Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50286.04
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]\\50251.96
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269123370257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111308230119000016100164018720131210
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12320218119290601610016415070131210
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132782600900000100164150720131210
25
142882500929000161001640070131210
26
152902480929000010016401870131210
27
1629923909291100161001640070131210
28
1729224609000016100164151870131210
29
1830623209290001610016401870131210
30
1930623209290001610016401870131210
31
010258280090000010016415070131210
32
1112762620901160161001640070131210
33
11230323509290001610016415070131210
34
11329024811900001610016400720131210
35
11430323509290001610016415070131210
36
115307231119290001610016415000131210
37
11629524311900001610016415072013120
38
11730922911929000161001641518700120
39
1182702681190000161001640070131210
40
119323215119290601610016401870131210
41
12029324509011001610016415187013120
42
1212712671190060010016015070131210
43
1222752631190000161001640187001210
44
02324329509000001001640070131210
45
12430423411929060010016415070131210
46
1252882500929000161001640070131210
47
026258280090000010016415070131210
48
12730023811929000161001601507013120
49
1282982400929060161001600187013120
50
12929124711900601610016415070131210
51
030261277090060161001600070131210
52
1312742640900001610016415070131210
53
1322742640900001610016415070131210
54
1332742640900001610016415070131210
55
03425228609006016100164007001210
56
1352882500929000161001640070131210
57
1363282101192900016100104150720131210
58
1372882500929000161001640070131210
59
138314224119290001610016415070131210
60
039259279090000161001640070131210
61
040266272090116016100164007013120
62
1412872511192900016100160150700120
63
14234419411929000161010164150720131210
64
043253285090000010101640070131210
65
144316222119290601610016015070131210
66
045261277090000010016401870131210
67
146272266092900001001640070131210
68
1472742640900001610016415070131210
69
048266272119006016100164007013120
70
1492772611192900001001040070131210
71
150277261092900001001641507013120
72
051269269090000161001640072013120
73
1522962420929060010016401870131210
74
153320218119290601610016415070131210
75
15430423411929060010016415070131210
76
055259279119000001001641507013120
77
156325213119290601610016400720131210
78
1572882500929000161001640070131210
79
158301237119011001610016400720131210
80
1592842540900001610016415072013120
81
060265273090060010016015187001210
82
161312226092911001610016400020131210
83
162277261092900001001641507013120
84
063259279090000161001640070131210
85
16429224609000016100164151870131210
86
06524529309000001001641507001210
87
16628725109011000100164151870131210
88
067259279090000161001640070131210
89
1682762620900601610016015070131210
90
069264274090060010016415070131210
91
070254284119000001001640070131210
92
1712872510929000010016415070131210
93
172278260092900016100164007013120
94
17329224609000016100164151870131210
95
074258280090000010016415070131210
96
17529424409000016100164150720131210
97
07624229609000016100160007001210
98
1772772610900001610016401870131210
99
17830323509290001610016415070131210
100
1792982400929000161001640072013120
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