Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50244.33
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]\\50293.67
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.00000010000000100001001000010001001000
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Romney0.500010010036721000201001000208200433010
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Tie0.00400
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 2NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 010000000100001001000010001001000
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 26907001001007010010001001000050100010000100
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0Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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00124729109000001000641507013120
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0225328509006001000641507013120
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032383000900600100064007013120
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042323060900000100064007013120
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052323060900000100064007013120
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0624729109000001000641507013120
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0724928911900600100064007013120
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0824729109000001000641507013120
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09264274119006001000641507013120
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01024928911900600100064007013120
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0112323060900000100064007013120
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01225328509006001000641507013120
34
013264274119006001000641507013120
35
014258280119000001000641507013120
36
0152323060900000100064007013120
37
0162323060900000100064007013120
38
01724329511900000100064007013120
39
0182323060900000100064007013120
40
019258280119000001000641507013120
41
0202383000900600100064007013120
42
0212323060900000100064007013120
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0222383000900600100064007013120
44
023258280119000001000641507013120
45
0242323060900000100064007013120
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0252383000900600100064007013120
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0262323060900000100064007013120
48
02724329511900000100064007013120
49
0282383000900600100064007013120
50
0292323060900000100064007013120
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0302323060900000100064007013120
52
031258280119000001000641507013120
53
03224729109000001000641507013120
54
0332323060900000100064007013120
55
0342323060900000100064007013120
56
0352323060900000100064007013120
57
03624729109000001000641507013120
58
03724729109000001000641507013120
59
0382383000900600100064007013120
60
039258280119000001000641507013120
61
04025328509006001000641507013120
62
04125328509006001000641507013120
63
04224729109000001000641507013120
64
0432323060900000100064007013120
65
04424729109000001000641507013120
66
04524928911900600100064007013120
67
04625328509006001000641507013120
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04725328509006001000641507013120
69
04824729109000001000641507013120
70
04924729109000001000641507013120
71
05024329511900000100064007013120
72
05124329511900000100064007013120
73
0522383000900600100064007013120
74
0532323060900000100064007013120
75
0542383000900600100064007013120
76
05524928911900600100064007013120
77
0562323060900000100064007013120
78
05724928911900600100064007013120
79
05825328509006001000641507013120
80
0592323060900000100064007013120
81
0602323060900000100064007013120
82
06124329511900000100064007013120
83
06225328509006001000641507013120
84
06324729109000001000641507013120
85
06424329511900000100064007013120
86
0652323060900000100064007013120
87
0662323060900000100064007013120
88
0672323060900000100064007013120
89
0682323060900000100064007013120
90
06924729109000001000641507013120
91
0702383000900600100064007013120
92
0712383000900600100064007013120
93
0722323060900000100064007013120
94
0732323060900000100064007013120
95
07424729109000001000641507013120
96
0752323060900000100064007013120
97
076258280119000001000641507013120
98
0772323060900000100064007013120
99
078264274119006001000641507013120
100
0792383000900600100064007013120
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