Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50270.70
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]\\50267.30
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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1625915
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 00000009990455050409090909010050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2699151001001001001001001001105550506010101010050
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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11127726100000001010060018720131210
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022632750000000101006400720131210
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1328125700000001010064018720131210
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142712670000000101006401872013120
26
1528125700000001010064018720131210
27
1627526300000001010004018720131210
28
072622760000000101006015187013120
29
182762620000000100064151872013120
30
092552830000000101010001802013120
31
0102622760000000101010001872013120
32
11127526300000001010004018720131210
33
11227626200000001010064151870131210
34
0132682700000000101016001872013120
35
11428125700000001010064018720131210
36
0152692690000000100064151802013120
37
11628725100000001010164151872013120
38
0172692690000000101016415072013120
39
118296242000000010100641518720131210
40
11928225600000001010060151872013120
41
0202662720000000101010401872013120
42
121292246000000010100601518720131210
43
122280258000000010101001518020131210
44
0232672710000000101006001872013120
45
124291247000000010101041518720131210
46
12527626200000001010000151872013120
47
026248290000000010100000187200120
48
12727826000000001010160018720131210
49
0282552830000000101000401870131210
50
0292642740000000101006001872001210
51
1302712670000000101006401872013120
52
131286252000000010100001518720131210
53
132291247000000010101041518720131210
54
03323130700000001000000187013120
55
134292246000000010100601518720131210
56
0352602780000000101016000720131210
57
13627026800000001010100151802013120
58
1372722660000000100164018720131210
59
0382582800000000101010400720131210
60
139292246000000010100601518720131210
61
040254284000000010100600187200120
62
14127126700000001010160018020131210
63
04223230600000001001000187013120
64
04326427400000001010000018020131210
65
14427826000000001010160018720131210
66
14527626200000001010104018720131210
67
14627126700000001010000018720131210
68
14728225600000001010164018720131210
69
148297241000000010101641518720131210
70
04923630200000001010060007200120
71
0502622760000000101010001872013120
72
1512712670000000101006401872013120
73
15228125700000001010104151872013120
74
153297241000000010101641518720131210
75
0542542840000000101000001802013120
76
0552452930000000101010001800131210
77
056255283000000010016401802013120
78
15727526300000001010004018720131210
79
058258280000000010100640187200120
80
059248290000000010100000187200120
81
160287251000000010101001518720131210
82
161287251000000010101001518720131210
83
16228025800000001010004151872013120
84
06323630200000001001040187013120
85
164286252000000010100001518720131210
86
06524229600000001000040187200120
87
166291247000000010101041518720131210
88
0672612770000000101000001872013120
89
0682592790000000101006415180013120
90
0692622760000000101010001872013120
91
17027726100000001010060018720131210
92
17127326500000001010160151870131210
93
17227726100000001010060018720131210
94
073252286000000010100040187200120
95
17427126700000001010000018720131210
96
0752652730000000010004018720131210
97
17627026800000001010100151802013120
98
17728125700000001010064018720131210
99
17827526300000001010060151802013120
100
17928125700000001010104151872013120
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