Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50244.25
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]\\50293.75
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.50000010000000100001001000010001001000
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Romney0.500010010036721000201001000208200433010
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Tie0.00400
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 6510000000100001001000010001001000
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 26907001001007010010001001000050100010000100
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0Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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001258280119000001000641507013120
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022383000900600100064007013120
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0324928911900600100064007013120
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0425328509006001000641507013120
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0525328509006001000641507013120
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0624729109000001000641507013120
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0725328509006001000641507013120
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0825328509006001000641507013120
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09258280119000001000641507013120
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0102383000900600100064007013120
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0112323060900000100064007013120
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012258280119000001000641507013120
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01324729109000001000641507013120
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0142323060900000100064007013120
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01524329511900000100064007013120
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01624729109000001000641507013120
38
0172323060900000100064007013120
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01824729109000001000641507013120
40
01924729109000001000641507013120
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0202383000900600100064007013120
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02124329511900000100064007013120
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0222323060900000100064007013120
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0232323060900000100064007013120
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0242383000900600100064007013120
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02525328509006001000641507013120
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0262323060900000100064007013120
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02725328509006001000641507013120
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0282323060900000100064007013120
50
02924928911900600100064007013120
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0302383000900600100064007013120
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0312383000900600100064007013120
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0322323060900000100064007013120
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03324928911900600100064007013120
55
034264274119006001000641507013120
56
03525328509006001000641507013120
57
03624729109000001000641507013120
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037264274119006001000641507013120
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038264274119006001000641507013120
60
03924928911900600100064007013120
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04025328509006001000641507013120
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04125328509006001000641507013120
63
04224729109000001000641507013120
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04324729109000001000641507013120
65
04424729109000001000641507013120
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04524729109000001000641507013120
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04624729109000001000641507013120
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04724928911900600100064007013120
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04825328509006001000641507013120
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049258280119000001000641507013120
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05024329511900000100064007013120
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0512383000900600100064007013120
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0522383000900600100064007013120
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053258280119000001000641507013120
75
05425328509006001000641507013120
76
0552323060900000100064007013120
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05625328509006001000641507013120
78
0572323060900000100064007013120
79
0582323060900000100064007013120
80
0592323060900000100064007013120
81
0602323060900000100064007013120
82
0612323060900000100064007013120
83
06225328509006001000641507013120
84
06324729109000001000641507013120
85
06424329511900000100064007013120
86
0652323060900000100064007013120
87
06625328509006001000641507013120
88
0672323060900000100064007013120
89
06824729109000001000641507013120
90
06924928911900600100064007013120
91
070258280119000001000641507013120
92
07124729109000001000641507013120
93
07224729109000001000641507013120
94
073264274119006001000641507013120
95
0742323060900000100064007013120
96
07524329511900000100064007013120
97
0762323060900000100064007013120
98
07724729109000001000641507013120
99
07824729109000001000641507013120
100
07924329511900000100064007013120
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