Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50374.91
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]\\50163.09
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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16251625
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 9898989898989898989989898989898989898
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269162522222222291222222222
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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1113781601192911601610100641518720131210
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123791591192911611610100641518720131210
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133791591192911611610100641518720131210
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143791591192911611610100641518720131210
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15364174119291161161010064018720131210
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16369169119291161161010064151872013120
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173701681102911611610100641518720131210
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183791591192911611610100641518720131210
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193791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1103791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1113661721102911611610100601518720131210
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1123801581192911611610101641518720131210
34
113361177119291161161010064150720131210
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1143791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1153801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1163791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1173791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1183801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1193791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1203751631192911611610100601518720131210
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121368170092911611610100641518720131210
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1223791591192911611610100641518720131210
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123359179119291161161010064151870131210
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1243791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1253791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1263791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1273791591192911611610100641518720131210
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128364174119291161010101641518720131210
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129368170092911611610100641518720131210
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1303791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1313791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1323791591192911611610100641518720131210
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133368170092911611610100641518720131210
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1343791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1353791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1363801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1373791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1383791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1393791591192911611610100641518720131210
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140350188119011611610100641518720131210
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141368170119290611610100641518720131210
63
1423761621192911611610101601518720131210
64
1433791591192911611610100641518720131210
65
144361177119291161161010064150720131210
66
1453791591192911611610100641518720131210
67
1463791591192911611610100641518720131210
68
1473791591192911611610100641518720131210
69
148368170092911611610100641518720131210
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1493791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1503791591192911611610100641518720131210
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151363175119291161010100641518720131210
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1523791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1533791591192911611610100641518720131210
75
1543791591192911611610100641518720131210
76
1553731651192911011610100641518720131210
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1563791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1573791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1583791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1593791591192911611610100641518720131210
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160369169119291161160100641518720131210
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161366172119291161161010064151872001210
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1623791591192911611610100641518720131210
84
1633791591192911611610100641518720131210
85
1643791591192911611610100641518720131210
86
1653791591192911611610100641518720131210
87
16633919911900611610100641518720131210
88
167350188119011611610100641518720131210
89
1683791591192911611610100641518720131210
90
1693791591192911611610100641518720131210
91
1703791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1713791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1723791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1733791591192911611610100641518720131210
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174367171119291161161010064151872013010
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1753791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1763791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1773791591192911611610100641518720131210
99
178368170092911611610100641518720131210
100
1793791591192911611610100641518720131210
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