Empirical Analysis of the Effect Residents Have on Treatment Times in an Emergency Department
David Anderson, John Silberholz, Bruce Golden, Mike Harrington, Jon Mark Hirshon
POMS Annual Meeting, Denver 2013
Overview
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Broad Healthcare
Landscape
-Health Care Reform Bill, 2010
-Americans spent $2.3 trillion on health care in 2007
-Hospitals are one of the least efficient sectors
University of Maryland
Medical Center (UMMC)
UMMC
UMMC ED
700 beds
1,182 doctors
742 residents
55 beds
20% admission rate
46,000 patients/year
Residency Model
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Medical School
Residency
Attending Physician
Research Question
What effects do residents have on the efficiency of the emergency department?
- Longer or shorter patient treatment times?
Residents are in the hospital to learn, but also treat patients
One conjecture is that the teaching of residents takes time away from patient care and negatively impacts efficiency
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Inconclusive Literature
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Observational Studies
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Resident Seminars
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Advantages Over Previous Studies
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Data
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Arrival Rates
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Regression Analysis
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Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-value | p-value |
(Intercept) | 5.002 | 0.020 | 247.475 | <.001 |
NoRes | 0.075 | 0.034 | 2.242 | 0.025 |
Line | 0.010 | 0.002 | 5.455 | <.001 |
Admit | 0.088 | 0.015 | 5.819 | <.001 |
NumLab | 0.032 | 0.001 | 35.847 | <.001 |
Labs | 0.335 | 0.018 | 18.716 | <.001 |
NumRad | 0.057 | 0.004 | 13.509 | <.001 |
Rad | 0.148 | 0.016 | 9.376 | <.001 |
Weekend | -0.044 | 0.013 | -3.311 | <.001 |
Sev1 | -0.148 | 0.096 | -1.544 | 0.123 |
sev2 | 0.048 | 0.017 | 2.730 | 0.006 |
sev3 | 0.031 | 0.015 | 2.080 | 0.038 |
sev4 | -0.178 | 0.032 | -5.511 | <.001 |
sev5 | -0.543 | 0.090 | -6.001 | <.001 |
(Adjusted R2 = .5355, N = 7935)
High Severity vs Low Severity
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High Severity Results
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Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-value | p-value |
(Intercept) | 5.027 | 0.020 | 245.581 | <.001 |
NoRes | 0.073 | 0.034 | 2.138 | 0.033 |
Line | 0.009 | 0.002 | 4.784 | <.001 |
Admit | 0.090 | 0.015 | 5.955 | <.001 |
Numlab | 0.032 | 0.001 | 35.832 | <.001 |
Labs | 0.316 | 0.018 | 17.242 | <.001 |
Numrad | 0.056 | 0.004 | 13.331 | <.001 |
Rad | 0.143 | 0.016 | 8.881 | <.001 |
Weekend | -0.055 | 0.014 | -4.010 | <.001 |
sev1 | -0.146 | 0.095 | -1.528 | 0.126 |
sev2 | 0.049 | 0.017 | 2.828 | 0.005 |
sev3 | 0.029 | 0.015 | 1.987 | 0.047 |
(Adjusted R2 = .5133, N = 7549)
Low Severity Results
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Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-value | p-value |
(Intercept) | 4.234 | 0.104 | 40.558 | <.001 |
NoRes | 0.110 | 0.189 | 0.581 | 0.562 |
Line | 0.041 | 0.011 | 3.711 | <.001 |
Admit | 0.010 | 0.127 | 0.081 | 0.935 |
Numlab | 0.035 | 0.007 | 4.899 | <.001 |
Labs | 0.553 | 0.087 | 6.324 | <.001 |
Numrad | 0.133 | 0.037 | 3.610 | <.001 |
Rad | 0.144 | 0.093 | 1.559 | 0.120 |
Weekend | 0.135 | 0.062 | 2.183 | 0.030 |
sev4 | 0.281 | 0.099 | 2.834 | 0.005 |
(Adjusted R2 = .5737, N = 341)
Morning Patients
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Morning Results
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Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-value | p-value |
(Intercept) | 4.630 | 0.055 | 84.908 | <.001 |
NoRes | 0.068 | 0.034 | 2.008 | 0.045 |
Line | 0.023 | 0.006 | 3.792 | <.001 |
Admit | 0.146 | 0.031 | 4.669 | <.001 |
Numlab | 0.030 | 0.002 | 15.628 | <.001 |
Labs | 0.328 | 0.038 | 8.750 | <.001 |
Numrad | 0.054 | 0.009 | 5.901 | <.001 |
Rad | 0.188 | 0.033 | 5.763 | <.001 |
High | 0.345 | 0.054 | 6.359 | <.001 |
(Adjusted R2 = .5712, N = 1768)
Survival Analysis
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Survival Analysis Results
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Variable | Coefficient | Standard Error | z | Pr(>|z|) |
Numlab | 0.0037 | 0.0055 | 0.6680 | 0.5044 |
Numrad | -0.0358 | 0.0254 | -1.4090 | 0.1587 |
NoRes | -0.2505 | 0.0860 | -2.9140 | 0.0036 |
Sev1 | 0.6403 | 0.4540 | 1.4100 | 0.1585 |
Sev2 | -0.0447 | 0.1023 | -0.4370 | 0.6622 |
Sev3 | -0.1140 | 0.0836 | -1.3640 | 0.1725 |
Sev4 | -0.0320 | 0.1932 | -0.1660 | 0.8685 |
Sev5 | 0.6317 | 0.5864 | 1.0770 | 0.2814 |
Line | 0.0327 | 0.0104 | 3.1310 | 0.0017 |
Labs | -0.6133 | 0.1067 | -5.7490 | 0.0000 |
Rad | -0.2198 | 0.0905 | -2.4290 | 0.0152 |
Different Patient Populations
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Residents have a bigger impact on more severe populations
Conclusion
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Future Work
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