What is a Prediction? (Examples & "tags")
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXY
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A "scorecard" for prediction types, using examples
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How to ScoreHoroscopeEconomic Forecast of Stock Market IndexPersonal HealthTime of flight of Spacecraft to JupiterGlobal Health, e.g. an epidemic of fluWill I be happy in 20 years if I marry person X?Tarot (from Houghton Library)
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Unknowable_future111
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Short_Term111
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Long_Term111
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Informing_a_Decision111
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Just_Curious101
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Just_for_fun1001
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Personal111
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Societal110.3
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Exact0.70.50.3
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Statistical00.50
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Binary0.30.10.2
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Deterministic_Inputs110
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Human_Inputs0.70.50.3
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Random_Inputs000
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Randomized_Inputs00.51
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Uncertainty_Estimable00.20
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Exact_Calculation0.70.30.950
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Computer_Simulation010
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Possible to assess accuracy
0.610.5
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link to text
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AG will add student FS27J names hereMesopotamiaAncient Greece or RomeIndiaIslamic WorldChinaRenaissance Europe
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Health
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Natural Phenomena
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Political
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Social
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