Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50270.49
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]\\50267.51
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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1625909
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 00000009990455050409090909010050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2699091001001001001001001001105550506010101010050
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111291247000000010101041518720131210
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1227526300000001010164018020131210
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1327526300000001010004018720131210
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1427526300000001010060151802013120
26
1527826000000001010160018720131210
27
162712670000000101006401872013120
28
1728125700000001010064018720131210
29
08255283000000010100641507200120
30
1927126700000001010000018720131210
31
11027726100000001010164151870131210
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11127726100000001010100151872013120
33
11227326500000001010104150720131210
34
11328325500000001010064151872001210
35
11427426400000001010104151802013120
36
11527826000000001010160018720131210
37
116287251000000010101001518720131210
38
11727526300000001010004018720131210
39
11828125700000001001041518720131210
40
11928625200000001010064151872013120
41
12027826000000001010160018720131210
42
12127526300000001010004018720131210
43
12227526300000001010004018720131210
44
1232722660000000010060151872013120
45
1242702680000000100004151872013120
46
12527026800000001010100151802013120
47
12628725100000001010164151872013120
48
027248290000000010101600187013120
49
128285253000000010100601518020131210
50
12928225600000001010060151872013120
51
13027126700000001010000018720131210
52
031251287000000010100601507200120
53
13228125700000001010104151872013120
54
0332652730000000101016401802013120
55
034248290000000010100000187200120
56
135291247000000010101041518720131210
57
0362622760000000101010001872013120
58
037249289000000010101000187200120
59
13828125700000001010064018720131210
60
1392712670000000101006401872013120
61
14027126700000001010000018720131210
62
14127526300000001010160150720131210
63
14227326500000001010104150720131210
64
14327126700000001010000018720131210
65
14428125700000001010064018720131210
66
045251287000000010100640187013120
67
14627726100000001010060018720131210
68
14728225600000001010060151872013120
69
148290248000000010100041518720131210
70
0492672710000000100060018720131210
71
15027925900000001010064151802013120
72
151291247000000010101041518720131210
73
0522682700000000101016001872013120
74
15327626200000001010104018720131210
75
0542652730000000101000401872013120
76
155297241000000010101641518720131210
77
0562622760000000101010001872013120
78
0572632750000000101006400720131210
79
0582552830000000101000401802001210
80
0592672710000000101006001872013120
81
16027526300000001010004018720131210
82
16127126700000001010000018720131210
83
0622682700000000101016001872013120
84
1632722660000000100164018720131210
85
06424029800000001001600072013120
86
16528225600000001010164018720131210
87
16628225600000001010060151872013120
88
067242296000000010101000187013120
89
16827126700000001010000018720131210
90
0692662720000000100000151872013120
91
0702672710000000101006001872013120
92
171280258000000010101001518020131210
93
17227626200000001010000151872013120
94
0732612770000000101010415187013120
95
17427726100000001010060018720131210
96
175293245000000010101601518720131210
97
17628225600000001010164018720131210
98
1772712670000000101006401872013120
99
178284254000000010101041518020131210
100
0792632750000000100004151802013120
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