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Notes on data sources and methodology:
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*This Workbook includes the summary enrollment data and cohort matriculation rates used to calculate future enrollment estimates.
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*Three input calculation scenarios form the high, mid, and low forecasts.
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*2018 to 2022 5-year rate
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*2019 to 2022 3-year rate
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*2020 to 2022 1-year rate
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*Three forward-looking scenarios were calculated using the high, middle, and low calculations for individual grade levels.
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*All three scenarios use actual 2018 to 2022 Orleans Parish births and a 71.4% birth-to-kinder rate, which is the average of the 2013 to 2017 birth cohorts entering 2018 to 2022 public school kindergarten.
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*Data was provided by the Louisiana Department of Education Multi stats files for public schools located in Orleans Parish.
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*For the detailed assumptions and annual Multi stats enrollment data this analysis was based on, please refer to the file titled "Public School Enrollment: 2011 to 2022".
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*The year listed reflects October 1st enrollment each year. For instance, "2022" refers to students enrolled in the school on October 1, 2022.
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*This Workbook was developed by NSNO in collaboration with NOLA-PS. Please reach out to Holly Reid (holly@nsno.org) or Matthew Braun (matthew@nsno.org) at NSNO with any questions you may have.
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File published: January 2023
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