Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50286.09
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]\\50251.91
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269122970257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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1112702680900001610016015070131210
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1230922909290601610016415070131210
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0324629209000016100164007001210
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142832550900601610016401870131210
26
05257281119000016100164007001210
27
06269269090000161001640072013120
28
1728825011900001610016401870131210
29
08259279090000161001640070131210
30
19324214119290600100164150720131210
31
110323215092911601610016401870131210
32
0112612771100000161001640070131210
33
0122652730000001610016415070131210
34
11330723109290000100164150720131210
35
014255283090000161001600070131210
36
1153342041192900016100164150720131210
37
1162872510929000010016415070131210
38
117272266092900016100104007013120
39
1182792590900001610016415187001210
40
1192882500929000161001640070131210
41
1202762620901160161001640070131210
42
1212742640900001610016415070131210
43
1223431951192906016100164018720131210
44
1232772610900001610016401870131210
45
124323215092900016100164150720131210
46
1252842540900001610016401872001210
47
1263322061192900016100164151870131210
48
1272902480929060161001600070131210
49
02824928909000016100164007013120
50
029258280090000161000640070131210
51
130278260092906001001640070131210
52
13128525311900001610016415070131210
53
03224829009000001001641507013120
54
1332932450929060010016415070131210
55
03424329509000001001640070131210
56
03525328509000001001640072013120
57
136321217092900016100164151870131210
58
13729224609000016100164151870131210
59
13829124709011601610016415070131210
60
039255283119000001001601507013120
61
14031722109290601610016415187013120
62
04124429411900000100164007013120
63
1422862520929000010016001870131210
64
043257281119000016100164007001210
65
044259279090000161001640070131210
66
14531722111929060161001641507200120
67
1463302081192906016101016415070131210
68
1472772611190000010016415187013120
69
048259279090000161001640070131210
70
1492842540929000161001041507001210
71
15029624211929110016100160007013120
72
15129424409000016100164150720131210
73
15230922909290601610101641507013120
74
153305233119000016100164150720131210
75
15430723109290001610016015187013120
76
155281257092906016100164007001210
77
1563002380929000010016401872013120
78
1572842540900001610016415072013120
79
058262276090000161001600072001210
80
15928525311900001610016415070131210
81
160326212092900016100164018720131210
82
1612952430929000161001640072001210
83
1622862521192900016100164007001210
84
1632982400929000161001640072013120
85
16429923911929000161001640070131210
86
065264274090000161001641507013120
87
16630523309290000100164151870131210
88
067255283090000161001600070131210
89
068264274090000161001641507013120
90
16929923911929000161001640070131210
91
170310228119291100161001640070131210
92
071258280090000010016415070131210
93
1723411970929000161001641518720131210
94
1732962420929060010101640187013120
95
1742742640900001610016415070131210
96
1752992390929060161001641507013120
97
17630323509290001610016415070131210
98
1772882500900601610016415187013120
99
17829024811900001610016400720131210
100
17931122709290001610016415187013120
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