Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50244.06
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]\\50293.94
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.00000010000000100001001000010001001000
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Romney0.500010010036721000201001000208200433010
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Tie0.00400
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 2NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 010000000100001001000010001001000
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 26907001001007010010001001000050100010000100
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0Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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0012323060900000100064007013120
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0224329511900000100064007013120
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0324729109000001000641507013120
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042383000900600100064007013120
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0524329511900000100064007013120
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06258280119000001000641507013120
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0724729109000001000641507013120
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082323060900000100064007013120
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0924729109000001000641507013120
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01024729109000001000641507013120
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01124729109000001000641507013120
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01224729109000001000641507013120
34
013258280119000001000641507013120
35
0142323060900000100064007013120
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015264274119006001000641507013120
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0162323060900000100064007013120
38
0172383000900600100064007013120
39
01824928911900600100064007013120
40
01924329511900000100064007013120
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02024928911900600100064007013120
42
0212383000900600100064007013120
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0222323060900000100064007013120
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0232323060900000100064007013120
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02425328509006001000641507013120
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02525328509006001000641507013120
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026258280119000001000641507013120
48
02724729109000001000641507013120
49
0282323060900000100064007013120
50
0292323060900000100064007013120
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030264274119006001000641507013120
52
03125328509006001000641507013120
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03224329511900000100064007013120
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033258280119000001000641507013120
55
0342323060900000100064007013120
56
03524329511900000100064007013120
57
03624729109000001000641507013120
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0372383000900600100064007013120
59
0382323060900000100064007013120
60
0392323060900000100064007013120
61
04024729109000001000641507013120
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0412323060900000100064007013120
63
04224729109000001000641507013120
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04324729109000001000641507013120
65
04425328509006001000641507013120
66
04524729109000001000641507013120
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04624729109000001000641507013120
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04724329511900000100064007013120
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04824928911900600100064007013120
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04925328509006001000641507013120
71
0502323060900000100064007013120
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0512323060900000100064007013120
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0522323060900000100064007013120
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0532323060900000100064007013120
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054264274119006001000641507013120
76
05524729109000001000641507013120
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05625328509006001000641507013120
78
057258280119000001000641507013120
79
058258280119000001000641507013120
80
05925328509006001000641507013120
81
0602323060900000100064007013120
82
0612383000900600100064007013120
83
06224729109000001000641507013120
84
063258280119000001000641507013120
85
064258280119000001000641507013120
86
0652323060900000100064007013120
87
06624729109000001000641507013120
88
0672323060900000100064007013120
89
068258280119000001000641507013120
90
0692323060900000100064007013120
91
0702323060900000100064007013120
92
0712323060900000100064007013120
93
07224729109000001000641507013120
94
07324729109000001000641507013120
95
07424729109000001000641507013120
96
07524329511900000100064007013120
97
07625328509006001000641507013120
98
077258280119000001000641507013120
99
07824729109000001000641507013120
100
07924329511900000100064007013120
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