UKIP "targets", 2014 Euro Election: swing required <5%

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J
1		English council area / Welsh constituency	"Held" by	Maj/lead over UKIP	UKIP position (if not 2nd)	Swing req. to overtake intervening parties?	Total Votes 2009	Swing Required %	Maj/lead over UKIP %	Region
2
3	1	Weymouth & Portland	Con	58			18,981	0.15	0.31	SW
4	2	Tendring	Con	428			41,167	0.52	1.04	E
5	3	Thurrock	Con	320			30,522	0.52	1.05	E
6	4	Cannock Chase	Con	277			22,129	0.63	1.25	WM
7	5	Exeter	Con	465			33,852	0.69	1.37	SW
8	6	Tamworth	Con	287			18,917	0.76	1.52	WM
9	7	Redcar & Cleveland	Con	502			29,144	0.86	1.72	NE
10	8	Castle Point	Con	518			24,817	1.04	2.09	E
11	9	North East Lincolnshire	Con	685			30,278	1.13	2.26	YH
12	10	Mansfield	Lab	571			25,133	1.14	2.27	EM
13	11	Walsall	Con	1,302			57,156	1.14	2.28	WM
14	12	Sefton	Con	1,434			59,866	1.20	2.40	NW
15	13	Havering	Con	1,566			61,404	1.28	2.55	GL
16	14	Waveney	Con	921			31,858	1.45	2.89	E
17	15	Redditch	Con	637			21,933	1.45	2.90	WM
18	16	Telford & Wrekin	Con	1,405			44,672	1.57	3.15	WM
19	17	Wyre Forest	Con	920			28,476	1.62	3.23	WM
20	18	Bromsgrove	Con	920			27,776	1.66	3.31	WM
21	19	Great Yarmouth	Con	777			23,280	1.67	3.34	E
22	20	Cornwall	Con	6,635			167,327	1.98	3.97	SW
23	21	Rotherham	Lab	2,548			63,148	2.02	4.03	YH
24	22	Teignbridge	Con	1,928			43,904	2.20	4.39	SW
25	23	East Devon	Con	2,141			47,167	2.27	4.54	SW
26	24	Christchurch	Con	777			16,711	2.32	4.65	SW
27	25	Wakefield	Lab	3,207	3rd		68,862	2.33	4.66	YH
28	26	Hastings	Con	1,068			22,507	2.37	4.75	SE
29	27	Worthing	Con	1,347			27,620	2.44	4.88	SE
30	28	Harlow	Con	954	3rd		19,480	2.45	4.90	E
31	29	Adur	Con	874			16,523	2.64	5.29	SE
32	30	South Hams	Con	1,641			30,866	2.66	5.32	SW
33	31	Alyn & Deeside	Con	913	3rd		16,552	2.76	5.52	W
34	32	Worcester	Con	1,525			27,142	2.81	5.62	WM
35	33	Swindon	Con	2,621			44,830	2.92	5.85	SW
36	34	Bournemouth	Con	2,249			38,154	2.95	5.89	SW
37	35	Nuneaton & Bedworth	Con	1,993	3rd		33,601	2.97	5.93	WM
38	36	Thanet	Con	1,912			32,197	2.97	5.94	SE
39	37	North Warwickshire	Con	1,101			18,512	2.97	5.95	WM
40	38	Barnsley	Lab	3,050			51,076	2.99	5.97	YH
41	39	Rochdale	Con	2,654	4th	YES	43,958	3.02	6.04	NW
42	40	Ashfield	Lab	1,932	4th	YES	31,971	3.02	6.04	EM
43	41	Spelthorne	Con	1,695			27,544	3.08	6.15	SE
44	42	Stockton	Con	2,583	3rd		39,691	3.25	6.51	NE
45	43	South Staffordshire	Con	2,112			31,594	3.34	6.68	WM
46	44	Purbeck	Con	1,099			16,022	3.43	6.86	SW
47	45	Stevenage	Con	1,510	3rd	YES	21,903	3.45	6.89	E
48	46	Babergh	Con	1,942			27,908	3.48	6.96	E
49	47	Basildon	Con	2,908			41,629	3.49	6.99	E
50	48	Middlesbrough	Lab	1,586	3rd		22,616	3.51	7.01	NE
51	49	Forest of Dean	Con	1,792			25,277	3.54	7.09	SW
52	50	Newport East	Lab	1,098	4th	YES	15,424	3.56	7.12	W
53	51	Eastleigh	Con	2,516	3rd	YES	35,009	3.59	7.19	SE
54	52	Doncaster	Lab	5,476	3rd	YES	75,886	3.61	7.22	YH
55	53	West Devon	Con	1,465			19,688	3.72	7.44	SW
56	54	Gloucester	Con	2,248			30,169	3.73	7.45	SW
57	55	Arun	Con	3,282			43,653	3.76	7.52	SE
58	56	Breckland	Con	2,644			35,159	3.76	7.52	E
59	57	Oldham	Lab	3,560	4th	YES	46,867	3.80	7.60	NW
60	58	Poole	Con	2,796			36,630	3.82	7.63	SW
61	59	Colchester	Con	3,427	3rd		44,886	3.82	7.63	E
62	60	Staffordshire Moorlands	Con	2,172			28,295	3.84	7.68	WM
63	61	Montgomeryshire	Con	1,254			15,816	3.96	7.93	W
64	62	Burnley	LD	1,886	4th		23,695	3.98	7.96	NW
65	63	South Gloucestershire	Con	5,645			70,721	3.99	7.98	SW
66	64	Portsmouth	Con	3,206			39,648	4.04	8.09	SE
67	65	Ipswich	Con	2,471	3rd		30,346	4.07	8.14	E
68	66	Southend-on-Sea	Con	3,299			39,947	4.13	8.26	E
69	67	Wigan	Lab	5,393			63,510	4.25	8.49	NW
70	68	Tameside	Lab	4,232	3rd		49,311	4.29	8.58	NW
71	69	Halton	Lab	1,918	3rd		22,180	4.32	8.65	NW
72	70	Lewes	Con	2,814	3rd	YES	32,450	4.34	8.67	SE
73	71	Forest Heath	Con	1,033			11,853	4.36	8.72	E
74	72	North Lincolnshire	Con	3,176			36,428	4.36	8.72	YH
75	73	Eastbourne	Con	2,502	3rd		28,433	4.40	8.80	SE
76	74	Torfaen	Lab	1,472	3rd		16,685	4.41	8.82	W
77	75	East Lindsey	Con	3,552			40,076	4.43	8.86	EM
78	76	Wolverhampton	Lab	5,106	3rd	YES	56,614	4.51	9.02	WM
79	77	North Norfolk	Con	3,316	3rd	YES	36,346	4.56	9.12	E
80	78	Gosport	Con	1,809			19,674	4.60	9.19	SE
81	79	Warrington	Con	4,140	4th	YES	44,246	4.68	9.36	NW
82	80	Herefordshire	Con	4,626			48,967	4.72	9.45	WM
83	81	Southampton	Con	4,517	3rd		47,784	4.73	9.45	SE
84	82	Wrexham	Con	1,350	4th	YES	14,264	4.73	9.46	W
85	83	Fenland	Con	2,250			23,763	4.73	9.47	E
86	84	Medway	Con	5,661			59,674	4.74	9.49	SE
87	85	Calderdale	Con	4,452			46,434	4.79	9.59	YH
88	86	Broadland	Con	3,530			36,777	4.80	9.60	E
89	87	Bristol	Con	10,374	5th	YES	106,215	4.88	9.77	SW
90	88	Northampton	Con	5,114			52,323	4.89	9.77	EM
91	89	Sheffield	Lab	12,402	3rd	YES	125,856	4.93	9.85	YH
92	90	Dartford	Con	2,506			25,127	4.99	9.97	SE
93	91	Barrow in Furness	Con	1,596	3rd	YES	15,984	4.99	9.98	NW
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99		Source:
100		Pages 41-50 of the following document: