Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50285.86
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]\\50252.14
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269122270257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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11129824011929000010016415070131210
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122932450900601610016401872013120
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132942440929060161001640070131210
25
142772610900000100160018720131210
26
15272266092900001001640070131210
27
162832550929000010016015070131210
28
0724829009000001001641507013120
29
1828125711900001610016015070131210
30
192752630900001610010415072001210
31
110272266092900001001640070131210
32
011258280090000010016415070131210
33
11231622209290600100164018720131210
34
113299239119011001610016401870131210
35
1142882501192900001001641507013120
36
11529724109290000101016415070131210
37
116312226119291100010016401870131210
38
1172752631190000161001641507013120
39
11829724111900601610016015072013120
40
1192942440929060161001640070131210
41
02024229609000001001041507013120
42
02124829009000001001641507013120
43
12230323509290001610016415070131210
44
1232842540929000161001600070131210
45
1243342041192900016100164150720131210
46
1252742640900001610016415070131210
47
026265273090060161001640070131210
48
027258280090000010016415070131210
49
12829724109000016100164018720131210
50
1292842540929000161001600070131210
51
030261277090000161001641507001210
52
1312882500929000161001640070131210
53
132324214119290601610016015187013120
54
1332932450929060161000640070131210
55
1342982400929000161001640072013120
56
135303235119000016100164151870131210
57
036261277090000161001641507001210
58
13731222609290601610016401870131210
59
13831222609290601610016401870131210
60
039259279090000161001640070131210
61
1402722661190000161001641507001210
62
041264274090000161001640187001210
63
0422692691190000010016415070131210
64
143318220092900016101016400720131210
65
1442702680900001610016015070131210
66
14530922909290601610016415070131210
67
046259279090000161001640070131210
68
1473292091190060161001641518720131210
69
148299239119000016100160151870131210
70
14930423409290001610016000720131210
71
05024329509000001001640070131210
72
051257281090000010016001870131210
73
15235218611929000161001641518720131210
74
15330223609290001610016001870131210
75
15430823009290001610016415187001210
76
155278260092906001001640070131210
77
15630023809006016101016415072013120
78
15730323509290001610016415070131210
79
05825228609006016100164007001210
80
0592672710900001610016415000131210
81
160308230119291100010006415070131210
82
16129824009006016100164151870131210
83
1623382001192906016100164151870131210
84
1632822560900600100164151870131210
85
1642892491192900016100164007013120
86
06524129711900000100164007001210
87
1662932450929000161001640187001210
88
167281257092906016100164007001210
89
168312226090000161001641518720131210
90
1692712670000601610016415070131210
91
1702772610900001610016401870131210
92
071263275090000010016400720131210
93
17230323509290001610016415070131210
94
07324928909006001001640070131210
95
07426227609290000100164007013120
96
1752762620900000100164151870131210
97
17628725109011000100164151870131210
98
1772892491192900016100164007013120
99
1782772610900001610016401870131210
100
079259279119000001001641507013120
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