Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50276.83
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]\\50261.17
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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1625998
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 150501529060991545505040550706510050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2699989950509948104018555505060451003035050
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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1112742640000611610010415180200120
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1230423409290610101006415180013120
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1331222609290611610006415002013120
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143302080929061161000001518020131210
26
15305233090061161000041518020131210
27
162772610900010100164151802001210
28
072652730000611610000415002001210
29
0822831000006016100000000013120
30
19311227092906101010104150020131210
31
0102163220000611610000000000120
32
0112692690900011610010415002001210
33
012263275090001161000600180200120
34
0132552830000010100000018020131210
35
014248290000061161001000180013120
36
015236302000001161001001500001210
37
016244294000061010010000020131210
38
117318220092906116100060150020131210
39
0182592790000011610016415000131210
40
019259279090001161001600002013120
41
1202852530929061010100040002013120
42
12128325500006116100060018020131210
43
022264274090060161010064000200120
44
12330123711929001161001640180013120
45
1243262120029001161001641518020131210
46
0252682700000611610010001802013120
47
0262363020900610001600002001210
48
027262276092900101010160000013120
49
128318220092900016100104151802013120
50
12929824000290611610000015180200120
51
030259279090061161001640000131210
52
13128125700290011610101000180013120
53
13231522309290610100164151802013120
54
1332902480929001161000040180200120
55
034247291090001010010015180001210
56
1352852530929001010006400020131210
57
0362612770000611610016015000131210
58
13728125700006101001041518020131210
59
1382752630900611610101600002013120
60
1392782600900611610101040180200120
61
14028025800291161010100000002001210
62
141276262002906116100164000200120
63
14230223609290011610006015002013120
64
043257281000061010016415180013120
65
14429724100290011610010415180200120
66
04523929900006116100064000013120
67
146354184092911001610100641518020131210
68
047243295000000161001001518000120
69
148313225092900116101016001802001210
70
1492712670000610100064018020131210
71
15030423409290610100104018020131210
72
1513282100029061161001601518020131210
73
0522692690900611610100040002001210
74
053256282090061161000000180013120
75
05423330500000116100104018000120
76
155302236000061161000641518020131210
77
1562702680029000161001000180013120
78
15730023809290610100004150020131210
79
05824229609006001001000002013120
80
1592892490929061010100640180013120
81
06023530309000116100060000001210
82
1612902480929061010000401802001210
83
16229824000290611610000015180200120
84
163311227002906101000601518020131210
85
0642612770000011610100601500200120
86
0652612770000011610006401800131210
87
0662273110900000100160018000120
88
0672193190000010100104000200120
89
168272266092900116100004000200120
90
16928924900006116100160151802013120
91
170281257092906101000640002013120
92
071262276002906001001640000131210
93
17227026800000101000001518020131210
94
073269269090061160010015180200120
95
1742892490029061161001640002013120
96
075263275000061010006415180200120
97
17627026800011010101016015002013120
98
17729324509006016101016401802001210
99
0782692690900010101006415180013120
100
07925828009006116000640002013120
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