Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50270.85
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]\\50267.15
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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1625901
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 00000009990455050409090909010050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2699011001001001001001001001105550506010101010050
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111290248000000010100041518720131210
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02259279000000010016401872001210
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13296242000000010100641518720131210
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04248290000000010000015072013120
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05248290000000010101600187013120
27
16292246000000010100601518720131210
28
072612770000000101000001872013120
29
1827826000000001010160018720131210
30
19286252000000010100001518720131210
31
11027226600000001010100018720131210
32
01126827000000001010000150720131210
33
11227026800000001010060018020131210
34
0132592790000000101006000720131210
35
114290248000000010100041518720131210
36
11528225600000001010060151872013120
37
11627626200000001010000151872013120
38
11728225600000001010060151872013120
39
0182652730000000101000401872013120
40
0192632750000000101006415187001210
41
0202652730000000101000401872013120
42
0212662720000000101006415187013120
43
12227226600000001010100018720131210
44
12327626200000001010104018720131210
45
0242652730000000101000401872013120
46
125286252000000010100001518720131210
47
12628125700000001010064018720131210
48
027255283000000010016015072013120
49
12827126700000001010000018720131210
50
0292562820000000101010401870131210
51
03026926900000001010000151802013120
52
13127626200000001010000151872013120
53
032252286000000010101640187013120
54
133297241000000010101641518720131210
55
13427126700000001010000018720131210
56
0352502880000000101006001800131210
57
13628225600000001010164018720131210
58
037243295000000010100000072013120
59
0382582800000000101000001872001210
60
0392612770000000101000001872013120
61
0402592790000000101006000720131210
62
14128625200000001010064151872013120
63
0422652730000000101000401872013120
64
14327126700000001010000018720131210
65
0442672710000000100060018720131210
66
0452642740000000101006401802013120
67
046258280000000010016001872013120
68
14728125700000001010064018720131210
69
14827925900000001010064151802013120
70
0492682700000000101010415187200120
71
15027126700000001010000018720131210
72
15127526300000001010004018720131210
73
0522672710000000101006001872013120
74
153297241000000010101641518720131210
75
15428325500000001010160151872013120
76
1552712670000000101006401872013120
77
056248290000000010101600187013120
78
0572632750000000101010401872001210
79
058249289000000010101000187200120
80
159292246000000010100601518720131210
81
0602682700000000100160018720131210
82
16127226600000001010100018720131210
83
162291247000000010101041518720131210
84
163280258000000010101001518020131210
85
1642712670000000101006401872013120
86
0652662720000000101010401872013120
87
16627626200000001010000151872013120
88
0672552830000000101000401870131210
89
16828225600000001010060151872013120
90
0692582800000000101000401802013120
91
0702642740000000101006001872001210
92
1712722660000000101016401872013120
93
0722592790000000101010401802013120
94
17328425400000001010164151872001210
95
17428325500000001010160151872013120
96
17527626200000001010000151872013120
97
176286252000000010100001518720131210
98
17727126700000001010000018720131210
99
17827626200000001010000151872013120
100
17927626200000001010104018720131210
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