ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAA
1
Unmodified Probabilities. This is here to check I can reproduce the Social Security Administration's calculated life expectancy. Modified Probabilities. Starting in the 30th year of life, the probability of dying each year is 7% lower than the unmodified case (corresponding to the benefit of dropping 3 servings of red meat).
2
Probability you die this year given you made it this farProbability you survive past this year given you made it this farProbability, as of your birth, that you survive past this year.Probability, as of your birth, that you die in exactly this year.This column is an intermediate step to the very bottom, which has life expectancy.Probability you die this year given you made it this farProbability you survive past this year given you made it this farProbability, as of your birth, that you survive past this year.Probability, as of your birth, that you die in exactly this year.This column is an intermediate step to the very bottom, which has life expectancy.
3
AgeP(Death this year | Lived to this year)P(Survive past year | Lived to this year)P(Survive from birth past this year)P(Death this year)Contribution to life expectancyP(Death this year | Lived to this year)P(Survive past year | Lived to this year)P(Survive from birth past this year)P(Death this year)Contribution to life expectancy
4
00.006360.993640.9940.0063640.003180.006360.993640.9936360.0063640.003182
5
10.000430.999570.9930.0004290.000640.000430.999570.99320674920.0004292507520.000643876128
6
20.000280.999720.9930.0002820.000710.000280.999720.99292467850.00028207071680.000705176792
7
30.000230.999770.9930.0002320.000810.000230.999770.99269233420.00023234437480.0008132053117
8
40.000170.999830.9930.0001690.000760.000170.999830.99252357650.00016875769680.0007594096356
9
50.000160.999840.9920.0001560.000860.000160.999840.99236775030.00015582620150.0008570441083
10
60.000150.999850.9920.0001460.000950.000150.999850.99222187220.00014587805930.0009482073854
11
70.000140.999860.9920.0001350.001010.000140.999860.992086930.00013494217460.00101206631
12
80.000120.999880.9920.0001190.001010.000120.999880.99196787960.00011905043160.001011928669
13
90.000100.999900.9920.0001000.000950.000100.999900.99186769080.00010018875580.0009517931805
14
100.000090.999910.9920.0000870.000920.000090.999910.99178040650.000087284356790.0009164857463
15
110.000090.999910.9920.0000920.001060.000090.999910.99168817090.00009223557780.001060709145
16
120.000130.999870.9920.0001290.001610.000130.999870.99155925140.00012891946220.001611493278
17
130.000210.999790.9910.0002070.002800.000210.999790.99135201560.00020723588360.002797684428
18
140.000320.999680.9910.0003170.004600.000320.999680.99103478290.0003172326450.004599873352
19
150.000440.999560.9910.0004370.006770.000440.999560.99059773660.00043704633930.006774218259
20
160.000560.999440.9900.0005590.009220.000560.999440.99003903940.00055869712340.009218502537
21
170.000700.999300.9890.0006940.012150.000700.999300.98934502210.00069401736670.01214530392
22
180.000850.999150.9890.0008420.015580.000850.999150.98850308950.00084193261380.01557575336
23
190.001010.998990.9880.0009950.019410.001010.998990.98750766690.00099542261110.01941074092
24
200.001170.998830.9860.0011580.023750.001170.998830.98634932040.0011583464930.02374610311
25
210.001330.998670.9850.0013130.028230.001330.998670.98503648940.0013128309450.02822586533
26
220.001460.998550.9840.0014330.032250.001460.998550.98360326130.0014332280920.03224763207
27
230.001530.998470.9820.0015060.035390.001530.998470.98209736470.0015058965930.03538856994
28
240.001570.998430.9810.0015440.037820.001570.998430.98055350770.0015438570570.03782449791
29
250.001600.998400.9790.0015710.040060.001600.998400.9789826610.0015708467190.04005659134
30
260.001640.998370.9770.0016010.042420.001640.998370.97738202430.0016006366510.04241687124
31
270.001670.998330.9760.0016310.044860.001670.998330.97575077370.0016312505990.04485939146
32
280.001710.998290.9740.0016670.047500.001710.998290.97408419140.0016665823210.04749759616
33
290.001750.998250.9720.0017070.050340.001750.998250.97237759590.0017065955030.05034456735
34
300.001790.998210.9710.0017440.053210.001668420.998331580.97075526170.0016223342290.04948119397
35
310.001840.998170.9690.0017810.056110.001706550.998293450.96909861930.0016566423920.05218423534
36
320.001880.998120.9670.0018210.059200.00174840.99825160.96740424720.0016943720260.05506709084
37
330.001930.998070.9650.0018660.062520.00179490.99820510.96566785340.0017363938830.05816919509
38
340.001990.998010.9630.0019170.066130.001846980.998153020.96388428410.0017835692120.06153313781
39
350.002050.997950.9610.0019770.070170.001908360.998091640.96204484590.0018394382120.06530005654
40
360.002130.997880.9590.0020430.074560.001976250.998023750.96014360480.0019012411270.06939530113
41
370.002200.997800.9570.0021060.078990.002042280.997957720.95818272270.0019608820810.07353307805
42
380.002260.997740.9550.0021670.083430.002105520.997894480.95616524980.0020174728860.07767270612
43
390.002330.997670.9530.0022290.088040.002170620.997829380.95408977840.0020754714150.08198112088
44
400.002420.997580.9500.0023060.093380.00225060.99774940.9519425040.0021472744550.08696461544
45
410.002530.997470.9480.0024050.099790.00235290.99764710.94970267840.0022398255180.09295275898
46
420.002660.997340.9450.0025250.107290.002476590.997523410.94735065430.0023520241560.09996102665
47
430.002820.997180.9430.0026690.116110.002625390.997374610.94486348940.0024871649340.1081916746
48
440.003010.996990.9400.0028410.126410.002802090.997197910.94221589680.0026475925350.1178178678
49
450.003230.996770.9370.0030350.138100.003002970.996997030.93938645070.0028294460720.1287397963
50
460.003480.996520.9340.0032600.151570.003235470.996764530.93634709410.003039356680.1413300856
51
470.003780.996220.9300.0035290.167640.00351540.99648460.93305545950.0032916345740.1563526423
52
480.004140.995860.9260.0038510.186770.00385020.99614980.92946300940.003592450130.1742338313
53
490.004550.995450.9220.0042170.208760.004234290.995765710.92552739340.0039356159260.1948129883
54
500.005010.994990.9170.0046170.233150.004656510.995343490.92121766590.0043097275630.2176412419
55
510.005490.994510.9120.0050400.259540.005108490.994891510.91651163460.0047060312340.2423606085
56
520.006020.993980.9070.0054890.288180.005594880.994405120.9113838620.0051277726140.2692080623
57
530.006580.993430.9010.0059630.319030.006114750.993885250.90581097760.005572884470.2981493192
58
540.007170.992830.8950.0064600.352070.00666810.99333190.89977093940.0060400381790.3291820808
59
550.007810.992200.8880.0069820.387490.007258650.992741350.8932398170.0065311223290.3624772893
60
560.008480.991520.8800.0075240.425090.007883610.992116390.88619786270.0070419543540.397870421
61
570.009180.990820.8720.0080790.464570.008538330.991461670.87863121290.0075666497970.4350823633
62
580.009920.990080.8630.0086460.505800.009221880.990778120.87052858130.008102631610.4740039492
63
590.010680.989320.8540.0092230.548740.009935190.990064810.86187971440.0086488668560.5146075779
64
600.011530.988470.8440.0098500.595920.010725690.989274310.85263545980.0092442546340.5592774054
65
610.012430.987570.8340.0104970.645560.011563620.988436380.84277590730.0098595524560.606362476
66
620.013300.986700.8230.0110900.693130.012370860.987629140.83235004460.010425862760.6516164226
67
630.014110.985890.8110.0116060.737010.013121370.986878630.82142847170.01092157290.6935198794
68
640.014910.985090.7990.0120950.780110.013869090.986130910.81003600630.01139246540.7348140184
69
650.015810.984190.7860.0126290.827230.014701440.985298560.79812731050.011908695740.7800195712
70
660.016870.983130.7730.0132630.882010.015687240.984312760.78560689590.012520414670.8326075756
71
670.018100.981900.7590.0139930.944510.016833930.983166070.77238204440.013224851490.8926774757
72
680.019540.980460.7440.0148351.016180.018175920.981824080.75834329010.014038754250.961654666
73
690.021210.978790.7280.0157821.096830.019721580.980278420.74338756230.014955727861.039423087
74
700.023120.976880.7120.0168431.187410.021503460.978496540.72740215750.015985404711.126971032
75
710.025270.974740.6940.0179781.285440.023496450.976503550.71031078910.017091368421.222032842
76
720.027590.972420.6740.0191331.387150.025654050.974345950.69208844060.01822234851.321120266
77
730.030070.969930.6540.0202811.490680.02796510.97203490.67273411820.019354322451.4225427
78
740.032790.967210.6330.0214541.598290.030498420.969501580.65221679050.020517327681.528540912
79
750.035960.964040.6100.0227551.718010.033445590.966554410.63040301510.021813775371.64694004
80
760.039590.960410.5860.0241481.847320.036816840.963183160.60719356820.023209446941.775522691
81
770.043510.956490.5600.0254901.975490.040465230.959534770.58262334080.024570227391.904192623
82
780.047720.952280.5340.0267402.099060.04437960.95562040.556766750.025856590812.029742379
83
790.052360.947640.5060.0279382.221110.048692940.951307060.529656140.027110609952.155293491
84
800.057710.942290.4760.0291832.349230.053672160.946327840.50122835090.028427789092.288437022
85
810.063890.936110.4460.0304412.480910.059413980.940586020.47144837970.029779971222.427067654
86
820.070780.929220.4140.0315722.604670.065827260.934172740.44041422460.031034155072.560317793
87
830.078440.921560.3820.0325122.714740.072951060.927048940.40828554010.032128684532.682745158
88
840.087000.913000.3490.0332292.807870.080907210.919092790.37525229620.033033243932.791309112
89
850.096600.903400.3150.0336882.880350.089840790.910159210.34153933340.033712962742.882458314
90
860.107390.892610.2810.0338322.926490.09987270.90012730.30742887810.034110455392.950554391
91
870.119460.880540.2480.0335922.939310.111094080.888905920.27327534970.034153528372.988433733
92
880.132850.867150.2150.0328972.911350.123553290.876446710.23951128120.033764068532.988120065
93
890.147600.852400.1830.0316922.836480.137267070.862732930.20663426940.03287701182.942492556
94
900.163690.836310.1530.0299602.711350.152230770.847769230.17517817540.031456093932.846776501
95
910.181100.818900.1250.0277212.536490.168426720.831573280.14567348990.02950468552.699678723
96
920.199810.800190.1000.0250462.316710.18582330.81417670.11860396130.027069528622.503931397
97
930.219770.780240.0780.0220432.060990.204381450.795618550.094363511720.024240449592.266482036
98
940.240910.759090.0590.0188541.781660.224049090.775950910.073221452790.021142058931.997924569
99
950.261870.738130.0440.0155561.485630.243537240.756462760.055389302270.017832150521.702970375
100
960.282230.717780.0310.0123751.194210.262469250.737530750.040851313640.014537988621.402915902