2017-2018 IPAT Model for Countries
3rd Period
Total Population Estimate: 326,000,000
Running at a growth rate of about 0.7%-0.9% per year
The average life expectancy of a person born in the United States in 2017 is 79.5 years.
77.1 for men 81.8 for women
Fertility Rate: 1.84 births per woman
GDP per capita of $55,800
Problems associated with population growth
Habitat Loss
Freshwater depletion
Food insecurity
Carbon emissions
IPATS Model
Impact: Despite government regulations aimed at dealing with climate change. The United States still has a major global impact on the environment due to its affluence and technological advancement.
Population:
Affluence:
Technology:
Sensitivity: Due to the United States large land area. The country spans multiple biomes, some being more sensitive during others. The desert of Arizona are more sensitive than the temperate deciduous forests of the Eastern U.S.
China
Cameryn Cupelli
Ethan Trollinger
Demographic Information
Environmental Issues associated with population growth
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/chinas-environmental-crisis
Environmental Issues cont.
Extended problems
IPAT MODEL: I=PxAxTxS
Multiple Choice Questions
INDIA
Patrick Miller and Will Hadley
FACTS
India’s Current Population = 1,342,512,705 (1.3 Billion)
Crude Birth rate = 19.01
Crude Death rate = 7.3
Average Life Expectancy = 68 years of age
Reasons for Population Growth
Aside from rapid industrialization, traditional culture that centers on large families as beneficial, lack of sex education, and a high fertility rate (2.4) all contribute to the continued population growth in India. However, rate of population growth is beginning to slow as India experiences the demographic shift of industrialization.
Age Distribution
IPAT Model
Impact
In general, overpopulation results in depletion of natural resources, habitat loss, and increased greenhouse gas emissions due to energy use that comes along with lots of people.
In India’s case, this has meant increased pollution (air, water, solid waste), loss of large areas of grasslands and forest, water scarcity, increased carbon emissions from power plants and cars.
Multiple Choice Questions
3. What is LEAST likely to occur as India continues to develop?
2. Which of the following has decreased as India has industrialized?
Multiple Choice Answers
Sources
Kenya
All relevant demographic info
3-5 specific environmental problems
Discuss IPAT
2-3 MC Questions
Kenya
By: Max and Elizah
Demographic Info
Environmental problems of population growth:
IPAT
Multiple Choice
Sources
Syria
Syria
Population Pyramid
Emmigration to
Neighboring States
CIA World Factbook Statistics
Ethnic groups
Languages
Literacy
definition: age 15 and older can read and write
Urbanization
Major urban areas - population
As of 2011:
Age structure
0–14 years: 35.2% (male 4,066,109/female 3,865,817)
15–64 years: 61% (male 6,985,067/female 6,753,619)
65 years and older: 3.8% (male 390,802/female 456,336) (2011 est.)
Median age
21 years male
21.7 years female
22.1 years (2011 est.)
Population decline rate
0.797% (2012 est.)
Birth rate
2.35 births/1,000 population (2012 est.)
Death rate
3.67 deaths/1,000 population (July 2012 est.)
Net migration rate
-27.82 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2012 est.)
Sex ratio
at birth: 1.06 male(s)/female
under 15 years: 1.06 male(s)/female
15–64 years: 1.05 male(s)/female
65 years and older: 0.89 male(s)/female
total population: 1.05 male(s)/female (2009 est.)
Life expectancy at birth
total years: 71.19 years
male: 69.8 years
female: 72.68 years (2009 est.)
Internal Conflict
Environmental Issues
Results:
I=PAT(S)
Population: ~ 18.3 million
Affluence: GPD $55.8 million USD (2015), $1,203 GDP per capita (2015) 159/194
Technology: Considerable oil and weapons technology, though “High Technology Exports” account for less than 1% of manufactured exports
Sensitivity: Region is particularly sensitive to global temperature rise
AP Questions
1) The location where the greatest number of people would be directly affected by a rise in ocean level
2) The location of the greatest remaining natural biodiversity
3) The location where desertification is occurring most rapidly
4) The location where the size of the human population is most stable
Answers
Sources
National Accounts Main Aggregates Database, 2016, (Select all countries, "GDP, Per Capita GDP - US Dollars", and 2016 to generate table), United Nations Statistics Division. Accessed on 14 Feb 2018.
https://www.lifegate.com/people/news/syria-the-environmental-crisis-behind-the-civil-war
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-26116868
Bangladesh
Population: 165,731,776 people in 2018 [#8 in the world]
Population Density: 1,252 people per square kilometer [increasing trend]
Growth Rate: 1.1% in 2016 [decreasing trend]
Fertility Rate: 2.1 [decreasing trend-gov support of family planning, economic advancement]
I: increased use of fossil fuels, increased water pollution--increased env. effect from population
P: relatively high
A: $224.1 Billion GDP: $1,400 GDP per capita: 170th global GDP rank: ⅓ Bangladeshis live below poverty line, GDP growth rate 6%, growing GDP every year, advancing economy, fast expansion, poorest 40% grew .5% faster than the whole country, declining poverty
T: beginning stages of developing more tech, especially in the IT industry: large textile industry (14% GDP)
S: highly susceptible to climate change, low lying flood plain landscape, 79% tributary, flooding danger
Environmental Problems in Bangladesh
Consumption needs of a growing population exert pressure on environment in a number of ways. For meeting the additional requirement of food, either extensive or intensive cultivation or both are taken recourse to. In the former case, marginal land is brought under cultivation, which leads to erosion and loss of soil fertility. Often, people make new cropland by encroaching and clearing forests leading to degradation of forest. Deforestation in turns causes soil erosion, siltation and flooding in river basins, changes in microclimate and loss of habitat. When cultivation extends to low-lying areas, the traditional habitat of fish is encroached upon. Shrinkage of pastureland adversely affects both quantity and quality of livestock resources. In the latter case, when intensive cultivation is practiced on the same of shrinking agricultural land (due to increased demand generated for housing and construction of social and physical infrastructural facilities by the additional population, the following problems are normally encountered: increased run off and ecological hazards form chemical Fertilizers and pesticides, reduced genetic diversity in the plant population, water logging and salinity from irrigation.
In order to absorb the growing labour force in productive employment, there hardly exists any option other than industrialization. Rapid urbanization putting unbearable pressure on an already overburdened system, particularly, water supply and sewerage, however, usually accompany this. Incidence of air pollution is also more due to an increasing number of buses, trucks and cars.
Increased industrial production for meeting consumption and investment demands of a growing population uses up an increasing amount of raw materials including minerals and energy. In the process, this not only depletes the country�s natural resource base, but also adds to industrial pollution and thereby degrades the environment of the country.
The sectoral problems include natural disaster, water and FCDI, industrial pollution, deforestation, energy crisis, agro-chemicals and land degradation, decline of fisheries resources, loss of bio-diversity, health and sanitation, air pollution, urban waste generation, inadequate and poor housing, faulty transport system and lack of environment education and awareness.
The locational and ecospecific problems include degradation of wetland, hill cutting, salinity and shrimp cultivation, degradation of coastal and marine resources, charland problem, degradation of upland resources (Barind and Madhupur tract etc.).
The long-terms issues include climate change and sea level rise, urbanization, regional water sharing and lack of research and development on the issues.
The institutional issue include poor institutional setting, lack of inter sectoral coordination, top-down approach, inadequate local level institution and lack of peoples participation. There has been a lack of institutional mechanism to deal with inter-sectoral issues at national level. The capabilities of the Ministry of Environment and Forest and its line agency including Department of Environment and Department of Forest are still weak and insufficient in the context of huge environmental problems they had to deal with at different levels.
Population And Environment In Bangladesh
By Dr. Saleemul Huq, Dr. A Atiq Rahman, and Dwijen Mallick
Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies;
AP Questions
A.64 B.79 C.25 D.44
A. Lack of food B.government support in family planning C. high rates of disease D. malnutrition
3. Considering Bangladesh’s low lying landscape, which of the following is considered to be the most threatening to its people in the future?
A. Rising sea levels B. Decreasing fertility rate trend C. High population density D. High poverty levels
Answers
SOURCES
Afghanistan
By Myra Tubb David Höff
Current population: 34.66 million
Population growth rate: 2.36% annually
density: 53.1 people per sq kilometer
GDP: 561.78 USD per capita
fertility rate: 5.12 children per woman
median age: 18.8 years
life expectancy: 51.7 years
IPATS
Impact- more poverty, 9 million afghans live in absolute poverty
Population- 34.66 million
Affluence- chief exports are natural gas and dried fruit and the average household income is $410
Technology- increasing use of contraceptives, rising use of telecommunications
Sensitivity- Sensitive to armed conflicts, vulnerable to natural disasters and decreasing rule of law
Environmental Problems
Most of Afghanistan's problems are a result of the 30 plus years of political chaos
National Environmental Agency (NEPA) 2005- Improve the lives of afghanis through the conservation, protection and improvement of the country’s environment.
Afghanistan's first Environmental Law 2007- management of issues relating to the rehabilitation, conservation, and sustainable use of the environment.
Multiple Choice Questions
what's the biggest problem with the rising population in afghanistan?
Questions
What was the purpose of establishing the National Environmental Protection Agency (NEPA)?
sources
https://www.csis.org/analysis/agriculture-food-and-poverty-afghanistan
https://www.indexmundi.com/afghanistan/demographics_profile.html
https://knoema.com/atlas/Afghanistan/Population-density
http://afghanistanembassy.org.uk/english/3155/
https://www.weadapt.org/organisation/nepa-afghanistan
http://www.afghan-web.com/environment/afghan_environ_law.pdf
Indonesia
Environmental issues
AP Questions
Answers & Sources
Brazil
Katarina Michna and Divinika Buckle
3rd Period
Demographic Information
Population & Ethnic Groups
Age Structure
Sex Ratio
Median Age & Birth/Death Rate
Life Expectancy, Fertility, & Infant Mortality
Population Growth
Environmental Impacts
Deforestation
Deforestation current event: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-soy-amazon/brazil-curbs-soy-farming-deforestation-in-amazon-idUSKBN1EZ2BM�
Air Pollution
Waste Disposal
I (Impact on Environment)=
Affluence & Technology in Brazil
AP Questions
Question 1
Why is Brazil classified as a developing country?
Question 2
What are some of the factors causing Brazil’s major air pollution issue?
Question 3
How would you best assume Brazil stands worldwide on demographic statistics?
Question 1- Answer
Why is Brazil classified as a developing country?
Question 2- Answer
What are some of the factors causing Brazil’s major air pollution issue?
Question 3- Answer
How would you best assume Brazil stands worldwide on demographic statistics?
(1.75 per woman;5th largest)
Sources
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/br.html
http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/brazil-population/#popClock
http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/publication/brazil-perspectives-air-pollution
http://www.brazil.org.za/environmental-issues.html
https://www.investopedia.com/updates/top-developing-countries/
https://rainforests.mongabay.com/20brazil.htm
Mexico
Hannah and Sunshine
Demographics
Urban Population: 79.8% of Mexico’s population
Urbanization Rate: 1.37%
Mexico City Population: 20.999 million people
Environmental problems
Water contamination: caused by the abrupt growth in population, household drainage and people smuggling chemical fluids, which spill into the rivers, lakes, and beaches of Mexico
Air Pollution: increased population causes increase of automobiles, large factories
Deforestation: As the population increases, the need for urban development increases. Mexico loses about 500,000 hectares per year of forests and forests. At least 17% of the Mexican surface is totally eroded.
Extended of Environmental Problems
Water contamination affect the inhabitants in the water, cattle, and humans; destruction of reefs, wetlands and mangroves. Ex: Xochimilco is a place located near Mexico City and their aquatic life is being directly affected by household drainage
Air pollution affects respiratory and causes insomnia, weight loss, and loss of motor field
Deforestation endangered species, large parts of the ecosystems (tropical and temperate) have disappeared, and may disappear completely
Impact Population Affluence Technology Sensitivity
Environmental Impact
=
Population- 127.5 million
Population density of Mexico increased from 24.4 people per sq. km in 1967 to 65.6 people per sq. km in 2016
x
Affluence-
second largest economy
Large socio-economic gap
x
Technology
Largest exporter of high-technology goods
Technology is not easily accessible to lower income
x
Sensitivity
Increase of health problems such as respiratory problems, spread of plagues, kidney disease
MC question 1
Which of the following is not a direct cause for Mexico’s water contamination?
MC Answer
Which of the following is not a direct cause for Mexico’s water contamination?
MC question 2
If Mexico’s Urbanization rate increases to 1.60% what would be the most direct impact of it?
I.) An increase in Greenhouse Gas emissions
॥.) An increase in deforestation
III.) An increase in water contamination
a.) Only I.
b.) Only l. and ll.
c.) Only l. and lll.
d.) l, ll, lll
e.) none of them
MC Answer
If Mexico’s Urbanization rate increases to 1.60% what would be the most direct impact of it?
I.) An increase in Greenhouse Gas emissions
॥.) An increase in deforestation
III.) An increase in water contamination
a.) Only I.
b.) Only l. and ll.
c.) Only l. and lll.
d.) l, ll, lll
e.) none of them