ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKAL
1
Hand Calculation
Visualizing Probability Concept
2
Concentration Checks
Assume Wizard has 47 Ranks = 33 (base rank) + 9 (con mod) + 5 (staff), casting difficulty lvl 9 spells
For 50/50 on dice rolls
3
Failure Chance
Unmitigated
Failure Chance
Mitigated
Repeater
x2
Longbow
x3
2d10 Massive Crit
Concentration
Damage
4
XBowLBowRollXBowLBowXBowLBowRollXBowLBowTotalPhysEnrgy
Elemental
TotalPhysEnrgy
Elemental
Concentration Parameter
DR Calculation
4646
5
0.00%0.00%1000.00%0.00%10024~4821~403~30~523~4520~373~30~519
1d10 Fire Reduced by 5
4747
6
42.00%36.96%243~6742~640.00%0.00%20~370~34w/ Conc1d103Magic
1d10 Fire
w/ Conc1d83 Magic
1d10 Fire
10-44848
7
42.00%36.96%343~6742~640.00%0.00%30~370~3443~67
13gmw/dmsk/FE
(0~2.5 DR'd)
42~64
13gmw/dmsk/FE
(0~2.5 DR'd)
9-3
2d10 Fire Reduced by 5
4949
8
42.00%36.96%443~6742~640.00%0.00%40~370~34
Miti&Con
2d6 Bane
1d10 Cold
Miti&Con
2d6 Bane
1d10 Cold
-2-3-2-1015050
9
42.00%36.96%543~6742~640.00%0.00%50~370~340~37
5 Mighty
(0~2.5 DR'd)
0~34
4 Mighty
(0~2.5 DR'd)
-1234565151
10
42.00%36.96%643~6742~640.00%0.00%60~370~34Crit37~99
Mitigated
50%Crit60~174
Mitigated
50%078910115252
11
42.00%36.96%743~6742~640.00%0.00%70~370~3448~11042~806~60~2469~16560~1119~9
0~45
1121314155353
12
42.00%36.96%843~6742~640.00%0.00%80~370~34w/ Conc2d106Magic
2d10 Fire
M. Crit.3d89Magic
3d10 Fire
2
15/19 Sides
78.95%5454
13
42.00%36.96%943~6742~640.00%0.00%90~370~3467~129
26gmw/dmsk/FE
(0~11.842 DR'd)
71~185
39gmw/dmsk/FE
(0~22.321 DR'd)
30 ~11.842105265555
14
42.00%36.96%1043~6742~640.00%0.00%100~370~34
4d6 Bane
2d10 Cold
w/ Conc
6d6 damask
3d10 Cold
45656
15
42.00%36.96%1143~6742~640.00%0.00%110~370~34
10 Mighty
(0~11.842 DR'd)
90~204
12 Mighty
(0~22.321 DR'd)
5
5/10 Sides, 50%
0~2.55757
16
42.00%36.96%1243~6742~640.00%0.00%120~370~34
Green Highlight contributes to breaking concentration
5858
17
42.00%36.96%1343~6742~640.00%0.00%130~370~34
Not Mitigated
Conc vs 47+1d20
48~675959
18
42.00%36.96%1443~6742~640.00%0.00%140~370~34CritXBowDNEDNE
67~129
6060
19
42.00%36.96%1543~6742~640.00%0.00%150~370~340 Side0 Side Side6161
20
42.00%36.96%1643~6742~640.00%0.00%160~370~34100%
chance of interruption in crits
6262
21
100.00%36.96%17
67~129
42~6468.25%0.00%1737~990~34LBowDNEDNE
90~204
6363
22
100.00%36.96%18
67~129
42~6468.25%0.00%1837~990~340 Sides0 Sides
Sides
6464
23
100.00%100.00%19
67~129
90~20468.25%94.07%1937~9960~174100.00%
chance of interruption in crits
6565
24
100.00%100.00%20
67~129
90~20468.25%94.07%2037~9960~174
Mitigated with Premo
6666
25
51.50%41.41%
Chance of Interruption
13.65%9.41%Note: It's important to remember that when damage is mitigated to 0 or below, it will not proc a concentration check. But the lower sides of the dice will still dilute the possibilities of getting the higher results.XBow37~4647~66
67~99
10/63 Sides have 0% chance of Interruption, 20/63 Sides are 50/50, 33/63 sides are 100%
6767
26
XBow25sides
10 Sides
20 Sides
33 Sides
63
Sides Total
6868
27
20 out of 25 sides will result in interruption
68.25%
chance of interruption in crits
The highlighted parts are the uncertain duels in between damage and concentration rolls, where it will be 50/50
28
42.00%
chance of interruption
LBowDNE60~66
67~174
108/115 Sides are 100%, 7/115 Sides need further calculation
29
LBow23sides0 Sides7 Sides
108 Sides
115
Sides Total
30
17 out of 23 sides will result in interruption
0.9406521739
chance of interruption in crits
On a 60 Conc roll, a minimum of 60 damage defeats the check. 61~67 (7 sides) out of 20 roll is possible to make the concentration check
31
36.96%
chance of interruption
Thus results would be 7 divided by 20 divided by 115
32