MONEY
TALKS
Unlocking mass support for international investment in climate and development
how can we unlock mass support in G7 countries for international investment in climate and development?
It started with a big question:
4 focus groups, 20,000 survey respondents, 4 more focus groups, lots of analysis and a test and learn campaign on social media later…
Significant support across the G7 for action on climate and development
Two politically influential and persuadable mass audience segments identified
Development and testing of three message frames that are proving to be highly effective.
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the result
OUR RESEARCH REVEALED…
MONEY
MATTERS
Insight 1
Across the G7 concern for the negative effects of climate change is greater than for global recession, armed conflicts, food shortages and virus variants (global recession highest in UK, US & Canada)
Cost of living dominates concern on impacts. Particularly food prices and availability - more so than energy prices
Of the issues front of mind when considering voting, the state of the economy is the leading concern.
CLIMATE IS A TOP VOTING ISSUE EVEN DURING A TIME OF GLOBAL CRISES
Q: What issue will most likely be in mind when voting?
Climate change is a top three voting issue across all G7 countries, apart from Japan
Only 1% said international aid / reducing poverty overseas will be first on their mind when they next vote.
12%
15%
10%
Climate
Economy
Healthcare
Insight 2
THERE’S WIDE SUPPORT TO SPEND MORE ON CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT
Insight 3
Across the G7, people think their governments should be spending more on tackling climate change and on poverty and hunger than on defence and military.
What % of your country’s GDP do you think should be spent on helping other countries tackle the following…
3.2%
3.1%
2%
*percentage figures are average results across the G7
Climate�Change
Poverty�& Hunger
Defence and military given as a benchmark
BUT WHO CAN BE TRUSTED TO DELIVER?
Insight 3
Trust in politicians and political institutions is very low
Focus group insight suggests most people have no or limited knowledge of the World Bank. Whilst there is considerable support for the World Bank conceptually, most people don’t identify it as an institution they trust.
Q: Which of the following would you trust most to handle and allocate large amounts of money to climate related investments?
24%
20%
14%
13%
10%
10%
6%
4%
A new international organisation, specifically focused on tackling climate change
None of these
World Bank
United Nations
My government
Charities
Large International businesses
Politicians
A SENSE OF RESPONSIBILITY
Insight 4
Respondents recognised that people living in poorer countries will face the greatest harm from climate change
feel that richer countries need to bear a larger part of the cost, when it comes to funding climate action.
65%
A WINDOW FOR INSTITUTIONAL REFORM EXISTS
Insight 5
Over ½ of respondents believe we need to fundamentally change the way our economy works to solve global crises like climate change, cost of living and equitable global development.
BUT 11% OF THE POPULATION ISN’T ENOUGH
The research identified a relatively small group of highly concerned, highly active people, ‘anxious globalists’.
WE NEED TO MOTIVATE THE MASSES IN THE MIDDLE
We’ve identified two influential and persuadable groups of people with centre and centre-right political views
‘Soft Right’ and ‘Middle Class Moderates’ are open to voices from both sides of the political spectrum and are not opposed to investing in climate and development.
Their voices carry significant weight in domestic politics.
11%
Anxious �Globalists
19%
Soft�Right
25%
Middle Class�Moderates
9%
Left Behind�Traditionalists
18%
Disengaged
11%
Core�Nationalists
7%
White Collar�Entrepreneurs
Share of g7 population
But to reach them, new narratives and messengers are needed…
MONEY TALKS
Recommendation 1
There is less intrinsic concern about climate change for this audience. They are worried about economic concerns and the rising cost of living
Demonstrating cost-effectiveness of solutions is particularly important.
Emphasise the cost-effectiveness�of solutions
Spell out the tangible difference reforms will make to their daily lives
Highlight that it’s better value for money to fix problems globally (at the source), than treat the symptoms locally.
recommendation
CONNECT GLOBAL CRISES�TO LOCAL REALITIES
Recommendation 2
People think about their own country first when it comes to economic, financial systems and spending
But many understand that local issues are intertwined with global crises and do show concern.
Create a conversation that clearly demonstrates that local problems are directly linked to global events.
recommendation
SHARED RESPONSIBILITY
Recommendation 3
The Soft Rights and Middle Class Moderates acknowledge the need to tackle global problems together with other countries.
Emphasising the shared responsibility to take action may bolster support from these groups.
recommendation
CELEBRATE THE WIN WINS
Recommendation 4
There is an opportunity to use climate change as a route in to talking about the need to support investment in poorer countries
But many of the solutions to climate change have co-benefits in poverty alleviation, as well as cost of living benefits too.
Celebrate the co-benefits of investments that tackle climate change, poverty reduction and the cost of living crisis too.
recommendation
FIND A MESSENGER�IN THE MIDDLE
Recommendation 5
Find respected, non-partisan voices - from beyond the activist movement - to be your messenger.
recommendation
Alarmist messaging is unlikely to play well with large parts of this audience
Strongly partisan and left-leaning messengers risk alienating these centre / centre right groups.
Keep�it real
Recommendation 6
Don’t lose sight of people’s daily reality. They can make connections between the cost of living crisis and climate change or global poverty when the framing is right
Expressing investment as % with a benchmark e.g. GDP enables people to understand and engage in a way that billions or trillions does not.
Use straight-forward language, (see frames) and % GDP, not billions or trillions
Talk about connections through the direct impacts like food prices
Use economy as a gateway into conversation about interlinked global crises.
recommendation
We’ve developed�and tested�three powerful�messaging frames.
balance
Frame 1
If we think of our economy like�a big business, it is on the verge�of collapse.
Dividends are being paid out, but at the expense of people and planet.
We all know the importance of balancing the books.
We need a new business model.
We need to rebalance our financial system through fair and sustainable development to avert collapse
upgrade
Frame 2
The economic system is crashing.
Our financial operating system is out of date.
We've ignored the notifications for so long that inequality and climate catastrophe are affecting our daily lives.
We need to upgrade to fair and sustainable development to avert catastrophe.
revive
Frame 3
Our economy is on life-support.
We’ve been treating the symptoms, band-aids over huge problems like global inequality and climate catastrophe.
But we need to invest to heal inequalities, restore health to the planet and build resilience to future crises.
In addition to focus groups and the survey we ran a digital testing campaign across Facebook, LinkedIn and Twitter
What we’ve learned
There is no clear winner! But also no losers.
All the narratives were found “convincing”. Clear, simple and easy-to-understand language is appreciated.
Revive performed strongest in quant, Upgrade strongest in digital testing (with some variations between audiences/regions)
Upgrade performed consistently stronger with well - informed audiences (World Bank, IMF, COP27).
It’s hard to engage on these topics, especially in the US!
See here for the full details on Frames & testing results
We analysed language through “topic-modelling” open-text responses to questions on investment in climate and development. This helps predict salience of issues by region.
Anglosphere
European Union
Japan
The US, UK, and Canada speak most often about physiological needs associated with issues such as housing and words associated with cost of living
European countries tend to be most focused on words surrounding the topic of sustainable development
Participants from Japan seem most fiscally-focused, commonly using words associated with the economy
Themes within the Anglosphere revolve around the reduction and slowing down of the status quo, implying people are more likely to see climate policy as necessary but a hindrance to everyday life
G7’s EU countries look towards the future, and the growing use of renewable energy sources
Climate change initiatives need more awareness throughout the country. Without greater knowledge of potential policy, the Japanese public will not develop a strong conversation around climate change
When your government spends money on helping other countries, what do you think they should focus on?
Thinking about this questionnaire… How would you address climate change if you were in charge?
Find out more
Full report, charts, data and individual country breakdowns
Resources
with Liz and Rachel:�hello@blanksands.co.uk
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Research
Research was undertaken by Stack Data Strategy
Research consisted of UK and US focus groups plus a poll of 20, 000 people across the G7�(5000 people in the US; 2500 in other countries)
Fieldwork was conducted between 12 August�and 24 August 2022 when there was an extreme heatwave across many countries
This work was developed in consultation with a narrative working group. Huge thanks to ONE, Earth4ALL, Global Citizen, Restless Development and others for their inputs.
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