RaidAdvice.com: Chances of 20+ People Showing Up to Raid Mythic
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For use with this article:
http://raidadvice.com/raid-management-the-magic-number/
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What are the chance I have 20+ people to raid mythic with? Fill in P, the average attendance of your raiders, and N, the size of your mythic raid team
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For math explanation, see:
https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-probability-of-getting-6-at-least-two-times-in-throwing-a-fair-dice-4-times
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Attendance Average (P) (0<=P<=1):
0.95
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Raid Group Size (N) (20<=N<=30):
24
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Chance of 20 or more:99.40%
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Over X raid nights, we won't have 20+ on how many?
0.2
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X raid nights (X>0):30Google Docs Tip: File-->Make a Copy to play around with the whole sheet yourself.
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