COVID-19 Response Timeline Comparison
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

View only
 
 
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKAL
1
Days since 3+ deaths
ITA (2/23/20)GBR (+14D)DEU (+17D)FRA (+8D)ESP (+11D)USA (+8D)SWE (+18D)KOR (+0D)PRC Official (-35D)PRC Cremation Est. (-35D)
2
033333636347
3
17133%433%6100%433%567%717%433%833%6100%95102%
Daily values are cumulative deaths.
4
21043%650%717%40%10100%1157%775%1025%60%950%
5
31220%833%929%650%1770%129%814%1220%17183%268182%
100 tests per day per million population
6
41742%80%1122%950%2865%1417%1138%138%186%2846%
Lockdown imposed
7
52124%80%1755%1122%3525%1721%129%130%2644%41044%
Lockdown and test milestone on the same day
8
62938%21163%2441%1973%5454%2124%1742%1623%56115%884116%
Peak daily deaths
9
73417%210%2817%190%8456%225%2124%176%8043%126243%Corner turned
10
85253%56167%4457%3374%13358%2827%225%2865%10633%167333%Citations:
11
97952%560%6752%4845%19547%3629%2618%280%13225%208325%
1. Peak daily deaths are marked when a country has had two
Deaths per day: avatorl.org
12
1010735%7229%8425%6127%28948%4011%3742%3525%17029%268229%
days of decreasing deaths. Peak daily deaths become corner
Italy tests: https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/tree/master/schede-riepilogative/regioni
13
1114838%13892%9412%7930%34218%4718%6370%350%21325%336125%
turned when a country has had one week of decreasing deaths.
UK tests: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/20/coronavirus-uk-testing-people-tested/
14
1219733%17829%12331%9115%53356%5415%7824%4220%25922%408722%
2. Italy lockdowns: March 8, when the national government
Germany, France tests: https://euobserver.com/coronavirus/147830
15
1323318%23431%15728%910%62317%6317%10636%445%30417%479717%
imposed lockdown measures on northern Italy.
Spain tests: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-spain/spain-to-boost-coronavirus-testing-as-deaths-surpass-1300-idUSKBN2180ZV
16
1436657%28221%20631%14863%83033%8535%1060%5014%36119%569619%
3. UK: lockdowns imposed 3/23.
USA tests: https://covidtracking.com/us-daily/
17
1546327%33619%26730%1480%104326%10827%1115%536%42518%670618%
4. German lockdowns: March 21, when several states imposed
South Korea tests: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1102818/south-korea-covid-19-test-total-number/
18
1663136%42326%34228%1480%137532%1189%14732%542%49015%773215%
lockdown measures.
France tests: https://www.santepubliquefrance.fr/content/download/237536/2535424
19
1782731%46610%43327%24364%177229%20069%18123%6011%56315%888415%
5. France lockdowns: March 17.
Crematoria estimates: https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/wuhan-deaths-03272020182846.html
20
18101623%58024%53323%45085%231130%24422%24033%6610%63212%997212%
6. Spain lockdowns: March 16.
21
19126625%76131%64521%56225%280822%30726%30929%660%72314%1140814%
7. USA lockdowns: NY government imposed lockdown starting
Crematoria estimates methodology:
22
20144114%102134%77520%67420%364730%42739%729%81112%1279712%
March 23. Other regions started earlier, but NY has the highest
1. Take Wuhan deaths as of 3/27 (2,535).
23
21180926%123121%92019%86228%436520%55229%754%90812%1432712%
concentration of cases and seems like a good place to draw the line.
2. Divide by an estimate of total deaths in Wuhan (~40,000.) This is on the
24
22215819%141115%110720%110228%513818%70628%750%101111%1595311%
8. China lockdowns: Hubei provice lockdowns started January 23.
low end of the range estimated by Wuhan citizens in the article.
25
23250316%179327%133321%598216%94233%818%111310%1756210%
9. Spain tests: conservative guess based on a stated capacity of
3. Invert that factor to obtain an underreporting factor (about 15).
26
24297819%235731%169827%680314%120928%844%136623%2155423%
15,000-20,000 per day on March 21.
4. Naively multiply China deaths by that underreporting factor.
27
25340514%292624%199718%771613%158131%918%14889%234799%
10. France conducted 6500 tests on March 24, I assume they hit the
This is not a very good methodology, because it doesn't capture differences
28
26403218%231716%846410%202628%943%15202%239842%
100 tests per day per million milestone on the 25th.
between Hubei, where the virus overwhelmed the health care system, and
29
27482520%261113%938711%246722%1029%16629%262259%
11. Test numbers per day not available for China.
other provinces, where it ostensibly didn't, but matches the observations of
30
28547613%303016%1034810%297821%1042%17656%278506%
12. Sweden: added March 26. Daily test numbers not (yet) located.
residents of Wuhan better than the official numbers.
31
29607711%353217%387330%1117%18636%293966%
Sweden does not evidently intend to enforce lockdowns, and is
32
30682012%404314%475723%1208%20027%315907%
included here as a control of sorts.
Note that British sources have suggested that the actual underreporting factor
33
31750310%539834%592625%1265%21146%333576%
13. I've seen unconfirmed reports that Germany and France are not
is closer to 40.
34
3282159%1314%22366%352826%
counting deaths not occurring in hospitals as coronavirus deaths.
35
33913411%1396%22360%352820%
14. PRC Cremation Estimated numbers based on Radio Free Asia
36
341002310%1444%24419%385179%
reporting, indicating that Wuhan crematoria ran at full capacity for
37
35107798%1526%24430%385480%
a long period of time. See methodology note at far right.
38
36115918%1584%25936%409156%
39
37124287%1623%26633%420203%
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Loading...