Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50293.42
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]\\50244.58
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.81970010000000100001001000010001001000
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Romney0.500010010036721000201001000208200433010
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Tie0.00400
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 2NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 5785445756791001234766545518276528479
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 26913327022469670442108866243550491824481621
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111318220092900116101006400720131210
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022652731190000161001641500001210
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03257281090000161001601507001210
25
04249289000001161000040187001210
26
15277261092900016100064007013120
27
162792591192900101010100018700120
28
17319219002900116100064151872001210
29
18320218092900016100064151802001210
30
092692690000000100164150720131210
31
0102612770929061010006401870000
32
11130823011029000161001641518720000
33
11227626211000601610000000720131210
34
11329624209000016100064018720131210
35
11431122709290010100060151872013120
36
01524429400006116100100007200120
37
1162802580900011610016400720131210
38
017263275090001010006400720131210
39
1183202181102900101000641518020131210
40
1192882500929001161000640070131210
41
1202832550900600100064150720131210
42
02126727111929061010016400700120
43
12229624211900011610016401872001210
44
123320218092906016101010415072001210
45
124303235119006016100104151870131210
46
1252772610029000010006415070131210
47
1263362021192900116100160151872001210
48
027235303110000001000601500001210
49
128317221002900116100064018720131210
50
1293391990929060161000641518020131210
51
1302702680900011610006015002001210
52
13131322509290011610006415072013120
53
132302236000000161000641518720131210
54
13329024809011601610016001802001210
55
13430023800290601610006015187001210
56
03525927909290010100060000201300
57
13629024800290011610010000720131210
58
13732321511000601610100041518720131210
59
1382982400929060161000640187001210
60
13928924911900001610006400720131210
61
14030423409006016100064151872001210
62
04126827009290011610006415070000
63
142284254092900101000641507200120
64
14328325511001161161001040072013120
65
144302236000000161000641518720131210
66
145320218119290011610006001872001210
67
14628924911900010100104151872001210
68
04723630200000101000641507001210
69
1483292091192900116100000151872001210
70
049268270090060010016401802013010
71
150320218002906116101006401872001210
72
1513342040929000010100641518720131210
73
152313225119000116100064151872013120
74
153279259092900116100164150700010
75
1542802580900011610016400720131210
76
1553372010929000161010064151872001210
77
1562812570900611610016415002001210
78
1572782600000611610006415072001210
79
15830123709290001610016400020131210
80
1592932450929061010010400720131210
81
16029124711000601610006401872001210
82
16131322509290611610006015072013010
83
1622942440929060010016000720131210
84
163317221092900116100004150720131210
85
1643012370929001161000640187200010
86
16530523309290011610016000720131210
87
16631622209290011610006415187200010
88
067264274119000116100160007200120
89
16828725111900011610100640072001210
90
1693242141190116116100160151872001210
91
17027726111900001610100601507001210
92
171295243119011011610000415187001210
93
17228725100290011610100640180001210
94
173307231090000161000601518720131210
95
174270268119290011610006000700010
96
175306232110290011610006000720131210
97
176283255092906101001041507200010
98
077258280090000010006000720131210
99
1783002380929060161000640072001210
100
1792822561190060010006415072013010
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