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The UMBC Poll data are weighted by gender, age, race, geography, and educational attainment to represent the Maryland voter targets established by the combination of sources from ReconMR including Maryland State Board of Elections (2026), Current Population Survey data (2024), and the American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year estimates (2025) for the state of Maryland. Results are reported as column percentages and may not sum to exactly 100 due to weighting and rounding.
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Sample Demographics (in percent)
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Maryland
Likely
Voters
n=776
(MOE=±3.5%)
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GenderMale48
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Female52
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Age18-246
7
25-3417
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35-4418
9
45-5417
10
55-6418
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65+24
12
RaceWhite47
13
Black31
14
Hispanic/Latino12
15
Asian7
16
All other3
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EducationHigh school diploma or less30
18
Some college or associate's degree21
19
Bachelor's degree25
20
Graduate or professional degree24
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GeographyMontgomery County17
22
Prince George’s County14
23
Baltimore County15
24
Anne Arundel County9
25
Baltimore City9
26
Central Region12
27
Western Region9
28
Eastern Shore Region8
29
Southern Region7
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Central region: Carroll, Harford, and Howard Counties
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Western region: Allegany, Frederick, Garrett, and Washington Counties
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Eastern Shore region: Caroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Kent, Queen Anne’s, Somerset, Talbot, Wicomico, and Worcester Counties
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Southern region: Calvert, Charles, and St. Mary’s Counties
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Other Sample Demographics (in percent)
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Maryland
Likely
Voters
n=776
(MOE=±3.5%)
37
PartyDemocrat60
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Republican25
39
Unaffiliated 14
40
Other1
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IdeologyConservative22
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Moderate37
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Progressive41
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IncomeUnder $40,00014
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$40,000 to under $75,00020
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$75,000 to under $125,00029
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$125,000 or more37
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Note: The data is not weighted by these demographics.
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58
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60
61
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63
64
65
66
67
68
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70
71
72
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76
77
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79
80
81
82
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84
85
86
87
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90
91
92
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99
100