Daily Kos Elections 2024 House Vulnerability Index

	A	B	C	D	E	F	H	I
1		Republican-held Seats
2	HVI Rank	District	Incumbent	President Rank	House Rank	HVI Score

3	1	CA-13	John Duarte	3	2	5
4	2	NY-03	VACANT (Santos)	8	0	8	METHODOLOGY: President Rank: The seat's rank (from bluest to reddest) according to an average of the 2016 & 2020 presidential vote. House Rank: The seat's rank (from smallest to largest) according to the 2022 House vote or most recent vote for special elections. Open or vacant seats are given a rank of 0. HVI Score: The combined score of the presidential and margin ranks. Lower numbers indicate greater vulnerability. Complete explainer
5	3	NY-17	Mike Lawler	6	4	10
6	4	CA-22	David Valadao	1	13	14
7	5	NY-04	Anthony D'Esposito	2	16	18
8	5	NY-22	Brandon Williams	11	7	18
9	7	OR-05	Lori Chavez-DeRemer	9	10	19
10	8	CA-27	Mike Garcia	4	20	24
11	8	CA-45	Michelle Steel	5	19	24
12	8	AZ-01	David Schweikert	18	6	24
13	8	IA-03	Zach Nunn	19	5	24
14	8	NY-19	Marc Molinaro	15	9	24
15	13	NE-02	Don Bacon	14	11	25
16	14	MI-10	John James	24	3	27
17	15	NJ-07	Tom Kean Jr.	16	12	28
18	16	AZ-06	Juan Ciscomani	22	8	30	Open seats:	10
19	17	VA-02	Jen Kiggans	20	15	35
20	18	TX-15	Monica De La Cruz	10	27	37	Vacant seats:	1
21	19	PA-01	Brian Fitzpatrick	13	30	43
22	20	IA-01	Mariannette Miller-Meeks	23	21	44
23	20	CA-41	Ken Calvert	26	18	44
24	22	WI-03	Derrick Van Orden	30	17	47
25	23	WI-01	Bryan Steil	21	28	49
26	24	FL-27	María Elvira Salazar	7	44	51
27	25	CO-03	Lauren Boebert	51	1	52
28	26	CA-03	Kevin Kiley	31	22	53
29	27	IA-02	Ashley Hinson	29	26	55
30	28	CA-40	Young Kim	17	40	57
31	29	MT-01	Ryan Zinke	45	14	59
32	29	NY-01	Nick LaLota	27	32	59
33	31	PA-10	Scott Perry	37	23	60
34	32	FL-13	Anna Paulina Luna	38	25	63
35	33	AZ-02	Eli Crane	44	24	68
36	34	MI-04	Bill Huizenga	36	36	72
37	35	FL-15	Laurel Lee	25	51	76
38	36	AZ-08	OPEN (Lesko)	77	0	77
39	37	NC-09	Richard Hudson	41	37	78
40	38	OH-07	Max Miller	49	31	80
41	39	UT-02	Celeste Maloy	81	0	81
42	40	OH-15	Mike Carey	42	41	83
43	41	TX-23	Tony Gonzales	33	52	85
44	41	FL-07	Cory Mills	35	50	85
45	43	VA-01	Rob Wittman	48	38	86
46	44	MN-01	Brad Finstad	53	34	87
47	45	NJ-02	Jeff Van Drew	34	56	90
48	45	NC-11	Chuck Edwards	61	29	90
49	47	VA-05	Bob Good	46	46	92
50	48	MO-02	Ann Wagner	58	35	93
51	48	NY-02	Andrew Garbarino	28	65	93
52	50	IN-05	OPEN (Spartz)	94	0	94
53	51	SC-01	Nancy Mace	54	42	96
54	52	MN-08	Pete Stauber	57	43	100
55	53	OH-10	Mike Turner	32	73	105
56	53	FL-28	Carlos Giménez	12	93	105
57	55	FL-04	Aaron Bean	43	64	107
58	55	TN-05	Andy Ogles	68	39	107
59	57	TX-12	OPEN (Granger)	108	0	108
60	58	NC-07	David Rouzer	62	47	109
61	59	GA-12	Rick Allen	55	57	112
62	60	FL-02	Neal Dunn	52	61	113
63	61	WA-05	Cathy McMorris Rodgers	56	58	114
64	62	CO-04	OPEN (Buck)	115	0	115
65	62	NY-11	Nicole Malliotakis	40	75	115
66	64	MD-01	Andy Harris	85	33	118
67	65	NY-21	Elise Stefanik	66	54	120
68	66	NE-01	Mike Flood	72	49	121
69	67	CO-05	Doug Lamborn	74	48	122
70	68	GA-01	Buddy Carter	73	53	126
71	69	NV-02	Mark Amodei	59	68	127
72	69	SC-02	Joe Wilson	65	62	127
73	69	TX-26	OPEN (Burgess)	127	0	127
74	72	KS-02	Jake LaTurner	83	45	128
75	73	CA-23	Jay Obernolte	60	69	129
76	74	FL-16	Vern Buchanan	50	80	130
77	75	CA-05	Tom McClintock	64	71	135
78	76	CA-48	Darrell Issa	75	63	138
79	76	FL-21	Brian Mast	47	91	138
80	78	TN-07	Mark Green	76	67	143
81	78	OH-14	Dave Joyce	69	74	143
82	80	TX-24	Beth Van Duyne	84	60	144
83	81	AZ-05	Andy Biggs	87	59	146
84	82	AR-02	French Hill	67	83	150
85	83	FL-03	Kat Cammack	71	86	157
86	84	FL-11	Daniel Webster	63	96	159
87	85	PA-16	Mike Kelly	105	55	160
88	86	AL-02	OPEN (Moore)	161	0	161
89	87	IN-03	OPEN (Banks)	166	0	166
90	88	OK-05	Stephanie Bice	103	66	169
91	89	TX-03	Keith Self	97	76	173
92	89	WI-07	Tom Tiffany	96	77	173
93	91	KY-06	Andy Barr	70	104	174
94	92	FL-17	Greg Steube	78	97	175
95	93	MI-01	Jack Bergman	106	70	176
96	94	CA-01	Doug LaMalfa	99	78	177
97	95	GA-11	Barry Loudermilk	95	84	179
98	96	MN-06	Tom Emmer	101	79	180
99	97	NC-08	OPEN (Bishop)	183	0	183
100	97	GA-06	Rich McCormick	102	81	183