Bret Andrews DO, NICHe (Neurologists Interested in Climate and Health) Beth Malow MD FAAN, Professor of Neurology and Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, NICHe
MGH, March 25, 2026
Climate Change and Brain Health: What We Know and What We Can Do
Beth’s Story/Climate Communication
In talking with friends, colleagues, and patients…
First connect with your audience. What do they care about?
Then tell your story and share a simple message.
Warming is accelerating. 2024 warmest year ever.
Source: Copernicus/ECWMF
Current increase:
1.5⁰ C (2.8⁰ F)
since pre-industrial
times.
- World Meteorological Society
Global temperatures since late 19th century average
Global CO2 per NOAA
Flooding in Boston Area: �Dec 2022
NBC Boston
Wildfires
Wildfires are fueled by hotter temperatures
Wildfire smoke contributes to total PM2.5 (most toxic cause)�
Massachusetts Wildfires� Fall 2024
Amazon Rainforest Wildfires 2024
9
2
Analyzed 8.6 million births in CA form 2001-2019 linking records to ASD diagnoses and estimating wildfire-related PM2.5 exposures. Strongest odds of ASD were seen with intense wildfire episodes (≥35ug/m3).
Exposure to wildfire PM2.5 was assessed in KP Southern CA pregnancy cohort from 2006-2014
Children exposed to 1–5 days of any wildfire PM2.5 during 3rd trimester had elevated risk of autism. The effect size was larger for wildfire PM2.5 > 3 μg/m3
Luglio et al.
My Story
Solastalgia and then 2013 Rim Fire…
What’s Important: family, communities, health
Climate Change and Air Pollution:
Burning
Fossil
Fuels
(+Wildfires, burning biomass)
Greenhouse Gases
CO2, CH4(methane),
Anaesthetics
Air Pollution: contamination of the indoor or outdoor air by any agent that modifies the natural characteristics of the atmosphere (any chemical, physical or biological agent): WHO
*PAH= Polyaromatic Hydrocarbons, VOC= Volatile Organic Compounds
Health Effects,
Neurologic Dz
Climate Change Increased Heat
(Increased
wildfires)
Toxins PM2.5, PM10, NOx, SOx, O3 [VOCs, metals, others (CO2)]
Air Pollution
Air Pollution and Neurology Mechanisms?
CA Air Resources Board3
- PM2.5 (small soot < 2.5 µm) and NO2 most researched
- PM2.5 particles penetrate deep lungs, may be absorbed.
- Injury mechanism to brain and other organs likely involves inflammation and oxidative stress and potentially transit with direct organ toxicity
Lungs
PM2.5
PM10
HumanHair
Sand
Air Pollution
Brain
Climate and Air Pollution�
Air Pollution is primarily from: Fossil fuel emissions (+ Wildfire smoke) Substantial health burden
Ambient (Outdoor) Air pollution premature deaths: US ~ 90k - 200k /yr, World ~ 3.8 M/yr (~2.5-5x US auto accidents)
Indoor + Outdoor AP: Worldwide ~6.7 M/yr (> COVID19 total deaths, 1/8th of all cause deaths)
Stroke + heart disease leading ~ ½ of that
Caiazzo, Atmospheric Environment 2013, CDC Underlying cause of death Goodkind, PNAS 2019, Institue of Health Metrics and Evaluation 2016
AP
Air Pollution and the Air Quality Index AQI
24hr Air Quality Index is tied to the PM2.5 concentration
(nonlinear)
50 AQI = 9 µg/m3
100 AQI = 35 µg/m3
150 AQI = 55 µg/m3
There is no safe lower level of air pollution
Air Pollution Neurological Effects: Stroke�
The burden of stroke worldwide is increased by at least 14%-20% by air pollution.
------------------------------------------------
Cohen A. CA. 2017. Global Burden of Disease Attributable to Air Pollution. Lancet
WSO Stroke FACT Sheet
Air Pollution Long Term PM2.5 and Stroke�
A meta-analyses of long term PM2.5 exposure: For each 10 µg/m3 increase in average PM2.5 exposure: (like AQI from 50 to 69)
Alexeeff SE. 2021. Long‐term PM2.5 exposure and risks of ischemic heart disease and stroke events: review and meta‐analysis. J Am Heart Assoc (14 studies) [RR of an incident ischemic stroke in the random effects meta‐analysis = 1.18 (95% CI, 1.14–1.22), with low heterogeneity among studies (I2=11.8%)] US/Canada/Europe/Asia
Short Term Air Pollution and Stroke
Recent meta-analysis of exposure </= 5 days prior to stroke (110 studies, 18M incident strokes)
Ischemic Stroke Risk Ratios show robust association:
Toubasi A. 2023. Short-term Exposure to Air Pollution and Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Neurology Asia~60% of studies, rest Europe and Americas) [short-term defined as exposure </= 5 days from onset of CVA] Asia predominant
Air Pollution: Stroke By Proximity�
TRAP (Traffic Related Air Pollution)
Northern Manhattan Population with busy highway pollution exposure:
Those living <100 m vs those >400 m from a major roadway had: 42% higher rate of ischemic stroke
-----------------------------------------------
Kulick ER. 2018. Residential proximity to major roadways and risk of incident ischemic stroke in NOMAS(The Northern Manhattan Study). Stroke. (95% confidence interval, 1.01–2.02) HR 1.42 for <100m adjusted for SDH and CV risks, N=3287; median f/u 15yrs.
AP
Outdoor Air Pollution: 2nd leading cause of stroke disability worldwide:
WSO 2025
GBD 2021 Stroke Risk Factor Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Neurol 2024
Stroke disability modifiable risk in DALYs (Disability Adjusted Life Years)
Air Pollution Neurological Effects: Dementia�
Meta-analysis of 20 cohort studies: 3% increase in dementia risk for every 1 ug/m3 increment in PM2.5 (like AQI from 50 to 53.)
Study from UK: Those living <1000 m vs >1000 m from a major traffic road had:
13% higher risk of dementia
---------------------------------------
Abolhasani E, et al. 2023. Air Pollution and Incidence of Dementia. Neurology
Li C, et al. 2023. Relationships of Residential Distance to Major Traffic Roads and Dementia Incidence and Brain Structural Measures. Health Data Science 500k UK
M
Amyloid Plaque
Relation of dementia �to air pollution
Main findings:
PM2.5 > NO2/traffic > O3, SO2, CO, black carbon
Air Pollution Neurological Effects: Parkinson’s disease�
Recent study of 21.6 million US Medicare patients found:
The relative risk of PD dx was 56% greater for those exposed to long term median level of PM2.5 (40 AQI, 7 ug/m3) vs the lowest levels of PM2.5 exposure.
Kryzanowski B, et al. 2023 Fine Particulate Matter and Parkinson’s Disease. Neurology
Wildfire Smoke PM2.5 Effects: Mortality�
Qiu M. Wildfire Smoke Exposure and Mortality Burden in the US under climate change. Nature 9/2025:
Chen G. PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations. Lancet Planetary Health 2021
Wildfire PM2.5 smoke associated with >0.5% of all cause and >0.67% cardiovascular (including stroke) deaths
---------------------------------------
Wildfire PM2.5 Neurological Effects: Stroke and CVD�
2015 ED visits from 8 California air basins: increased all cause cerebrovascular visits for all adults, especially those >/= 65 years. (RR1.22 [1.00,1.49] with dense smoke)
Alexeff SE, et al. JAHA 2/2025
Kaiser data from 2018, (3.2 million) showed positive association for cardiovascular (including stroke) for some air basins (Mendocino Complex Fire) with PM2.5 increase >35 ug/m3 vs </= 12ug/m3
Hospital study from 15 States: 3 month avg increase in PM2.5 of 0.1ug/m3 associated with increased hospitalization relative risk for cerebrovascular disease of 0.1%. For 10ug/m3, that is an increased risk of 10%. (AQI of 50-69)
Wildfire PM2.5 Neurological Effects: Dementia�
Elser H, et al. Wildfire Exposure and Incident Dementia JAMA Neurology 2024:
1.2 million S. California Kaiser cohort study, 2009-2019: 1 μg/m3 increase in the 3-year mean of wildfire PM2.5 exposure was associated with an 18% increase in the odds of dementia diagnosis. -RETRACTED- Due to diagnosis coding errors with PD patients, OR dropped from 1.18 to 1.12 and results became nonsignificant though the linear trend still held.
Zhang B et al. Comparison of Particulate Air Pollution From Different Emission Sources and Incident Dementia in the US JAMA Internal Medicine 2023
Data from the US Health and Retirement Study (HRS), N=27,857, between 1998 to 2016: Dementia associated with increased PM2.5. Controlling for other sources, Agriculture (HR 1.13 [1.01-1.27]) and Wildfires (HR 1.05[1.02-1.08]) still robustly associated with increased dementia.
Wildfires in North America reversing gains?�
Indoor Air Pollution
Oven at 475°
Oven 350° + one stove burner on high, No Hood
Advice with Poor Air Quality for Patients and Caregivers:
Relevant Hx:
�
Pollution Scenarios:
Potential Advice:
Climate Change: Extreme Heat Related Deaths
1. Howard JT, JAMA Open Network 2024.
2. Hassan I, et al. 2025. Annals of Internal Medicine
3. 2025 9th annual Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change report
US stroke and heart related deaths from Extreme Heat could more than double by mid century on the current trajectory.
Extreme Heat and Ischemic Stroke
Kono M, et al. Impact of rapid temperature fluctuations on acute stroke risk: a nationwide case-crossover study from 2001 to 2020 [Lancet, 4/2025 ] 1.1m from the NHIRD (Taiwan) (after adjustment Air Pollution and rainfall), TDI (Day to Day increase) >6 °C vs risk threshold, 2x AIS risk (OR: 2.173)
Zhu X, et al. Hourly Heat Exposure and Acute Ischemic Stroke [JAMA Netw Open, 2/2024] 82k China nationally 2019-21, 12C (56F), gradual increase AIS (acute ischemic CVA) risk up to extreme 33C (91F) cumulative (OR 1.88)
Chu L, et al. Ambient Temperature and Stroke Risk Among Adults Aged 18-64 Years: A Case-Crossover Study. [Journal of American College of Cardiology 10/2024] 1.05m Blue Cross Blue Shield 2016 to 22 increased risk with moderate and extreme heat, max risk (OR 1.4)
Alahmad B, et al. Extreme Temperatures and Stroke Mortality: Evidence From a Multi-Country Analysis. Stroke 7/2024 >49 countries, over 3.5 million AIS, 1979 to 2019: 2.2/1000 excess ischemic CVAs with extreme temps (2.5% of hottest days)
Multiple recent studies associate increase heat with stroke.
A recent review showed 2.2 excess stroke deaths per 1,000 with extreme heat days in over 40 countries.
Portea Medical
Extreme Heat and Dementia
Alzheimer’s and related dementia patients (ADRD) increased heat wave related hospitalizations (1 day: 0.8/1000; or 4 days: 1.7/1000)
Delaney SW, et al. Extreme Heat and Hospitalization Among Older Persons With Alzheimer Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) JAMA Netw, 02/3/25
China study: Attributable fraction risk of dementia related deaths, was greater for nights than days at 1.4%
Gao Y. et al. Heat Exposure and Dementia-Related Mortality in China. JAMA Netw Open, 06/3/24
97.5% threshold,133k in China, 2013-2019,
RXs for caregivers: Counseling re hydration, cooling strategies and cooling centers.
Guidelines for Extreme Heat for Patients and Caregivers:
Neuro Infectious disease: Tic-borne infections
(extending tick range and active period)
CDC
2001
2021
CDC
Climate and Behavioral Health
�
ideas.ted.com
Climate Justice in US
Climate injustice:
Disproportionate effects on low-income communities and communities of color
These vulnerable populations have greater health burden from air pollution:1
1. Jbaily, Nature, 2022. 2. 2024 State of the Air, American Lung Association 3. Morello-Frosch, NEJM, 2023
So Cal, Inside Climate News
What One Can Do: Start with Food and Climate
Agriculture’s greenhouse gas emissions are 18% of US total
1. Reduce animal-based food:
Carbon footprint of animal-based food much higher
2. Reduce beef (+ lamb):
3. Reduce food waste and compost: In US, 38% of food is wasted, much by households
1. Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN 2023 2. Xu X. Global greenhouse gas emissions. 2021 3. Mitloehner F. UCD. 2019
CH4
Elect cleaner energy through your energy providers through a CCA or REC program: You don’t need to do solar first
Go Clean Green Electricity!
- Do you know where your electricity comes from? State sources for MA:
Total MA mix: 29% natural gas, 0% coal, 11% solar, 56% Imported (???)
- Boston Community Choice Electricity:
BCC Green 100 with100% renewable sources, is just 0.6 cents/kWh more than the std Eversource rate (avg about $4 more a month)
**This drives an increased supply of clean renewable energy replacing dirty sources. ��
CCA States, Climate Policy Dashboard 2025
We Can Do More Together – More Hope, More Opportunity Health is Our Lane!
• Our voices as physicians and health professionals, are highly respected
•We have the opportunity to be leaders on health consequences of air pollution and climate change
•We can talk to people: to our patients, colleagues, communities and policy leaders to build bridges – build a consensus that climate is a health issue and an affordability issue (nonpartisan) and should be a high priority for all Americans
•We are not alone: We can accomplish more working in groups and coalitions. Join NICHe, MSCCH, NCWG or a local physician group for opportunities.
•When we work together: this also can improve our mental health.
What can we do, together?
“Channel Outrage into Action”
“Do what you can, with what you have, where you are”
-Teddy Roosevelt
Americans trust their doctors as an information source
Fall 2022
Engage with others, especially those with different viewpoints
NICHe: Neurologists Interested in Climate and Health
Larry Junck, MD
Bret Andrews, DO
Beth Malow, MD, MS, FAAN
Ali Saad, MD, FAAN
nichebrainhealth.com
Advocacy happens at multiple levels
�
phreportcard.org/
See our Advocacy Links here: nichebrainhealth.com/what-we-can-do/
Join Our Contact List and More Information:
Join our Contact List here (on our
NICHe website homepage): nichebrainhealth.com
Contact Us:�Bret Andrews, DO: bretdandrews@gmail.com
Beth Malow MD, FAAN: beth.malow@vumc.org
Ali Saad MD, FAAN
Larry Junck, MD
nichebrainhealth.com
Winter 2026 Newsletter
Links Page and the Slides
END
-cardiovascular disease: stroke and heart
-neurodegenerative disease: AD, Parkinson’s
-neurodevelopment: autism/cognitive function
-birth outcomes
-lung disease: asthma and chronic lung dz
-cancer: meningiomas?*, lung, breast, prostate, colorectal, leukemias (benzene)
-motor neuron disease**
-kidney
* Hvidtfeldt UA, et al. 2025 Ambient Outdoor Air Pollution and Risk of Tumors of the Central Nervous System. Neurology **Wu J. Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution and Risk and Prognosis of Motor Neuron Disease. JAMA Neurology Jan 2026
Alexeeff SE, et al, 2023 Association of Long-term Exposure to Particulate Air Pollution With Cardiovascular Events in California, JAMA Netw Open
Wei Y, et al. 2024 Exposure-response associations between chronic exposure to fine particulate matter and risks of hospital admission for major cardiovascular diseases: population based cohort study. BMJ
Wei Y, et al. 2023. Additive effects of 10-year exposures to PM2.5 and NO2 and primary cancer incidence in American older adults. Environ Epidemiol
Cheng I, et al. 2019. Association between ambient air pollution and breast cancer risk: The multiethnic cohort study. Int J Cancer
Nyadanu, SD, et al. 2022 Prenatal exposure to ambient air pollution and adverse birth outcomes: An umbrella review of 36 systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Environmental Pollution
Landrigan PJ, et al. 2017. Air pollution and the kidney—implications for control of non-communicable diseases. Lancet
Air Pollution Associated Disease:
Neurological Disease Associations: Temperature Rise and Climate Change
�
AP
Climate Justice – the Global South (GS)
Age Standardized Stroke Mortality Rate due to Particulates
Climate Change: Unprecedented Heat�
2025
2023 Balester, Heat related Mortality in Europe, Nature Medicine34
2023 Vecellio. Greatly enhanced risk to humans…moist heat stress tolerance. PNAS7
NOA
Both AP
�
Other Increasing Mosquito Borne Diseases:
Malaria death rate in 2019.
Per Global Burden of Disease 2021
Anopheles mosquito
CDC
Red blood cell with
malaria protozoan
Infectious disease: Malaria
Air Pollution: Also Cancer, Motor Neuron Disease?
Wu J. Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution and Risk and Prognosis of Motor Neuron Disease. JAMA Neurology Jan2026. 1463 Swedish patients with MND, per IQR increase in the 10-year average level, the odds ratio for PM2.5 was 1.21 (95% CI, 1.09-1.34) and for PM10, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.18-1.42)
Hvidtfeldt UA. Ambient Outdoor Air Pollution and Risk of Tumors of the Central Nervous System. Neurology 08/2025
Risk of Meningiomas for all Danish adults over 20 yo since 1991:
Adjusted Hazard Ratios for PM2.5 and UFP =1.10, and 1.12 for NO2
Wildfire Smoke Health Effects: Brain Tumors?
�
Canadians exposed to wildfire within 50 km in the past 10 years had a 4·9% (95% CI 2·8–7·1) relatively higher incidence of lung cancer than unexposed populations in adjusted models, and a 10% [2·6–17·9] relatively higher incidence of brain tumours
Neurological consequences of a hot environment
Study shows increased presentation for acute care associated with high environmental temperature1,2
2 studies showed ongoing temperature increase associated with presentation with acute headache3,4
1. Elser et al, PLoS, 2021. 2. Louis et al, Neurology, 2022. 3. Mukamal et al, Neurology, 2009. 4. Vodonos et al, Cephalalgia, 2015.
----------------------------------------
Elser H, et al. 2021. Anomalously warm weather and acute care visits in patients with multiple sclerosis. PLoS 40 (95% CI’s: 1.025–1.063 and 1.010–1.054)
Januel E, et al. 2021. Fine Particulate Matter Related to Multiple Sclerosis Relapse in Young Patients. Front Neurol.41 (95% CI:1.01-1.46, p=0.039)
UNSPLASH
Brain involvement by MS evident on MRI
Save Climate Disasters: Who Pays?
NASA
LA, Jan 2025, ABC News
2024: US Costs ~ $150B (27 events) NOAA, NCEI (Natl Cntr Climate Info)
2025: LA Wildfires 65-130B Gallagher Re 2025 and UCLA Anderson Report, Li Z. 2025
SAVE: Indoor Air Pollution
Multiple sources of indoor air pollution, but the greatest contribution in most CA/US homes is NO2 from gas stoves – they don’t exhaust outside:
- ~64% California households don’t use hoods (typically only 25-75% effective)2
- NO2 associates with dementia, and stroke though PM2.5 associations are stronger
- NO2 associates with asthma: CA childhood asthma incidence could drop by up to 20% if we completely stopping gas cooking 3
- Blacks/Hispanics// Native American disproportionately exposed to 20//60% more NO21 (small homes up to 4x the exposure, often their homes don’t have hoods that ventilate outside, and outside air quality typically worse and comes in)
1. Kashtan and Rob Jackson. Science Advances. 2024 2. Zhao, Singer B. Intl J of Env Reas and Pub Health. 2020. 3. Gruenwald. Int J Enviorn Res Public Health. 2022.
SAVE Neurocognitive Function and Air Pollution
Tang D, et al. 2014 Molecular and Neurodevelopmental Benefits to Children of Closure of a Coal Burning Power Plant in China. PLoS ONE
Research in Tongliang China by Columbia Mailman Public Health associated decreased exposure to air pollution in utero with improved developmental scores and higher levels of BDNF (brain derived neurotrophic factor).
Parenteau, AM, et al. 2024 Clearing the air: A systematic review of studies on air pollution and childhood brain outgomes to mobilize policy change. Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience
40 peer-reviewed studies link varied child brian adverse outcomes (structural and functional) to air pollution
SAVE For the world’s largest companies, climate physical risks have a $1.2 trillion annual price tag by the 2050s