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The German Government supports the countries in their efforts to promote the environment-oriented and integrated use of natural resources and to decrease the negative impacts of climate change. Since January 2020, the Climate and Security Initiative “Green Central Asia” has been implemented on behalf of the German Government and in line with the European Union (EU) Strategy for Central Asia. It identifies energy, climate, environment, water and socio-economic development as the main areas of funding.

These priorities are also reflected in the Team Europe initiative Water-Energy-Climate Change in Central Asia.

GIZ as a German federal enterprise supports the achievement of international cooperation goals for sustainable development through implementation of various “green” projects and programmes in Central Asia.

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POLITICAL DIALOGUE

Green Central Asia II: Transboundary Dialogue on Climate,

Environment and Security in Central Asia

Capacity development for climate policy in the countries of

South-East and Eastern Europe, South Caucasus and Central Asia

0,8 Mio. BMWE

12 Mio. AA 7,5 EU 4,5

WATER

CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION/ CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT

LAND MANAGEMENT/ BIODIVERSITY

RENEWABLE ENERGY/ ENERGY EFFICIENCY

GREEN ECONOMIC

DEVELOPMENT

Climate-sensitive Water Resources Management

Climate Risk Management in Central Asia

Integrative and climate sensitive land Management

in Central Asia

Renewable Energy in Central Asia

Ecologically oriented Regional Development in the Aral Sea Region

19,5 Mio. BMZ 10, EU

7, DEZA 2,5

22,5 Mio. BMZ 13

FCDO 9,5

Technology based Adaptation to Climate Change in Rural Areas of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan

DIAPOL-CE Policy dialogue and knowledge management on climate strategies

H2-diplo Decarbonization Diplomacy H2-PEP - Project Development

1,7 Mio, AA 1,4,

BMWE 0,3

Policy Advice for Climate-Resilient Economic Development (CRED)

Support for the Nitric Acid Climate Action Group

(NACAG)

Climate, Water, Energy Cluster Central Asia

28,2 Mio. BMZ 10,2

GCF 1,5 EU 16,5

12 Mio. BMZ 7

EU 5

10,7 Mio. BMZ

4 Mio. BMZ

0,5 Mio. BMUKN

0,6 Mio BMUKN

3,4 Mio. BMWE

Financing Energy for Low Carbon Investment – Cities Advisory Felicity Eastern Partnership and Central Asia (FELICITY II)

3,5 Mio. BMWE

Sustainable and climate sensitive urban development–Green Cities

4 Mio. BMZ

Green skills for a green economy in Central Asia

4 Mio. BMZ

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Implementation of adaptation measures at local level (oblast / vilayat)

Climate risk assessment at shared river basins

Supporting dialogue on climate risk management and disaster risk reduction at local, national and regional level

Macroeconomic modelling for adaptation planning at national level

What GIZ is doing to integrate Climate Risk Management in Strategic Planning?

Climate Risk Management in Central Asia Programme (CRMCA)

Policy dialogue and knowledge managementon climate strategies

Establishment of a regional Early Warning System on hydrological disasters

Project Idea Notes for Climate Finance

Results integrated in climate policies

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“Climate risks management in Central Asia” programme

Climate risks assessed and prioritized at 4 shared and 1 local river basins in CA

Isfyram-Say

(Kyrgyzstan – Uzbekistan)

Chu – Chon Kemin

(Kazakhstan – Kyrgyzstan)

Shakhimardan

(Kyrgyzstan – Uzbekistan)

Zeravshan

(Tajikistan – Uzbekistan)

Murgab

(Turkmenistan)

Primary risks identified:

(1) Reduced water availability, (2) Soil degradation (3) Decline in agricultural production

(4) Destruction of infrastructure

Methodology Sources:

- Climate Risk-Sourcebook 2023 / GIZ

- Handbook on Climate Risk Assessment - Methodology for Central Asia, 02/2024

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ToT-Handbook and CRA e-modules developed (available at CACIP)

5 CRA reports and Action Plans including 6 Adaptation Measures for each respective shared basins

25 CRA trainers formed and 178 specialists trained

As a result of climate risk assessments

4 trainings on integrating CRA to strategic planning held for local decision makers in pilot basins

Supporting dialogue on climate risk management and disaster risk reduction at local, national and regional level

6 out of 30 adaptation measures in 5 Basins implemented, 14 in process and 10 planned for 2026-2027

Adaptation measures for Zeravshan river basin have been integrated to the local basin development plan

Additional trainings on gender-specific impacts of climate risks and their influence on decision-making processes in 2026-2027

Support on bringing NAP at subregional level planned for 2026-2027

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Chu river basin

(Kazakhstan)

Zeravshan

(Tajikistan – Uzbekistan)

Murgab

(Turkmenistan)

Rehabilitation of the mudflow channel protected 391 households (comprising 1,560 inhabitants) from mudflow risks in Yori village, Sughd province, Tajikistan;

Introduction of SMART Patrol system in Zarafshan National Park (Uzbekistan) strengthened real-time environmental monitoring, improved patrol effectiveness and reduction of illegal activities.

Improved water availability in remote areas helped to promote fodder reserves and alleviate seasonal grazing pressure, preventing land degradation in Mary Velayat, Turkmenistan.

Introduced digital system for integrated pastureland management can help 1177 farms in Zhambyl and Turkestan oblasts to optimize the management of pasturelands, preventing land degradation

Examples of adaptation measures

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Global Programme on Climate Resilient Economic Development (CRED)

Climate Economy Modelling supporting adaptation planning – process overview

Adaptation

leadership

Economic planning / �Financing Stakeholders

Shortlist of adaptation measures

Sectoral �Financing �Options

Adaptation

policy

implementation

Macro-economic modelling of adaptation

Improved evidence base

Public budget �allocation + private investments

Ministry of Environment / Sectoral Ministries

Ministry of Economy

Ministry of Finance

International climate finance

How to integrate adaptation better in budget planning

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Global Programme on Climate Resilient Economic Development (CRED)

Piloting macroeconomic modelling for adaptation planning

Step 2:

Adaption Measures + CBA

Example: Conservation agriculture

Investments in new machinery �for CA practices, 1.2 m USD
Information campaigns for �farmers on CA, 0.05 m USD
Costs for additional crop residue distributed on the soil, 0.1 m USD
Purchase of herbicides, including glyphosate, 0.3 Mn. USD

Costs (in USD per 10.000 ha)

Benefits (in USD per 10.000 ha)

Increased agricultural yields�0.15 m USD p.a.
Elimination of fallow and additional crops, 0.7 m USD p.a.
Reduction of field staff in soil tillage saving fuels, 0.3 m USD p.a.
Sale of machinery for deep �tillage, 0.6 Mn. USD

Agricultural output

Employment

0.2%

GDP

0.45%

(18.000 add. jobs)

Step 1:

Climate + Economic Data

Assumption

SSP5-8.5 scenario covering droughts, floods, heatwaves

Climate Economy Model

Foreign trade

Economic model

National accounts

Demand

Production

Unit costs

Labour market

Emissions

Energy module

Supply

Transformation

Demand

Prices

Climate

Investment

Import

of agricultural products

Export

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Economic assessments for large-scale adaptation, example of water reservoirs

Cost-benefit analysis:

Water-resilience measure	Investment	Economic Benefits	Cost Recovery
Construction of multi-purpose water reservoirs with application in agriculture in Kazakhstan	Investment costs for building reservoirs and installing irrigation infrastructure (600 Mn. USD) Operational costs for building reservoirs (92 Mn. USD)	Reduced damage from flooding �(2,680 Mn. USD) Increased agricultural productivity due to better irrigation and more irrigated land (1,850 Mn. USD)	Upstream PPP opportunities through integrated energy projects within water infrastructure High upfront capital costs and long payback periods

Modelling of macroeconomic benefits:

0.07% higher GDP in 2050 compared to a “no-action” scenario

Around 6,000 jobs created through the water-resilience measure

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Challenges and solutions

Fragmentation between climate risk analysis and decision-making

CRA methodology + trainings for planning specialists and decision makers at local, national and regional levels

Limited integration of climate risks into core development planning processes

Weak incorporation of climate risks at subnational and cross-boarder levels

Macro-economic modelling for adaptation planning at national level

Disconnect between climate risks and public budgeting systems

Lack of a structured pipeline of adaptation investments

Low maturity of financial and insurance mechanisms for climate risks

Dialogue for decision makers at local, national and regional levels

Development of bankable projects

Gap analysis…

Climate risk assessments, models, and research already exists across Central Asia. However, these outputs are rarely translated into practical inputs for strategic planning, budgeting, and investment decisions. As a result, climate risk remains largely analytical rather than operational.
While NAP processes are advancing, climate risks are not yet systematically embedded in the documents that drive actual development decisions, such as national development strategies, sectoral programs, and territorial socio-economic plans.
Climate risks in Central Asia are highly localized (e.g.,droughts, floods, glacier-related hazards) yet planning at regional and local levels often lacks structured approaches torisk integration and information exchange between countries.
Public budgeting processes do not systematically reflect climate risks. Existing expenditures that contribute to resilience are not clearlyidentified, and budget allocations are rarely informed by risk-based prioritization.
Although there is increasing awareness of climate risks, countries often lack a well-defined and prioritized portfolio of adaptation projects that are technically prepared and aligned with investment requirements.
Financial and insurance solutions remain at an early stage of development in most Central Asian countries. Existing initiatives are largely pilot-based, and there is no consistent framework for scaling them across the region.

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