s_3rd_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingcalculated undecided
25
IN-3201010/21/1010/25/10Tom Hayhurst32Martin Stutzman57Scot Wise72SurveyUSAhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana%27s_3rd_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Polling
26
PA-1220105/15/105/16/10-189Mark Critz47Tim Burns486PPPhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingadded undecided
27
PA-1220105/10/105/10/10682Mark Critz44Tim Burns3818Susquehannahttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingcalculated undecided
28
PA-1220104/27/104/29/10Mark Critz43Tim Burns4116Anzalone Liszthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingcalculated undecided
29
PA-1220104/27/104/29/10Mark Critz44Tim Burns36Demo Agoris218Global Strategy Grouphttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingcalculated undecided
30
PA-1220104/26/104/28/10Mark Critz40Tim Burns4614Daily Kos/Research 2000https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district_special_election,_2010#Pollingadded undecided
31
NY-2020093/25/093/26/0940.53.5Murphy47Tedisco4310Siena Collegehttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
32
NY-2020093/9/093/10/09Murphy41Tedisco4514Siena Collegehttp://web.archive.org/web/20130531060535/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/23rd%20CD%20SNY%20Poll%20Release%203%20--%20FINAL.pdfcalculated undecided
33
NY-23200911/1/0911/1/09Owens36Scozzafava6Hoffman4118Siena Collegehttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
34
NY-23200910/31/0911/1/09-17219Owens34Scozzafava13Hoffman513PPPhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
35
NY-23200910/27/0910/29/09121Owens36Scozzafava20Hoffman359Siena Collegehttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
36
NY-23200910/26/0910/28/09Owens33Scozzafava21Hoffman3214Research 2000http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
37
NY-23200910/25/0910/26/09-527Owens29Scozzafava14Hoffman3423Neighborhood Researchhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2009/NYPoll.htmcalculated undecided
38
NY-23200910/24/0910/25/09Owens27Scozzafava19.7Hoffman31.322Basswood Researchhttps://web.archive.org/web/20091031041323/http://www.clubforgrowth.org//2009//10//cfg_poll_hoffman_leading_in_ny.phpadded undecided
39
NY-23200910/19/0910/21/09Owens35Scozzafava30Hoffman2312Research 2000https://web.archive.org/web/20091028004341/http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/10/21/NY/403added undecided
40
NY-23200910/11/0910/13/09Owens33Scozzafava29Hoffman2316Siena Collegehttp://web.archive.org/web/20100528064804/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/23rd%20CD%20SNY%20Poll%20Release%202%20--%20Final.pdf
41
CA-1020091st round8/26/098/27/09550John Garamendi25David Harmer20Mark Desaulnier16Joan Buchanan125SurveyUSAhttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=dfcf5271-f9f4-4c55-96b3-4a0f43e1a19f
42
CA-1020091st round8/10/098/11/09John Garamendi26David Harmer18Mark Desaulnier15Joan Buchanan1211SurveyUSAhttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6c90a278-432e-4153-9619-e553fa1c065a
43
CA-10-220092nd round10/26/0910/28/09John Garamendi50David Harmer40Other64SurveyUSAhttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d0a09738-d7a8-4f8f-9ed9-a5275c7eab96
44
IL-1420083/3/083/4/08752Foster52Oberweis453SurveyUSAhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2008/ILPoll.htmadded undecided
45
IL-1420082/28/083/3/08Foster45Oberweis478McLaughlinhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2008/ILPoll.htm
46
IL-1420082/21/082/24/08Foster45Oberweis4115Global Strategy Grouphttp://web.archive.org/web/20081129164830/http://foster08.com/memo.pdfadded undecided
47
LA-620084/27/084/29/08936Cazayoux50Jenkins41SurveyUSAhttp://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0782f030-b12d-441d-814f-37ebb287477bOther/Undecided Combined
48
MA-5200710/8/0710/10/07954Tsongas41Ogonowski42Murphy4Hayes21SurveyUSAhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2007/MAPoll.htm
49
CA-3720071st round6/5/076/7/07Laura Richardson25John M. Kanaley5Jenny Oropeza16Valarie McDonald735Fairbank Maslin, Maullin & Associateshttp://web.archive.org/web/20071201150621/http://www.lbpost.com/files/RichardsonPollMemo%5B1%5D.pdf
50
CA-5020061st round4/7/064/9/0634295Francine Busby47Roach14Bilbray13Kaloogian92Survey USAhttps://web.archive.org/web/20160324061752/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2006/CAPoll.htmmore candidatesadded undecided
51
CA-5020061st round4/7/064/9/0623296Francine Busby41Roach16Bilbray16Kaloogian105.8Datamarhttps://web.archive.org/web/20160324061752/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2006/CAPoll.htmmore candidatesCalculated other from https://web.archive.org/web/20160320164953/http://www.datamar.net/pdf/ca_cd50_special_april06_primary.pdf
52
CA-5020061st round4/3/064/6/06Francine Busby39Roach17.5Bilbray16.4Kaloogian9.56.3Datamarhttps://web.archive.org/web/20160324061752/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2006/CAPoll.htmmore candidatesadded undecided
53
CA-5020061st round3/25/063/27/06Francine Busby45Roach14Bilbray10Kaloogian123SurveyUSAhttps://web.archive.org/web/20160324061752/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2006/CAPoll.htmmore candidatesadded undecided
54
CA-5020061st round3/22/063/24/06Francine Busby36Roach11.2Bilbray11.7Kaloogian10.63.6Datamarhttps://web.archive.org/web/20160324061752/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2006/CAPoll.htmmore candidatesadded undecided
55
CA-5020062nd round5/30/066/1/06-2-53Francine Busby45Brian Bilbray47Other90Survey USAhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California%27s_50th_congressional_district_special_election,_2006added undecided
56
KY-620042/5/042/9/049123Ben Chandler49.4Alice Kerr39.611Bluegrass Pollhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/KYPoll.htm#4thadded undecided
57
KY-620042/13/042/15/048124Ben Chandler53Alice Kerr451Survey USAhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/KYPoll.htm#4thOther/Undecided Combined
58
KY-620042/7/042/9/046126Ben Chandler51Alice Kerr45Survey USAhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/KYPoll.htm#4thOther/Undecided Combined
59
SD-AL20045/19/045/20/0411110Herseth52Diedrich417Zogbyhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/SDPoll.htmcalculated undecided
60
SD-AL20045/10/045/12/04Herseth47Diedrich44Begay18Mason-Dixonhttp://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/SDPoll.htmadded begay, calculated undecided
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Loading...
 
 
 
Polls
Elections