Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
Comments
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

 
$
%
123
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
1
2
Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
3
Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
4
5
Projected BN50297.75
6
]\\50240.25
7
Modeled in this simulation40
8
40538.00
9
Probability of Each Party Winning
10
BN0.89230010000000100001001000010001001000
11
Romney0.500010010036721000201001000208200433010
12
Tie0.00400
13
14
16251474
15
ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
16
Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 408867089095100001001002001001001001000
17
18
Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
19
Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
20
Total Simulations with Obama over 2691450701233100701005010010000501000000100
21
1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
22
1112852531190060161000640072013120
23
12329209119290601610006415072013120
24
13274264090060161000640072013120
25
1431822009290601610006415072013120
26
152972410929000161000640072013120
27
1631222609290001610006415072013120
28
172972410929000161000640072013120
29
1831422411929060161000640072013120
30
192972410929000161000640072013120
31
11031222609290001610006415072013120
32
11131822009290601610006415072013120
33
112323215119290001610006415072013120
34
1132832550900001610006415072013120
35
114323215119290001610006415072013120
36
11531422411929060161000640072013120
37
116274264090060161000640072013120
38
1173022360929060010006415072013120
39
11829923911029000161000640072013120
40
11930823011929000161000640072013120
41
12031222609290001610006415072013120
42
021268270090000161000640072013120
43
12230323500290001610006415072013120
44
1232832550900001610006415072013120
45
12430323500290001610006415072013120
46
125329209119290601610006415072013120
47
1262832550900001610006415072013120
48
1273032350929060161000640072013120
49
028268270090000161000640072013120
50
12931222609290001610006415072013120
51
13030823011929000161000640072013120
52
1312792591190000161000640072013120
53
1323032350929060161000640072013120
54
13330922900290601610006415072013120
55
13431222609290001610006415072013120
56
1352832550900001610006415072013120
57
036268270090000161000640072013120
58
1372832550900001610006415072013120
59
1382852531190060161000640072013120
60
13930823011929000161000640072013120
61
14031222609290001610006415072013120
62
14131222609290001610006415072013120
63
14231222609290001610006415072013120
64
1432972410929000161000640072013120
65
1442972410929000161000640072013120
66
1452972410929000161000640072013120
67
14630922900290601610006415072013120
68
14731822009290601610006415072013120
69
14830922900290601610006415072013120
70
14931222609290001610006415072013120
71
1502972410929000161000640072013120
72
1512972410929000161000640072013120
73
152314224110290001610006415072013120
74
1532972410929000161000640072013120
75
15431222609290001610006415072013120
76
1552832550900001610006415072013120
77
15631822009290601610006415072013120
78
15731822009290601610006415072013120
79
15831222609290001610006415072013120
80
1592972410929000161000640072013120
81
160323215119290001610006415072013120
82
06125228609000001000640072013120
83
1623032350929060161000640072013120
84
163323215119290001610006415072013120
85
1642882500029000161000640072013120
86
16529424411900001610006415072013120
87
16629424411900001610006415072013120
88
167323215119290001610006415072013120
89
16829424411900001610006415072013120
90
069268270090000161000640072013120
91
1702892490900601610006415072013120
92
17130023811900601610006415072013120
93
17231422411929060161000640072013120
94
17331222609290001610006415072013120
95
17430823011929000161000640072013120
96
17531422411929060161000640072013120
97
17630823011929000161000640072013120
98
177323215119290001610006415072013120
99
078268270090000161000640072013120
100
17931222609290001610006415072013120
Loading...
 
 
 
Sheet1
Sheet2