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DateUnemployment Rate (BLS)Linear Rate (Model)Difference from Model
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Oct-0910%10.10%-0.10
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Nov-099.9%10.04%-0.14
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Dec-099.9%9.98%-0.08slope =-0.00198change/day
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Jan-109.8%9.92%-0.12-0.05937change/month
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Feb-109.8%9.86%-0.06intercept =89.43178
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Mar-109.9%9.80%0.10R-Squared =0.95
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Apr-109.9%9.74%0.16
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May-109.6%9.68%-0.087.576.565.23.8% unemployment extrapolated as of
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Jun-109.4%9.62%-0.225/7/20131/14/20149/24/20146/4/20157/12/20166/19/2018 <-- this date
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Jul-109.5%9.56%-0.06
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Aug-109.5%9.50%0.00
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Sep-109.5%9.44%0.06
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Oct-109.5%9.38%0.12
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Nov-109.8%9.32%0.48
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Dec-109.3%9.26%0.04
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Jan-119.1%9.20%-0.10
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Feb-119%9.14%-0.14
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Mar-118.9%9.08%-0.18
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Apr-119%9.02%-0.02
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May-119%8.96%0.04
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Jun-119.1%8.90%0.20
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Jul-119%8.84%0.16
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Aug-119%8.78%0.22
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Sep-119%8.72%0.28
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Oct-118.9%8.66%0.24
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Nov-118.6%8.59%0.01
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Dec-118.5%8.54%-0.04
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Jan-128.3%8.47%-0.17
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Feb-128.3%8.41%-0.11
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Mar-128.2%8.36%-0.16
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Apr-128.1%8.29%-0.19
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May-128.2%8.23%-0.03
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Jun-128.2%8.17%0.03
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Jul-128.2%8.11%0.09
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Aug-128.1%8.05%0.05
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Sep-127.8%7.99%-0.19
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Oct-127.9%7.93%-0.03
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Nov-127.8%7.87%-0.07
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