ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBMBNBOBPBQBRBSBTBUBVBWBXBYBZCACBCCCDCECFCGCHCICJCKCLCMCNCOCPCQCRCSCTCUCV
1
0
Elasticity or Differential?
12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849505152535455565758596061626364656667686970717273747576777879808182838485868788899091929394959697
2
1E
EA Movement size (dedicated ivy league grads equivalents)
0.950.950.950.950.950.950.5
3
2E
mil$ Far Future (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
111
4
3E
mil$ Global Poverty (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.1550.03650.1936
5
4E
mil$ Animal Outreach (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
110.008398
6
5E
mil$ Far Future outreach (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.070.025
7
6E
mil$ GCR Research (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.08-0.03-0.03
8
7E
mil$ GCR Policy/Strategy (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.07
9
8E
mil$ Cause Prioritization (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.95
10
9E
mil$ Outreach (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.1
11
10D
mil$ AMF (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.0000750.000000438885231519117.64706
12
11D
mil$ Deworming (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.0008364001338020000
13
12D
mill$ Givedirectly (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.00004429400026
14
13E
mil$ Animal Product alternatives (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
-0.00003333333333-0.001666666667-0.011111111110
15
14E
mil$ Goverment/Corporate Animal welfare reforms (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0.00536250.000057146226420.0002837579618
16
15D
mil$ Vegan outreach (EA excluding good Ventures 2017)
0-0.003286344516-0.01211911357-0.002908028021
17
16E
Concern about GCRs in academia (% of revelent fields who think a GCR top 6 global problem, because it is a GCR)
0.30.5
18
17E
Concern about GCRs in public/industry/government (% of MPs who think a 'GCR' top 6 global problem)
0.30-0.05-0.1
19
18E
Value of working on current known best cause (X)
1
20
19E
GDP per capita PPP $ (<$4000 PPP GDP per Capita in 2017)
0.080.120.040.0600.813.50.5-0.01578000000
21
20E
Eggs consumption kg per capita 2017
0.1-0.1575
22
21E
Poultry consumption kg per capita 2017
0.90.315
23
22E
Beef consumption Kg per capita 2017
1
24
23E
Pork consumption kg per capita 2017
1
25
24ETheoretical X-Risk (2017-2050)0.6
26
25E
Theoretical GCR (Expected number 2017-2050)
0.8
27
26E
Intentional GCRs (e.g. terrorism) (Expected number 2017-2050)
00.040.2
28
27E
EA aligned people in positions of power in G8 govermnts (%)
0.010.10.0330.10
29
28E
$ Developed Government spending foreign aid
003161592.506
30
29E
Better governance in developing countries (average of HDI*10 and democracy index)
0.01000.01-0.01
31
30D
Climate Change (CO2e GT emitted 2017-2050)
0.0058441558440.003896103896-0.0003333333333-0.0001645819618-1111500
32
31EChicken population (2050)0.0116
33
32E
Chicken welfare in total suffering (2050)
000.004590909091
34
33ECattle population (2050)0.087
35
34ECattle welfare 0-10 (2050)00
36
35EPig population (2050)0.013
37
36EPig welfare 0-10 (2050)00
38
37EPractical X-Risk (2017-2050) in %000-0.07-159495000
39
38E
Practical GCR (Expected number 2017-2050)
000-0.007-0.035-79747500
40
39E
Value of all work done on Cause X
41
40D
Expected Reported wellbeing average on Cantril scale (2050)
42
41E
Expected Population levels (2050)
0.40.70.20.3
43
42D
Expected Cumulative change in QALYs (2050)
44
43
45
44
46
45
47
46
48
47
49
48
50
49
51
50
52
51
53
52
54
53
55
54
56
55
57
56
58
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60
59
61
60
62
61
63
62
64
63
65
64
66
65
67
66
68
67
69
68
70
69
71
70
72
71
73
72
74
73
75
74
76
75
77
76
78
77
79
78
80
79
81
80
82
81
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82
84
83
85
84
86
85
87
86
88
87
89
88
90
89
91
90
92
91
93
92
94
93
95
94
96
95
97
96
98
97
99
98
100
99