Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50276.17
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]\\50261.83
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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1625971
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 150501529060991545505040550706510050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2699719950509948104018555505060451003035050
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0Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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001251287090061010010001800131210
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022602780029001161010100000001210
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1330323509290610100004018020131210
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04251287090001010101041518000120
26
0524329509000001000640180013120
27
16319219092900116100104151802013120
28
172972410929061161000640002013120
29
18304234002900016101010401802013120
30
193072310000611610101041518020131210
31
1102732650029061010010000020131210
32
1112712670029001010100000180200120
33
0122662720900001610010400020131210
34
11328725100006116100064018020131210
35
01423630209000101001041500013120
36
015254284000061010006015002013120
37
016247291000001010006400020131210
38
117307231092900116100100150020131210
39
0182672710029001161000001500013120
40
0192682700000610100160018020131210
41
120297241002900116100000150020131210
42
12129124700290011610016401800131210
43
1222852530929001161000040002013120
44
123306232002900116101006001802013120
45
12427925900000116100060151802001210
46
025241297000001161001000002001210
47
12630823011929061161000640002013120
48
127270268002900116100164000200120
49
0282672710029060161000000000131210
50
129310228092900116100060151800131210
51
030233305000001161000000000131210
52
131271267092906101000000002013120
53
0322522860000010101000001802001210
54
0332562820000001610101600002001210
55
0342522860000011610100041500013120
56
1352852530929001161000040002013120
57
13628525309000016100060018020131210
58
1372912470929001010016415002013120
59
038262276090061000104150020131210
60
0392632750900011610010000020131210
61
14030823009290611610006001802001210
62
14127925900006116100104150020131210
63
042269269002906101000640002001210
64
143315223092906116101000001802013120
65
04423330509000116100100000013120
66
1453122260000601610101641518020131210
67
146311227090061161000641518020131210
68
147312226090061161001641518020131210
69
04824029800006116100164000013120
70
14930922909290610100064018020131210
71
150312226092900116100060150020131210
72
05123929909000101001040180013120
73
1522742640029001010010415180013120
74
15330922909290611610016015002013120
75
054245293000061161010004150000120
76
15528525309006101010104018020131210
77
15629824009006116100160151802013120
78
1572772610929001010000015002001210
79
058261277002906101000040180001210
80
059269269090061161001640002013120
81
06024229600006116100060000200120
82
16129424409006016100160151802001210
83
06225628209006116100164000200120
84
1632772610029060161000001518000120
85
164270268092900101000640180001210
86
1652792590029061161001000002013120
87
0662652730029000161010004000013120
88
167312226002906116101006001802013120
89
16827226600000116100100018020131210
90
06923230609000016101000400000120
91
170270268002900116100164000200120
92
1712772610900610100160018020131210
93
07224529300006101000641500200120
94
0732213170000610100100000200120
95
074260278090061161001600180001210
96
17530423400290611610016401802001210
97
076248290000060161000000002013120
98
0772392990900610100064000200120
99
078263275002906016100004150000120
100
179320218092906101000601518020131210
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