A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | HVI Rank | Democratic-held Seats | ||||||||
2 | District | Incumbent | President Rank | House Rank | HVI Score | |||||
3 | 1 | GA-07 | OPEN (McBath) | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||
4 | 2 | NC-14 | OPEN (Jackson) | 2 | 0 | 2 | METHODOLOGY: President Rank: The seat's rank (from reddest to bluest) according to an average of the 2016 & 2020 presidential vote. House Rank: The seat's rank (from smallest to largest) according to the 2020 House vote or most recent vote for special elections. Open or vacant seats are given a rank of 0. HVI Score: The combined score of the presidential and margin ranks. Lower numbers indicate greater vulnerability. Complete explainer | |||
5 | 3 | NC-13 | OPEN (Nickel) | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||||
6 | 4 | NC-06 | OPEN (Manning) | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||||
7 | 5 | MI-07 | OPEN (Slotkin) | 10 | 0 | 10 | ||||
8 | 6 | WA-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | 7 | 5 | 12 | ||||
9 | 7 | MI-08 | OPEN (Kildee) | 14 | 0 | 14 | ||||
10 | 8 | CO-08 | Yadira Caraveo | 13 | 2 | 15 | ||||
11 | 9 | PA-08 | Matt Cartwright | 8 | 8 | 16 | ||||
12 | 10 | PA-07 | Susan Wild | 11 | 6 | 17 | ||||
13 | 11 | NC-01 | Don Davis | 18 | 1 | 19 | ||||
14 | 12 | VA-07 | OPEN (Spanberger) | 21 | 0 | 21 | ||||
15 | 13 | MD-06 | OPEN (Trone) | 24 | 0 | 24 | ||||
16 | 14 | NH-02 | OPEN (Kuster) | 25 | 0 | 25 | ||||
17 | 15 | ME-02 | Jared Golden | 6 | 22 | 28 | ||||
18 | 16 | NM-02 | Gabe Vasquez | 26 | 3 | 29 | Open seats: | 26 | ||
19 | 17 | NY-18 | Pat Ryan | 23 | 7 | 30 | ||||
20 | 18 | MN-02 | Angie Craig | 17 | 16 | 33 | Vacant seats: | 1 | ||
21 | 19 | OH-13 | Emilia Sykes | 16 | 18 | 34 | ||||
22 | 20 | CA-47 | OPEN (Porter) | 35 | 0 | 35 | ||||
23 | 21 | CT-05 | Jahana Hayes | 32 | 4 | 36 | ||||
24 | 22 | AK-AL | Mary Peltola | 5 | 35 | 40 | ||||
25 | 23 | PA-17 | Chris Deluzio | 19 | 23 | 42 | ||||
26 | 23 | IL-17 | Eric Sorensen | 30 | 12 | 42 | ||||
27 | 23 | NV-03 | Susie Lee | 29 | 13 | 42 | ||||
28 | 23 | NH-01 | Chris Pappas | 15 | 27 | 42 | ||||
29 | 27 | OH-01 | Greg Landsman | 27 | 19 | 46 | ||||
30 | 27 | WA-08 | Kim Schrier | 22 | 24 | 46 | ||||
31 | 29 | NJ-03 | OPEN (Kim) | 50 | 0 | 50 | ||||
32 | 29 | CA-49 | Mike Levin | 33 | 17 | 50 | ||||
33 | 31 | OR-06 | Andrea Salinas | 42 | 9 | 51 | ||||
34 | 32 | NV-04 | Steven Horsford | 37 | 15 | 52 | ||||
35 | 33 | VA-10 | OPEN (Wexton) | 53 | 0 | 53 | ||||
36 | 34 | NV-01 | Dina Titus | 36 | 20 | 56 | ||||
37 | 35 | RI-02 | Seth Magaziner | 47 | 11 | 58 | ||||
38 | 35 | KS-03 | Sharice Davids | 12 | 46 | 58 | ||||
39 | 37 | WA-06 | OPEN (Kilmer) | 59 | 0 | 59 | ||||
40 | 38 | DE-AL | OPEN (Blunt Rochester) | 60 | 0 | 60 | ||||
41 | 39 | OH-09 | Marcy Kaptur | 9 | 52 | 61 | ||||
42 | 40 | MD-02 | OPEN (Ruppersberger) | 64 | 0 | 64 | ||||
43 | 41 | MN-03 | OPEN (Phillips) | 65 | 0 | 65 | ||||
44 | 42 | IN-01 | Frank Mrvan | 45 | 21 | 66 | ||||
45 | 43 | MI-03 | Hillary Scholten | 20 | 49 | 69 | ||||
46 | 44 | FL-23 | Jared Moskowitz | 56 | 14 | 70 | ||||
47 | 44 | IL-06 | Sean Casten | 38 | 32 | 70 | ||||
48 | 46 | IL-14 | Lauren Underwood | 43 | 28 | 71 | ||||
49 | 47 | OR-04 | Val Hoyle | 46 | 26 | 72 | ||||
50 | 48 | GA-02 | Sanford Bishop | 39 | 36 | 75 | ||||
51 | 48 | AZ-04 | Greg Stanton | 28 | 47 | 75 | ||||
52 | 50 | MD-03 | OPEN (Sarbanes) | 80 | 0 | 80 | ||||
53 | 51 | NY-03 | Tom Suozzi | 41 | 41 | 82 | ||||
54 | 52 | NJ-05 | Josh Gottheimer | 44 | 40 | 84 | ||||
55 | 53 | CA-09 | Josh Harder | 52 | 34 | 86 | ||||
56 | 54 | IL-13 | Nikki Budzinski | 40 | 51 | 91 | ||||
57 | 55 | NM-01 | Melanie Stansbury | 49 | 44 | 93 | ||||
58 | 55 | CO-07 | Brittany Pettersen | 34 | 59 | 93 | ||||
59 | 57 | CT-02 | Joe Courtney | 31 | 67 | 98 | ||||
60 | 58 | NY-20 | Paul Tonko | 62 | 37 | 99 | ||||
61 | 59 | NY-25 | Joe Morelle | 70 | 31 | 101 | ||||
62 | 60 | IL-11 | Bill Foster | 54 | 50 | 104 | ||||
63 | 61 | TX-32 | OPEN (Allred) | 107 | 0 | 107 | ||||
64 | 61 | CA-26 | Julia Brownley | 74 | 33 | 107 | ||||
65 | 63 | TX-28 | Henry Cuellar | 55 | 53 | 108 | ||||
66 | 64 | FL-09 | Darren Soto | 86 | 25 | 111 | ||||
67 | 65 | CA-21 | Jim Costa | 83 | 29 | 112 | ||||
68 | 65 | NM-03 | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 48 | 64 | 112 | ||||
69 | 67 | FL-22 | Lois Frankel | 77 | 39 | 116 | ||||
70 | 67 | CA-06 | Ami Bera | 71 | 45 | 116 | ||||
71 | 69 | IL-08 | Raja Krishnamoorthi | 63 | 54 | 117 | ||||
72 | 69 | PA-06 | Chrissy Houlahan | 51 | 66 | 117 | ||||
73 | 69 | WA-10 | Marilyn Strickland | 61 | 56 | 117 | ||||
74 | 72 | PA-12 | Summer Lee | 75 | 48 | 123 | ||||
75 | 73 | CA-25 | Raul Ruiz | 66 | 58 | 124 | ||||
76 | 74 | CA-31 | OPEN (Napolitano) | 125 | 0 | 125 | ||||
77 | 75 | MA-09 | Bill Keating | 58 | 68 | 126 | ||||
78 | 75 | NJ-11 | Mikie Sherrill | 57 | 69 | 126 | ||||
79 | 77 | TX-34 | Vicente Gonzalez | 97 | 30 | 127 | ||||
80 | 78 | NJ-09 | Bill Pascrell | 85 | 43 | 128 | ||||
81 | 79 | FL-25 | Debbie Wasserman Schultz | 91 | 38 | 129 | ||||
82 | 80 | CT-03 | Rosa DeLauro | 68 | 62 | 130 | ||||
83 | 81 | FL-14 | Kathy Castor | 81 | 55 | 136 | ||||
84 | 82 | PA-04 | Madeleine Dean | 67 | 75 | 142 | ||||
85 | 83 | NJ-06 | Frank Pallone | 78 | 65 | 143 | ||||
86 | 84 | MI-11 | Haley Stevens | 69 | 76 | 145 | ||||
87 | 85 | CO-06 | Jason Crow | 72 | 78 | 150 | ||||
88 | 86 | NY-16 | OPEN (Bowman) | 152 | 0 | 152 | ||||
89 | 87 | WA-02 | Rick Larsen | 82 | 73 | 155 | ||||
90 | 88 | MA-01 | Richard Neal | 79 | 77 | 156 | ||||
91 | 89 | OR-03 | OPEN (Blumenauer) | 157 | 0 | 157 | ||||
92 | 90 | KY-03 | Morgan McGarvey | 76 | 82 | 158 | ||||
93 | 91 | ME-01 | Chellie Pingree | 73 | 87 | 160 | ||||
94 | 92 | CA-39 | Mark Takano | 102 | 60 | 162 | ||||
95 | 93 | CA-33 | Pete Aguilar | 104 | 61 | 165 | ||||
96 | 94 | CA-30 | OPEN (Schiff) | 169 | 0 | 169 | ||||
97 | 95 | MS-02 | Bennie Thompson | 98 | 72 | 170 | ||||
98 | 96 | AZ-03 | OPEN (Gallego) | 172 | 0 | 172 | ||||
99 | 96 | CA-35 | Norma Torres | 115 | 57 | 172 | ||||
100 | 96 | MO-05 | Emanuel Cleaver | 88 | 84 | 172 |