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DRC (Tanganyika)Burkina Faso (Kadiogo)Somalia (Banadir, Galgadud, Mudug, Nugal)
Niger (Tillabéri)
Chad (Guera)Sources/Notes
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Annual all-cause mortality rate in children 6-59 months1.23%0.95%1.39%2.23%1.83%From main malnutrition CEA model here

Note that we use the mortality rate for all children 6-59 months rather than mortality rates adjusted for the age distribution of CMAM admissions. This is to match prevalence rates, which are for children 6-59 months old, since (1) the adjustment we are calculating is highly sensitive to prevalence; (2) we do not know prevalence rates in children 6-59 months with age distribution of CMAM admissions, (3) we expect prevalence for those ages to be higher, since we would guess this is what explains higher admissions. For reference, increasing both mortality rates and prevalence by the same factor leaves the adjustment unchanged.
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Maximum plausible percentage of deaths in cohort that occur in untreated malnourished children during the year90%90%90%90%90%Subjective guess. Set to be a plausibility cap rather than a best guess.
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GAM ICF (standard protocol), weighted by SAM and MAM mortality ratios and prevalence rates5.367.086.5211.498.86Calc
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Maximum plausible percentage of deaths in cohort without intervention, among children who are untreated malnourished at the time of the survey17%13%14%8%10%Calc. In order to translate annual mortality figures to point-in-time figures, we divide row 4 by the GAM incidence correction factor, adjusted to account for differences in prevalence of SAM and MAM and the mortality caused by each. See "Incidence correction factor (ICF) estimates" tab for details.
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Prevalence of untreated MAM in children 6-59 months4.9%2.5%8.4%2.4%5.3%From main malnutrition CEA model here
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Prevalence of untreated SAM in children 6-59 months1.4%0.1%0.9%0.6%1.0%From main malnutrition CEA model here
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Maximum annual all-cause mortality rate in children 6-59 months with untreated GAM3.3%4.7%2.1%5.9%3.0%Calc
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Annual all-cause mortality rate of children 6-59 months with untreated MAM (from main malnutrition model)3.19%2.88%3.20%6.43%5.19%From main malnutrition CEA model here
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Annual all-cause mortality rate of children 6-59 months with untreated SAM (from main malnutrition model)9.29%8.17%9.28%17.46%14.09%From main malnutrition CEA model here
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Annual all-cause mortality rate of children 6-59 months with untreated GAM (from main malnutrition model)4.57%3.15%3.79%8.78%6.63%Calc
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% change in untreated GAM mortality rate in children 6-59 months compared to main model-29%48%-46%-33%-55%Calc
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Adjustment for CEA71.3%100.0%54.2%66.7%44.6%
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