ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBM
1
Factor SumsField Development MeasuresFundingDemand RelatedIndividuals and groupsExisting theory, practical work, and research
2
Group and Network effects in researchSingle person effectsClear path to successPathway to application / commercialisationTheory WorkEarly WorkEffects from nearby areas
3
TechYearSum (just yes)Sum allBreakout PeriodSOURCE - Breakout PeriodEarly Growth MetricRisk tolerant fundingSOURCE - Risk tolerant fundingPowerful people want technologySOURCE - Powerful people want technologyImportant application appeared this yearSOURCE - Important application appeared this yearGovernment importanceSOURCE - Government importanceInternational competitionSOURCE - International competitionNo widespread political or ethical baggageSOURCE - No widespread political or ethical baggagePopular ImaginationSOURCE - Popular ImaginationIntuitive AppealSOURCE - Intuitive AppealHigh perceived impactSOURCE - High perceived impactResearchers availableSOURCE - researchers availableWell connected networks SOURCE - Well connected networks No scientific pushbackSOURCE - No scientific pushback
Prestigious advocateSOURCE - Prestigious advocateDogged ChampionSOURCE - Dogged ChampionSense of possibilitySOURCE - Sense of possibility
Early prototypes exist

SOURCE -
Early prototypes exist

Protoype usefulnessSOURCE - Prototype usefulnessPractical designs existSOURCE -
Practical designs exist

Commercial products existSOURCE -Commercial products exist?
Existing theory is positive

SOURCE -
Existing theory is positive

Intrinsically motivated theoretical workSOURCE - Theorists worked on out of theoretical interestStrong resultsSOURCE - Strong results
Practical work exists

SOURCE -
Practical work exists

High profile paper existsSOURCE - High profile paper existsOngoing innovations in neighbouring fieldsSOURCE - Ongoing innovations in neighbouring fieldsSimilar technologies emergingSOURCE - Similar technologies emergingRecent fabrication advancement
SOURCE -
Recent fabrication advancement

New standards and equipmentSOURCE - New standards and equipment?Competing Field ProblemsSOURCE - Competing Field Problems
4
AI (to first winter)19202-25nononononononoyesno
kind of difficult because people may have only thought of human AI as 'AI', not things like a cleaning robot. Going to assume that people would think of these kind of useful robots but also about automation and scary human like robots
no
put no mostly because of automation concerns, i don't get the impression that people would be really excited for it but I also think the perception wasn't overall negative
nononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
5
AI (to first winter)19212-25nononononononoyesno
science fiction play R.U.R introduces the concept of artificial people, coins the term "robot"
no
science fiction play R.U.R introduces the concept of artificial people, coins the term "robot"
nononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
6
AI (to first winter)19222-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
7
AI (to first winter)19232-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
8
AI (to first winter)19242-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
9
AI (to first winter)19252-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
10
AI (to first winter)19262-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
11
AI (to first winter)19272-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
12
AI (to first winter)19282-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
13
AI (to first winter)19292-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
14
AI (to first winter)19303-23yes
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
nonononononoyesnonono
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
no
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
noyesnonono
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
nonononono
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
yes
beginning of period where neurology, cybernetics, information theory, and theory of computation result in suggestions of creating electronic brains
nononononononono
15
AI (to first winter)19313-23yesnonononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononoyesnononononononono
16
AI (to first winter)19323-23yesnonononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononoyesnononononononono
17
AI (to first winter)19334-21yesnonononononoyesyes
going to put it halfway between these two because im unsure when the average person would be aware
nonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononononononono
18
AI (to first winter)19344-21yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononono
telephone network in lodon converted into electronic data processing with vacuum tubes
nononono
19
AI (to first winter)19354-21yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononononononono
20
AI (to first winter)19365-19yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononoyes
Principles of the modern computer proposed by alan turing
nononono
21
AI (to first winter)19375-19yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononoyesnononono
22
AI (to first winter)19385-19yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononoyesnononono
23
AI (to first winter)19395-19yesnonononononoyesyesnonononoyesnonononononononoyesnononoyesnononono
24
AI (to first winter)19408-13yes
- see 1930s - 1950s for details in doc - going to put in the middle of the 1930s-1950s period of exploration
nonononononoyesyesnono
- see 1930s - 1950s for details in doc - going to put in the middle of the 1930s-1950s period of exploration
yes
- see 1930s - 1950s for details in doc - going to put in the middle of the 1930s-1950s period of exploration
noyesnonoyes
- see 1930s - 1950s for details in doc - going to put in the middle of the 1930s-1950s period of exploration
nonononoyes
- see 1930s - 1950s for details in doc - going to put in the middle of the 1930s-1950s period of exploration
yesnononoyesnononono
25
AI (to first winter)19418-13yesnonononononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyes
Z3 computer (first working electromechanical, programmable, fully automatic digital computer)
nononono
26
AI (to first winter)19428-13yesnonononononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyesnononono
27
AI (to first winter)19438-13yes
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
nonononononoyesyesnono
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
yes
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
noyesnonoyes
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
nonononoyes
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
yes
Pitts and McCulloch showed how neural networks could perform simple logical functions
nononoyes
colossus (first electronic digital programmable computing device)
nononono
28
AI (to first winter)19448-13yesnonononononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyesnononono
29
AI (to first winter)194510-9yesnonoyes
automatic translation wanted after WWII - wasnt really considered that hard at the time (like a cipher)
yes
automatic translation wanted after WWII - wasnt really considered that hard at the time (like a cipher)
nonoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyes
ENIAC in operation (first turing complete electronic computer) - for ballistic calculations in the US
nononono
30
AI (to first winter)19469-11yesnonoyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyesnononono
31
AI (to first winter)194710-9yesnoyes
guessing that by now there is about $1 mil equivalent of basic science funding (between pitts and mcculloch and shannon mouse / chess algorithms
yesnononoyesyes
"with folded hands" published - ai controlled society where AI's overzealously make sure humans are safe
no
"with folded hands" published - ai controlled society where AI's overzealously make sure humans are safe
noyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyesnononono
32
AI (to first winter)194810-9yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyes
first stored program computer (could change what you were running without rewiring)
nononono
33
AI (to first winter)194910-9yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesnonononoyesyesnononoyesnononono
34
AI (to first winter)195013-3yes
Shannon's Mouse
noyesyesnononoyesyes
Isaac Asimov's three laws of robotics
no
Isaac Asimov's three laws of robotics
no
Shannon's Mouse
yes
Shannon's Mouse
noyesnonoyes
Shannon's Mouse
yes
Shannon's Mouse
no
Shannon's Mouse
nonoyes
Turing suggests machines that pass turing test can be said to think
yes
Turing suggests machines that pass turing test can be said to think
no
Shannon's Mouse
yes
Shannon's Mouse
no
Shannon's Mouse
yesnonoyes
see 1949 in doc for more detail - really bulky computers with memory are accessible in universities around now
no
35
AI (to first winter)195113-3yes
Chess playing program and first neural net
noyesyesnononoyesyesnono
Chess playing program and first neural net
yes
Chess playing program and first neural net
noyesnonoyes
Chess playing program and first neural net
yesno
Chess playing program and first neural net
nonoyesyesno
Chess playing program and first neural net
yes
Chess playing program and first neural net
no
Chess playing program and first neural net
yes
first commercially avialable general purpose computer delivered to university of manchester
nonoyesno
36
AI (to first winter)195213-3yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesnoyesnonoyesno
37
AI (to first winter)195314-1yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyes
people didnt attent conference because they thought it was impossible
yesnononoyesyesnoyesnoyesyes
"early fifties" as start of machine translation efforts - another US funded computer related field with high expectations
noyesno
38
AI (to first winter)195414-1yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnonoyesnoyesnonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesno
39
AI (to first winter)1955151yes
logic theorist created
noyesyesnononoyesyesnono
logic theorist created
yes
logic theorist created
noyesnonoyes
logic theorist created
yesno
logic theorist created
nonoyesyesyes
logic theorist created
yes
logic theorist created
no
logic theorist created
yes
first fully transistorized computer
yesnoyesno
40
AI (to first winter)1956175yes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
noyesyesnononoyesyesnoyes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
yes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
yes
1956 Dartmouth conference - the conference was noted as having been the first time many researchers had actually met each other and afterwards felt comfortable contacting each other - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
yesyes
I reckon claude shannon was pretty well known at this point
noyes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
yesnononoyes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
yes
1956 Dartmouth conference - before this there were two small groups in pittsburgh and boston
noyesnoyesyesnoyesno
41
AI (to first winter)1957175nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesno
42
AI (to first winter)1958175nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesnoyes
demonstration of integrated circuit working
yesnoyesno
43
AI (to first winter)1959187nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesno
the general problem solver is created
nonoyesyesyes
the general problem solver is created
yes
the general problem solver is created
no
the general problem solver is created
yesyesnoyesno
44
AI (to first winter)1960175nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesno
Biography on simulation, gaming, artificial intelligence and allied topics published
yes
MOS transistors made building computers way easier
yesnoyesno
45
AI (to first winter)1961175nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesno
see 1961 - lucas argument using godels incompleteness
yesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyes
see 1961 in doc - Steps towards artificial intelligence published by minsky
yesyesnoyes
see 1961 - time sharing operating system implemented at MIT
no
46
AI (to first winter)1962175nonoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnononoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesnonono
47
AI (to first winter)19632011no
DARPA funds MAC program - roughly $3million a year
noyes
DARPA funds MAC program - roughly $3million a year
yes
DARPA funds MAC program - roughly $3million a year
yes
natural voice commands wanted
yes
DARPA funds MAC program - roughly $3million a year
no
see 1963 in doc for justification
yesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyes
multiple patents relating to artificial intelligence from 1963
noyesyesnoyesyesyesyesnonono
48
AI (to first winter)1964199nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyes
first commercial MOS intergrated circuit
yesnonono
49
AI (to first winter)1965187noyesyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesno
Dreyfus publishes alchemy and AI
yesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesnonono
50
AI (to first winter)1966187no
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
noyes
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
yes
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
noyes
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
noyesyesnoyesyesyesno
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation after ALPAC report is pretty scathing about progress
yesnoyes
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
yesno
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
yesnoyesyesno
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
yes
see 1966 in doc - National research council drops support for automatic translation
yesyesyes
ALPAC and funding pulled from automatic translation
nonono
51
AI (to first winter)1967187nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
52
AI (to first winter)1968187nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
53
AI (to first winter)1969187nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
54
AI (to first winter)1970187nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
55
AI (to first winter)1971187nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
56
AI (to first winter)1972175nonoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesno
Dreyfus publishes what computers cant do
yesnoyesyesnoyesnoyesyesnoyesyesyesnononono
57
AI (to first winter)1973187no
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
noyes
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
yes
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
noyes
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
noyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyes
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
yesno
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
yesnoyesyesno
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
yes
UK cuts AI funding after Lighthill report - some UK researchers go to US
yesyesnononono
58
AI (to first winter)1974151no
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
nono
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
no
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
nono
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
noyesyesnoyesyesyesyesyesnoyes
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
yesno
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
yesnoyes
lots of critics thought it wasnt possible though
yesno
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
yes
DARPA cuts funding - see 1974
yesyesnononono
59
APM19202-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
60
APM19212-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
61
APM19222-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
62
APM19232-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
63
APM19242-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
64
APM19252-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
65
APM19262-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
66
APM19272-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
67
APM19282-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
68
APM19292-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
69
APM19302-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
70
APM19312-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
71
APM19322-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
72
APM19332-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
73
APM19342-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
74
APM19352-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
75
APM19362-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
76
APM19372-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
77
APM19382-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
78
APM19392-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
79
APM19402-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
80
APM19412-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
81
APM19422-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
82
APM19432-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
83
APM19442-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
84
APM19452-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
85
APM19462-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
86
APM19472-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
87
APM19482-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
88
APM19492-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
89
APM19502-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
90
APM19512-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
91
APM19522-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
92
APM19532-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
93
APM19542-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
94
APM19552-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
95
APM19562-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
96
APM19572-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
97
APM19582-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
98
APM19592-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
99
APM19602-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono
100
APM19612-25nononononononoyesnononononoyesnonononononononononononononononono