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UsernamePrediction
(Use existing blank rows instead of adding a new row)		Date of PredictionPrediction DeadlineCorrect?Link to predictionLink to resultsFinal ThoughtsWager?User Wagered AgainstDynamic
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SunhelmPositive earnings in Q2 20163 Jun 20163 Aug 2016NoBut only off by one quarter. - evpSunhelm |Positive earnings in Q2 2016 |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 03 Aug 2016 |No | | |But only off by one quarter. - evp | | | |Sunhelm |Positive earnings in Q2 2016 |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 03 Aug 2016 |No | | |But only off by one quarter. - evp | | | |
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Oil4AsphaultOnlyTesla delivers 26k (+/- 1k) cars in Q3 201621 Sep 20163 Oct 2016Nohttp://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/2707351374x0x913801/F9E5C36A-AFDD-4FF2-A375-ED9B0F912622/Q3_16_Update_Letter_-_final.pdfTesla: "Our final Q3 delivery count was 24,821"Oil4AsphaultOnly |Tesla delivers 26k (+/- 1k) cars in Q3 2016 |◘ 21 Sep 2016 |◘ 03 Oct 2016 |No | |http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/2707351374x0x913801/F9E5C36A-AFDD-4FF2-A375-ED9B0F912622/Q3_16_Update_Letter_-_final.pdf |Tesla: "Our final Q3 delivery count was 24,821" | | | |Oil4AsphaultOnly |Tesla delivers 26k (+/- 1k) cars in Q3 2016 |◘ 21 Sep 2016 |◘ 03 Oct 2016 |No | |http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/2707351374x0x913801/F9E5C36A-AFDD-4FF2-A375-ED9B0F912622/Q3_16_Update_Letter_-_final.pdf |Tesla: "Our final Q3 delivery count was 24,821" | | | |
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9837264723849New instrument panel with HUD for S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's.15 Jun 201631 Dec 2016Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/NoneNone9837264723849 |New instrument panel with HUD for S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's. |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/ | | | |None |None |9837264723849 |New instrument panel with HUD for S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's. |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/ | | | |None |None |
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TroyIn 2016 Tesla will deliver between 78,000 and 82,000 vehicles.17 Aug 201631 Dec 2016Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/Tesla delivered 76,285 cars in 2016.Troy |In 2016 Tesla will deliver between 78,000 and 82,000 vehicles. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/ | |Tesla delivered 76,285 cars in 2016. | | | |Troy |In 2016 Tesla will deliver between 78,000 and 82,000 vehicles. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/ | |Tesla delivered 76,285 cars in 2016. | | | |
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TroyThe Model S 100D's EPA rated range will be more than 340 miles.27 Aug 201631 Jan 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/Troy says, advertised EPA is 335 miles but EPA documents reveal that the car scored 341 mi EPA before Tesla voluntarily lowered it toi 335 miles. Troy |The Model S 100D's EPA rated range will be more than 340 miles. |◘ 27 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/ | |Troy says, advertised EPA is 335 miles but EPA documents reveal that the car scored 341 mi EPA before Tesla voluntarily lowered it toi 335 miles. | | | |Troy |The Model S 100D's EPA rated range will be more than 340 miles. |◘ 27 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/ | |Troy says, advertised EPA is 335 miles but EPA documents reveal that the car scored 341 mi EPA before Tesla voluntarily lowered it toi 335 miles. | | | |
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YggdrasillFactory standard Model S tow hitch available within 12 months31 May 201631 May 2017NoNoneNoneYggdrasill |Factory standard Model S tow hitch available within 12 months |◘ 31 May 2016 |◘ 31 May 2017 |No | | | | |None |None |Yggdrasill |Factory standard Model S tow hitch available within 12 months |◘ 31 May 2016 |◘ 31 May 2017 |No | | | | |None |None |
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nerodenBase Model 3 will have equal or higher EPA rated range than Chevy Bolt.5 Apr 201730 Sep 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2042059/neroden |Base Model 3 will have equal or higher EPA rated range than Chevy Bolt. |◘ 05 Apr 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2042059/ | | | | | |neroden |Base Model 3 will have equal or higher EPA rated range than Chevy Bolt. |◘ 05 Apr 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2042059/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe longest-range version of the Model 3 will have between 290-304 miles EPA rated range.30 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/310 milesTroy |The longest-range version of the Model 3 will have between 290-304 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | |310 miles | | | |Troy |The longest-range version of the Model 3 will have between 290-304 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | |310 miles | | | |
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EinSVX deliveries will exceed S deliveries by Q3 201721 Mar 20175 Oct 2017NoModel S price drop made it tough for X to catch upEinSV |X deliveries will exceed S deliveries by Q3 2017 |◘ 21 Mar 2017 |◘ 05 Oct 2017 |No | | |Model S price drop made it tough for X to catch up | | | |EinSV |X deliveries will exceed S deliveries by Q3 2017 |◘ 21 Mar 2017 |◘ 05 Oct 2017 |No | | |Model S price drop made it tough for X to catch up | | | |
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evpModel 3 will include Head Up Display28 May 201631 Dec 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1557121/https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664NoneNoneevp |Model 3 will include Head Up Display |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1557121/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664 | | |None |None |evp |Model 3 will include Head Up Display |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1557121/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664 | | |None |None |
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evpFirst model 3s will be delivered the last week of 201728 May 201631 Dec 2017NoI'm amazed that the first Model 3 will be finished tomorrow.NoneNoneevp |First model 3s will be delivered the last week of 2017 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | |I'm amazed that the first Model 3 will be finished tomorrow. | |None |None |evp |First model 3s will be delivered the last week of 2017 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | |I'm amazed that the first Model 3 will be finished tomorrow. | |None |None |
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Elon Musk100,000-200,000 Model 3's in second half of 20174 May 201631 Dec 2017Nohttps://youtu.be/RuMxtWC36Os?t=611Elon Musk |100,000-200,000 Model 3's in second half of 2017 |◘ 04 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://youtu.be/RuMxtWC36Os?t=611 | | | | | |Elon Musk |100,000-200,000 Model 3's in second half of 2017 |◘ 04 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://youtu.be/RuMxtWC36Os?t=611 | | | | | |
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DaveTTesla will deliver 20,000-30,000 Model 3 cars by end of 2017, with most of them going to employees of Tesla and SpaceX.21 Sep 201631 Dec 2017NoDaveT |Tesla will deliver 20,000-30,000 Model 3 cars by end of 2017, with most of them going to employees of Tesla and SpaceX. |◘ 21 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |DaveT |Tesla will deliver 20,000-30,000 Model 3 cars by end of 2017, with most of them going to employees of Tesla and SpaceX. |◘ 21 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |
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NannerAirCraftTesla will deliver at least 30,000 Model 3's in 201724 Nov 201631 Dec 2017NoNannerAirCraft |Tesla will deliver at least 30,000 Model 3's in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |Tesla will deliver at least 30,000 Model 3's in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |
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NannerAirCraftThe Model 3 will deliver more than the Chevy Bolt in 201724 Nov 201631 Dec 2017NoNannerAirCraft |The Model 3 will deliver more than the Chevy Bolt in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |The Model 3 will deliver more than the Chevy Bolt in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |
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TroyEnhanced Autopilot description on the design studio says, "automatically change lanes without requiring driver input", but the car won't actually do this unless there is another car behind you in the target lane. For example, if you are behind a slow vehicle in the middle lane, EAP will change lanes by itself if there is another car in the left lane a safe distance behind you but it won't if the left lane is clear.20 Dec 201631 Dec 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1877163/Discussion: See my messages #95, #97, #112 here: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1805365/Troy |Enhanced Autopilot description on the design studio says, "automatically change lanes without requiring driver input", but the car won't actually do this unless there is another car behind you in the target lane. For example, if you are behind a slow vehicle in the middle lane, EAP will change lanes by itself if there is another car in the left lane a safe distance behind you but it won't if the left lane is clear. |◘ 20 Dec 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1877163/ | |Discussion: See my messages #95, #97, #112 here: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1805365/ | | | |Troy |Enhanced Autopilot description on the design studio says, "automatically change lanes without requiring driver input", but the car won't actually do this unless there is another car behind you in the target lane. For example, if you are behind a slow vehicle in the middle lane, EAP will change lanes by itself if there is another car in the left lane a safe distance behind you but it won't if the left lane is clear. |◘ 20 Dec 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1877163/ | |Discussion: See my messages #95, #97, #112 here: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1805365/ | | | |
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TroyDriverless auto park will work only on parking spaces that have been identified as a parking space by Tesla drivers in the past. First, the driver has to park the car in that space himself and then press a button on the touchscreen to identify this space as a parking space. Then, in the future, his car or any other AP2.0 Tesla will be able to auto park there driverlessly.24 Jan 201731 Dec 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1939309/Troy |Driverless auto park will work only on parking spaces that have been identified as a parking space by Tesla drivers in the past. First, the driver has to park the car in that space himself and then press a button on the touchscreen to identify this space as a parking space. Then, in the future, his car or any other AP2.0 Tesla will be able to auto park there driverlessly. |◘ 24 Jan 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1939309/ | | | | | |Troy |Driverless auto park will work only on parking spaces that have been identified as a parking space by Tesla drivers in the past. First, the driver has to park the car in that space himself and then press a button on the touchscreen to identify this space as a parking space. Then, in the future, his car or any other AP2.0 Tesla will be able to auto park there driverlessly. |◘ 24 Jan 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1939309/ | | | | | |
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TroyIn 2017 Tesla will deliver between 35,000 and 55,000 Model 3's.7 Mar 201731 Dec 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/Troy |In 2017 Tesla will deliver between 35,000 and 55,000 Model 3's. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |Troy |In 2017 Tesla will deliver between 35,000 and 55,000 Model 3's. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |
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TroyI predict that before the end of this year, Elon is going to say something along the lines of, "Even though the base Model 3 has a lower official range number than the Bolt, it has more real world range at highway speeds because of better aerodynamic efficiency."4 Apr 201731 Dec 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2039634/Troy |I predict that before the end of this year, Elon is going to say something along the lines of, "Even though the base Model 3 has a lower official range number than the Bolt, it has more real world range at highway speeds because of better aerodynamic efficiency." |◘ 04 Apr 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2039634/ | | | | | |Troy |I predict that before the end of this year, Elon is going to say something along the lines of, "Even though the base Model 3 has a lower official range number than the Bolt, it has more real world range at highway speeds because of better aerodynamic efficiency." |◘ 04 Apr 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2039634/ | | | | | |
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Evanmodel s 75kw will be discontinued and 85kw will be reintrouduced before 201813 May 201731 Dec 2017NoEvan |model s 75kw will be discontinued and 85kw will be reintrouduced before 2018 |◘ 13 May 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |Evan |model s 75kw will be discontinued and 85kw will be reintrouduced before 2018 |◘ 13 May 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |
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NannerAirCraftThe Model 3 will have more than 750,000 reservations when the first one is delivered24 Nov 201631 Mar 2018NoNannerAirCraft |The Model 3 will have more than 750,000 reservations when the first one is delivered |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Mar 2018 |No | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |The Model 3 will have more than 750,000 reservations when the first one is delivered |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Mar 2018 |No | | | | | | |
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X YesI will predict double digits, (below $100 USD) before the Model 3 release.4 Jul 201631 Dec 2018NoInitially predicted TSLA to be single digit by thenX Yes |I will predict double digits, (below $100 USD) before the Model 3 release. |◘ 04 Jul 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | |Initially predicted TSLA to be single digit by then | | | |X Yes |I will predict double digits, (below $100 USD) before the Model 3 release. |◘ 04 Jul 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | |Initially predicted TSLA to be single digit by then | | | |
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EinSVTSLA 2017 revenue 100+% more than TSLA+SCTY 2016 revenue24 Dec 201631 Dec 2017NoEinSV |TSLA 2017 revenue 100+% more than TSLA+SCTY 2016 revenue |◘ 24 Dec 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |EinSV |TSLA 2017 revenue 100+% more than TSLA+SCTY 2016 revenue |◘ 24 Dec 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |No | | | | | | |
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TroyI predict that by 10 Feb 2018 Tesla will either make the Model 3 SR available in the configurator or they will make the AWD available or they will send out the first batch of invites to non-owners.20 Jan 201810 Feb 2018Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2521310/Troy |I predict that by 10 Feb 2018 Tesla will either make the Model 3 SR available in the configurator or they will make the AWD available or they will send out the first batch of invites to non-owners. |◘ 20 Jan 2018 |◘ 10 Feb 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2521310/ | | | | | |Troy |I predict that by 10 Feb 2018 Tesla will either make the Model 3 SR available in the configurator or they will make the AWD available or they will send out the first batch of invites to non-owners. |◘ 20 Jan 2018 |◘ 10 Feb 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2521310/ | | | | | |
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YggdrasillTesla will have delivered 200k vehicles in the US in January 2018, starting the phaseout of the federal tax credit1 Aug 201710 Feb 2018NoYggdrasill |Tesla will have delivered 200k vehicles in the US in January 2018, starting the phaseout of the federal tax credit |◘ 01 Aug 2017 |◘ 10 Feb 2018 |No | | | | | | |Yggdrasill |Tesla will have delivered 200k vehicles in the US in January 2018, starting the phaseout of the federal tax credit |◘ 01 Aug 2017 |◘ 10 Feb 2018 |No | | | | | | |
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TroyThe best performance version of the Model 3 will have between 274-288 miles EPA rated range.31 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/Not released yet.Troy |The best performance version of the Model 3 will have between 274-288 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 31 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/ | |Not released yet. | | | |Troy |The best performance version of the Model 3 will have between 274-288 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 31 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/ | |Not released yet. | | | |
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TroyModel S/X will switch from AC induction motors to permanent magnet motors by the end of Q2 2018. The EPA rated range numbers of Model S/X cars will increase after this change.26 Aug 201730 Jun 2018NoTroy |Model S/X will switch from AC induction motors to permanent magnet motors by the end of Q2 2018. The EPA rated range numbers of Model S/X cars will increase after this change. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | | | | | |Troy |Model S/X will switch from AC induction motors to permanent magnet motors by the end of Q2 2018. The EPA rated range numbers of Model S/X cars will increase after this change. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | | | | | |
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TroyThe Model S 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018.26 Aug 201730 Jun 2018NoTroy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265Troy |The Model S 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | |Troy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265 | | | |Troy |The Model S 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | |Troy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265 | | | |
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TroyThe Model X 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018.26 Aug 201730 Jun 2018NoTroy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265Troy |The Model X 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | |Troy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265 | | | |Troy |The Model X 75D will be discontinued by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | |Troy: Elon says they will be discontinued on 14 Jan 2019. I was off by 6.5 months. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1083141248872075265 | | | |
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TroySmart air suspension will be available in the Model 3 before the performance version starts production, even though Tesla's compare page (tesla.com/compare) shows only coil suspension.2 Jun 201731 Jul 2018Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/Looks promising https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/903132822700867586Troy |Smart air suspension will be available in the Model 3 before the performance version starts production, even though Tesla's compare page (tesla.com/compare) shows only coil suspension. |◘ 02 Jun 2017 |◘ 31 Jul 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/ | |Looks promising https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/903132822700867586 | | | |Troy |Smart air suspension will be available in the Model 3 before the performance version starts production, even though Tesla's compare page (tesla.com/compare) shows only coil suspension. |◘ 02 Jun 2017 |◘ 31 Jul 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/ | |Looks promising https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/903132822700867586 | | | |
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EinSVTesla will exceed 500,000 deliveries in 201828 May 201631 Dec 2018NoEinSV |Tesla will exceed 500,000 deliveries in 2018 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | | | | | |EinSV |Tesla will exceed 500,000 deliveries in 2018 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | | | | | |
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SunCatcherFor the 1st year out, Model 3s will have a resale value of up to 25% higher than original purch price.10 Jul 201631 Dec 2018NoTesla unable to meet massive demand. Bidding wars occur over used M3s available.SunCatcher |For the 1st year out, Model 3s will have a resale value of up to 25% higher than original purch price. |◘ 10 Jul 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | |Tesla unable to meet massive demand. Bidding wars occur over used M3s available. | | | |SunCatcher |For the 1st year out, Model 3s will have a resale value of up to 25% higher than original purch price. |◘ 10 Jul 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No | | |Tesla unable to meet massive demand. Bidding wars occur over used M3s available. | | | |
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TroyTesla will add the new center console with two smartphone docks to the Model S/X by the end of Q2 2018.26 Aug 201730 Jun 2018NoTroy |Tesla will add the new center console with two smartphone docks to the Model S/X by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | | | | | |Troy |Tesla will add the new center console with two smartphone docks to the Model S/X by the end of Q2 2018. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 30 Jun 2018 |No | | | | | | |
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TroyThe current Tesla hypermiling record stands at 1078 km (670 miles) achieved in a Model S 100D. A Model 3 will beat this score by the end of 2018.5 Sep 201731 Dec 2018Nohttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2291998/https://electrek.co/2018/07/16/tesla-model-3-autopilot-unmanned-hypermiling-record/No. Max was 622 mi with Model 3.Troy |The current Tesla hypermiling record stands at 1078 km (670 miles) achieved in a Model S 100D. A Model 3 will beat this score by the end of 2018. |◘ 05 Sep 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2291998/ |https://electrek.co/2018/07/16/tesla-model-3-autopilot-unmanned-hypermiling-record/ |No. Max was 622 mi with Model 3. | | | |Troy |The current Tesla hypermiling record stands at 1078 km (670 miles) achieved in a Model S 100D. A Model 3 will beat this score by the end of 2018. |◘ 05 Sep 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |No |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2291998/ |https://electrek.co/2018/07/16/tesla-model-3-autopilot-unmanned-hypermiling-record/ |No. Max was 622 mi with Model 3. | | | |
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TroyBetween 10-20 April 2019, Tesla will announce that all cars coming out of the production line have Autopilot Hardware 3.014 Mar 201920 Apr 2019NoTroy: Elon made the announcement on 22 Apr 2019. My prediction was 10-20 Apr. It hurts to mark this as incorrect.Troy |Between 10-20 April 2019, Tesla will announce that all cars coming out of the production line have Autopilot Hardware 3.0 |◘ 14 Mar 2019 |◘ 20 Apr 2019 |No | | |Troy: Elon made the announcement on 22 Apr 2019. My prediction was 10-20 Apr. It hurts to mark this as incorrect. | | | |Troy |Between 10-20 April 2019, Tesla will announce that all cars coming out of the production line have Autopilot Hardware 3.0 |◘ 14 Mar 2019 |◘ 20 Apr 2019 |No | | |Troy: Elon made the announcement on 22 Apr 2019. My prediction was 10-20 Apr. It hurts to mark this as incorrect. | | | |
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Yggdrasill100 kWh Model S and Model X on the Tesla website within 3 months30 May 201631 Aug 2016Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1558685/https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/new-tesla-model-s-now-quickest-production-car-world?redirect=nohttps://web.archive.org/web/20160825232932/https://www.tesla.com/NoneNoneYggdrasill |100 kWh Model S and Model X on the Tesla website within 3 months |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Aug 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1558685/ |https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/new-tesla-model-s-now-quickest-production-car-world?redirect=no |https://web.archive.org/web/20160825232932/https://www.tesla.com/ | |None |None |Yggdrasill |100 kWh Model S and Model X on the Tesla website within 3 months |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Aug 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1558685/ |https://www.tesla.com/en_GB/blog/new-tesla-model-s-now-quickest-production-car-world?redirect=no |https://web.archive.org/web/20160825232932/https://www.tesla.com/ | |None |None |
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9837264723849New autopilot hardware suite for the S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's.15 Jun 201631 Dec 2016Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/9837264723849 |New autopilot hardware suite for the S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's. |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/ | | | | | |9837264723849 |New autopilot hardware suite for the S and X. Same as the upcoming Model 3's. |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1583505/ | | | | | |
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TroyTesla will end the current free for life supercharging system by the end of 2016.4 Sep 201631 Dec 2016Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1712846/https://www.tesla.com/blog/update-our-supercharging-program?redirect=noTroy |Tesla will end the current free for life supercharging system by the end of 2016. |◘ 04 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1712846/ |https://www.tesla.com/blog/update-our-supercharging-program?redirect=no | | | | |Troy |Tesla will end the current free for life supercharging system by the end of 2016. |◘ 04 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2016 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1712846/ |https://www.tesla.com/blog/update-our-supercharging-program?redirect=no | | | | |
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TroyThe Model S 100D will be available on the design studio before 31st Jan 201727 Aug 201631 Jan 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/https://electrek.co/2017/01/20/tesla-longest-range-car-model-s-100d-with-335-miles/The 100D was released on 20th Jan 2017.Troy |The Model S 100D will be available on the design studio before 31st Jan 2017 |◘ 27 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/ |https://electrek.co/2017/01/20/tesla-longest-range-car-model-s-100d-with-335-miles/ |The 100D was released on 20th Jan 2017. | | | |Troy |The Model S 100D will be available on the design studio before 31st Jan 2017 |◘ 27 Aug 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1823486/ |https://electrek.co/2017/01/20/tesla-longest-range-car-model-s-100d-with-335-miles/ |The 100D was released on 20th Jan 2017. | | | |
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DynastarAero covers standard on model 3, EPA range calculated with them installed.20 Jun 201730 Jul 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2155930/Dynastar |Aero covers standard on model 3, EPA range calculated with them installed. |◘ 20 Jun 2017 |◘ 30 Jul 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2155930/ | | | | | |Dynastar |Aero covers standard on model 3, EPA range calculated with them installed. |◘ 20 Jun 2017 |◘ 30 Jul 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2155930/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe Model S 60 and 60D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017.9 Mar 201731 Aug 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/https://electrek.co/2017/03/17/tesla-discontinuing-model-s-60-kwh-battery-pack/Tesla has confirmed that the 60 kWh will be discontinued on 16 April 2017Troy |The Model S 60 and 60D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017. |◘ 09 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Aug 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/ |https://electrek.co/2017/03/17/tesla-discontinuing-model-s-60-kwh-battery-pack/ |Tesla has confirmed that the 60 kWh will be discontinued on 16 April 2017 | | | |Troy |The Model S 60 and 60D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017. |◘ 09 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Aug 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/ |https://electrek.co/2017/03/17/tesla-discontinuing-model-s-60-kwh-battery-pack/ |Tesla has confirmed that the 60 kWh will be discontinued on 16 April 2017 | | | |
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TroyThe Model S 90D and Model X 90D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017.9 Mar 201731 Aug 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/https://electrek.co/2017/06/02/tesla-discontinue-90-kwh-battery-pack/Troy |The Model S 90D and Model X 90D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017. |◘ 09 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Aug 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/ |https://electrek.co/2017/06/02/tesla-discontinue-90-kwh-battery-pack/ | | | | |Troy |The Model S 90D and Model X 90D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017. |◘ 09 Mar 2017 |◘ 31 Aug 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2003279/ |https://electrek.co/2017/06/02/tesla-discontinue-90-kwh-battery-pack/ | | | | |
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TroyThe first Model 3 deliveries (to Tesla insiders, not to regular customers) will start before 30th Sep 2017.17 Aug 201630 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1685843/Troy |The first Model 3 deliveries (to Tesla insiders, not to regular customers) will start before 30th Sep 2017. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1685843/ | | | | | |Troy |The first Model 3 deliveries (to Tesla insiders, not to regular customers) will start before 30th Sep 2017. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1685843/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe Model 3 won't have a HUD when it's released.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664Troy |The Model 3 won't have a HUD when it's released. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664 | | | | |Troy |The Model 3 won't have a HUD when it's released. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/846768497904369664 | | | | |
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TroyModel 3 will be released in two battery sizes, not three.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/Troy |Model 3 will be released in two battery sizes, not three. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |Troy |Model 3 will be released in two battery sizes, not three. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe Model 3 won't have any software limited battery pack option when released.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/Troy |The Model 3 won't have any software limited battery pack option when released. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |Troy |The Model 3 won't have any software limited battery pack option when released. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe base model of Model 3 will have between 216-226 miles EPA rated range.30 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/Troy |The base model of Model 3 will have between 216-226 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | | | | | |Troy |The base model of Model 3 will have between 216-226 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe base model of Model 3 will have less range than the Chevy Bolt's 238 miles EPA rated range. 30 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/Troy |The base model of Model 3 will have less range than the Chevy Bolt's 238 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | | | | | |Troy |The base model of Model 3 will have less range than the Chevy Bolt's 238 miles EPA rated range. |◘ 30 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2032741/ | | | | | |
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TroyThe largest Model 3 battery size will be 75 kWh.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/https://www.scribd.com/document/365366630/Tesla-Model-3-Owners-ManualPage 137 on the Model 3 manual shows 75 kWhTroy |The largest Model 3 battery size will be 75 kWh. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://www.scribd.com/document/365366630/Tesla-Model-3-Owners-Manual |Page 137 on the Model 3 manual shows 75 kWh | | | |Troy |The largest Model 3 battery size will be 75 kWh. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://www.scribd.com/document/365366630/Tesla-Model-3-Owners-Manual |Page 137 on the Model 3 manual shows 75 kWh | | | |
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NannerAirCraftTesla will deliver at least one Model 3 in Q3 201724 Nov 201631 Oct 2017YesNannerAirCraft |Tesla will deliver at least one Model 3 in Q3 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Oct 2017 |Yes | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |Tesla will deliver at least one Model 3 in Q3 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Oct 2017 |Yes | | | | | | |
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Crowded MindTesla will not deliver more than 75k Model 3s in 201728 May 201631 Dec 2017YesNoneNoneCrowded Mind |Tesla will not deliver more than 75k Model 3s in 2017 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |Yes | | | | |None |None |Crowded Mind |Tesla will not deliver more than 75k Model 3s in 2017 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |Yes | | | | |None |None |
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TroyThe Model S and X won't switch to 2170 cells in 2017.2 Jun 201731 Dec 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/876829309695967232Troy |The Model S and X won't switch to 2170 cells in 2017. |◘ 02 Jun 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/876829309695967232 | | | | |Troy |The Model S and X won't switch to 2170 cells in 2017. |◘ 02 Jun 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2131275/ |https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/876829309695967232 | | | | |
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PandoModel R (Roadster) unveiled, fastest street-legal car ever. Production scheduled for 2020.3 Jun 201631 Dec 2018Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1565139/NoneNonePando |Model R (Roadster) unveiled, fastest street-legal car ever. Production scheduled for 2020. |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1565139/ | | | |None |None |Pando |Model R (Roadster) unveiled, fastest street-legal car ever. Production scheduled for 2020. |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1565139/ | | | |None |None |
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TroyWhen the configurator for the Model 3 opens, the 0-60 time for the quickest version will be 3.5 seconds or less.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/https://i.imgur.com/YQYJ5fm.jpgTroy |When the configurator for the Model 3 opens, the 0-60 time for the quickest version will be 3.5 seconds or less. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://i.imgur.com/YQYJ5fm.jpg | | | | |Troy |When the configurator for the Model 3 opens, the 0-60 time for the quickest version will be 3.5 seconds or less. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ |https://i.imgur.com/YQYJ5fm.jpg | | | | |
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TroyThe Model 3 75D will have a lower 0-60 mph time than the Model S 75D's 5.2s.31 Mar 201730 Sep 2017Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/The 0-60 time of this model is not released yet.Troy |The Model 3 75D will have a lower 0-60 mph time than the Model S 75D's 5.2s. |◘ 31 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/ | |The 0-60 time of this model is not released yet. | | | |Troy |The Model 3 75D will have a lower 0-60 mph time than the Model S 75D's 5.2s. |◘ 31 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2034809/ | |The 0-60 time of this model is not released yet. | | | |
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TroyToday, the most expensive Model S starts at $140,000 before options. On 1st Sep 2018, the most expensive Model S will start at $136,000 or less before options.26 Aug 20171 Sep 2018Yeshttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2273352/https://seekingalpha.com/article/4204863-teslas-collapse-china-spells-trouble-2h-profitsThe starting price of Model S P100D before options was $135,000 on 1st Sep 2018.Troy |Today, the most expensive Model S starts at $140,000 before options. On 1st Sep 2018, the most expensive Model S will start at $136,000 or less before options. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 01 Sep 2018 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2273352/ |https://seekingalpha.com/article/4204863-teslas-collapse-china-spells-trouble-2h-profits |The starting price of Model S P100D before options was $135,000 on 1st Sep 2018. | | | |Troy |Today, the most expensive Model S starts at $140,000 before options. On 1st Sep 2018, the most expensive Model S will start at $136,000 or less before options. |◘ 26 Aug 2017 |◘ 01 Sep 2018 |Yes |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2273352/ |https://seekingalpha.com/article/4204863-teslas-collapse-china-spells-trouble-2h-profits |The starting price of Model S P100D before options was $135,000 on 1st Sep 2018. | | | |
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TroyThe smallest Model 3 battery size will be 55 kWh.7 Mar 201730 Sep 2017https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/Not released yet.Troy |The smallest Model 3 battery size will be 55 kWh. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | |Not released yet. | | | |Troy |The smallest Model 3 battery size will be 55 kWh. |◘ 07 Mar 2017 |◘ 30 Sep 2017 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/2000916/ | |Not released yet. | | | |
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SebastianRTesla Semi will not include battery swapping25 Aug 20171 Nov 2017SebastianR |Tesla Semi will not include battery swapping |◘ 25 Aug 2017 |◘ 01 Nov 2017 | | | | | | | |SebastianR |Tesla Semi will not include battery swapping |◘ 25 Aug 2017 |◘ 01 Nov 2017 | | | | | | | |
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NannerAirCraftTesla Energy will have at least $1 Billion in revenue in 201724 Nov 201631 Dec 2017NannerAirCraft |Tesla Energy will have at least $1 Billion in revenue in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 | | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |Tesla Energy will have at least $1 Billion in revenue in 2017 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2017 | | | | | | | |
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EVlutionNew 2170 battery cell will allow some versions of the Model 3 to have the highest range of any EV at the time of production.26 Nov 201628 Feb 2018EVlution |New 2170 battery cell will allow some versions of the Model 3 to have the highest range of any EV at the time of production. |◘ 26 Nov 2016 |◘ 28 Feb 2018 | | | | | | | |EVlution |New 2170 battery cell will allow some versions of the Model 3 to have the highest range of any EV at the time of production. |◘ 26 Nov 2016 |◘ 28 Feb 2018 | | | | | | | |
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Yggdrasill150-200k Model 3 buyers in the US will qualify for the full federal tax credit1 Aug 201710 Oct 2018Yggdrasill |150-200k Model 3 buyers in the US will qualify for the full federal tax credit |◘ 01 Aug 2017 |◘ 10 Oct 2018 | | | | | | | |Yggdrasill |150-200k Model 3 buyers in the US will qualify for the full federal tax credit |◘ 01 Aug 2017 |◘ 10 Oct 2018 | | | | | | | |
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YggdrasillTesla will deliver between 350k and 500k vehicles in 201829 May 201631 Dec 2018NoneNoneYggdrasill |Tesla will deliver between 350k and 500k vehicles in 2018 |◘ 29 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |Yggdrasill |Tesla will deliver between 350k and 500k vehicles in 2018 |◘ 29 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |
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YggdrasillTesla will exit 2018 at a production rate greater than 10k per week29 May 201631 Dec 2018NoneNoneYggdrasill |Tesla will exit 2018 at a production rate greater than 10k per week |◘ 29 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |Yggdrasill |Tesla will exit 2018 at a production rate greater than 10k per week |◘ 29 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |
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nerodenTesla will deliver more BEVs with 200+ range than anyone else not HQed in China30 May 201631 Dec 2018NoneNoneneroden |Tesla will deliver more BEVs with 200+ range than anyone else not HQed in China |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |neroden |Tesla will deliver more BEVs with 200+ range than anyone else not HQed in China |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | |None |None |
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GoTslaGoAfter TSLA/SCTY merger, Musk will reveal a deal with D.O.D. to outfit US bases with Solar/Powerwalls (guessing after Model 3 ramps).15 Sep 201631 Dec 2018GoTslaGo |After TSLA/SCTY merger, Musk will reveal a deal with D.O.D. to outfit US bases with Solar/Powerwalls (guessing after Model 3 ramps). |◘ 15 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | | | |GoTslaGo |After TSLA/SCTY merger, Musk will reveal a deal with D.O.D. to outfit US bases with Solar/Powerwalls (guessing after Model 3 ramps). |◘ 15 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | | | |
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TroyI predict that when the Model S and X switch from 18650 to 2170 cells, the battery capacity will stay the same at 100 kWh.13 Nov 201631 Dec 2018https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1826731/Troy |I predict that when the Model S and X switch from 18650 to 2170 cells, the battery capacity will stay the same at 100 kWh. |◘ 13 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1826731/ | | | | | |Troy |I predict that when the Model S and X switch from 18650 to 2170 cells, the battery capacity will stay the same at 100 kWh. |◘ 13 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1826731/ | | | | | |
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NannerAirCraft8Tesla will deliver more than 400,000 vehicles in 201824 Nov 201631 Dec 2018NannerAirCraft |8Tesla will deliver more than 400,000 vehicles in 2018 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | | | |NannerAirCraft |8Tesla will deliver more than 400,000 vehicles in 2018 |◘ 24 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2018 | | | | | | | |
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EVlutionTesla will open up a vastly expanded Supercharging network to non-Tesla vehicles. Sales of solar produced electricity will become an important revenue stream for company. 26 Nov 201631 Jan 2019NoEVlution |Tesla will open up a vastly expanded Supercharging network to non-Tesla vehicles. Sales of solar produced electricity will become an important revenue stream for company. |◘ 26 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2019 |No | | | | | | |EVlution |Tesla will open up a vastly expanded Supercharging network to non-Tesla vehicles. Sales of solar produced electricity will become an important revenue stream for company. |◘ 26 Nov 2016 |◘ 31 Jan 2019 | | | | | | | |Data changed
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EinSVTesla will deliver first Model Y by 3/31/201915 Jun 201631 Mar 2019NoLikely wrong: Elon estimated 2020 or late 2019EinSV |Tesla will deliver first Model Y by 3/31/2019 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Mar 2019 |No | | |Likely wrong: Elon estimated 2020 or late 2019 | | | |EinSV |Tesla will deliver first Model Y by 3/31/2019 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Mar 2019 | | | |Likely wrong: Elon estimated 2020 or late 2019 | | | |Data changed
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TroyTesla will deliver its 1 millionth vehicle before 30 June 2019.17 Aug 201630 Jun 2019https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/Troy |Tesla will deliver its 1 millionth vehicle before 30 June 2019. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 30 Jun 2019 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/ | | | | | |Troy |Tesla will deliver its 1 millionth vehicle before 30 June 2019. |◘ 17 Aug 2016 |◘ 30 Jun 2019 | |https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/1684968/ | | | | | |
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Crowded MindTesla will not sell a fully autonomous vehicle prior to 202028 May 201631 Dec 2019YesNoneNoneCrowded Mind |Tesla will not sell a fully autonomous vehicle prior to 2020 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2019 |Yes | | | | |None |None |Crowded Mind |Tesla will not sell a fully autonomous vehicle prior to 2020 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2019 | | | | | |None |None |Data changed
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Crowded MindTesla will deliver it's 1,000,000th vehicle in 202028 May 201631 Dec 2020NoneNoneCrowded Mind |Tesla will deliver it's 1,000,000th vehicle in 2020 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 | | | | | |None |None |Crowded Mind |Tesla will deliver it's 1,000,000th vehicle in 2020 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 | | | | | |None |None |
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EinSVTesla will deliver more than 1,000,000 vehicles in 202015 Jun 201631 Dec 2020NoEinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 1,000,000 vehicles in 2020 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 |No | | | | | | |EinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 1,000,000 vehicles in 2020 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 | | | | | | | |Data changed
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EinSVTesla will deliver more than 350,000 Model Ys in 202015 Jun 201631 Dec 2020NoEinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 350,000 Model Ys in 2020 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 |No | | | | | | |EinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 350,000 Model Ys in 2020 |◘ 15 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 | | | | | | | |Data changed
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EinSVTesla will deliver more than 200K Model S and X (or comparable high-end vehicles) in 20202 Sep 201631 Dec 2020NoEinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 200K Model S and X (or comparable high-end vehicles) in 2020 |◘ 02 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 |No | | | | | | |EinSV |Tesla will deliver more than 200K Model S and X (or comparable high-end vehicles) in 2020 |◘ 02 Sep 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2020 | | | | | | | |Data changed
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DrValueSeekerTSLA shorts* will gain 95% in 5 years2 Jun 20162 Jun 2021NoNot sure how to quantify DVS's shortsNoneNoneDrValueSeeker |TSLA shorts* will gain 95% in 5 years |◘ 02 Jun 2016 |◘ 02 Jun 2021 |No | | |Not sure how to quantify DVS's shorts | |None |None |DrValueSeeker |TSLA shorts* will gain 95% in 5 years |◘ 02 Jun 2016 |◘ 02 Jun 2021 | | | |Not sure how to quantify DVS's shorts | |None |None |Data changed
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Crowded MindTSLA will reach a valuation of greater than $100B before 202228 May 201631 Dec 2021YesNoneNoneCrowded Mind |TSLA will reach a valuation of greater than $100B before 2022 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2021 |Yes | | | | |None |None |Crowded Mind |TSLA will reach a valuation of greater than $100B before 2022 |◘ 28 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2021 | | | | | |None |None |Data changed
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PandoTesla starts buying abandoned gas stations to convert them to pay-per-use Superchargers by 2025.3 Jun 201631 Dec 2025NoneNonePando |Tesla starts buying abandoned gas stations to convert them to pay-per-use Superchargers by 2025. |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2025 | | | | | |None |None |Pando |Tesla starts buying abandoned gas stations to convert them to pay-per-use Superchargers by 2025. |◘ 03 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2025 | | | | | |None |None |
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SebastianRAt least one of these companies will go bankrupt until 2025: GM, Ford, FiatChrysler, Mercedes Benz, Volkswagen, Nissan/Renault, Peugeaut, Mazda, Toyota6 Jun 201631 Dec 2025SebastianR |At least one of these companies will go bankrupt until 2025: GM, Ford, FiatChrysler, Mercedes Benz, Volkswagen, Nissan/Renault, Peugeaut, Mazda, Toyota |◘ 06 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2025 | | | | | | | |SebastianR |At least one of these companies will go bankrupt until 2025: GM, Ford, FiatChrysler, Mercedes Benz, Volkswagen, Nissan/Renault, Peugeaut, Mazda, Toyota |◘ 06 Jun 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2025 | | | | | | | |
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nerodenExxonMobil will declare bankruptcy30 May 201631 Dec 2030NoneNoneneroden |ExxonMobil will declare bankruptcy |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2030 | | | | | |None |None |neroden |ExxonMobil will declare bankruptcy |◘ 30 May 2016 |◘ 31 Dec 2030 | | | | | |None |None |
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SmorgasbordElon Musk will testify to US Congress arguing against forced break-up of Tesla's energy monopoly11 Aug 201731 Dec 2035Smorgasbord |Elon Musk will testify to US Congress arguing against forced break-up of Tesla's energy monopoly |◘ 11 Aug 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2035 | | | | | | | |Smorgasbord |Elon Musk will testify to US Congress arguing against forced break-up of Tesla's energy monopoly |◘ 11 Aug 2017 |◘ 31 Dec 2035 | | | | | | | |
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TroyAround 25 Jun 2019, Model S/X production will switch to the refreshed design18 Apr 201924 Jul 2019Troy |Around 25 Jun 2019, Model S/X production will switch to the refreshed design |◘ 18 Apr 2019 |◘ 24 Jul 2019 | | | | | | | |Troy |Around 25 Jun 2019, Model S/X production will switch to the refreshed design |◘ 18 Apr 2019 |◘ 24 Jul 2019 | | | | | | | |
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TroyAround 18 Jul 2019, Tesla will announce that they have made the switch18 Apr 201924 Jul 2019Troy |Around 18 Jul 2019, Tesla will announce that they have made the switch |◘ 18 Apr 2019 |◘ 24 Jul 2019 | | | | | | | |Troy |Around 18 Jul 2019, Tesla will announce that they have made the switch |◘ 18 Apr 2019 |◘ 24 Jul 2019 | | | | | | | |
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99
 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
100
 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |