Buying Packs vs Arena - Analysis
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Hearthstone Arena Rewards
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PacksAverage GoldUS:Price per pack:EU:Price per pack:
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0 Wins115Arena Cost:1.99depends on wins1.79depends on wins
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1 Win117Pack Cost:2 packs2.991.52 packs2.691.35
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2 Wins1237 packs9.991.437 packs8.991.28
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3 Wins141(Break even point)15 packs19.991.3315 packs17.991.2
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4 Wins16540 packs49.991.2540 packs44.991.12
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5 Wins180
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6 Wins1105Comparison: Money spent on Arena vs Money spent on Packs
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7 Wins1163$10 - 5 arena tickets or 7 packs directly$50 - 25 arena tickets or 40 packs directly
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8 Wins11900 Wins:6 packs0 Wins:32 packs
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9 Wins12101 Win:6 packs1 Win:33 packs
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10 Wins12622 Wins:6 packs2 Wins:34.5 packs
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11 Wins13053 Wins:6.5 packs3 Wins:35 packs
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12 Wins1.53334 Wins:7.5 packs4 Wins:42 packs
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source5 Wins:12.5 packs5 Wins:60.5 packs
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6 Wins:21 packs6 Wins:109 packs
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7+ Wins:unlimited 7+ Wins:unlimited
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Conclusion:
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- If you get more than 4 wins on average in arena, money spent in arena gives you a much better return than buying packs directly.
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- Even if your average win is less than 4, you only get between 15-20 % less packs than arena --> it is STILL worth to play arena, to improve and eventually become a 'winning player'
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- Never spend your gold on additional packs - unless you are a 'winning player' that gets 7 or more wins on average on arena (less than 0.1 % of playerbase)
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- The only reason to purchase packs is to speed up the process. Getting packs through arenas is very efficient, but takes time.
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- If you consider opportunity cost (for example you could spend the time playing arena on overtime in your job, making $100 per hour -
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buying packs might be the best, but please also consider the fun aspect of playing arena
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- The pricing, and reward system seems extremely well developed - Blizzard did a very good job on it
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