Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50286.44
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]\\50251.56
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269123670257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111326212092900016100164018720131210
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0224629211900000100164150700120
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03261277090000161001641507001210
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1428625211900601610101640070131210
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152882500929000161001640070131210
27
16301237090110016100160150720131210
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172872510929000010016415070131210
29
08251287090000010016415000131210
30
192942440929060161001640070131210
31
01024928909000016100164007013120
32
011265273090060161001640070131210
33
01225028800290000100164007001210
34
11329824011929000010016415070131210
35
11429824009290001610101640070131210
36
11529424409000016100164150720131210
37
1162702680900001610016015070131210
38
11729724109000016100164018720131210
39
11830922909290601610016415070131210
40
11928924900000016100160151872013120
41
1203401980929116016100164150720131210
42
12130922909290601610016415070131210
43
12230323509290001610016415070131210
44
123320218119290601610016415070131210
45
124278260092900016100164007013120
46
12530523309290000100164151870131210
47
1262882500929000161001640070131210
48
1272952430929060161001601507013120
49
12829524309291100161001600070131210
50
029259279090000161001640070131210
51
1302852531192906001001600070131210
52
1312882500929000161001640070131210
53
032260278119006001001640070131210
54
13330023809006016100164150720131210
55
034258280090000010016415070131210
56
135308230119290000101016415070131210
57
036265273090060161001640070131210
58
137314224119290001610016415070131210
59
13829824009006016100164151870131210
60
039258280090000010016415070131210
61
1403242141192900016101016415070131210
62
1412882500929000161001640070131210
63
14227826011000000100164151870131210
64
14330423409290601610101640070131210
65
144318220002906016100164151870131210
66
045259279090000161001640070131210
67
0462662721100000161001641507013120
68
1472742640900001610016415070131210
69
148278260092900016100164007013120
70
14928125709011001610016015070131210
71
15029923909290001610016015070131210
72
15130123711929000161001641507001210
73
152270268090060161001640187001210
74
15328625211900001610016000720131210
75
1542742640900001610016415070131210
76
055264274090000161001641507013120
77
156319219119290601610016001870131210
78
057264274090000161001640187001210
79
058253285090000161001040070131210
80
059259279090000161001640070131210
81
1602842540900001610016415072013120
82
1612772610900001610016401870131210
83
06224529309006001001600070131210
84
16330323509290001610016415070131210
85
16429224611900000100164018720131210
86
1652742640900001610016415070131210
87
1662762620900601610016015070131210
88
067265273090060161001640070131210
89
06823530300000001001601507013120
90
1692882500929000161010164007013120
91
17034918911929116016100164151870131210
92
1712722661190060161001600070131210
93
17229824011929000010016415070131210
94
1732832551192900001001640070131210
95
1742742641190000010016400720131210
96
07525528309006016100164007013120
97
176318220092906016100160150020131210
98
1772742640900001610016415070131210
99
17829923909291100161001640070131210
100
17929224609000016100164151870131210
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