Comparing longer-term options - please copy and fill in
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRS
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Social impactPersonal fitJob satisfactionOverall rankingSum of
scores
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Option 10
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Option 20
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Option 30
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Instructions
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1. Make a copy of this spreadsheet (go to File -> Make a copy...)
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2. Write down your options in the left-hand column.
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3. Edit the factors in the top row that you'll compare your options on.
For example, if you’re particularly worried about burning out, then you could add “burnout risk” as a factor.
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4. Rate each option on your factors (e.g. using a score of 1-5, where "1" means the option does very well poorly on the factor, and "5" means it does very well).
To improve accuracy, look at each score in turn and ask yourself “why might this be wrong?”
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Use these questions to help you assess each factor
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5. (Optional) If you want, you can add your scores together, and see how your options rank based on their total score.
Bear in mind that a ranking based on this is not at all robust, and if your intuition is telling you the result is wrong, try to figure out why.
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6. Write an overall ranking of your options (it's fine if you're uncertain, this is just your current best guess).
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However, note that you shoudn't take the results of quantitative models too seriously, due to a number of reasons,
including the difficulty of combining scores which use different units and model uncertainty more generally.
But it can be useful exercise nevertheless, since working through a detailed list of factors can help you think through various aspects of the decision you might otherwise miss.
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If you want to go into more depth, you can try out using this sheet, made by Stef Schenkelaars from the Netherlands, that draws on content from
https://80000hours.org/ and
https://waitbutwhy.com/2018/04/picking-career.html
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/116M4XBgrCDv1CogSG6nibehxVfL_Bk-_HgvR3eohzW8/edit#gid=1454792809
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