| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Statistic | Risk from 2023 to 2100 | Annual risk from 2023 to 2100 | |||||||
2 | Extinction | AI extinction | Nuclear extinction | Non-anthropogenic extinction excluding non-anthropogenic pathogens | Extinction | AI extinction | Nuclear extinction | Non-anthropogenic extinction excluding non-anthropogenic pathogens | ||
3 | Number of values | 157 | 163 | 161 | 159 | 157 | 163 | 161 | 159 | |
4 | Minimum excluding zeroes | 1.00E-11 | 1.00E-11 | 1.00E-12 | 1.50E-09 | 1.28E-13 | 1.28E-13 | 1.28E-14 | 1.92E-11 | |
5 | 5th percentile excluding zeroes | 9.89E-06 | 9.45E-07 | 7.00E-06 | 1.51E-07 | 1.27E-07 | 1.21E-08 | 8.97E-08 | 1.94E-09 | |
6 | Median excluding zeroes | 2.22% | 1.00% | 0.100% | 0.00500% | 0.0287% | 0.0129% | 0.00128% | 6.41E-07 | |
7 | 95th percentile excluding zeroes | 48.9% | 37.0% | 3.95% | 1.00% | 0.857% | 0.593% | 0.0517% | 0.0129% | |
8 | Maximum | 96.0% | 92.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 4.04% | 3.19% | 0.885% | 0.885% | |
9 | Mean excluding zeroes | 8.82% | 6.49% | 1.36% | 0.525% | 0.165% | 0.120% | 0.0208% | 0.00840% | |
10 | Geometric mean excluding zeroes | 0.998% | 0.409% | 0.0725% | 0.00365% | 0.0136% | 0.00548% | 9.37E-06 | 4.69E-07 | |
11 | Probability linked to the geometric mean of odds excluding zeroes | 1.12% | 0.448% | 0.0736% | 0.00367% | 0.0136% | 0.00548% | 9.37E-06 | 4.69E-07 | |
12 | Ratio between the 95th percentile excluding zeroes and 5th percentile excluding zeroes | 4.95E+04 | 3.92E+05 | 5.64E+03 | 6.62E+04 | 6.76E+04 | 4.89E+05 | 5.76E+03 | 6.65E+04 | |
13 | Ratio between the highest and lowest typical aggregate | 8.84 | 15.9 | 18.7 | 144 | 12.2 | 21.8 | 22.2 | 179 | |
14 | Number of null values | 5 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 9 | |
15 | Number of null values as a fraction of the number of values | 3.18% | 4.29% | 6.21% | 5.66% | 3.18% | 4.29% | 6.21% | 5.66% | |
16 | Number of null values from superforecasters | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | |
17 | Number of null values from superforecasters as a fraction of the number of null values | 100% | 85.7% | 80.0% | 66.7% | 100% | 85.7% | 80.0% | 66.7% | |