Presidential Monte Carlo Simulation
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
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Average Electoral Votes Based on the margins you enteredLead00.250.50.7511.5233.544.522.553.544.5
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Probability of winning0.50.540.550.610.630.680.70.750.850.920.960.70.730.750.850.920.96
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Projected BN50286.18
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]\\50251.82
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Modeled in this simulation40
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40538.00
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Probability of Each Party Winning
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BN0.5000502564280831009810000908018100100966710090
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Romney0.50005075367210002010010010208200433010
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Tie0.00400.4
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16251474
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ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Enter your projected probability that BN will win the state. Enter in whole numbers.  For example, if you think Obama has a 65% of winning a state, enter 65. 63984371000721007999885312499249110080
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Electoral Votes1192911611610101641518720131210
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Total Simulations1625ArizonaColoradoFloridaIndianaIowaMaine  - 2MichiganMinnesotaMissouriNebraska - 1NevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioOregonPennsylvaniaVirginiaWashingtonWisconsin
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Total Simulations with Obama over 269120270257937010028093121550761769020
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1Sim #Total Obama VotesTotal Romney Votes
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111318220092900016101016400720131210
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122702681190000161001640070131210
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13272266092900001001640070131210
25
14327211092906016100164151870131210
26
1531322509290001610016415072013120
27
162882500929000161001640070131210
28
17305233119000016100164150720131210
29
08259279090000161001640070131210
30
192702681190000161001640070131210
31
1102942440929060161001640070131210
32
11127726111901100161001600070131210
33
1122842540929000161001600070131210
34
11330823009290001610016400720131210
35
014261277090000161001641507001210
36
1152842540900001610016415072013120
37
1162702681190000161001640070131210
38
1172742640900601610010415070131210
39
1182772610900001610016401870131210
40
019259279090000161001640070131210
41
120272266092900001001640070131210
42
021261277090000010016401870131210
43
02225428409006001001641507013120
44
1232712670900000101016401870131210
45
1242842540900001610016415072013120
46
12530423411929060010016415070131210
47
026261277090000010016401870131210
48
1272782601190060010016401870131210
49
1282952430929000161001640072001210
50
12930323509290001610016415070131210
51
03026227609290000100164007013120
52
1312712670900001610010401870131210
53
032259279090000161001640070131210
54
13330023809006016100164150720131210
55
1342802580900601610016415070131210
56
1352752630901100161001641507013120
57
0362422960900601610016400700120
58
137318220119290000100164150720131210
59
13829424409000016100164150720131210
60
039254284090110001001640070131210
61
140308230090000161001601518720131210
62
14130623209290001610016401870131210
63
042253285090000010101640070131210
64
14329224609000016100164151870131210
65
044264274090000161001641507013120
66
14528725111900000100164151870131210
67
1462742640900001610016415070131210
68
04724329509000001001640070131210
69
14831722109290601610016415187013120
70
149299239119000016101010415072013120
71
0502333050900000100164007013120
72
1512942440929060010016000720131210
73
0522692690901100010016415070131210
74
1533411970929000161001641518720131210
75
054266272090000010016415187013120
76
15528924909000016101016400720131210
77
15629424409006016100104150720131210
78
15728525311900001610016415070131210
79
15830623209290001610016401870131210
80
059265273090060161001640070131210
81
160323215119290001610016001872013120
82
161309229119006016100164151870131210
83
162321217092900016100164151870131210
84
1632742640900001610016415070131210
85
1642882500929000010016000720131210
86
065259279090000161001640070131210
87
16630323509290001610016415070131210
88
1672862520929110016100164007001210
89
16830323511929060161001601507001210
90
1692872510929000010016415070131210
91
17029224611929000161001640000131210
92
171323215092911601610016401870131210
93
1723421961192900016100164151872013120
94
17330823009290601610016001870131210
95
17430523309290601610016015070131210
96
075259279090060161001040070131210
97
17629524311900600100164150720131210
98
177317221119290001610016401870131210
99
1783362020929000161010164018720131210
100
079264274090000161001641507013120
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