A | B | C | |
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1 | For use with this article: | http://raidadvice.com/raid-management-the-magic-number/ | |

2 | What are the chance I have 20+ people to raid mythic with? Fill in P, the average attendance of your raiders, and N, the size of your mythic raid team | ||

3 | For math explanation, see: | https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-probability-of-getting-6-at-least-two-times-in-throwing-a-fair-dice-4-times | |

4 | |||

5 | Attendance Average (P) (0<=P<=1): | 0.95 | |

7 | Raid Group Size (N) (20<=N<=30): | 24 | |

8 | |||

9 | Chance of 20 or more: | 99.40% | |

10 | |||

11 | Over X raid nights, we won't have 20+ on how many? | 0.2 | |

12 | X raid nights (X>0): | 30 | Google Docs Tip: File-->Make a Copy to play around with the whole sheet yourself. |