Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50295.90
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]\\50242.10
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 368152370178089816428550399484859779
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 2691390701948977083201192845815506161615321
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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1112772610900000100064150720131210
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0224229609006001000040070131210
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13296242119011001610000415072001210
25
04258280090060010000000720131210
26
152902480929001161000040072013010
27
062622760000000100004150720131210
28
1730823011929000161000640072013120
29
08260278090000161000040072013010
30
19301237119000016100004018720131210
31
01024928909000016100004007200120
32
111294244110000016100060018720131210
33
112330208092900016000641518720131210
34
1133421961192900016001641518720131210
35
11427826000000016100004150720131210
36
1153322060029061161000041518720131210
37
11630823009290001600064018020131210
38
1172732650900011610000400720131210
39
118317221092900016100104150720131210
40
119322216092900016100064150720131210
41
1202812570900611610000415072001210
42
1212882500929000161001640070131210
43
1222922460929000010006001872001210
44
123315223092900016100000018720131210
45
1243032351190001161010000151870131210
46
1252872510929000010006000720131210
47
12629024809000016101000401872013120
48
12730723109290001600104150720131210
49
1283401981192906016100164150720131210
50
129301237119000016100004018720131210
51
130317221092900116100004150720131210
52
131291247110006016100000150720131210
53
1323302080929000161000001518720131210
54
03324229609006001000040070131210
55
1342862520929000010010400720131210
56
135318220119290001610006400720131210
57
13629224600290001610000400720131210
58
137319219119290011610006400720131210
59
1382782600900601610000400720131210
60
13928625200000016100004151872013120
61
140328210119290601610006001872013120
62
141270268090060010006415072001210
63
042260278090000160100040072013010
64
143305233090000161000041518720131210
65
144307231119000016100064018720131210
66
14528125711900001600004150020131210
67
146274264090060161001040187200120
68
04725128709000016100104007201300
69
14831622209290611610006415072001210
70
1493362021192906016100004018720131210
71
05026427409006016000640072013120
72
1513252130929000161010000018720131210
73
1522762621100060160006400720131210
74
15327626211900001610000400020131210
75
1542792590900001610016400720131210
76
1553342041192906016100104150720131210
77
0562682700029000161000000070131210
78
157317221092900116100004150720131210
79
1583222161102900101001041518720131210
80
1592792591190061161001040187013120
81
160270268090000000064018720131210
82
16130723109290001610006400720131210
83
162318220092906016100000150720131210
84
1633401980929000161000641518720131210
85
1642932450929000160000415072001210
86
16529124709000016100104018720131210
87
16628725111900001610000001872013120
88
1672712670900000100004150720131210
89
1683212171102900016100004018720131210
90
169313225002906016101000401872001210
91
1702802580029001161000040072001210
92
1712952430029060161001640072013120
93
17231622209290001600164018720131210
94
07325228609290000010004007001210
95
17430623209290001610000401872001210
96
1752772611190000160000001872013120
97
176322216092906016100004150720131210
98
177317221092900016100104150720131210
99
0782652730000001610000415072001210
100
1793132250901100161001001518720131210
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