| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2016 National Popular Vote Tracker | ||||||||||||
2 | Compiled from official sources by: David Wasserman @Redistrict, Cook Political Report @CookPolitical | ||||||||||||
3 | *Denotes Official/Certified Results; "Swing State" defined as state that flipped from '12 or was decided by less than 5%. | ||||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||||
5 | State | Clinton (D) | Trump (R) | Others | Clinton % | Trump % | Others % | Dem '12 Margin | Dem '16 Margin | Margin Shift | Total '12 Votes | Total '16 Votes | Raw Votes vs. '12 |
6 | |||||||||||||
7 | U.S. Total | 65,853,516 | 62,984,824 | 7,801,446 | 48.2% | 46.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | -1.8% | 129,075,630 | 136,639,786 | 5.9% |
8 | 13 Swing States | 21,433,214 | 22,249,342 | 2,348,069 | 46.6% | 48.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | -1.8% | -5.4% | 43,939,918 | 46,030,625 | 4.8% |
9 | Non-Swing States | 44,420,302 | 40,735,482 | 5,453,377 | 49.0% | 45.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 0.1% | 85,135,712 | 90,609,161 | 6.4% |
10 | |||||||||||||
11 | 13 Swing States | ||||||||||||
12 | Arizona* | 1,161,167 | 1,252,401 | 159,597 | 45.1% | 48.7% | 6.2% | -9.1% | -3.5% | 5.5% | 2,299,254 | 2,573,165 | 11.9% |
13 | Colorado* | 1,338,870 | 1,202,484 | 238,866 | 48.2% | 43.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | -0.5% | 2,569,521 | 2,780,220 | 8.2% |
14 | Florida* | 4,504,975 | 4,617,886 | 297,178 | 47.8% | 49.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | -1.2% | -2.1% | 8,474,179 | 9,420,039 | 11.2% |
15 | Iowa* | 653,669 | 800,983 | 111,379 | 41.7% | 51.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | -9.4% | -15.2% | 1,582,180 | 1,566,031 | -1.0% |
16 | Maine* | 357,735 | 335,593 | 54,599 | 47.8% | 44.9% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | -12.3% | 713,180 | 747,927 | 4.9% |
17 | Michigan* | 2,268,839 | 2,279,543 | 250,902 | 47.3% | 47.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4,730,961 | 4,799,284 | 1.4% |
18 | Minnesota* | 1,367,716 | 1,322,951 | 254,146 | 46.4% | 44.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 1.5% | -6.2% | 2,936,561 | 2,944,813 | 0.3% |
19 | Nevada* | 539,260 | 512,058 | 74,067 | 47.9% | 45.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | -4.3% | 1,014,918 | 1,125,385 | 10.9% |
20 | New Hampshire* | 348,526 | 345,790 | 49,842 | 46.8% | 46.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 0.4% | -5.2% | 710,972 | 744,158 | 4.7% |
21 | North Carolina* | 2,189,316 | 2,362,631 | 189,617 | 46.2% | 49.8% | 4.0% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -1.6% | 4,505,372 | 4,741,564 | 5.2% |
22 | Ohio* | 2,394,164 | 2,841,005 | 261,318 | 43.6% | 51.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | -8.1% | -11.1% | 5,580,840 | 5,496,487 | -1.5% |
23 | Pennsylvania* | 2,926,441 | 2,970,733 | 218,228 | 47.9% | 48.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | -0.7% | -6.1% | 5,753,546 | 6,115,402 | 6.3% |
24 | Wisconsin* | 1,382,536 | 1,405,284 | 188,330 | 46.5% | 47.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | -0.8% | -7.7% | 3,068,434 | 2,976,150 | -3.0% |
25 | |||||||||||||
26 | Non-Swing States | ||||||||||||
27 | Alabama* | 729,547 | 1,318,255 | 75,570 | 34.4% | 62.1% | 3.6% | -22.2% | -27.7% | -5.5% | 2,074,338 | 2,123,372 | 2.4% |
28 | Alaska* | 116,454 | 163,387 | 38,767 | 36.6% | 51.3% | 12.2% | -14.0% | -14.7% | -0.7% | 300,495 | 318,608 | 6.0% |
29 | Arkansas* | 380,494 | 684,872 | 65,269 | 33.7% | 60.6% | 5.8% | -23.7% | -26.9% | -3.2% | 1,069,468 | 1,130,635 | 5.7% |
30 | California* | 8,753,788 | 4,483,810 | 943,997 | 61.7% | 31.6% | 6.7% | 23.1% | 30.1% | 7.0% | 13,038,547 | 14,181,595 | 8.8% |
31 | Connecticut* | 897,572 | 673,215 | 74,133 | 54.6% | 40.9% | 4.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | -3.7% | 1,558,114 | 1,644,920 | 5.6% |
32 | Delaware* | 235,603 | 185,127 | 20,860 | 53.4% | 41.9% | 4.7% | 18.6% | 11.4% | -7.2% | 413,890 | 441,590 | 6.7% |
33 | District of Columbia* | 282,830 | 12,723 | 15,715 | 90.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 83.6% | 86.8% | 3.1% | 293,764 | 311,268 | 6.0% |
34 | Georgia* | 1,877,963 | 2,089,104 | 125,306 | 45.9% | 51.0% | 3.1% | -7.8% | -5.2% | 2.7% | 3,900,050 | 4,092,373 | 4.9% |
35 | Hawaii* | 266,891 | 128,847 | 33,199 | 62.2% | 30.0% | 7.7% | 42.7% | 32.2% | -10.5% | 434,697 | 428,937 | -1.3% |
36 | Idaho* | 189,765 | 409,055 | 91,435 | 27.5% | 59.3% | 13.2% | -31.9% | -31.8% | 0.1% | 652,274 | 690,255 | 5.8% |
37 | Illinois* | 3,090,729 | 2,146,015 | 299,680 | 55.8% | 38.8% | 5.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 0.2% | 5,242,014 | 5,536,424 | 5.6% |
38 | Indiana* | 1,033,126 | 1,557,286 | 144,546 | 37.8% | 56.9% | 5.3% | -10.2% | -19.2% | -9.0% | 2,624,534 | 2,734,958 | 4.2% |
39 | Kansas* | 427,005 | 671,018 | 86,379 | 36.1% | 56.7% | 7.3% | -21.7% | -20.6% | 1.1% | 1,159,971 | 1,184,402 | 2.1% |
40 | Kentucky* | 628,854 | 1,202,971 | 92,324 | 32.7% | 62.5% | 4.8% | -22.7% | -29.8% | -7.1% | 1,797,212 | 1,924,149 | 7.1% |
41 | Louisiana* | 780,154 | 1,178,638 | 70,240 | 38.4% | 58.1% | 3.5% | -17.2% | -19.6% | -2.4% | 1,994,065 | 2,029,032 | 1.8% |
42 | Maryland* | 1,677,928 | 943,169 | 160,349 | 60.3% | 33.9% | 5.8% | 26.1% | 26.4% | 0.3% | 2,707,327 | 2,781,446 | 2.7% |
43 | Massachusetts* | 1,995,196 | 1,090,893 | 238,957 | 60.0% | 32.8% | 7.2% | 23.1% | 27.2% | 4.1% | 3,167,767 | 3,325,046 | 5.0% |
44 | Mississippi* | 485,131 | 700,714 | 23,512 | 40.1% | 57.9% | 1.9% | -11.5% | -17.8% | -6.3% | 1,285,584 | 1,209,357 | -5.9% |
45 | Missouri* | 1,071,068 | 1,594,511 | 143,026 | 38.1% | 56.8% | 5.1% | -9.4% | -18.6% | -9.3% | 2,757,323 | 2,808,605 | 1.9% |
46 | Montana* | 177,709 | 279,240 | 40,198 | 35.7% | 56.2% | 8.1% | -13.7% | -20.4% | -6.8% | 484,048 | 497,147 | 2.7% |
47 | Nebraska* | 284,494 | 495,961 | 63,772 | 33.7% | 58.7% | 7.6% | -21.8% | -25.0% | -3.3% | 794,379 | 844,227 | 6.3% |
48 | New Jersey* | 2,148,278 | 1,601,933 | 123,835 | 55.5% | 41.4% | 3.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | -3.7% | 3,640,292 | 3,874,046 | 6.4% |
49 | New Mexico* | 385,234 | 319,666 | 93,418 | 48.3% | 40.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | -1.9% | 783,758 | 798,318 | 1.9% |
50 | New York* | 4,556,124 | 2,819,534 | 345,795 | 59.0% | 36.5% | 4.5% | 28.2% | 22.5% | -5.7% | 7,072,083 | 7,721,453 | 9.2% |
51 | North Dakota* | 93,758 | 216,794 | 33,808 | 27.2% | 63.0% | 9.8% | -19.6% | -35.7% | -16.1% | 322,932 | 344,360 | 6.6% |
52 | Oklahoma* | 420,375 | 949,136 | 83,481 | 28.9% | 65.3% | 5.7% | -33.5% | -36.4% | -2.8% | 1,334,872 | 1,452,992 | 8.8% |
53 | Oregon* | 1,002,106 | 782,403 | 216,827 | 50.1% | 39.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | -1.1% | 1,789,270 | 2,001,336 | 11.9% |
54 | Rhode Island* | 252,525 | 180,543 | 31,076 | 54.4% | 38.9% | 6.7% | 27.5% | 15.5% | -11.9% | 446,049 | 464,144 | 4.1% |
55 | South Carolina* | 855,373 | 1,155,389 | 92,265 | 40.7% | 54.9% | 4.4% | -10.5% | -14.3% | -3.8% | 1,964,118 | 2,103,027 | 7.1% |
56 | South Dakota* | 117,458 | 227,721 | 24,914 | 31.7% | 61.5% | 6.7% | -18.0% | -29.8% | -11.8% | 363,815 | 370,093 | 1.7% |
57 | Tennessee* | 870,695 | 1,522,925 | 114,407 | 34.7% | 60.7% | 4.6% | -20.4% | -26.0% | -5.6% | 2,458,577 | 2,508,027 | 2.0% |
58 | Texas* | 3,877,868 | 4,685,047 | 406,311 | 43.2% | 52.2% | 4.5% | -15.8% | -9.0% | 6.8% | 7,993,851 | 8,969,226 | 12.2% |
59 | Utah* | 310,676 | 515,231 | 305,523 | 27.5% | 45.5% | 27.0% | -48.0% | -18.1% | 30.0% | 1,017,440 | 1,131,430 | 11.2% |
60 | Vermont* | 178,573 | 95,369 | 41,125 | 56.7% | 30.3% | 13.1% | 35.6% | 26.4% | -9.2% | 299,290 | 315,067 | 5.3% |
61 | Virginia* | 1,981,473 | 1,769,443 | 231,836 | 49.8% | 44.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 3,854,489 | 3,982,752 | 3.3% |
62 | Washington* | 1,742,718 | 1,221,747 | 401,179 | 51.8% | 36.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 0.6% | 3,125,516 | 3,365,644 | 7.7% |
63 | West Virginia* | 188,794 | 489,371 | 34,886 | 26.5% | 68.6% | 4.9% | -26.8% | -42.2% | -15.4% | 670,438 | 713,051 | 6.4% |
64 | Wyoming* | 55,973 | 174,419 | 25,457 | 21.9% | 68.2% | 10.0% | -40.8% | -46.3% | -5.5% | 249,061 | 255,849 | 2.7% |