| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | :) | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Total GB | ||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Actual Outcome (D'Hondt) | Proportional Representation | PR with min. vote threshold (German system)* | Only count parties w. >5% of vote | D'Hondt (Preserving Nationalist seats) | D'Hondt (Full GB) | |||||||||||||||
4 | Party | Seats | Votes (Thousands) | Seats under PR | Analogue Seats | % of Vote | Seats w min thresh | Analogue Seats | Votes, if over 5% threshold | Threshold | Party | Seats | Analogue seats | Next Seat | % of vote | Seats | Analogue seats | Next Seat | % of vote | ||
5 | Brexit Party | 29 | 5248.5 | 22 | 22.38 | 31.97% | 24 | 24.10 | 5248.5 | 0.05 | Brexit Party | 23 | 22.38 | 0.93 | 31.97% | 24 | 22.38 | 0.90 | 31.97% | ||
6 | Lib Dem | 16 | 3367.3 | 14 | 14.36 | 20.51% | 15 | 15.46 | 3367.3 | Lib Dem | 15 | 14.36 | 0.90 | 20.51% | 15 | 14.36 | 0.90 | 20.51% | |||
7 | Labour | 10 | 2347.3 | 10 | 10.01 | 14.30% | 11 | 10.78 | 2347.3 | Labour | 10 | 10.01 | 0.91 | 14.30% | 10 | 10.01 | 0.91 | 14.30% | |||
8 | Green | 7 | 2010.9 | 9 | 8.57 | 12.25% | 9 | 9.23 | 2010.9 | Green | 8 | 8.57 | 0.95 | 12.25% | 9 | 8.57 | 0.86 | 12.25% | |||
9 | Conservative | 4 | 1511.5 | 7 | 6.45 | 9.21% | 7 | 6.94 | 1511.5 | Conservative | 6 | 6.45 | 0.92 | 9.21% | 6 | 6.45 | 0.92 | 9.21% | |||
10 | SNP | 3 | 594.6 | 3 | 2.54 | 3.62% | 3 | 2.73 | 594.6 | SNP | 3 | 2.54 | 0.63 | 3.62% | 2 | 2.54 | 0.85 | 3.62% | |||
11 | PC | 1 | 163.9 | 1 | 0.70 | 1.00% | 1 | 0.75 | 163.9 | PC | 1 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 1.00% | 0 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 1.00% | |||
12 | Change UK | 0 | 571.8 | 2 | 2.44 | 3.48% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | *Regional Parties are excluded from having to reach the national vote threshold in this system. | Change UK | 2 | 2.44 | 0.81 | 3.48% | 2 | 2.44 | 0.81 | 3.48% | ||
13 | UKIP | 0 | 549.3 | 2 | 2.34 | 3.35% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | UKIP | 2 | 2.34 | 0.78 | 3.35% | 2 | 2.34 | 0.78 | 3.35% | |||
14 | Yorkshire Party | 0 | 50.8 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.31% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | Yorkshire Party | 0 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.31% | 0 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.31% | |||
15 | Total | 70 | 16415.9 | 70 | 70.00 | 100.00% | 70 | 70.00 | 15243.9 | Total | 70 | 70.00 | 7.41 | 100.00% | 70 | 70.00 | 7.84 | 100.00% | |||
16 | |||||||||||||||||||||
17 | Combining by allegiance (No deal vs Deal vs Referendum vs Nationalists) | How Britain would have voted under a Britain-wide PR system (+ other breakdowns) | w. Nationalists | Full | |||||||||||||||||
18 | Party | Seats | Votes | Seats under PR | Analogue Seats | % of Vote | by Harry Mason | Margin of votes (thousands) that decides 71st seat w D'Hondt | 4.75 | 2.54 | |||||||||||
19 | LD + Green + ChUK | 23 | 5950.0 | 25 | 25.45 | 36.36% | Referendum | Feel free to share around, it'd be nice to be credited if you do. | Margin of votes (thousands) that decides 71st seat with PR | 13.58 | 13.58 | ||||||||||
20 | BP + UKIP | 29 | 5797.9 | 25 | 24.80 | 35.43% | No Deal | ||||||||||||||
21 | Lab + Con | 14 | 3858.7 | 17 | 16.51 | 23.58% | Compromise | ||||||||||||||
22 | SNP+PC | 4 | 758.5 | 3 | 3.24 | 4.63% | Nationalists | PR is a system where seats are allocated proportionally to the number of votes. | |||||||||||||
23 | Total | 70 | 16365.1 | 70 | 70.00 | 100.00% | If the "seats under PR" column didn't equal total seats, I allocated the last seat by hand | ||||||||||||||
24 | Tables are sorted by percentage of vote, except the first, which is sorted by actual seats | ||||||||||||||||||||
25 | Combining by allegiance (No Deal vs Compromise vs Referendum inc. Nationalists) | ||||||||||||||||||||
26 | Party | Seats | Votes | Seats under PR | Analogue Seats | % of Vote | Nationalists gathered remain and leave voters, so I'm separating 1st for clarity | ||||||||||||||
27 | LD + Gr + Ch + SNP + PC | 27 | 6708.5 | 29 | 28.69 | 40.99% | Referendum | ||||||||||||||
28 | BP + UKIP | 29 | 5797.9 | 25 | 24.80 | 35.43% | No Deal | I've included the Yorkshire Party in the first table as they were the next biggest party, to show that they don't influence the overall vote and don't win a seat | |||||||||||||
29 | Lab + Con | 14 | 3858.7 | 16 | 16.51 | 23.58% | Compromise | ||||||||||||||
30 | Total | 70 | 16365.1 | 70 | 70.00 | 100.00% | |||||||||||||||
31 | D'Hondt method - > | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%27Hondt_method | |||||||||||||||||||
32 | Combining by allegiance (Vaguely Remain vs Vaguely Brexit) | ||||||||||||||||||||
33 | Party | Seats | Votes | Seats under PR | Analogue Seats | % of Vote | This sheet is intended to be purely numbers, and to inform the reader. You are free to draw your own opinions from this data. However, it would be remiss of me not to remind the reader of a) the lower voter tournout than the referendum/a general election, and b) the many EU citizens living in the UK who were banned from legitimately casting their ballots for their local EU representative. I'll include the number here when we discover it | ||||||||||||||
34 | LD+Lab+Gr+Ch+SNP+PC | 37 | 9055.8 | 39 | 38.74 | 55.34% | Lean Remain | ||||||||||||||
35 | BP + Con + UKIP | 33 | 7309.4 | 31 | 31.26 | 44.66% | Lean Brexit | ||||||||||||||
36 | Total | 70 | 16365.1 | 70 | 70.00 | 100.00% | |||||||||||||||
37 | |||||||||||||||||||||
38 | Northern Ireland (Single Transferable Vote) | Mainly included so I can easily remove Green/UKIP/Con from GB values | |||||||||||||||||||
39 | Party | Seats | Votes | Seats under PR | Analogue Seats | % of Vote | |||||||||||||||
40 | Sinn Fein | 1 | 127.0 | 1 | 0.67 | 22.28% | |||||||||||||||
41 | DUP | 1 | 125.0 | 1 | 0.66 | 21.94% | |||||||||||||||
42 | Alliance | 1 | 105.9 | 1 | 0.56 | 18.59% | |||||||||||||||
43 | SDLP | 0 | 78.6 | 0 | 0.41 | 13.79% | |||||||||||||||
44 | TUV | 0 | 62.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 10.89% | |||||||||||||||
45 | UUP | 0 | 53.1 | 0 | 0.28 | 9.31% | |||||||||||||||
46 | Green | 0 | 12.5 | 0 | 0.07 | 2.19% | |||||||||||||||
47 | UKIP | 0 | 5.1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.90% | |||||||||||||||
48 | Conservative | 0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12% | |||||||||||||||
49 | Total | 3 | 569.8 | 3 | 3.00 | 100.00% | |||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||||