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Uranium Catalysts in 2024 & 2025
Most of these catalysts are in addition to the 1.5 billion lb supply deficit between 2024 - 2040.
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Demand/SupplyCategoryCompanyCatalyst SummaryStatusAnticipated/Actual DateImpact Time HorizonImpact on Uranium Demand/SupplySourceMore Sources or Notes
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Supply RiskSupply growth challengesKazatomprom✅ 2024: 6 - 7M lbs less than their prior forecast of 65M lbs (July 2024 update)
✅ 2025: Potentially 10 - 15M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs (Aug 2024 update)
⚠️ 2026: Potentially 8 - 10M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs
⚠️ 2027: Potentially 4 - 10M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs

✅ KAP's new sulfuric acid plant is delayed from 2026 to 2027.
✅ announced2024 - 2025near term✅ 2024: 6 - 7M lbs less than their prior forecast of 65M lbs (July 2024 update)
✅ 2025: Potentially 10 - 15M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs (Aug 2024 update)
⚠️ 2026: Potentially 8 - 10M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs
⚠️ 2027: Potentially 4 - 10M lbs less than their prior forecast of 80M lbs
https://www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article/KAP/kap-1h24-financial-results-2025-production-update/16632134
Ben Finegold (14:38): Uranium Endgame - Ben Finegold Interview
Justin Huhn (56:55): Uranium Conference - Jan 26 at 10am ET - Sponsored by Sprott - YouTube
traderferg.substack.com/p/what-im-seeing-with-uranium
kazatomprom.kz/en/media/view/kazatomprom_expects_adjustments_to_its_2024_production_plans
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1746335647508619432
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1748078033939190082
twitter.com/therogueroom/status/1746637814773727485
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DemandInventory restocking and loansKazatompromKAP normally holds 5 - 7 months of their attributable production in inventory.

⚠️ Ending 2023 Inventory: 15.88M lbs of attributable inventory (6.9 months)
⚠️ June 2024 Inventory: 10.77M lbs of attributable inventory (4.3 months)
✅ Borrowed U3O8: 2.2M lbs to ANU energy due March 2024
✅ Delayed Delivery of U3O8: 1.53M lbs to YCA in June 2024
✅ announced2024 - 2025near term⚠️ 8 - 13M lbs to restock plus grow inventory from mid 2024 - 2026Kazatomprom 2023 Financial Resultsx.com/z_axis_capital/status/1768637488724156696?s=20
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Supply RiskSupply challenges and loansCameco⚠️ 2024 Production Guidance: 33.4M lbs (includes 11M lbs of purchases)
⚠️ 2024 Sales Guidance: 32 - 34M lbs
⚠️ 2024 Market Purchases Guidance: "...we may buy up to 3M lbs in 2024."
✅ Borrowed U3O8: 2.5M lbs to repay (630k by 2025, 1.87M by 2026)
✅ Borrowed UF6: 1.56M kgU to repay (318k by 2025, 1.25M by 2026)
= Total Borrowings of 6.68M lbs of U3O8 equivalent
⚠️ announced2024 - 2025near term⚠️ 2024 Market Purchases: up to 3M lbs in 2024
✅ Borrowed U3O8: 2.5M lbs to repay (630k by 2025, 1.87M by 2026)
✅ Borrowed UF6: 1.56M kgU to repay (318k by 2025, 1.25M by 2026)
= Total Borrowings of 6.68M lbs of U3O8 equivalent
Page 52: https://www.cameco.com/sites/default/files/documents/CCO%202024%20Q3%20MDA%20FS%20Notes.pdfMacroVoices #410 Justin Huhn: Investing in All Things Nuclear
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1748019943516574118
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1746335647508619432
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DemandInventory restockingCamecoEnding 2023, CCJ held inventory of 10.3M lbs of U3O8 equivalent (3.6 months).
"...if we decide to increase our working inventory from current levels our market purchases could be higher." - FEB 2024

Ending 6/30/24, CCJ held inventory of 13.4M lbs of U3O8 equivalent (4.7 months).
"Inventory varies from quarter to quarter depending on the timing of production, purchases and sales deliveries in the year."

Ending 9/30/24, CCJ held inventory of 12.9M lbs of U3O8 equivalent (4.5 months).
TBD2024 - 2026near term1 - 3M lbs to restock plus grow inventory in 2024 - 2026Page 11: https://www.cameco.com/sites/default/files/documents/CCO%202024%20Q3%20MDA%20FS%20Notes.pdfPage 59: https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/assets-us-west-2/quarterly/CCO-2023-Q4-MDA-FS-Notes.pdf
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Supply RiskSupply growth challengesRosatom / Uranium One (Russia)TBD less supply from 6 JVs with Kazatomprom.TBDTBDnear termTBDtwitter.com/quakes99/status/1746335647508619432
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Supply RiskDelay of new mineRosatom PIMCU (Russia)No.6 mine in Krasnokamensk (3.96M lbs/yr) delayed from 2026 to 2028.✅ announcedJanuary 2024near term✅ 8M lbs less from 2026 and 2027twitter.com/JekyllCapital/status/1749483157601067070
interfax.com/newsroom/top-stories/98614/#:~:text=%22We%20have%20set%20such%20an,Rosatom%20uranium%20strategy's%20key%20projects
nsenergybusiness.com/news/newsrussian-uranium-mine-receives-rosatom-funding-4979919/
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Supply RiskSupply growth challengesUzbekistanUzbekistan Navoi Yuran State Enterprise reduced its plan to increase uranium production to 1.5 times by 2030 said Jamal Fayzullaev, Deputy Minister of Mining and Geology. In 2023, the previous target was 2.0 times growth by 2030.✅ announcedFebruary 2024mid term and long term✅ Before 2030: TBD another 6M lbs less up until then
✅ After 2030: 4.5M lbs/yr less than forecasted
https://en.trend.az/casia/uzbekistan/3856784.htmlEarlier in 2023, speaking at the Innoprom Central Asia International Industrial Exhibition held in Tashkent, Deputy Minister of Mining and Geology of Uzbekistan Omonullo Nasritdinkhodzhayev said that Uzbekistan plans to double the volume of uranium production by 2030, bringing it from 3,600 in 2022 to 7,000 by the end of the designated period.
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Supply RiskSupply challenges and loansOranoLess supply from their (1) SOMAÏR mine due to coup-related issues in Niger, (2) KATCO JV with Kazatomprom due to lowered production guidance and (3) Cigar Lake JV with Cameco.
✅ Borrowed U3O8: 1.2M lbs to repay to Cameco by 2027
✅ Borrowed U3O8: 2.4M lbs to repay to Cameco by 2028
✅ Borrowed UF6: 1.14M kgU to repay to Cameco by 2035
✅ announced2024 - 2025near term2024: 1.5 - 3M lbs less from SOMAÏR in 2024
⚠️ 2025:
TBD 500k - 2.6M lbs less from SOMAÏR in 2025
✅ 2027: Borrowed 1.2M lbs U3O8 to repay to Cameco by 2027
✅ 2028: Borrowed 2.4M lbs U3O8 to repay to Cameco by 2027
✅ 2035: Borrowed 1.14M kgU UF6 to repay to Cameco by 2035
Orano / Company Blames ‘Highly Degraded’ Niger Situation For Half-Year Losseshttps://channel.royalcast.com/orano-en/#!/orano-en/20240216_1Niger / Orano Brings Forward Maintenance Work At Somair Site As Main Supply Corridor Remains Closed :: NucNet | The Independent Nuclear News Agency
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DemandInventory restockingOranoTBD inventory restocking and growthTBD2024 - 2025near term1 - 3M lbs to restock plus grow inventory in 2024 - 2026-
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Supply RiskDelay of new mineOranoZuuvch-Ovoo mine in Mongolia (7M lbs/yr) faces delays for France’s $1.6 Billion uranium deal. A final investment agreement was expected to be signed at the end of 2023 with production due to start in 2028 but as of October 2024, an Orano official said that it might produce in 2030.✅ announcedOctober 2024mid term✅ 14M lbs less from 2028 and 2029
(7M lbs/yr for each year delayed)
France’s $1.6 Billion Uranium Deal With Mongolia Faces Delays - BNN Bloomberghttps://twitter.com/quakes99/status/1760814714160845028
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Supply RiskDelay of new mineGlobal Atomic Dasa mine in Niger (4.4M lbs/yr) was last said to be delayed until late 2025 or Q1 2026 due to coup-related issues.TBD2024 - 2025near term1 - 2M lbs if delayed by 3 - 6 months(5:35): Global Atomic (TSX:GLO) - 2025 Production with Compelling Economics - YouTube
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Supply RiskNew mine canceledGoviexMadaouela mine in Niger (2.6M lbs/yr) license revoked by the government.✅ doneJuly 2024near term and mid term✅ 2.6M lbs/yr delayed indefinitely
(from 2027 forward)
Niger government withdraws GoviEx mining rights : Uranium & Fuel - World Nuclear Newshttps://goviex.com/site/assets/files/4175/2n_corporate_presentation_final_jan2024.pdf
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Supply RiskNew mine canceledOranoImouraren mine in Niger (11M lbs/yr) license revoked by the government.✅ doneJune 2024mid term and long term✅ 11M lbs/yr delayed indefinitelyNiger revokes mining permit for Imouraren project : Uranium & Fuel - World Nuclear News
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Supply RiskDelay of new mineNexGenRook mine in Canada (29M lbs/yr)
What if news comes out that it won't produce until 2030 or 2031? (instead of 2029)
TBD2024 - 2026near term and mid term29M lbs/yr if delayed
(for each year it were to be delayed)
twitter.com/Grainjones/status/1714657865967837576
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Supply RiskExisting supply challengesNamibia mines (Rossing, Husab, etc)In April 2024, the Bank of Namibia said uranium mining growth is expected to slow in 2024 due to water supply issues.⚠️ announced2024 - 2025near term⚠️ 2024: TBD 200k - 400k lbs less
⚠️ 2025: TBD 200k - 1M lbs less
Namibia's uranium mining growth to slow in 2024 due to water shortageshttps://twitter.com/hchris999/status/1778523994297368798
https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/mining-of-uranium/world-uranium-mining-production.aspx
https://theextractormagazine.com/2024/04/15/uranium-sector-to-grow-by-3-6-in-2024-bank-of-namibia/
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Supply RiskGovernment legislationUSAUSA ban on Russian Uranium: Fully passed by House, Senate and signed by Biden.✅ doneMay 2024near termTBDhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-13/biden-signs-ban-on-imports-of-russian-nuclear-reactor-fuel
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Supply RiskGovernment legislationRussiaRussian ban on Uranium to Certain Countries: Putin asked officials to look into banning critical minerals like uranium.⚠️ announcedQ4 2024near and mid termTBDРоссия готовит запрет на экспорт важнейшего сырья в недружественные страны - Экономика. НИА Самара, 28.09.2024
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Supply RiskSpent fuel reprocessing plant delayJapanCompletion of Japan's Rokkasho-mura mixed oxide fuel (MOX) fabrication plant delayed from mid 2024 to 2027 (annual capacity of 800 tons of uranium).✅ doneAugust 2024near term✅ 5M lbs less from mid 2024 - 2026
(2.5 years at 2M lbs/yr)
Further delay to Japanese reprocessing and MOX plants : Waste & Recycling - World Nuclear News
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Supply RiskSupply startup challengesUr-EnergySeptember 2024: They lowered their prior production guidance from 650k - 750k lbs to 325k - 475k lbs for 2024.

November 2024: Again, they lowered their prior production guidance from 325k - 475k lbs to 240k - 280k lbs for 2024.
✅ doneSeptember 2024near term✅ 2024: 440k lbs less
Presentations :: Ur-Energy Inc. (URG)
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Supply RiskExisting supply challengesBHPSeptember 2024: Their YTD uranium production at their Olypmic Dam mine was -28% less (-670k lbs) compared to Q2 2024 and -19% YTD compared to 2023.

October 17 2024: A storm knocked multiple power lines to the Olympic Dam mine. South Australia's energy minister said that all mining operations would cease for about a week (due to ventilation needs at the mine).

October 21 2024: 2 week outage -- BHP said it will take much longer to restore power supply from 2 badly damaged transmission lines to Olympic Dam.
⚠️ announcedOctober 2024near term⚠️ 2024: TBD 600k - 1M lbs less2025 financial results and operational reviews
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Supply RiskSupply startup challengesPaladin EnergyOctober 28 2024: Their revised 2024 production guidance of 2.6M lbs could be 500 - 700k lbs less.

November 12 2024: Revised down their FY2025 production from 4 - 4.5M lbs to 3 - 3.6M lbs.
✅ announcedNovember 2024near term✅ 2024: 500k - 700k lbs less
⚠️ 2025: 500k - 1M lbs less
https://www.paladinenergy.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/61233596.pdf
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Supply RiskSupply startup challengesUranium Energy CorpTBD less production from their Christensen Ranch asset.TBD2024 - 2025near term2024: TBD 100k - 300k lbs less
2025: TBD 100k - 200k lbs less
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Supply RiskSupply startup challengesEnergy FuelsOctober 31 2024: They lowered their prior production guidance from 150k - 500k lbs to 150k - 200k lbs for 2024.✅ announcedOctober 2024near term✅ 2024: 125k - 325k lbs lessEnergy Fuels Announces Q3-2024 Results, Including Active Uranium Mining and Processing, Successful Rare Earth Production, and Continuing to Build a World-Scale Rare Earth Supply Chain Centered in the U.S.
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DemandAI, Data Centers and SMRsLast EnergyAs of August 2024, the company also announced that it has reached commercial agreements for 80 units. Last Energy announced agreements for 34 units in 2023 and began 2024 with agreements for 50 units. Of the agreements, 39 of the 80 units will be built to serve data centre developers.

Their plants can be manufactured, transported, and assembled within 24 months. They've begun the fabrication process and plan on bringing a first plant online in 2026.
TBD2025 - 2026near, mid and long termTBD
Funding and commercial agreements grow for Last Energy : Corporate - World Nuclear News
Last Energy is taking the nuclear option to power data centersMicro nuclear power: Interview with Bret Kugelmass, CEO of Last Energy
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DemandPlant restartHoltecRestart Palisades plant (800MW) in Michigan with a restart in Q4 2025.⚠️ regulatory filings reviewapproval May 2025 and restart 2H 2025near, mid and long term✅ Near/Mid Term: 1.2 - 3M lbs
✅ Long Term: 380k lbs/yr through at least 2051
https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-environment-watch/gretchen-whitmer-seeks-another-150m-restart-palisades-nuclear-plant
financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/biden-to-offer-1-5-billion-loan-to-restart-michigan-nuclear-power-plant
Where things stand in the effort to restart the Palisades Nuclear Power Plant
"...restart plan which will include countless projects, plant inspections, equipment upgrades and modifications, acquiring new fuel."

"Although the DoE loan and regulatory decisions still loom, Holtec has cleared several hurdles on its way to restarting Palisades. A power purchase agreement was secured with Wolverine Power Cooperative in September and Michigan bookmarked $150 million in its 2024 budget to aid the plant's transition from decommissioning to operations."
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DemandPlant restartEnergoatom UkraineRestart Zaporizhzhia plant's 6 reactors (5.7GW) after repairs and inspections.
likely pending a peace deal announcement2025near, mid and long term2.3M lbs/yr starting 2027https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaporizhzhia_Nuclear_Power_Plant
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OtherSector risk premiums and sentiment shiftEnd of Ukraine and Russia WarThe low probabilities of an issue at the Zaporizhzhia and Kursk nuclear power plants have likely led to some investors taking less risk in the sector in order to avoid waking up to an incident. Peace would remove this risk.likely pending a peace deal announcement2025near, mid and long termTBD
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OtherTariffsUSAStarting September 27 2024, USA tariffs on Chinese uranium increased from 7.5% to 25%.✅ doneSeptember 2024near, mid and long termTBDUS increases import tariffs as domestic uranium production grows - World Nuclear News
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DemandPlant restartNuclear Power Corporation of IndiaRestart the 4 reactor units of the Tarapur nuclear power plant (1.4GW).✅ doneApril 2024mid term and long term✅ 630k lbs/yr from 2028 - 2038+https://world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/CORE-Energy-Systems-leads-refurbishment-of-TAPS
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DemandPlant extensionOntario Power GenExtend Pickering units 5 - 8 (2.1GW) by 2 years from end of 2024 - end of 2026.✅ doneOctober 2024near term✅ 1.9M lbs total for 2025 - 2026 (945k lbs/yr)
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DemandPlant extensionOntario Power GenExtend Pickering units 5 - 8 (2.1GW) were scheduled to shut in 2026 and will be refurbished to extend for 30 years.✅ announcedJanuary 2024long term✅ 945k lbs/yr from 2034 - 2064news.ontario.ca/en/release/1004128/ontario-supporting-plan-to-refurbish-pickering-nuclear-generating-station
Ontario to announce refurbishment of four reactors at Pickering Plant - The Globe and Mail
Pickering nuclear power plant - Global Energy Monitor
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DemandPlant extensions and power upratesEDF (in the UK)Extend 8 reactors at 4 plants (4.8GW) in the UK (short term extensions of 1 - 3 years).

Hartlepool (1.18GW) & Heysham 1 (1.06GW) are scheduled to shut in March 2026 (2 year extension).
Heysham 2 (1.24GW) & Torness (1.2GW) are scheduled to shut in March 2028 (TBD 1 year extension).
pending inspections and regulatory process2H 2024 - 2025near term2025: 3M lbs for Hartlepool and Heysam 1 (if extended for 3 years)
2026: 1.1M lbs for Heysham 2 and Torness (if extended for 1 year)
EDF Energy aims to extend life of UK nuclear power plants | Reuters
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DemandPlant extensionEDF (in the UK)Extend Sizewell B (1.25GW) from 2035 - 2055.
A decision to be made in 2025.
pending inspections and regulatory process2025long term560k lbs/yr from 2033 - 2053EDF Intends to Extend Operating Life of Four UK Nuclear Plants - BNN Bloomberg
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DemandPlant extensionIberdrola Generación (Spain)Extend Trillo plant (1GW) for 10 years from 2024 to 2034.✅ doneJuly 2024near, mid and long term✅ 450k lbs/yr from 2024 - 2032
Spain’s 1 GW Trillo nuclear power plant gets 10-year license renewal | Enerdata
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DemandPlant extensionEskom South AfricaExtend Koeberg unit 1 (970MW) by 20 years starting summer 2024.✅ doneJuly 2024near, mid and long term✅ 420k lbs/yr from 2024 - 2043
South African nuclear power plant wins approval for 20-year life extension | Reuters
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koeberg_Nuclear_Power_Station
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DemandPlant extensionEskom South AfricaExtend Koeberg unit 2 (970MW) by 20 years starting November 2025. Unit 1 was granted a 20 year extension in July 2024.pending1H 2025near, mid and long term420k lbs/yr from 2026 - 2045
South African nuclear power plant wins approval for 20-year life extension | Reuters
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koeberg_Nuclear_Power_Station
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DemandPlant extensionDominion EnergyExtend North Anna 2-unit plant (1.79GW) in Virginia for 20 years.
On August 28 2024, the NRC approved extensions for unit 1 to 2058 and unit 2 to 2060.
✅ doneAugust 2024long term✅ 800k lbs/yr from 2036 - 2056
North Anna, Units 1 and 2 – Subsequent License Renewal Application
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Anna_Nuclear_Generating_Station
x.com/HopfJames/status/1744770654220746780?s=20
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DemandPlant extensions and power upratesTeollisuuden Voima Oyj (TVO)Extend Olkiluoto 1 (890MW) and Olkiluoto 2 (890MW) in Finland. Their current 60 year licenses expire in 2038. They're seeking 10-20 year extensions (to 2048 or 2058) and to uprate both plants by 80MW each (to 970MW each).pending inspections and regulatory process2024 - mid 2025long term870k lbs/yr from 2036 - 2058EIA programme submitted for Olkiluoto 1 and 2 : Corporate - World Nuclear Newshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olkiluoto_Nuclear_Power_Plant
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DemandPlant extensionLuminant / VistraExtend Comanche Peak units 1 & 2 (2.4GW) in Texas. Unit 1 is licensed until FEB 2030 and unit 2 until FEB 2033.✅ doneJuly 2024mid term and long term✅ 1M lbs/yr from 2029 - 2049Comanche Peak Nuclear Power Plant Units 1 and 2 – License Renewal Applicationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comanche_Peak_Nuclear_Power_Plant
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DemandPlant extensionNextEra EnergyExtend Point Beach units 1 & 2 (1.25GW) licensed to operate until OCT 2030 and MAR 2033.pending NRC review process2024 - mid 2025mid term and long term1M lbs/yr from 2029 - 2049Point Beach Nuclear Plant, Units 1 & 2 – Subsequent License Renewal ApplicationPoint Beach Nuclear Plant - Wikipedia
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DemandPlant extensionFirstEnergy / Energy HarborExtend Perry plant unit 1 (1.25GW) in Ohio. It is licensed until MAR 2026.pending NRC review process2H 2025near term500k lbs/yr from 2024 - 2044Perry Nuclear Power Plant Unit 1 – License Renewal Applicationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perry_Nuclear_Generating_Station
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DemandPlant extensionConstellationExtend Clinton (1.08GW) in Illinois by 20 years. It's currently licensed to operate until April 2027.pending NRC review process2024 - mid 2025mid term and long term430k lbs/yr from 2026 - 2045Constellation Seeks License Renewal of Clinton Clean Energy Center for Additional 20 Years | Business Wirehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clinton_Power_Station
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DemandPlant extensionTaiwan Power❌ Maanshan Unit 1 shut down in July 2024.
⚠️ Maanshan Unit 2 scheduled to shut down in May 2025.
scheduled to be shutdownMay 2025near, mid and long term❌ 550k lbs/yr for unit 1
⚠️ 550k lbs/yr for unit 2
經長:做好核電廠延役準備穩定供電…四接仍有興建必要Nuclear power in Taiwan - Wikipedia
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DemandPlant restartsJapan UtilitiesJapan nuclear plant restarts: 5 reactors are in the process and 10 are under review.

✅ Onagawa 2 (.82GW): restarted October 2024
⚠️ Shimane 2 (.79GW): aiming to restart December 2024
⚠️ Tomari 3 (.86GW): aiming to restart 2025
⚠️ Kashiwazki Kariwa 6 (1.35GW): aiming to restart late 2025 - 2026
⚠️ Shimane 3 (1.37GW): aiming to restart in 2030
⚠️ Tokai 2 (1GW): TBD
⚠️ Ohma (1.38GW): aiming to restart in 2030
⚠️ Higashidori 1 (1GW): TBD
⚠️ Kashiwazki Kariwa 7 (1.35GW): TBD
✅ pending inspections and regulatory process2024 - 2030near, mid and long term✅ Onagawa 2: 370k lbs/yr starting October 2024
⚠️ Shimane 2: 355k lbs/yr starting December 2024
⚠️ Tomari 3: 387k lbs/yr starting in 2025
⚠️ Kashiwazki Kariwa 6: 607k lbs/yr starting late 2025
⚠️ Shimane 3: 616k lbs/yr starting in 2030
⚠️ Tokai 2: 450k lbs/yr starting TBD
⚠️ Ohma: 621k lbs/yr starting in 2030
⚠️ Higashidori 1: 450k lbs/yr starting TBD
⚠️ Kashiwazki Kariwa 7: 607k lbs/yr starting TBD
https://www.nucnet.org/news/new-economy-minister-calls-for-as-many-reactor-restarts-as-possible-10-3-202412 Nuclear Reactors Operating in Japan After Takahama Unit 2 Restart
https://x.com/DocuVerite/status/1756908117399662930?s=20
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DemandPlant extensionsJapan UtilitiesJapan's parliament passed a bill that allows reactors to apply to operate beyond 60 years.

Sendai units 1 & 2 (1.78GW): NRA approved 20yr life extensions in November 2023.
Takahama units 3 & 4 (1.74GW): NRA approved 20yr life extensions in May 2024.
Mihama unit 3 (.78GW): TBD
Oi units 3 & 4 (2.36GW): TBD
✅ announced with more in progress2024 - 2026near, mid and long term✅ Sendai units 1 & 2: 800k lbs/yr from 2024 - 2042
✅ Takahama units 3 & 4: 783k lbs/yr from 2025 - 2043
⚠️ Mihama unit 3: 350k lbs/yr from TBD
⚠️ Oi units 3 & 4: 1.06M lbs/yr from TBD
12 Nuclear Reactors Operating in Japan After Takahama Unit 2 RestartJapan enacts law for operating nuclear reactors beyond 60-yr limit
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DemandPlant extensionsEDF (in France)Belleville (2.62GW): scheduled to shut down in 2028 and 2029
Dampierre (3.74GW): scheduled to shut down between 2027 - 2030
Gravelines (5.46GW): scheduled to shut down in 2030
Tricastin: some are scheduled to shut down in the 2030s
Cattenom (5.2GW): scheduled to shut down in 2035
Chinon B (3.8GW): scheduled to shut down in 2040
Chooz B (3.12GW): scheduled to shut down in 2040

SEP 2024: EDF issued 1.75M euros of green bonds for extending its existing reactors.
TBD2024 - 2030near, mid and long termBelleville: 1.18M lbs/yr from 2026 - TBD
Dampierre: 1.68M lbs/yr from 2027 - TBD
Gravelines: 2.46M lbs/yr from 2029 - TBD
Tricastin: TBD
Cattenom: 2.34M lbs/yr from 2033 - TBD
Chinon B: 1.71M lbs/yr from 2038 - TBD
Chooz B: 1.40M lbs/yr from 2038 - TBD
Nuclear Power in France | French Nuclear Energy
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DemandPlant extensionsSpain UtilitiesTBD shutdown reversal and plant extensions. Under Spain's nuclear phase-out policy, its 7 reactors (7.1GW) are scheduled to shut down by 2035. The 2 reactors at Almaraz Nuclear Power Plant (2GW) are scheduled to close in NOV 2027 and OCT 2028.TBD2025mid term and long termTBDNuclear Power in Spain | Spanish Nuclear EnergySpain: Nuclear Phaseout Possible by 2035, But Uncertain | Energy Intelligence
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DemandPlant extensionsDuke EnergyIntends to seek 20 year extensions for 11 units across 6 plants (10.7GW).pending inspections and regulatory process2024 - 2025long term4.8M lbs/yr from 2030s - 2060stwitter.com/piterloskot82/status/1720416076368912893
https://www.nrc.gov/reactors/operating/licensing/renewal/applications/oconee-subsequent.html
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DemandPlant extensionPG&EExtend Diablo Canyon plant (2.2GW) in California for 10 - 20 years starting 2030.pending regulatory process2H 2025mid term and long term1M lbs/yr from 2028 - 2048Diablo Canyon - License Renewal Applicationtwitter.com/NRCgov/status/1752016385327120459?s=20
Diablo Canyon / NRC Accepts California Nuclear Station Licence Renewal Application :: NucNet | The Independent Nuclear News Agency
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DemandPlant extensionsXcel EnergyExtend 3 Minnesota nuclear reactors until the 2050s.
Monticello plant (671MW) and Prairie Island's 2 units (1.1GW combined).
proposed2025long term760k lbs/yr from 2030 - 2050
Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant, Unit 1 – Subsequent License Renewal Application
Xcel Energy proposes to keep operating nuclear plants until early 2050s | MPR News
Nuclear | Energy Portfolio
https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2330/ML23304A216.pdf
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DemandPlant extensionsNextEra Energy / Florida Power & LightExtend Turkey Point Unit 3 (802MW) and Unit 4 (802MW) for an additional 20 years through 2052 and 2053.✅ doneSeptember 2024mid term and long term✅ 720k lbs/yr from 2030 - 2050Turkey Point Nuclear Generating Station - Wikipedia
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DemandPlant extensionsKHNPExtend all 10 nuclear plants (8.5GW) that were scheduled to start shutting down from 2030 forward.pending submission and regulatory process2024 - 2025mid term and long term3.8M lbs/yr
(starting partially in 2028 then fully thru the 2030s)
[단독] 월성 2·3·4호기도 수명 연장… ‘文정부 탈원전 대못’ 뽑기로Nuclear Power in South Korea | Nuclear Energy in the Republic of Korea
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DemandPlant extensionsArgentina NucleoelectricaExtend the Atucha-1 plant (340MW) by 20 years from 2027 - 2046.

✅ announcedSeptember 2024near, mid and long term✅ 150k lbs/yr from 2025 - 2043
Milei da inicio a la extensión de vida de Atucha I e impulsa el uso de energía nuclear
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DemandPlant extensionsEngie BelgiumExtend Doel 1, Doel 2 and Tihange 1 reactors (1.83GW) by another 10 years starting in 2026.TBD2025near term and mid term822k lbs/yr from 2025 - 2033Policy: Likely Belgian Government Promises Nuclear Push | Energy IntelligenceNuclear Power in Belgium
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DemandPlant extensionsRosatomExtend the IVV-2M research reactor (15MW) for another 15 years from 2025 - 2040.✅ doneAugust 2024near, mid and long term✅ 4k lbs/yr from 2025 - 2038
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DemandFinancial fund buying lbsSprottFinancial Fund: SPUT can raise up to $1B via ATM and another $.5B via private placements and direct share issuances. The total $1.5B can buy up to 9M lbs/yr of uranium in the spot market. After that, they can apply to get another approval to purchase more lbs.pending raising funds by trading at a premium to NAV2024 - 2026near term✅ 2024: 3.0M lbs purchased in 2024 as of 11/11/2024
⚠️ 2025: TBD
(up to 9M lbs per year under current approved filing -- could be renewed)
https://x.com/quakes99/status/1842352103186121171twitter.com/piterloskot82/status/1720416076368912893/photo/1
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DemandFinancial fund buying lbsYellowcakeFinancial Fund: Yellowcake can raise up to $100M per year to buy uranium from Kazatomprom (and if necessary, other sources) through 2027.pending raising funds by trading at a premium to NAV2024 - 2026near term⚠️ 2024: none as of 11/11/2024
⚠️ 2025: TBD
(up to $100M of uranium per year through 2027 -- could be renewed beyond then)
twitter.com/piterloskot82/status/1486680905783689221
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DemandFinancial fund buying lbsMultiple financial fundsFinancial Funds: Zuri fund, hedge funds, UROY, etcTBD2024 - 2026near termTBD-
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DemandUtilities restocking inventory levelsWestern utilitiesMike Alkin: "...10 - 20M lbs of potential inventory restocking by utilities."TBD2024 - 2026near term10 - 20M lbs total from 2024 - 2026Exploring the Uranium Bull Thesis and Structural Uranium Supply Deficit with Mike Alkin
30:15 mark: Mike says "...10 - 20 M/lbs of potential inventory restocking..."
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DemandUtilities overfeeding or increasing tailsWestern utilitiesTBD if western utilities overfeed to get more enriched uranium and/or if they increase the tails % so the reactor fuel reloads can run longerTBD2024 - 2026near term3 - 10M lbs/yr-
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DemandGovernment supporting HALEU productionUSAThe Secretary shall implement all viable options to make HALEU available in quantities sufficient to maximize the potential for the Department to meet the needs and schedules of advanced nuclear reactor developers by:

By September 30, 2024, not less than 3 metric tons of HALEU.
By December 31, 2025, not less than an additional 8 metric tons of HALEU.
By June 30, 2026, not less than an additional 10 metric tons of HALEU.
pending DOE process2024near termTBDDOE Announces Next Steps to Build Domestic Uranium Supply for Advanced Nuclear Reactors As Part of President Biden’s Investing in America Agenda | Department of Energy

https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20231211/FY24%20NDAA%20Conference%20Report%20-%20%20FINAL.pdf

https://www.energy.gov/ne/haleu-availability-program
https://x.com/quakes99/status/1757424814871212173?s=20
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DemandGovernment buyingUSAUS strategic 'Uranium Reserve' reborn and merged with the 'American Assured Fuel Supply Program' as part of the NDAA signed into law in December.

The initial $1.5 billion Uranium Reserve plan was intended to span 10 years to buy uranium from domestic mines and companies for conversion services.
✅ done
TBD the amounts and when they purchase
03/08/2024 passed the House and Senatenear term and mid term⚠️ 3 - 5M more lbs bought from 2024 - 2030
(that is an estimate on top of the 1M lbs already purchased and separate from funds spent on conversion)
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1764756364906422640
twitter.com/quakes99/status/1745169409889669377
Senate nuclear fuel bill targets “all viable options” for LEU and HALEU supply
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-16/us-to-offer-up-to-3-4-billion-for-nuclear-fuel-makers-in-june
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DemandJapanese loansJapan UtilitiesMarket sources estimated 2,000 - 10,000 tU of Japanese nuclear fuel inventories (5 - 25M lbs of U3O8 equivalent) may have been loaned to ConverDyn, Orano and others.pending future repayment2024 - 3032near term and mid term5 - 25M lbs of U3O8 equivalentNuclear Fuel: Japanese Utilities Largely Reluctant to Sell Inventories | Energy Intelligence
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DemandNew reactorsFrance EDFFrance to build 8 new nuclear plants on top of 6 already announced (14 total).✅ announcedJanuary 2024long term✅ 10M lbs/yr for decades
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
France To Build 'Beyond' Planned Six New Nuclear Plants | Barron's
France / Energy Minister Says Draft Law Has Been Prepared For Construction Of Eight More Nuclear Reactors :: NucNet
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DemandNew reactorsIran GovtIran government building 4 nuclear power plants (5GW).✅ doneFebruary 2024long term✅ 2M lbs/yr from 2032 - 2072+
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
Iran begins building 4 more nuclear power plants | AP News
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DemandNew reactorsRosatomLeningrad 7 and 8 new VVER-1200 reactors (2.4GW) aiming to enter commercial operation in 2030 and 2032.✅ doneJanuary 2024long term✅ 540k lbs/yr starting 2028 and increasing to 1.1M lbs/yr starting 2030
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
Licences issued for main stage of Leningrad 7 and 8 construction
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DemandPower upratesConstellation EnergyUprate the Byron and Braidwood plants by a combined 135MW by 2029.✅ announcedFebruary 2024mid term and long term✅ 60k lbs/yr from 2027 - 2047x.com/z_axis_capital/status/1762144021940441470?s=20
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DemandNew reactorsGhana GovtGhana signed a deal with China for the construction of a HPR1000 plant (1.2GW).✅ announcedApril 2024mid term and long term✅ 540k lbs/yr from 2030 - 2080+
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
https://energynewsafrica.com/ghana-signs-deal-with-china-for-the-construction-of-hpr1000-nuclear-power-project/
https://gh.usembassy.gov/u-s-and-ghana-advance-cooperation-on-clean-secure-safe-and-reliable-nuclear-energy/
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DemandNew reactorsUAE Emirates Nuclear Energy CoUAE to solicit bids for 4 more reactors (5.6GW) with the first operational in 2032.✅ announcedApril 2024mid term and long term✅ 2.5M lbs/yr from 2030 - 2080+
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/uae-planning-second-nuclear-power-plant-sources-say-2024-04-26/
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DemandNew reactorsCzech Govt and KHNPIn July 2024, Czech government selected South Korea's KHNP to build up to 4 new nuclear reactors (4GW). Construction of the first unit is expected to start in 2029, with the reactor to go online by 2036.

process next steps2025long termstarting at 500k lbs/yr in 2034 and increasing to 2M lbs/yr
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
x.com/mrfriebe/status/1752718329310036342?s=20Czechs ask French, S.Korean firms for binding bids for up to 4 nuclear blocks | Reuters
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DemandNew reactorsSloveniaSlovenia has plans to build a new nuclear power plant - the JEK2 project - with up to 2.4GW capacity next to its existing nuclear power plant Krško.pending referendumlate 2024 - mid 2025long term1.1M lbs/yr in the 2030s
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
Slovenia aiming for referendum on new nuclear this year
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DemandNew reactorsSouth AfricaThe DMRE confirmed it intends to start procurement for 2.5GW of new nuclear capacity.funding approvallate 2024 - mid 2025long term1.2M lbs/yr in the 2030s
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
South Africa opens draft IRP energy plan for public commentLatest Plans to Increase Nuclear Energy in South Africa | White & Case LLP
75
DemandNew reactorsUkraineKhmelnytskyi units 3 and 4 were started in the '80s and mothballed. Those two reactors were Russian VVER designs. Ukraine would like to resume construction in 2024/2025 (with equipment from Bulgaria).

Khmelnytskyi units 5 and 6 are planned to be two AP1000 reactors.
pending construction startlate 2024 - mid 2025mid term and long termTBDtwitter.com/HopfJames/status/1772321608310604210
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DemandNew reactorsChinaIn August 2024, China approved 11 new reactors at 5 nuclear power plants: Xuwei Phase I, Lufeng Phase I, Zhaoyuan Phase I, San'ao Phase II and Bailong Phase I.✅ announcedAugust 2024mid term and long term✅ 5.4M lbs/yr from 2033 - 2082+
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
China approves 11 new reactors
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DemandNew reactorsRussiaIn August 2024, Russia's announced that its 2042 energy plan will include 11 new nuclear power plants.✅ announcedAugust 2024long term✅ 5.4M lbs/yr from 2038 - 2087+
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
Russia's 2042 energy plan includes 11 new nuclear power plants | News.az
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DemandNew reactorsKazakhstanOn Sunday October 6 2024, a national vote took place where 70% voted in favor to build a nuclear power plant in the country.TBD next step2025long termTBDNearly 70% of Voters Support Nuclear Power Plant Construction, Exit Poll Shows - The Astana Times
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DemandNew ship reactorsFranceFrance will build a nuclear powered aircraft carrier with dual K22 reactors (440MW).✅ announcedOctober 2024mid term and long term✅ TBDThe French Navy's next-generation nuclear aircraft carrier will be ordered in 2025
80
DemandPlant restartNextEraRestart the 615MW Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa, which shut down in 2020, as technology companies desperate to build massive data centers in the US have asked clean-energy giant NextEra Energy to find them locations with enough electricity to power entire cities.

October 23 2024: Company said that it is conducting engineering studies and speaking with federal regulators about restarting its Duane Arnold nuclear plant.

October 29 2024: Company announced that it will sell equity to raise $1.5 billion to fund investments in energy and power projects.
TBDTBDmid term275k lbs/yr starting at a TBD date
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
NextEra considers nuclear restart in Iowa, while renewable deals swell | ReutersTech Firms Ask NextEra for Enough Electricity to Power Entire Cities - BNN Bloomberg
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DemandPlant restartConstellation EnergyRestart the 819MW unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Pennsylvania.

Constellation Energy is in discussions with the US state of Pennsylvania governor’s office and state legislators regarding funding for a potential restart.
✅ announcedSeptember 2024near term and mid term✅ 370k lbs/yr from 2026 - 2045
(plus lbs for initial core loads)
Constellation talking to Pennsylvania on Three Mile Island restart, sources say | Reuters
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DemandSMRsKairos Power and GoogleKairos Power and Google signed a Master Plant Development Agreement to deploy a U.S. fleet of advanced nuclear power projects totaling 500MW by 2035 with the first deployment by 2030.✅ announcedOctober 2024mid term and long termTBD
83
DemandSMRsAmazon, Energy Northwest and X-energyOctober 2024: "In Washington, our agreement with Energy Northwest, a consortium of state public utilities, will enable the development of 4 advanced SMRs. The reactors will be constructed, owned and operated by Energy Northwest, and are expected to generate roughly 320MW of capacity for the first phase of the project, with the option to increase to 960MW total."

"We’re also making an investment in X-energy, a leading developer of next-generation SMR reactors and fuel, and X-energy’s advanced nuclear reactor design will be used in the Energy Northwest project. The investment includes manufacturing capacity to develop the SMR equipment to support more than 5GW of new nuclear energy projects utilizing X-energy’s technology."
✅ announcedOctober 2024mid term and long termTBD
84
DemandSMRsAmazon and Dominion EnergyOctober 2024: "In Virginia, we’ve signed an agreement with utility company Dominion Energy to explore the development of an SMR project near Dominion’s existing North Anna nuclear power station. This will bring at least 300MW of power to the Virginia region."✅ announcedOctober 2024mid term and long termTBD
85
DemandSMRsOracle and TBD PartnerSeptember 2024: Oracle is planning to build 1GW data center powered by 3 small nuclear reactors (SMRs), according to founder Larry Ellison.

CTO and chairman Ellison told investors during an earnings call this week that Oracle currently has 162 cloud data centers in operation or under construction globally, the largest of which has a capacity of 800MW and is set to house Nvidia GPU clusters. The company will "soon" begin the construction of data centers that surpass a gigawatt of capacity, according to Ellison.

Ellison said, has a location already selected and is in the middle of the design process. The data center is set to be nuclear-powered, with Oracle already having building permits for three small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs).
pending2025mid term and long termTBDOracle to build nuclear SMR-powered gigawatt data center - DCD
86
DemandSMRsNuScale and Standard PowerNuScale reported to ink a $1.5 Billion Reactor Equipment Deal with South Korea’s Doosan Enerbility to build up to 24 SMRs for 2 US data centers in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

According to data center trade press reports, Standard Power wants the SMRs for 2 massive data centers, 12 of them in Ohio and the other 12 in Pennsylvania. Each site will need 12 of NuScale’s 77MW SMR for a total at each site of 924MW of power for each data center or nearly 2GW in all.
TBD2024 - 2025mid term and long termTBDhttps://neutronbytes.com/2024/05/27/nuscale-reported-to-ink-a-1-5-billion-reactor-equipment-deal-with-south-koreas-doosan-enerbility-to-build-smrs-for-two-us-data-centers/
87
DemandSMRsOrlen Synthos and GE HitachiPoland's Ministry of Climate and Environment has issued decisions-in-principle for the construction of power plants based on GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy's BWRX-300 small modular reactor (SMR) at six locations. A total of 24 BWRX-300 reactors are planned at the sites.pending regulatory process2024 - 2026near, mid and long termTBDSix SMR power plants approved in Poland : New Nuclear

https://world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Companies-sign-agreements-to-support-Polish-SMR-de
Polish Ministry issues positive decision on SMRs despite opposition from security service - Nuclear Engineering International
88
DemandSMRsKGHM Polska and NuScaleA decision-in-principle has also been issued for producer KGHM Polska Miedź SA's plan to construct a NuScale VOYGR modular nuclear power plant with a capacity of 462MW consisting of six modules, each with a capacity of 77MW.pending regulatory process2024 - 2025near, mid and long termTBDhttps://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Six-SMR-power-plants-approved-in-Poland
89
DemandSMRsEstoniaEstonia plans to build up to 4 BWRX-300s by 2030s. The vote passed Parliament in June 2024. The first SMR is planned to be operational in 2035.vote passed
pending regulatory process
2024long termTBDEstonia / Parliament Resolution Paves Way For Establishing Nuclear Energy LegislationEstonia plans small nuclear reactor to quit oil shale by 2030 – Euractiv
90
DemandSMRsPoland and UKLast Energy announced power purchase agreements for 34 units of its 20MW power plants with 4 industrial partners across Poland and the UK. 10 plants are planned for the Katowicka Special Economic Zone (KSSE) in Poland and an additional 24 plants in the United Kingdom. Last energy is targeting 2026 as the commissioning date for the first power plant to come online. pending2024 - 2025near and mid termDemand comes online in stages
TBD
Last Energy Announces Fleet of 34 Micro Modular Nuclear Power Plants Across UK and Poland, Supporting Industry With Zero Carbon Baseload Power
91
DemandSMRsKairos PowerThe Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) approved a construction permit for Kairos Power’s 35MW Hermes molten salt demonstration reactor.

The Department of Energy signed an agreement to provide up to $303 million for designing, building and commissioning the Tennessee test reactor.
pending2024 - 2025mid term and long termTBDDOE inks $303M deal for advanced nuclear reactor - E&E News by POLITICOKairos' Hermes Secures First NRC Green Light for Advanced Nuclear Non-LWR Reactor
92
DemandSMRsKairos PowerThe Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has wrapped up its final safety evaluation for Kairos Power’s Hermes 2 “low power” advanced test facility, comprising two 20MW test molten salt reactors—similar to the Hermes 1 “non-power” demonstration reactor for which the regulatory body issued a construction permit in December 2023.

It plans to begin operating Hermes 2’s two units—a combined electrical output of 20MW — by December 2027, anticipating they would have a licensed lifetime of 11 years.
pending2024 - 2025mid term and long termTBDUS regulator issues environmental assessment for two-unit test reactor : New NuclearKairos Power Gets NRC Green Light for Second Molten Salt Nuclear Facility
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Uranium Catalysts in 2026 and Beyond
Most of these catalysts are in addition to the 1.5 billion lb supply deficit between 2024 - 2040.
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DemandSMRsCNNCThe Linglong One (ACP-100) is set to be the first onshore SMR in commercial operation from 2026 – 2027. The first-of-a-kind installation is under construction at the site of the Changjiang nuclear power plant in the Hainan province in China, where CNNC poured first concrete in July 2021.construction2026near termTBD (2025 and forward for fuel cycle)2023: A Transformative Year for Small Modular Nuclear Reactors
97
DemandSMRsRosatomThe Rosatom Engineering Division in St Petersburg has begun manufacturing components of various configurations for its first low-power ground-based NPP (ASMM), which will be equipped with the latest RITM-200N reactor unit. The pilot station will include one power unit with the RITM-200N reactor unit. The thermal power of RITM-200N is 190 MWt and the electric power 55MW. The installation has an operating life of 60 years and will be refuelled every 5-6 years. The commissioning of the station is scheduled for 2028.

June 2024: Bychkov said..."we are working with federal ministries and agencies on the topic of transitioning to a two-unit design." (an additional 55MW)
manufacturing componentsTBDnear termTBD (2026 and forward for fuel cycle)Rosatom starts production for small nuclear power plant in Yakutia
98
DemandSMRsPhilippinesEnergy officials are eyeing the generation of 2.4GW of power through small modular reactors (SMRs) by 2032.

In a report by The Manila Times, Energy Assistant Secretary Mario Marasigan said that this technology would provide enhanced safety features, scalability, and efficient waste management.
TBDTBDmid termTBD (2030 and forward for fuel cycle)DOE eyes 2,400 MW for small modular reactors | Power PhilippinesPHL aims to add 1,200-MW nuclear power capacity using innovative SMR technologies - Daily Guardian
99
DemandSMRsWestinghouse and SaskatchewanWestinghouse’s 5-MWe/13-MWth for the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC). A Saskatchewan government Treasury Board Crown Corporation said it plans to pilot an eVinci microreactor by 2029.

In March 2024, Saskatchewan allocated an additional $21.5M for the project.
TBDTBDmid termTBD (2027 and forward for fuel cycle)Province Invests into SRC to Continue Innovative Research and Technology WorkWestinghouse Secures First Customer for eVinci Nuclear Microreactor
100
DemandSMRsUK Community Nuclear and WestinghouseWestinghouse signed deal to build 4 of its AP300 SMRs in the UK with commercial operation expected by the early 2030s.TBDTBDlong termTBD (2030 and forward for fuel cycle)Westinghouse and UK’s Community Nuclear Power Collaborate to Deploy Fleet of AP300™ Small Modular Reactors | Business Wirehttps://twitter.com/WECNuclear/status/1755596821907259797