Caleb Williams

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1	Caleb Williams	Quarterback	USC	5-Star Recruit (99)	Junior	Summer Scouting Report
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3	Positional Rank	Grade	Height	Weight	2023 PFF Grade	2022 PFF Grade
4	1	Franchise	6'1	214	90.3	91.8
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6	Year	Attempts	Completions	Passing Yards	Passing Touchdowns	Interceptions
7	2023	394	268	3647	42	5
8	2022	502	334	4539	30	5
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10	Year	Rushing Attempts	Rushing Yards	Rushing Touchdowns	Completion Percentage	Adjusted Completion %
11	2023	50	356	11	68.02%	77.5%
12	2022	58	624	10	66.53%	76.0%
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14	Year	Passer Rating	Passing Yards / Attempt	Rushing Yards / Attempt	PFF Grade from Clean Pocket	PFF Grade Under Pressure
15	2023	117.4	9.26	7.12	94.3	41.6
16	2022	118.9	9.04	10.76	90.7	85.5
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18	Year	Big Time Throw %	Turnover Worthy Play %	Pressure to Sack %	Time to Throw	Average Depth of Target
19	2023	6.2%	3.6%	23.2%	3.16	9.2
20	2022	6.0%	1.8%	16.0%	3.24	9.7
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22	Overview
23	Strengths	Notes
24	Off Platform Throws	His all-world arm talent allows him to make any throw from nearly any angle.
25	Extending Plays	His ability to escape the pocket and make plays downfield is what makes him truly special.
26	Touch	His touch improved drastically from 2022 to 2023. He is capable of dropping passes in over defenders, and understands when to do so verses when to rifle it into a tighter window. His understanding of how to throw to space and with what velocity against zone coverage should translate remarkably well to the NFL.
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28	Weaknesses	Notes
29	Fumbling	33 fumbles over the last three seasons, including 16 this last year, is absolutely unacceptable.
30	Decisiveness	His pressure to sack conversion ratio increased drastically this last season, and he often hesitates to pick up yards with his legs because he keeps his eyes downfield when scrambling. While this is a positive trait overall, he is a talented open field runner and can afford to be more decisive outside of the pocket.
31	Regression	Williams had a much better overall 2022 season than 2023 season. His decision-making under pressure suffered tremendously this last year, dropping from four turnover worthy plays on 187 dropbacks in 2022 to 16 on 151 dropbacks in 2023. While he has improved in some key areas such as timing and progressions from a clean pocket, his trajectory in many other areas is not indicative of future success based on historical metrics of collegiate quarterback regression into their final year.
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33	Film
34	Game	Major Takeaways				Grade and Game Notes
35	Oregon (11/11/2023)	His receivers are not separating. Incredible ad libs. Seemingly good touch. Good timing when asked to play with rhythm. Lower body mechanics look subpar. Extends plays and finds the open man, but the timing of his progressions may be a bit slow. Unnecessary sack. Can sling it with obscure arm angles. Not always seeing his check downs. Ball placement on intermediate throws from the pocket are inconsistent. Arm talent for days. Good runner, but lacks twitch. More locked in now with intermediate throws. Accuracy on the move is unreal. Appropriately perfect short accuracy.				Ability to extend plays makes him a Franchise-caliber quarterback.
36	Cal (10/28/2023)	Very good rusher. Can read the whole field and find the open target. Beautiful deep ball. Quick release. Makes tight window throws reliably down the sideline. Not getting much help from his receivers. Keeps eyes downfield while rolling. Spiral often is not tight. Excellent pocket navigation. Compact and elusive runner. Playing significantly better than his stats would indicate based on the performance of his receivers. Arm talent is insane. Able to scan a broad area when searching for the open man. Holds onto ball too long. Very quick release when needed.				Franchise.
37	UCLA (11/18/2023)	Great vision verses zone coverage this game. Playing with better timing. Excellent poise. Progressions appear faster than in previous games. Making pre-snap adjustments often. Giving his receivers a chance - interception was decently placed and poorly played by the receiver. Masking coverages with his eyes. Going through progressions quickly and decisively. Often does not set base. Intermediate accuracy is usually good, but ball placement can be inconsistent. Keeping eyes downfield outside of the pocket. Can throw accurate deep ball on the move. Twitchy and compact release. His distance, velocity, and accuracy on throws immediately after RPOs is highly impressive. Great escapability from pressure. Throwing well into space this game. Incredible touch. Slightly delayed on quick timing throw. Did not fumble this game, but must tuck the ball to avoid turnovers under pressure. Perfect touch and placement on fade. His offensive line is a huge issue. Having to run away from Laiatu Latu on seemingly every play. Short area accuracy needs improvement.				Franchise.
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39	Attributes		Grade / 100	Notes
40	Positional Skills	Anticipation	90	He did a much better job throwing his receivers open and into space over the last few games of his college career. He usually likes to see his receivers open first, but what he has shown more recently instills confidence that he will be able to handle tighter coverage looks in the NFL.
41		Decision-Making	79	If Williams can become more decisive with the football and stop throwing as many jump balls under pressure, then this grade would be significantly higher. His overall decision-making is quite good, but these two important areas drop this grade drastically.
42		Progressions	92	His pocket passing improved tremendously over the course of his college career. He is going through his progressions much more quickly, particularly towards the end of the season, but there is still room for improvement.
43	Reading the Field	Scheme Identification	97	His intelligence and pre-snap recognition of every part of the opposing defense is highly impressive.
44		Zone Recognition	94	He reads and understands where to throw the ball against zone coverage extremely well. He is still prone to making mistakes, but has shown enough to instill confidence moving forward.
45		Manipulation	87	He will mask coverages on occasion, but his eyes do get sticky when waiting for reads to separate.
46	Operational	Instincts	98	He feels pressure and understands where to look for receivers when scrambling better than anyone in class. He just has a natural feel for every aspect of the quarterback position.
47		Poise	92	He is willing to make difficult throws even when he is about to take a brutal hit. He could still be more decisive under pressure, but his poise in the pocket is excellent.
48		Command	99	Makes pre-snap adjustments often, does not hesitate to alter the offense, and his team fully backs his hero-ball play. It is clear that he has full command over this offense in every capacity.
49		Pressure	95	While his play under pressure was rather atrocious throughout much of the 2023 season, his pocket presence, escapability, and willingness to keep his eyes downfield should allow him to improve under pressure in the NFL. His 2022 tape also inspires confidence in what he can be in the face of pressure.
50	Movement	Pocket Presence	93	He almost always feels pressure coming from any angle. That said, he typically fumbles the ball when he does not.
51		Mobility	96	Highly twitchy in the pocket and can avoid pressure better than anyone else in class. His instinctual escapability and ability to quickly sidestep and find space is what makes him special.
52		Improvisation	99	His ability to make big plays out of absolutely nothing is what makes him an elite prospect.
53		Pure Rushing Ability	86	Typically a strong and effective open field runner.
54	Throwing Mechanics	Lower Body	60	He simply abandons his lower body entirely too much. It can be addressed and he has moments of good lower body mechanics, but he has a long ways to go. When his lower body is working in unison with his upper body, his intermediate accuracy is typically superb. Otherwise, his ball placement is entirely hit or miss.
55		Upper Body	96	Hiss upper body mechanics are not always conventional, but he can make any throw on the field with just his arm and shoulders. He knows how to alter his arm angle and release point to accommodate his desired touch, and is technically sound on strong intermediate and deep passes from a clean pocket.
56		Touch	97	Excellent touch. His range from lofty passes over linebackers to bullets between defenders is intuitive for him. His instincts are usually correct on the best type of throw for any given situation.
57	Accuracy	Short	81	Could improve on accuracy, timing, and leading his receivers on shorter throws.
58		Intermediate	86	Generally quite accurate, but must improve throwing to space and has some ball placement issues when he does not set his base. The occasional misfire has to stop as well.
59		Deep	93	Amazing deep accuracy over the middle, completing 15 of 18 attempts between the numbers beyond 20 yards downfield in 2023, but his boundary accuracy is a bit inconsistent.
60	Potential	Arm Talent	98	Ridiculous arm that can make any throw on the field at any angle. The only reason this is not a 99 is because Joe Milton exists in this draft class.
61		Athleticism	91	Williams is a very good athlete, but not as dominant in the open field as some other prospects in this class, and lacks the optimal height and weight desired among most top prospects.
62		Consistency	85	Hid consistency took a big dip in most areas in 2023, but he did seem to become better at reading the field pre-snap and making decisions accordingly in the pocket.
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64	Final Scouting Report
65	Caleb Williams is a rare quarterback prospect who would go number one overall in the vast majority of classes. His out of this world arm talent in combination with his ability to escape the pocket and make something out of nothing is truly remarkable. In the red zone, he has a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 46:1 since the start of 2022 season. His decision-making in high stakes situations and willingness to make the difficult throw should make him an excellent fourth quarter player at the NFL level. While he may need to rein it in at times and take the easy yardage, his ability to make tight window throws downfield is highly impressive. His touch on intermediate and deep passes is phenomenal, and his ability to work through progressions and read the field meets the threshold of most successful NFL quarterbacks. His instincts and natural understanding of what to do in any given situation do not come along every year, and he has the talent to become the face of a franchise for years to come. While he has improved in many areas since 2022, there are some major concerns. Under pressure, his PFF grade dropped from 85.5 in 2022 to 41.6 in 2023. He had significantly more turnovers and a much higher pressure to sack ratio in 2023, along with some questionable decision-making that simply was not seen in 2022. His time to throw also remained highly concerning at over 3.1 seconds in each year in the league, including 3.51 in his freshman year at Oklahoma. He is remarkably talented when extending the play, but the sheer amount of fumbled along with some notable indecisiveness this season is rather worrisome. His issues at the position are typically cleaned up more easily, and he already does most of the more difficult and unteachable stuff very well. He is not going to step in and immediately be a top ten NFL quarterback, and he will certainly make many mistakes in his first couple of seasons. His turnover worthy plays must reduce and he will need time to recalibrate his backfield dancing to match NFL speed and athleticism, but Williams has absolutely everything he needs to eventually become one of the best quarterbacks in the entire league.
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67	Pro Comparison
68	Patrick Mahomes. Saying that Caleb Williams will become the next Patrick Mahomes is an utterly ridiculous statement, but they shared the same tools, escapability, and arm talent coming out of college. Williams is the far better prospect, and can do many of the same Houdini pocket maneuvers that make Mahomes special in the NFL.
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