Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50286.95
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]\\50251.05
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269125470257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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11131522311929060161001640072013120
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122802580900601610016415070131210
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13315223119290001610016000720131210
25
14325213119290601610016400720131210
26
1528025809000016101016015070131210
27
0624928909000016100164007013120
28
0724329509000001001640070131210
29
1830123709290000101016015187013120
30
19319219119290001610016400720131210
31
11027526300000016101016415070131210
32
011262276090110001001640187013120
33
11228425411900600100160150020131210
34
11329224611900001610016415072001210
35
11428425409011001610016001870131210
36
1152882500929000161001640070131210
37
1162742640900001610016415070131210
38
017259279090000161001640070131210
39
0182672711190000161010164007001210
40
1192872510929000010016415070131210
41
0202363020900001610016400700120
42
12128525311900001610016415070131210
43
1222742640900001610016415070131210
44
1232882501192900001001640187001210
45
1243342041192900016100164150720131210
46
1252992390929060161001641507013120
47
1263411970929000161001641518720131210
48
1272802580900601610016415070131210
49
128278260092900016100164007013120
50
1292932450929000161001641507013120
51
13030323509290001610101641507013120
52
1312792590900001610016400720131210
53
032260278090060010016015070131210
54
1333302080929110016100160150720131210
55
13431422409290601610016400720131210
56
13529424409000016100164150720131210
57
13630323509290001610016415070131210
58
03724729109000001001600187013120
59
13829524311900001610016415072013120
60
13930123711929000010016401870131210
61
14030323509290001610016415070131210
62
1412752631190060010016415070131210
63
1422802581190000161001640072013120
64
04325428409006001001641507013120
65
14430423411929060010016415070131210
66
145313225092900016101016415070131210
67
1462902480929060161001600070131210
68
1472702680900600101016015070131210
69
1482902480929000010016401870131210
70
14929224609000016100164151870131210
71
15030823009290001610016400720131210
72
1513342040929116016100160151870131210
73
05225428409006001001641507013120
74
05324928909006001001640070131210
75
15430523309290000100164151870131210
76
15529424409000016100164150720131210
77
05624928909000016100164007013120
78
05724529309006001001600070131210
79
15830323509290001610016415070131210
80
15929923909291100161001640070131210
81
160310228119290001610016015070131210
82
161316222119290000100164151870131210
83
1622882500929000161001000072013120
84
16330223609000016100164151872013120
85
1642792590900601610016001870131210
86
065265273090060161001640070131210
87
166327211092906016100164151870131210
88
1672902480929060161001600070131210
89
16829824011929000010016415070131210
90
1692702681190000161001640070131210
91
1702792590900601610016001870131210
92
1712702681190000161001640070131210
93
17230623209290001610016401870131210
94
17329824009000016100160151872013120
95
1742882500929000161001640070131210
96
17529024811900001610016400720131210
97
1762772610900001610016401870131210
98
177309229119290001610101640070131210
99
1783022360929060010006415072013120
100
1792882500929000161001640070131210
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