Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50287.96
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]\\50250.04
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 639843710007210079998853124992491100100
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 26912687025793701002809312155076176900
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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11130023809006016100164150720131210
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122882500929000161001640070131210
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03261277090000161001641507001210
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142742640900001610016415070131210
26
1530523311929060161001640070131210
27
162792590900001610016400720131210
28
07254284119000001001640070131210
29
183232151190000161001641518720131210
30
09267271090060010016401870131210
31
1102852530900601610016400720131210
32
11128924911900000100164150720131210
33
11230922909290601610016415070131210
34
1132742640900001610016415070131210
35
11430323509290001610016415070131210
36
115305233090110016100164150720131210
37
116323215092900016100164150720131210
38
1172922460929000010016400720131210
39
11829824009006016100164151870131210
40
11929224609000016100164151870131210
41
1202932450929060010016415070131210
42
12130123711929060161001600070131210
43
122303235119000016100164151870131210
44
1232762620900000100164151870131210
45
024269269090060010016400720131210
46
12530323509290001610016415070131210
47
1263342041192900016100164150720131210
48
127278260092906001001640070131210
49
1282772610900001610016401870131210
50
1292702680900001610016015070131210
51
03024329509000001001640070131210
52
0312682701190110016100164007001210
53
032258280090000010016415070131210
54
13328525311900001610016415070131210
55
034258280090000010016415070131210
56
135318220119290000100164150720131210
57
13629424409000016100164150720131210
58
037256282000060161001640070131210
59
13830323509290001610016415070131210
60
0392692691190000010016415070131210
61
14030423411929060010016415070131210
62
1412742640900001610016415070131210
63
1422762620900000100164151870131210
64
1432742640900001610016415070131210
65
144321217092900016100164151870131210
66
045259279090000161001640070131210
67
1462882500929000161001640070131210
68
1472802580900601610016415070131210
69
14830623209290001610016015072001210
70
1492742640900000100160150720131210
71
15030922909290601610016415070131210
72
1512742640900001610016415070131210
73
052260278119006001001640070131210
74
15328525311900001610016415070131210
75
154312226092900016101006415070131210
76
1552752631190060010016415070131210
77
1562882500929000161001640070131210
78
057259279090000161001640070131210
79
1582882500929000161001640070131210
80
15929224609000016100164151870131210
81
0602692691190000010016415070131210
82
0612652730900001610101600070131210
83
16228825009000016100160151870131210
84
163299239119000001010164150720131210
85
1642832551192900001001640070131210
86
165322216092906016101016401870131210
87
1663212171190060161010164150720131210
88
16730323509290001610016415070131210
89
16828525311900001610016415070131210
90
1692782600900000100164150720131210
91
1703471910929060161001641518720131210
92
07124429409000001001600187001210
93
1722832550929000010016015070131210
94
173325213092911601610016400720131210
95
1742902480929000010016401870131210
96
1752942440929060161001640070131210
97
17630922909290601610016415070131210
98
17729923911929000161001640070131210
99
1783411970929000161001641518720131210
100
17929424411929000010016015070131210
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