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Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50283.84
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]\\50254.16
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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16251158
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 55545252906099304555504055100706510050
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269115895455598481040170554550604503035050
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111286252092906101001640072001210
23
02253285090000010006015070131210
24
0325228600290610100060007001210
25
14287251092906101001601507200120
26
152802580000611610000415187200120
27
1629424409000116101016001872013120
28
173411970929001161000641518720131210
29
082662720000611610000000720131210
30
192842540029060010006000720131210
31
110327211092900016100160151872013120
32
1112882500900611610101641507200120
33
1122822560000611610006015187200120
34
013251287000061161010104007013120
35
1142812570029060161000000072001210
36
115317221002906116101016015072013120
37
1162722660000010100104151872013120
38
017260278090116101001041507013120
39
1182882501192900101000000187200120
40
11928725100006016100160150720131210
41
020254284000061010000400720131210
42
1212812570900611610010001872001210
43
0222642740000010100000151872001210
44
1232962420929001010006001872013120
45
1242772610900011610000001872013120
46
125277261092906101000040187001210
47
1262962421192906116100004007200120
48
027255283000001010006015072013120
49
12831622209290611610016001872001210
50
0292692690900010101016415070131210
51
13031222609290611610006401870131210
52
13129424400290011610000015072013120
53
032259279002906101000000070131210
54
13329524309006116100160151870131210
55
13429424409000116100160018720131210
56
135318220092900116101006415187001210
57
1363222160900611610100041518720131210
58
1372832550900601610010001872013120
59
138323215002906101001641518720131210
60
13929024800290610101010000720131210
61
04023929909006001001000070131210
62
14130423400290011610006415072013120
63
142320218092906116101006015187001210
64
14328725100006116100060150720131210
65
1443342040929110116101006415072013120
66
1452812570900011610016001872001210
67
046266272000061010016415072013120
68
147303235002900116101000400720131210
69
04824729109000116100164007001210
70
1493012370929061161000640072001210
71
1503062320929061161001600187200120
72
151309229002900116101016015187013120
73
052257281000061010016000720131210
74
15330823009290011610006400720131210
75
1542722660029001010010001870131210
76
15527826000006116101016015070131210
77
156308230110290611610000015072001210
78
05723330509000101000000070131210
79
158304234090061161010100018720131210
80
1592852530900610100060151872001210
81
0602632750000010100004150720131210
82
061254284000001161000040072013120
83
062268270090061010016015072001210
84
16328225609000116100000151870131210
85
064266272090061010101041507200120
86
065263275090061010006001870131210
87
1662942440929001161001000187200120
88
06726027809006116100064018700120
89
1682892490029061161001600072001210
90
0692642740900011610100001507013120
91
170281257002906100000401872013120
92
17130323500290611610010415187013120
93
072257281090001010000400720131210
94
173278260092906101000640070131210
95
1742812570900011610000401872013120
96
1753002380929061010016015072013120
97
17630423411929061161001000187013120
98
17729923909006116100004151872001210
99
07824729100000116100064007200120
100
1793292091192900116100104150720131210
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