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1 | Feb. 28-29 storm | ||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Forecast "as of" date | WCCO | KSTP | Fox | KARE | Strib (blog) | NWS | MPR (blog) | Weather.com | @NovakWeather | Randy in Champlin | WCCO Mike Lynch | |||||||||
3 | Pre-Sunday Evening | Latest model runs are “bullseyeing” the Twin Cities. A good 2 inches of flat out moisture. Expects widespread school closings | 10:12 a.m. Paralyzing Winter Storm still on track 4 so. MN incl. MSP metro TUE/WED. | ||||||||||||||||||
4 | Sunday Evening | 6-12 inches (5 p.m. news, Matt Brickman) | 6-12 inches. "Twin Cities in the heart of it" (also reflected in graphic). 5 p.m. Dave Dahl | 9:30 p.m. Southern track most favored at this point. Warned it will change. Waived snow meter quickly but seemed to be 7.5 inches for central metro. Will start 6 a.m. Tuesday and be wet, heavy, cement-like snow. | Displayed "best chance of heavy snow" shading over central Minn in horizontal stripe between Duluth and MSP metro. Says 1.5 to 2 inches of "flat out moisture." Jerrid Sebesta | 5-10 inches per Paul Douglas tweet at 6 p.m. Per 7:15 blog: My gut: 3-4" south metro, maybe 6-10" north metro, with a foot still possible far northern and western suburbs.//Per tweet at 9:50, "still on track for 6-12" MSP metro." | 7 p.m. 8-11 inches per graphic shown on Facebook | Midnight update: But at this point here's what I expect:Widespread 6" to 12"+ snowfall totals from Alexandria through St. Cloud south into the Twin Cities metro by late Wednesday. There still is a chance for 12"+ totals in the metro, if the storm follows the NAM's "southern solution." | 10 p.m. Gut feeling is that MSP metro will lie along the axis of heaviest snows. Confidence is high that 10"-14"+ of snow will fall in the heaviest snow band. Still too early to throw out exact totals. This monster has a good 48 hours to change its mind. | 8:20 p.m. widespread 8-11 for the metro, expect at this time expect 8-9" at MSP confidence level 5 out of 10, quite frankly major changes may be needed either way by Monday morning/afternoon | |||||||||||
5 | Monday morning | 7:45 a.m. Not specific (8-14" north of I-94) | 8-12" if stays all snow, 4-8" if mix with sleet | not captured | 6:30 a.m. 6-12 metro/ mid-morning tweet of 4 inches | 8:53 a.m. 5-8" in metro//10:37 2-4" | 7:15 a.m. 6-10 inches//mid-day update shows msp between 3-6 and 6-12-inch bands | 8:39 a.m. Not specific but made clear "greatly reduced snowfall totals" for TC metro | 7:46 a.m. ICE is a growing concern 4 extreme so. MN incl. RST. Snow will be dominant from MSP metro north on TUE/WED. | ||||||||||||
6 | Monday late afternoon | 5 p.m. 3-6" category | 4:21 tweet from Dahl: 3-6 inches//6:30 news (Barlow), 4-8 inches//9:40 Barlow still 4-8 | Per 4:42 tweet: Metro: wind/rain/wet sloppy snow tues afternoon/evening 1"-2"...turning to snow overnight into wed morning with another 3"-5" | 4:11 p.m., website: 1-4" of snowfall by Tuesday evening | 4:32 (weather.gov) 1-3 Tuesday; 3-5 Tuesday night; Snow Wednesday | 5:18 p.m. Overall I would say a range of 2" to 4" looks likely for the metro, with the best chance of 4" in the northwest metro. | 2-4 inches | 3:40 5-6" for MSP. 4-7 south metro; 7-12 north metro | ||||||||||||
7 | Monday night | 10:20 Shaffer shows 1.5" of snow by late Wed. | 11:20 p.m. We have 4 to 8 on here but I'm definitely leaning toward the 4. Won't all be on the ground at once. | 10 p.m. 1-4" | 10:09 PD Tweet Hope I'm wrong, but I suspect mostly rain Tuesday, ending as 1-2" slush. Blog update at 10:26 headlines 1-3" on Wed. am. | 9:31 p.m. 3-6 in southern Twin Cities, winter storm warning in effect from Tuesday 6 p.m. to Wednesday 6 p.m. | 10:16 p.m. I now expect mostly rain with this system...but the metro could pick up 1" to 2" on the systems back side Wednesday. | 11 p.m. 1-3 inches | 9 p.m. 1-3 inches | 12:51 a.m. 1-2 south metro; 2-3 central metro; 3-7 north metro | |||||||||||
8 | Tuesday morning (Final forecast) | 1-3" for downtown areas | 5:59 a.m. tweet: 1-2" south metro; 3-6 north metro | 8:22 a.m. tweet: 1-2" se metro, 2-4" nw metro | KARE morning blog: 1-3" before changeover; 1-4" after changeover; 2-5" in total but not all will be seen on ground | 9:04 blog headline: 1-3" | 4-8" per weather.gov | 9:36 a.m. It still looks like the metro could pick up 1" to 2"+ of snowfall on the backside of the system Wednesday. | For zipcode 55116: Around 1 inch today; less than an inch on Wednesday | 8 a.m. 1-3" | mid-moning update: south metro 1-3; central metro 3-6; north metro 6-12 | 6:18 a.m. tweet: 3-6 inches | |||||||||
9 | Tuesday evening | Afternoon blog: This should change back to all snow late tonight and continue on Wednesday, with total accumulations in the 3 to 6 inch category by the time the storm moves out late tomorrow. | 1.7 inches in metro through tomorrow | 6:08 tweet: Getting more concerned about possible ice storm/power outages tonight. | 6 p.m. update: far south metro..6-10; the rest of the metro 9-13; MSP 10-13 | ||||||||||||||||
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