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DATETIMEPRESENTATIONMAIN READINGOTHER MATERIALPresenter
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June 1513:00 1.1 Why Probability? Beginners Guide to Seismic HazardKrinitsky (1993b) article cited in "Beginners Guide" Steve Winterstein 
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June 1514:00 1.2 Aleatory and Epistemic UncertaintyAssessment of Extreme Events Subject to Epistemic UncertaintiesRaiffa, H. and R. Schlaifer (1961) Applied Statistical Decision Theory. Cambridge: Cambridge University PressKazuyoshi Nishijima 
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June 1515:00 1.3a: Teaching Probability Web page; Probability-Based Engineering Steve Winterstein 
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June 1515:30 1.3b: Probability Concepts I An Introduction to Structural Reliability, FORM, and LRFD DesignSteve Winterstein 
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June 1613:00 2.1: What if the World Isn't Normal? Extremes of Nonlinear Vibration: Models Based on Moments, L-Moments, and Maximum EntropySection 11.11 (Non-Gaussian Fatigue), "Random Vibrations: Analysis of Structural and Mechanical Systems" by Lutes and Sarkani Steve Winterstein 
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June 1614:00 2.2 System Reliability: New Extrapolation MethodsIntegral Solution by Extrapolation for System ReliabilityBreitung, K.W., (1994) Asymptotic Approximations for Probability Integrals. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, ed. A. Dold, B. Eckmann, and F. Takens. Vol. 1592, Springer-Verlag.Kazuyoshi Nishijima 
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June 1615:00 2.3 100-Year Values: Practical Experiences Extreme Wave Estimates from Hourly and Annual Data"Turkstra Models of Current Profiles," Proceedings, OMAE 2009, Paper OMAE2009-79691 (Posted) Steve Winterstein 
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June 1713:00 3.1: Wind and Wave I: Applications Applications of Nonlinear Stochastic Mechanics in Offshore EngineeringSections 10.1-10.2, "Methods of Structural Safety" by Madsen, Krenk, and Lind Steve Winterstein 
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June 1714:003.2a: Wind and Wave II: Analysis and FORM An Introduction to Structural Reliability, FORM, and LRFD DesignSection 5.1, "Methods of Structural Safety" by Madsen, Krenk, and Lind
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June 1714:303.2b: Wind and Wave III: Design and Inverse FORM Environmental Contour Lines: A Method for Estimating Long Term Extremes by a Short Term Analysis"Design Wind Turbine Loads from Limited Data: Comparing Random Process and Random Peak Models" (Posted)Steve Winterstein 
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June 1715:00 3.3 Hazard Risk AnalysisRisk Assessment in Engineering: Principles, System Representation & Risk CriteriaKazuyoshi Nishijima