A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | AC | |
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2 | MERGER and LBO VALUATION MODEL | https://goo.gl/B65xXN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | NOTE: Complete unshaded cells, only. Shaded cells contain formulae that populate automatically. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | STEP 1 | ESTIMATE THE TOTAL COST OF THE DEAL | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | Price per share= | 201 | Debt Outstanding Currently (mil)= | 1800 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | # Shares Outstanding (mil)= | 21.9 | Other Costs (Investment Banker, etc.)= | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | Total Cost of the Deal= | 6201.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | STEP 2 | DEFINE HOW THE DEAL WILL BE FINANCED | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | REPAYMENT SCHEDULE ( as % of principal) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | Source | Amount | Int. rate | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
14 | Equity | 1000 | NA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Pfd. STOCK | 0 | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | Debt: Type 1 | 1700 | 16.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||
17 | Debt: Type 2 | 3500 | 18.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | ||||||||||||||||
18 | Debt: Type 3 | 0 | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Debt: Type 4 | 0 | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Interest rate on debt remaining in terminal year= | 12.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | Suggestion: For the first run, enter an arbitrary schedule; Check cashflows to equity; Modify schedule; | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | STEP 3 | DEFINE RATES OF FUTURE GROWTH | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | After yr 10 | ||||||||||||||||||
26 | Revenues | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | |||||||||||||||||
27 | Depreciation (See below) | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | |||||||||||||||||
28 | Cap. Spending (See below) | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | |||||||||||||||||
29 | Working Cap : % of Revenue | 16.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | COGS: % of Revenues | 85.68% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | Default values= If you do not enter rates, the growth rates in depreciation, capital spending = growth rate in revenues. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | The default values for COGS and Working Capital come from Step 6 below. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
34 | STEP 4 | GENERAL INFORMATION | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | Current T.Bill rate= | 8.00% | Market Risk Premium= | 8.50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | Ordinary Tax Rate= | 40.00% | Current Beta of Firm= | 1.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | STEP 5 | SPECIFY ASSETS TO BE SOLD (Enter the year in which assets will be sold and market value and CF to the firm from those assets) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||
42 | Assets sold: Mkt. Value | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||
43 | Assets sold: Revenues | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||
44 | Assets sold: COGS (%) | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
45 | Assets sold: Depreciation | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||
46 | Assets sold: Capital Spending | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||
47 | [ Enter the market value of the asset sold; Enter the EBIT, Depreciation and Capital Spending of the asset; Only in the year sold] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | STEP 6 | ENTER INFORMATION ON CURRENT INCOME STATEMENT | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | Revenues = | $10,000 | COGS as % of Revenue= | 85.68% | (Default = 1 - (EBIT+Depreciation)/Revenues) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | Current EBIT = | $892.00 | Current Capital Spending= | $438.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | Current Int. Exp= | $200.00 | Working Cap. as % of Revenues= | 16.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
54 | Current Deprec'n= | $540.00 | Interest rate on Debt Currently= | 12.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
55 | CASHFLOWS FROM LBO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | PRE- LBO | AFTER LBO | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | CURRENT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Term Year | |||||||||||||||||
58 | Revenues | $10,000 | $11,400 | $12,996 | $14,815 | $16,890 | $19,254 | $20,794 | $22,458 | $24,255 | $26,195 | $28,291 | $30,554 | ||||||||||||||||
59 | COGS | $0 | $9,768 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
60 | Depreciation | $540 | $616 | $702 | $800 | $912 | $1,040 | $1,123 | $1,213 | $1,310 | $1,415 | $1,528 | $1,650 | ||||||||||||||||
61 | EBIT | $9,460 | $1,017 | $12,294 | $14,015 | $15,978 | $18,214 | $19,672 | $21,245 | $22,945 | $24,781 | $26,763 | $28,904 | ||||||||||||||||
62 | -Int: Type 1 | $200 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $272 | $204 | ||||||||||||||||
63 | -Int: Type 2 | $0 | $630 | $630 | $630 | $630 | $567 | $504 | $441 | $378 | $252 | $126 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
64 | -Int: Type 3 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
65 | -Int: Type 4 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
66 | Taxable Income | $9,260 | $115 | $11,392 | $13,113 | $15,076 | $17,375 | $18,896 | $20,532 | $22,295 | $24,257 | $26,365 | $28,700 | ||||||||||||||||
67 | - Taxes | $3,704 | $46 | $4,557 | $5,245 | $6,030 | $6,950 | $7,558 | $8,213 | $8,918 | $9,703 | $10,546 | $11,480 | ||||||||||||||||
68 | Net Income | $5,556 | $69 | $6,835 | $7,868 | $9,045 | $10,425 | $11,337 | $12,319 | $13,377 | $14,554 | $15,819 | $17,220 | ||||||||||||||||
69 | + Deprec'n | $540 | $616 | $702 | $800 | $912 | $1,040 | $1,123 | $1,213 | $1,310 | $1,415 | $1,528 | $1,650 | ||||||||||||||||
70 | CF from Oper. | $6,096 | $685 | $7,537 | $8,668 | $9,957 | $11,465 | $12,460 | $13,532 | $14,687 | $15,968 | $17,347 | $18,870 | ||||||||||||||||
71 | - Capital Sp. | $438 | $499 | $569 | $649 | $740 | $843 | $911 | $984 | $1,062 | $1,147 | $1,239 | $1,338 | ||||||||||||||||
72 | - WC Chg | $196 | $224 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
73 | - Prin. Rep:1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
74 | - Prin. Rep:2 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $350 | $350 | $350 | $350 | $700 | $700 | $700 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
75 | - Prin. Rep:3 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
76 | - Prin. Rep:4 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
77 | - Pref. Div | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
78 | + Asset Sales | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||
79 | CF to Equity | $5,462 | ($39) | $6,968 | $8,019 | $8,868 | $10,272 | $11,199 | $12,198 | $12,924 | $14,121 | $15,408 | $17,532 | ||||||||||||||||
80 | + Pref. Div | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
81 | + Int (1-t) | $120 | $541 | $541 | $541 | $541 | $503 | $466 | $428 | $390 | $314 | $239 | $122 | ||||||||||||||||
82 | + Princ. Rep | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $350 | $350 | $350 | $350 | $700 | $700 | $700 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
83 | CF to firm | $5,582 | $502 | $7,509 | $8,560 | $9,759 | $11,125 | $12,015 | $12,976 | $14,014 | $15,136 | $16,346 | $17,654 | ||||||||||||||||
84 | Term Value of Equity= | ($219,146) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
85 | Term Value of Firm= | ($217,446) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
86 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
87 | CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND COSTS OF EQUITY/CAPITAL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
88 | PRE-LBO | AFTER-LBO | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
89 | CURRENT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Term Year | |||||||||||||||||
90 | Debt: Type 1 | $1,800 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | $1,700 | ||||||||||||||||
91 | Debt: Type 2 | $0 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,150 | $2,800 | $2,450 | $2,100 | $1,400 | $700 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
92 | Debt: Type 3 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
93 | Debt: Type 4 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
94 | Pfd. Div | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||
95 | Equity | $4,402 | $1,000 | $1,069 | $7,904 | $15,772 | $24,818 | $35,243 | $46,580 | $58,900 | $72,277 | $86,830 | $102,649 | ||||||||||||||||
96 | D/E | 40.89% | 520.00% | 486.47% | 65.79% | 32.97% | 19.54% | 12.77% | 8.91% | 6.45% | 4.29% | 2.76% | 1.66% | ||||||||||||||||
97 | D/(D+E+Pfd) | 29.02% | 83.87% | 82.95% | 39.68% | 24.79% | 16.35% | 11.32% | 8.18% | 6.06% | 4.11% | 2.69% | 1.63% | ||||||||||||||||
98 | Pfd/(D+E+Pfd) | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||||||
99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | Beta | 1.05 | 3.47 | 3.30 | 1.18 | 1.01 | 0.94 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.85 |