Wards vs Coalescent Wards
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
1
nb wards usedFail %Success %
Repartition of successes
Average number of wards (= SUM of all nb wards used * % chance to use exactly n wards)
2
099,00%1,00%1,00%0,0000
3
198,01%1,99%0,99%0,0099
1 coalescent ward =
77,08wards
4
297,03%2,97%0,98%0,0196
5
396,06%3,94%0,97%0,0291
6
495,10%4,90%0,96%0,0384
7
594,15%5,85%0,95%0,0475
8
693,21%6,79%0,94%0,0565
9
792,27%7,73%0,93%0,0652
10
891,35%8,65%0,92%0,0738
11
990,44%9,56%0,91%0,0822
12
1089,53%10,47%0,90%0,0904
13
1188,64%11,36%0,90%0,0985
14
1287,75%12,25%0,89%0,1064
15
1386,87%13,13%0,88%0,1141
16
1486,01%13,99%0,87%0,1216
17
1585,15%14,85%0,86%0,1290
18
1684,29%15,71%0,85%0,1362
19
1783,45%16,55%0,84%0,1433
20
1882,62%17,38%0,83%0,1502
21
1981,79%18,21%0,83%0,1570
22
2080,97%19,03%0,82%0,1636
23
2180,16%19,84%0,81%0,1700
24
2279,36%20,64%0,80%0,1764
25
2378,57%21,43%0,79%0,1825
26
2477,78%22,22%0,79%0,1886
27
2577,00%23,00%0,78%0,1945
28
2676,23%23,77%0,77%0,2002
29
2775,47%24,53%0,76%0,2058
30
2874,72%25,28%0,75%0,2113
31
2973,97%26,03%0,75%0,2167
32
3073,23%26,77%0,74%0,2219
33
3172,50%27,50%0,73%0,2270
34
3271,77%28,23%0,72%0,2320
35
3371,06%28,94%0,72%0,2369
36
3470,34%29,66%0,71%0,2416
37
3569,64%30,36%0,70%0,2462
38
3668,94%31,06%0,70%0,2507
39
3768,26%31,74%0,69%0,2551
40
3867,57%32,43%0,68%0,2594
41
3966,90%33,10%0,68%0,2635
42
4066,23%33,77%0,67%0,2676
43
4165,57%34,43%0,66%0,2715
44
4264,91%35,09%0,66%0,2754
45
4364,26%35,74%0,65%0,2791
46
4463,62%36,38%0,64%0,2827
47
4562,98%37,02%0,64%0,2863
48
4662,35%37,65%0,63%0,2897
49
4761,73%38,27%0,62%0,2931
50
4861,11%38,89%0,62%0,2963
51
4960,50%39,50%0,61%0,2994
52
5059,90%40,10%0,61%0,3025
53
5159,30%40,70%0,60%0,3055
54
5258,70%41,30%0,59%0,3083
55
5358,12%41,88%0,59%0,3111
56
5457,54%42,46%0,58%0,3138
57
5556,96%43,04%0,58%0,3164
58
5656,39%43,61%0,57%0,3190
59
5755,83%44,17%0,56%0,3214
60
5855,27%44,73%0,56%0,3238
61
5954,72%45,28%0,55%0,3261
62
6054,17%45,83%0,55%0,3283
63
6153,63%46,37%0,54%0,3304
64
6253,09%46,91%0,54%0,3325
65
6352,56%47,44%0,53%0,3345
66
6452,03%47,97%0,53%0,3364
67
6551,51%48,49%0,52%0,3382
68
6651,00%49,00%0,52%0,3400
69
6750,49%49,51%0,51%0,3417
70
6849,98%50,02%0,50%0,3433
71
6949,48%50,52%0,50%0,3449
72
7048,99%51,01%0,49%0,3464
73
7148,50%51,50%0,49%0,3478
74
7248,01%51,99%0,48%0,3492
75
7347,53%52,47%0,48%0,3505
76
7447,06%52,94%0,48%0,3518
77
7546,59%53,41%0,47%0,3529
78
7646,12%53,88%0,47%0,3541
79
7745,66%54,34%0,46%0,3551
80
7845,20%54,80%0,46%0,3562
81
7944,75%55,25%0,45%0,3571
82
8044,30%55,70%0,45%0,3580
83
8143,86%56,14%0,44%0,3589
84
8243,42%56,58%0,44%0,3597
85
8342,99%57,01%0,43%0,3604
86
8442,56%57,44%0,43%0,3611
87
8542,13%57,87%0,43%0,3618
88
8641,71%58,29%0,42%0,3623
89
8741,29%58,71%0,42%0,3629
90
8840,88%59,12%0,41%0,3634
91
8940,47%59,53%0,41%0,3638
92
9040,07%59,93%0,40%0,3643
93
9139,67%60,33%0,40%0,3646
94
9239,27%60,73%0,40%0,3649
95
9338,88%61,12%0,39%0,3652
96
9438,49%61,51%0,39%0,3655
97
9538,10%61,90%0,38%0,3657
98
9637,72%62,28%0,38%0,3658
99
9737,35%62,65%0,38%0,3659
100
9836,97%63,03%0,37%0,3660