Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50374.62
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]\\50163.38
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.75007575367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00000
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16251625
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 9898989898989898989989898989898989898
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269162522222222291222222222
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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1113791591192911611610100641518720131210
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123791591192911611610100641518720131210
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133801581192911611610101641518720131210
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143791591192911611610100641518720131210
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153791591192911611610100641518720131210
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16367171119291161161010164151872001210
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17362176119291161161010164150720131210
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183791591192911611610100641518720131210
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193791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1103791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1113801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1123791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1133791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1143791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1153791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1163791591192911611610100641518720131210
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117369169119291161160100641518720131210
39
1183801581192911611610101641518720131210
40
11935318511929116101010064151872013120
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1203791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1213791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1223791591192911611610100641518720131210
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123366172119291161161010064151872001210
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1243791591192911611610100641518720131210
46
125369169092911611610101641518720131210
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1263791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1273791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1283801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1293791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1303801581192911611610101641518720131210
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131350188119011611610100641518720131210
53
1323791591192911611610100641518720131210
54
133364174119291161161010064018720131210
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1343791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1353791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1363731651192911011610100641518720131210
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1373791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1383801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1393791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1403791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1413791591192911611610100641518720131210
63
142350188119011611610100641518720131210
64
1433791591192911611610100641518720131210
65
1443791591192911611610100641518720131210
66
145367171119291161161010064151872013010
67
1463791591192911611610100641518720131210
68
1473791591192911611610100641518720131210
69
1483791591192911611610100641518720131210
70
1493791591192911611610100641518720131210
71
150364174119291161161010064018720131210
72
1513791591192911611610100641518720131210
73
1523791591192911611610100641518720131210
74
1533791591192911611610100641518720131210
75
1543791591192911611610100641518720131210
76
1553801581192911611610101641518720131210
77
1563791591192911611610100641518720131210
78
1573801581192911611610101641518720131210
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1583791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1593791591192911611610100641518720131210
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1603791591192911611610100641518720131210
82
1613791591192911611610100641518720131210
83
162363175119291161010100641518720131210
84
163350188119011611610100641518720131210
85
1643721661192911611610100641518020131210
86
1653751631192911611610100601518720131210
87
1663801581192911611610101641518720131210
88
1673791591192911611610100641518720131210
89
1683791591192911611610100641518720131210
90
1693791591192911611610100641518720131210
91
170368170092911611610100641518720131210
92
1713791591192911611610100641518720131210
93
1723791591192911611610100641518720131210
94
1733791591192911611610100641518720131210
95
1743791591192911611610100641518720131210
96
1753791591192911611610100641518720131210
97
1763761621192911611610101601518720131210
98
1773791591192911611610100641518720131210
99
178368170119290611610100641518720131210
100
179361177119291161161010064150720131210
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