Texas economic impact log
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“There is no evidence whatsoever that the passage of Senate Bill 6 would have any economic impact in Texas.” -- Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick
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OrganizationEvent or investmentEconomic impactStatusIndustryDate(s)CityDetailsStatement / quoteSourceDateNotesAdditional sources
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Running total*
not currently weighted by probability
$406,300,000
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Estimated impact on GDP$727,277,000
Calculated using data from
https://www.perrymangroup.com/2016/12/19/the-impact-of-texas-travel-and-tourism/
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Estimated impact on state tax revenue$39,492,360
Calculated using data from
https://www.perrymangroup.com/2016/12/19/the-impact-of-texas-travel-and-tourism/
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NFLSuper Bowlmissed future opportunitiesveiledTourismN/AMajor metros
$350 million impact per Super Bowl
"If a proposal that is discriminatory or inconsistent with our values were to become law (in Texas), that would certainly be a factor considered when thinking about awarding future events," NFL spokesman Brian McCarthy said in an email response to a Chronicle question about the bill.
http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/article/Bathroom-bill-could-doom-future-Super-Bowls-10921835.php
2/10/17
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Professional Convention Managers Associationconventions (various)possibleTourismongoingstatewide
“If discriminatory legislation passes in Texas, we will not bring our meetings to Texas.”
chair Bill Reed
http://www.fox26houston.com/news/local-news/228596879-story
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NBAAll-Star Gamemissed future opportunitiesveiledTourismN/A/Major metros
$100 million impact per All-Star Game
"jurisdictions that are considering legislation similar to HB2 are on notice that that is an important factor for us… in deciding where we take a special event like an All-Star Game"
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/18716469/nba-commissioner-adam-silver-puts-texas-notice-bathroom-bill-concern-travel-ban
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American Immigration Lawyers Associationannual conferenceveiledtourism2018Grapevine
3,000 attendees for 3 days
"Many (attendees) have voiced deep concerns about attending our event if it is held in a state that is not welcoming...like all associations, AILA makes decisions on where to hold their major conventions and meetings every day, and laws like SB6...could prohibit us from holding any of our meetings and programs in Texas."
3/2/17
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Association of Workplace Investigatorsannual conferencemissed future opportunitiespossibletourismany event beyond Sept 2017statewide800 members
"AWI will honor the two contracts it has for events in Texas in 2017, but that if the "bathroom bill" passes AWI will seriously consider whether future events should be held in Texas."
http://www.awi.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=584:awi-to-sign-texas-competes-pledge--write-to-texas-governor&catid=23:announcements&Itemid=180
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San Antonio - 9 different bookingsconventions (various)$39,000,000definitetourismvarious San Antonio
"DEFINITE if SB6 passes"

So far, two groups have passed over San Antonio as a host city for their conventions
Should all 11 conventions take their business elsewhere, the city could lose almost $40 million in total economic fallout
American Library Association, 2022: "would have no choice but to move," $5m / 5,500 attendees / 5 days (ALA cancelled in NC)
NAACP, 2018: "NAACP “would definitely take action of some nature if the bill passes the Legislature," $10m, 10,000 visitors
American Council on the Teaching of Foreign Languages: regularly hosts in San Antonio, 8,000 attendees, "SB6 seriously jeopardizes ACTFL's and its members' ability to return to your state for business."
Public Responsiblity in Medicine and Research, 2017: "would negatively impact the attendance at and tenor of our 2017 Advancing Ethical Research Conference...if the bill passes, we will have no choice but to cancel the meeting in San Antonio," $2.1m, 2,500 visitors. "We have already dropped Texas from consideration as a host of our 2020 conference based on this bill's introduction.
NASPA: "would have no choice but to reconsider the location for our annual conference scheduled in Austin, Texas in 2022..." "we would not consider Texas as a site for future meetings..." 6,800 visitors
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:blOOHyrlS_IJ:www.expressnews.com/business/local/article/Conventions-speak-out-against-Texas-bathroom-10987271.php+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
Likely includes NAACP convention (2018, 10K visitors, $10m)
http://www.expressnews.com/business/local/article/Texas-bathroom-bill-already-costing-San-Antonio-10973360.php
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Austin - 23 different bookingsconventions (various)$110,000,000definitetourism2017-2020Austin
Tom Noonan, president of the Austin Convention and Visitors Bureau, said 22 organizations have warned that they would not hold conventions or meetings in Austin if SB 6 passes, potentially depriving the city of more than $110 million in direct economic impact.

Just Monday, another group told Austin it would no longer consider the city for a 2020 event because of SB 6, Noonan said.
http://www.mystatesman.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/polarizing-transgender-bathroom-bill-has-first-public-hearing-tuesday/mt9frK8vEt4w05oFX9JYnN/
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Houston - 14 different bookingsconventions (various)$100,000,000possibletourismHouston
noted in SB6 committee eharing
3/7/17
100,000 room nights
Includes American College Personnel Association (2018, $5.1m, 3100 visitors)
http://blog.chron.com/kuffsworld/2017/01/its-all-bathrooms-all-the-time/
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Dallas - 4 different bookingsconventions (various)$157,300,000possibletourism
through 2026
Dallas
82,000 visitors
95,000 hotel nights
Four of those groups have already expressed – in writing – their intent to cancel events through 2026 if this legislation is passed. These conventions alone:
a. represent 82 thousand visitors,
b. more than 95 thousand hotel room nights; and
c. more than $157.3 million in economic impact.

That’s just four groups. If SB 6 passes, there will be many more.

Additionally, this bill does not address a current problem in Dallas. I spoke with Dave Brown, COO of the American Airlines Center, and he reports no gender-based bathroom complaints in 16 years of operation. That covers 32 million guests at 3,000 events. Transgender people have been using the bathroom of their choice for years, with zero complaints.
noted in SB6 committee eharing
3/7/17
Includes:
American Society of Association Executives (2021 - $20m)
Specialty Graphic Imaging Association (2018 - $30m)
http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/article/Bathroom-bill-could-doom-future-Super-Bowls-10921835.php http://www.dallasnews.com/news/texas-legislature/2017/02/02/dan-patricks-bathroom-bill-trouble-none-teeth
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Hashicorp conferenceconventiondirecttourismafter 2017Texas
"HashiConf will take place September 18-20 in Austin, TX. Our conference venue, the JW Marriott Austin, supports gender-neutral bathrooms. This bill is not yet law, but rest assured that should it become law, we will not host future conferences in Texas. We apologize to the members of our community who are affected by this legislation, and we stand in support of equality and individual freedoms."
https://www.hashicorp.com/blog/hashiconf-2017-and-texas-sb6-bathroom-bill/
3/20/17
conference scheduled for Austin 2017; will take place in Austin
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DockerCon North America 2017conventiondirecttourismafter 2017Texas
"CNCF officially signed @TXCompetes; this will be our last event in TX if the bill passes"
https://twitter.com/cra/status/842452404553584642
3/16/17
conference scheduled for Austin 2017; will take place in Austin
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