ABCDEFGHI
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IOWA CAUCUS SIMULATORGeneral Election Make Up: 2004: D(34), R(36), I(30)…….2008: D(34) R(33) I(33)…….2010 GOV: D(31) R(35) I(34)
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Projected 2012: D(33), R(34) I(33)
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County/County Seat/Location
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LYON/ROCK RAPIDS/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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214/42%101/20%49/10%113/22%28/5%3/1%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 6,054
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 6,1462012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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1.5% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 6,23842/8%36/7%52/10%23/4%57/10%329/61%1/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 4,679
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Hold Obama: 1,559PROJECTED VOTES:608ACTUAL VOTES:540
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 608
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 11%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 11.5%4,751/78%1,303/21%STRONG GOP4,471/72%1,675/27%STRONG GOPGOP NEEDS 75%
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SIOUX/ORANGE CITY/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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1,147/53%307/14%213/10%346/16%137/6%26/1%3/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 16,488
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 16,5202012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.2% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 16,553160/8%299/14%297/14%82/4%279/14%943/46%9/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 13,905
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Hold Obama: 2,648PROJECTED VOTES:2,503ACTUAL VOTES:2.069
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 2,503
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 16%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 14.9%14,229/86%2,259/14%STRONG GOP13,490/81%3,030/18%STRONG GOPGOP NEEDS 84%
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PLYMOUTH/LE MARS/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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304/25%415/34%171/14%201/16%101/8%30/3%3/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 12,088
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 12,3942012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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2.5% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 12,704161/13%369/29%140/11%42/3%195/16%349/28%2/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 8,258
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Hold Obama: 4,446PROJECTED VOTES:1,361ACTUAL VOTES:1,258
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 1,361
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 15%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 15.2%7,810/64%4,278/35%LIKELY GOP7,765/62%4,629/37%LIKELY GOPGOP NEEDS 65%
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WOODBURY/SIOUX CITY/NW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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780/23%1,309/38%567/16%422/12%275/8%103/3%5/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 43,906
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 44,2022012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.7% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 44,511406/12%952/28%308/9%80/2%529/15%1,125/33%19/1%Actual
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GOP Needs: 23,146
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Hold Obama: 21,365PROJECTED VOTES:3,632ACTUAL VOTES:3,419
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 3,632
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 15%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 14.8%22,451/51%21,455/49%LEAN GOP22,219/50%21,983/49%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 52%
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MONONA/ONAWA/WEST IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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95/29%117/36%50/15%38/12%20/6%8/2%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 4,972
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 4,7062012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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5.5% Voter DECREASEProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 4,44753/15%96/28%33/10%5/1%43/13%112/33%1/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 2,356
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Hold Obama: 2,091PROJECTED VOTES:294ACTUAL VOTES:343
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 294
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 14%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 14.6%2,575/51%2,397/48%LEAN GOP2,411/51%2,295/48%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 53%
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HARRISON/LOGAN/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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167/31%183/35%56/11%44/8%65/12%14/3%1/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 7,586
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 7,4642012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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1.5% Voter DECREASEProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 7,35298/15%123/19%69/11%37/6%110/17%205/32%2/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 4,117
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Hold Obama: 3,235PROJECTED VOTES:525ACTUAL VOTES:644
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 525
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 14%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 15.6%4,680/61%2,906/38%LIKELY GOP3,909/52%3,555/47%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 56%
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POTTAWATTAMIE/COUNCIL BLUFFS/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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571/22%854/33%355/14%352/13%300/11%154/6%18/1%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 41,464
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 41,6732012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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0.5% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 41,881457/17%719/26%220/8%115/4%529/19%666/25%12/1%Actual
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GOP Needs: 23,453
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Hold Obama: 18,428PROJECTED VOTES:2,885ACTUAL VOTES:2,718
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 2,885
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 12%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 11.6%24,558/59%16,906/41%LIKELY GOP21,237/50%20,436/49%LEAN GOPGOP NEEDS 56%
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MILLS/GLENWOOD/SW IA2008 Huckabee2008 Romney2008 Thompson2008 McCain2008 Paul2008 Guiliani2008 Hunter
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155/26%126/24%98/18%76/14%52/10%25/5%0/0%
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Total 2004 Gen Votes: 6,864
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Total 2008 Gen Votes: 7,1592012 Gingrich2012 Romney2012 Perry2012 Bachmann2012 Paul2012 Santorum2012 Huntsman
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4% Voter IncreaseProjected
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Projected 2012 Votes: 7,44579/15%132/25%44/8%29/5%84/16%163/31%2/0%Actual
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GOP Needs: 4,765
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Hold Obama: 2,680PROJECTED VOTES:670ACTUAL VOTES:533
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Projected 2012 Caucus Votes: 670
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2008 Caucus Turnout: 13%2004 Bush2008 KerryTrend2008 McCain2008 ObamaTrend2012
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2012 Caucus Turnout: 11.1%4,556/66%2,308/33%LIKELY GOP4,183/58%2,976/41%LIKELY GOPGOP NEEDS 64%