| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Calculated Regular Attack - Success Rate for Attacker | # | % of lt | Crit | Suc | Fail | Botch | CumFail | CumSuc | # | % of gt | ||||||||||||||||
2 | Adjusted attack skill | 3 | 0.46% | 1.85% | 0.00% | 72.22% | 25.93% | 98.15% | 1.85% | 3 | 100.00% | ||||||||||||||||
3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 1.85% | 1.85% | 0.00% | 81.95% | 16.20% | 98.15% | 1.85% | 4 | 99.54% | |||
4 | Adj. Defense | 3 | 20.6% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 25.9% | 30.9% | 38.0% | 46.3% | 55.4% | 64.4% | 72.7% | 79.8% | 84.8% | 88.9% | 92.2% | 5 | 4.63% | 1.85% | 2.78% | 86.11% | 9.26% | 95.37% | 4.63% | 5 | 98.15% | |
5 | 4 | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 26.9% | 34.9% | 44.3% | 54.6% | 64.8% | 74.3% | 82.3% | 88.0% | 92.3% | 95.4% | 6 | 9.26% | 1.85% | 7.41% | 86.11% | 4.63% | 90.74% | 9.26% | 6 | 95.37% | ||
6 | 5 | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 30.6% | 40.5% | 51.3% | 62.0% | 72.0% | 80.4% | 86.4% | 90.7% | 93.8% | 7 | 16.20% | 1.85% | 14.35% | 81.95% | 1.85% | 83.80% | 16.20% | 7 | 90.74% | ||
7 | 6 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 26.6% | 36.5% | 47.3% | 58.1% | 68.0% | 76.4% | 82.4% | 86.8% | 89.8% | 8 | 25.93% | 1.85% | 24.08% | 72.22% | 1.85% | 74.07% | 25.93% | 8 | 83.80% | ||
8 | 7 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 32.6% | 42.8% | 53.1% | 62.6% | 70.5% | 76.2% | 80.5% | 83.6% | 9 | 37.50% | 1.85% | 35.65% | 60.65% | 1.85% | 62.50% | 37.50% | 9 | 74.07% | ||
9 | 8 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 28.9% | 38.0% | 47.0% | 55.3% | 62.4% | 67.4% | 71.5% | 74.8% | 10 | 50.00% | 1.85% | 48.15% | 48.15% | 1.85% | 50.00% | 50.00% | 10 | 62.50% | ||
10 | 9 | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 24.6% | 32.2% | 39.8% | 46.8% | 52.7% | 56.9% | 60.8% | 64.3% | 11 | 62.50% | 1.85% | 60.65% | 35.65% | 1.85% | 37.50% | 62.50% | 11 | 50.00% | ||
11 | 10 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 25.9% | 31.9% | 37.5% | 42.2% | 45.5% | 49.2% | 53.0% | 12 | 74.07% | 1.85% | 72.22% | 24.08% | 1.85% | 25.93% | 74.07% | 12 | 37.50% | ||
12 | 11 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 28.3% | 31.7% | 34.2% | 37.6% | 41.6% | 13 | 83.80% | 1.85% | 81.95% | 14.35% | 1.85% | 16.20% | 83.80% | 13 | 25.93% | ||
13 | 12 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 26.9% | 31.1% | 14 | 90.74% | 1.85% | 88.89% | 7.41% | 1.85% | 9.26% | 90.74% | 14 | 16.20% | ||
14 | 13 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 15 | 95.37% | 4.63% | 90.74% | 4.17% | 0.46% | 4.63% | 95.37% | 15 | 9.26% | ||
15 | 14 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16 | 98.15% | 9.26% | 88.89% | 1.39% | 0.46% | 1.85% | 98.15% | 16 | 4.63% | ||
16 | 15 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17 | 99.54% | 9.26% | 88.89% | 1.39% | 0.46% | 1.85% | 98.15% | 17 | 1.85% | ||
17 | 16 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 18 | 100.0% | 9.26% | 88.89% | 1.39% | 0.46% | 1.85% | 98.15% | 18 | 0.46% | ||
18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Calculated Resistance - Success Rate for Attacker | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Adjusted attack skill | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||||||||||||
22 | Adj Resistance | 3 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 38.0% | 50.1% | 62.6% | 73.5% | 83.6% | 91.1% | 95.5% | 98.3% | |||||||||||
23 | 4 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 25.4% | 36.5% | 49.9% | 61.3% | 74.1% | 83.6% | 90.8% | 95.3% | 98.2% | ||||||||||||
24 | 5 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 36.1% | 49.1% | 61.3% | 72.8% | 83.0% | 90.3% | 95.1% | 97.9% | ||||||||||||
25 | 6 | 0.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 24.8% | 35.9% | 48.7% | 60.3% | 72.4% | 81.9% | 89.4% | 94.2% | 97.8% | ||||||||||||
26 | 7 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 33.5% | 45.7% | 58.4% | 70.4% | 80.7% | 88.0% | 93.7% | 96.7% | ||||||||||||
27 | 8 | 0.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 31.9% | 43.4% | 56.7% | 66.9% | 77.8% | 85.7% | 91.5% | 95.6% | ||||||||||||
28 | 9 | 0.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 30.1% | 40.4% | 51.2% | 62.2% | 73.0% | 81.6% | 87.3% | 93.2% | ||||||||||||
29 | 10 | 0.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 35.0% | 46.4% | 56.8% | 67.5% | 76.9% | 83.9% | 89.7% | ||||||||||||
30 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 29.8% | 40.1% | 50.9% | 60.8% | 70.7% | 78.6% | 85.0% | ||||||||||||
31 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 24.8% | 33.3% | 43.3% | 52.0% | 62.7% | 71.5% | 79.4% | ||||||||||||
32 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 25.6% | 35.1% | 44.2% | 54.6% | 63.0% | 71.6% | ||||||||||||
33 | 14 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 26.7% | 36.0% | 44.4% | 54.9% | 63.7% | ||||||||||||
34 | 15 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 27.5% | 36.7% | 45.4% | 54.7% | ||||||||||||
35 | 16 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 28.1% | 37.1% | 45.5% | ||||||||||||
36 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | Simulated Quick Contest - Attacker vs Defender (1 million tests per combo) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | Adjusted attack skill | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Compare, "QC" vs "Attack vs Defense" | ||||||||||||
41 | Adj Resistance | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | 4 | 45.4% | 54.6% | 63.7% | 72.0% | 79.5% | 85.5% | 90.3% | 93.9% | 96.4% | 98.0% | 99.0% | 99.6% | 99.8% | Attacker | 16 | |||||||||||
43 | 5 | 36.3% | 45.3% | 54.7% | 63.6% | 72.1% | 79.4% | 85.6% | 90.4% | 93.9% | 96.4% | 98.0% | 99.0% | 99.5% | Defender | 16 | |||||||||||
44 | 6 | 27.9% | 36.4% | 45.3% | 54.6% | 63.8% | 72.1% | 79.4% | 85.5% | 90.4% | 94.0% | 96.4% | 98.0% | 99.0% | Example | ||||||||||||
45 | 7 | 20.7% | 27.9% | 36.4% | 45.3% | 54.7% | 63.6% | 72.1% | 79.4% | 85.6% | 90.4% | 93.9% | 96.4% | 98.0% | Success (Attack v (Defence/2+3)) | 53.7% | Some noncombatant. | ||||||||||
46 | 8 | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.3% | 45.3% | 54.6% | 63.6% | 72.0% | 79.4% | 85.5% | 90.4% | 93.9% | 96.4% | Success (Attack v (Defence/2+4)) | 42.5% | CR or DB1 or retreat +1 | ||||||||||
47 | 9 | 9.7% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.4% | 45.4% | 54.7% | 63.7% | 72.1% | 79.4% | 85.5% | 90.3% | 93.9% | Success (Attack v (Defence/2+5)) | 32.3% | CR + DB1 or DB2 or Feaverish Defence | ||||||||||
48 | 10 | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.3% | 45.4% | 54.7% | 63.7% | 72.1% | 79.5% | 85.6% | 90.3% | Success (Attack v (Defence/2+6)) | 23.6% | Retreat +3, or CR + DB2 | ||||||||||
49 | 11 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.3% | 45.3% | 54.6% | 63.7% | 72.0% | 79.4% | 85.6% | Success (Attack v (Defence/2+7)) | 17.5% | CR + DB2 + retreat (1) | ||||||||||
50 | 12 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.3% | 45.4% | 54.6% | 63.7% | 72.0% | 79.4% | Success (Quick Contest) | 45.3% | |||||||||||
51 | 13 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.3% | 45.3% | 54.7% | 63.7% | 72.1% | |||||||||||||
52 | 14 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.2% | 45.4% | 54.6% | 63.7% | Note that it's quite possible to get CR + Retreat +3 plus Feaverish Defense for an unencumbered dodge bonus of +6; shield use usually causes enough encumbrance to start imposing dodge penalties, but for a strong-enough character it's entirely possible to get a dodge bonus of +9 (including DB). | ||||||||||||
53 | 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 28.0% | 36.4% | 45.3% | 54.6% | |||||||||||||
54 | 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 27.9% | 36.2% | 45.3% | |||||||||||||
55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | Simulated Regular Attack - Attacker vs Defense (1 million tests per combo) | The base value tends to be more moderate for Dodges vs Parry or Block, but the massive bonus for a Dodging Retreat makes up for quite a bit. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | Adjusted attack skill | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Fundamentally, a Quick Contest removes all the situational defense modifiers from the equation. This can result in a substantial improvement in the odds. | ||||||||||||
59 | Adj Resistance | 3 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 26.0% | 37.5% | 50.0% | 62.6% | 74.1% | 83.8% | 90.8% | 95.4% | 98.1% | |||||||||||
60 | 4 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 25.8% | 37.4% | 49.7% | 62.3% | 73.8% | 83.4% | 90.3% | 94.9% | 97.8% | ||||||||||||
61 | 5 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 36.8% | 49.0% | 61.4% | 72.8% | 82.3% | 89.1% | 93.7% | 96.5% | ||||||||||||
62 | 6 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 35.9% | 47.8% | 59.7% | 70.8% | 80.0% | 86.7% | 91.2% | 94.0% | ||||||||||||
63 | 7 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 34.2% | 45.6% | 56.8% | 67.5% | 76.3% | 82.5% | 87.0% | 89.9% | ||||||||||||
64 | 8 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 31.7% | 42.2% | 52.7% | 62.4% | 70.5% | 76.4% | 80.6% | 83.7% | ||||||||||||
65 | 9 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 28.3% | 37.5% | 46.7% | 55.4% | 62.6% | 67.7% | 71.8% | 75.2% | ||||||||||||
66 | 10 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 24.1% | 32.0% | 39.7% | 47.0% | 53.1% | 57.3% | 61.3% | 64.8% | ||||||||||||
67 | 11 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 32.2% | 38.0% | 42.8% | 46.4% | 50.1% | 53.7% | ||||||||||||
68 | 12 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 28.9% | 32.6% | 35.1% | 38.7% | 42.5% | ||||||||||||
69 | 13 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 24.8% | 28.1% | 32.3% | ||||||||||||
70 | 14 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 23.6% | ||||||||||||
71 | 15 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 17.5% | ||||||||||||
72 | 16 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | ||||||||||||
73 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
74 | Defender bonuses | Regular Attack - Attacker skill vs Defender skill (Lookup on simulation table) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
75 | Attacker Skill | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
76 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||||||||||||
77 | Defender Skill | 3 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 35.9% | 47.8% | 59.7% | 70.8% | 80.0% | 86.7% | 91.2% | 94.0% | |||||||||||
78 | 4 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 34.2% | 45.6% | 56.8% | 67.5% | 76.3% | 82.5% | 87.0% | 89.9% | ||||||||||||
79 | 5 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 34.2% | 45.6% | 56.8% | 67.5% | 76.3% | 82.5% | 87.0% | 89.9% | ||||||||||||
80 | 6 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 31.7% | 42.2% | 52.7% | 62.4% | 70.5% | 76.4% | 80.6% | 83.7% | ||||||||||||
81 | 7 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 31.7% | 42.2% | 52.7% | 62.4% | 70.5% | 76.4% | 80.6% | 83.7% | ||||||||||||
82 | 8 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 28.3% | 37.5% | 46.7% | 55.4% | 62.6% | 67.7% | 71.8% | 75.2% | ||||||||||||
83 | 9 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 28.3% | 37.5% | 46.7% | 55.4% | 62.6% | 67.7% | 71.8% | 75.2% | ||||||||||||
84 | 10 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 24.1% | 32.0% | 39.7% | 47.0% | 53.1% | 57.3% | 61.3% | 64.8% | ||||||||||||
85 | 11 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 24.1% | 32.0% | 39.7% | 47.0% | 53.1% | 57.3% | 61.3% | 64.8% | ||||||||||||
86 | 12 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 32.2% | 38.0% | 42.8% | 46.4% | 50.1% | 53.7% | ||||||||||||
87 | 13 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 32.2% | 38.0% | 42.8% | 46.4% | 50.1% | 53.7% | ||||||||||||
88 | 14 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 28.9% | 32.6% | 35.1% | 38.7% | 42.5% | ||||||||||||
89 | 15 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 28.9% | 32.6% | 35.1% | 38.7% | 42.5% | ||||||||||||
90 | 16 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 24.8% | 28.1% | 32.3% | ||||||||||||
91 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | Comparison - Attack vs QC (using above lookup table of skill modified to defense) | ORANGE = Better to QC | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | Attacker Skill | GREEN = Better to Attack vs Defense | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
94 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | WHITE = "meh" (+/- 5%) | ||||||||||||
95 | Defender Skill | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
96 | 4 | -43.5% | -50.2% | -55.2% | -57.1% | -55.7% | -51.3% | -44.7% | -37.1% | -28.9% | -21.7% | -16.5% | -12.6% | -9.9% | |||||||||||||
97 | 5 | -34.4% | -40.9% | -46.2% | -48.7% | -48.3% | -45.2% | -40.0% | -33.6% | -26.4% | -20.1% | -15.5% | -12.0% | -9.6% | |||||||||||||
98 | 6 | -26.1% | -32.2% | -37.3% | -40.7% | -41.8% | -40.4% | -37.2% | -32.8% | -28.0% | -23.5% | -20.0% | -17.4% | -15.3% | |||||||||||||
99 | 7 | -18.9% | -23.7% | -28.4% | -31.4% | -32.7% | -31.9% | -29.9% | -26.7% | -23.2% | -19.9% | -17.5% | -15.8% | -14.3% | |||||||||||||
100 | 8 | -12.6% | -16.7% | -20.6% | -23.8% | -25.6% | -26.3% | -26.1% | -25.3% | -24.0% | -22.9% | -22.7% | -22.1% | -21.2% | |||||||||||||