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  • Measuring impact and impact of the measure: new frontiers for social and solidarity investors�
  • Intervention at 2023 Annual Meeting of
  • SPTF Social Investor Working Group (SIWG) et Financial Inclusion Equity Council (FIEC)
  • Luxembourg, 9 Juin 2023

  • Jean-Michel Severino
  • President, I&P, senior fellow, FERDI, membre de l’académie des technologies

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  • WHY BOTHER?

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

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A new impact narrative is spreading in the corporate world�

  • Even with a great diversity of sincerity and reality, a social demand for meaning appears in the business world (consumers, employees, candidates, investors)�General sensitivity to risk, reputation, eco-anxiety and formal climate objectives, are gradually bringing impact into the fiduciary responsibility of senior management and corporate governance.�An increasingly restrictive regulatory framework is implemented: (i) extra-financial accounting standards (CSRD, IFRS, SEC) (ii) ESRS (iii) NFRD�The whole of this new normalization aims to (i) better understand societal and extra-financial risks (ii) by measuring them and giving them a financial value, direct investments towards more sustainable activities

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The line between impact investors and traditional investors could become blurred�

  • Impact is going to be more and more measured and in a normalized way in the corporate world, while impact investors have a non-normalized and very uneven capacity to report on impact
  • Intentionnality is not going to remain a strong barrier for long, with the growth of mission-led corporations, the generalization of mission statements, and formal environmental commitments
  • Better measuring and forecasting impact, creating a strong link between impact and financial performance, establishing norms and linking investment compagnies remuneration to impact results is the way forward
  • One direction: stay ahead of the impact curve!

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

Our purpose is to make sustainable living commonplace.

To enrich and extend the lives of every person on earth.

Bringing health through food to as many people as possible.

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  • FROM LOST IN IMPACT TO REALLY IMPACTING SOCIETY

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What is the value of a business?

  • What is a business?
  • An economic organization intended to generate direct and indirect net tangible and intangible benefits for its stakeholders (customers, employees, suppliers, investors, communities, etc.
  • Why is this definition useful?
  • It allows us to define the value of a company by the sum of its impacts
  • It is neutral to the question of property, monopoly or market, profit, morality and meaning
  • It distinguishes a company from non-economic activities

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  • NEGATIVE IMPACTS�

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

"Dirty" companies Dilemma companies

Innocent companies Iconic companies

POSITIVE IMPACTS�

Impact investors tend to focus only on positive impacts and miss current trends

The value of any company, sum of its positive and negative impacts�

Impact: tangible and intangible effect, gross or net, of a company's activities on its stakeholders�

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  • IMPACTS BY MISSION�

  • IMPACTS BY MODALITIES
  • (ESG PERFORMANCE )

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

LA BRUTE LE BON

LE TRUAND LE MECHANT(OU PRESQUE)

Impact investors tend to focus only on mission

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  • INDIRECT

  • DIRECT

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GDP ACCES TO EDUCATION

JOB PROVISION REAL ESTATE MARKET

Impact investors tend to focus on direct internalities

INTERNALITY

EXTERNALITY

Internality: positive or negative impact voluntarily produced by a company on a stakeholder due to monetary and contractual transactions generated by its activity (sales, purchases, remuneration, dividends, etc.)�Externality: positive or negative impact unintentionally produced by a company on a stakeholder, without monetary counterpart and without compensation unless there is external intervention or negotiation (pollution, formalization, training, etc.)

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Measurement and balance as a key for effective impact assessment…

  • Most of the metrics of impact actors stop at a few direct internalities�Indirect internalities considerably modify the assessment of the social performance of the company and require sometimes sophisticated instruments or methodologies (example: Leontieff matrices)�Direct or indirect externalities sometimes require a significant effort to understand contexts and deepen social situations.�Indirect externalities are sometimes the most powerful of the impacts generated by the company and less detectable�= A COMPLETE AND "TRUE" APPRECIATION OF THE IMPACT OF AN ECONOMIC ORGANIZATION PRESUPPOSES A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH THAT CAN BE EVOLUTIVE, LIMITED BY A PARTIAL STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AS WELL AS BY THE DIFFICULTY OF QUANTIFICATION, SUMMATION AND ATTRIBUTION

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  • INTENDED IMPACT�

  • NET POSITIVE IMPACT

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FAILURE ZONE TARGETED ZONE

INDIFFERENCE ZONE MIRACLE ZONE

Intentionality remains key

Moving from simple on-the-fly measurement to proactive action on parameters� that will maximize the net impact of a company fundamentally characterizes� the impact approach –

and is linked to the question of the mission and meaning of the company or the fund

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FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

PROFITABILITY�

NET TOTAL IMPACT

SOCIAL BUSINESS MISSION BUSINESS

GARBAGE BUSINESS REGULAR BUSINESS

Now, is impact linked to profitability?

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FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

STRUCTURAL PROFITABILITY�

FRICTION COSTS

IMPACT FIRST FUNDS FINANCE FIRST IMPACT FUNDS

SOCIAL BUSINESS FUNDS COMMERCIAL FUNDS

How to classify impact funds?

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  • EX ANTE SYNTHETIC INDEXES AS TOTAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (TPIs)?

  • OUR WAY FORWARD FOR TOTAL IMPACT RETURN ASSEMENT�

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

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SROIs or IMMs, a new frontier for TPIs

  • We can measure in most cases direct added values, and hence address most of the direct internalities issues
  • Standard macro instruments can be used to address the challenge of indirect internalities
  • Positive intended externalities can be in most cases addressed with parametric terms, drawing from academic evaluation work

  • Negative externalities can be captured by incorporating taxes in impact calculation, and selective key new ones (CO2 emissions, biodiversity destruction, ressources depletion)
  • A beta index can be calculated comparing financial profitability to impact profitability
  • Investment team remuneration can be linked to (i) financial profitability (ii) impact profitability (iii) social beta index (ratio between social and financial performance)

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Promises and limits of TPIs

  • An ex ante SROI or IMM, linked to team remuneration, gives the opportunity of an in-depth discussion between investors and management teams and allows concentration on all parameters of impact
  • An ex ante SROI or IMM focuses the investment team at investment team decision, portfolio management and exit decisions on the key impact parameters, which include financial sustainability
  • An ex post and ex ante SROI should allow comparison between impact funds, at least between specific categories
  • BUT conventions underlying SROI or IMMs and their heterogeneity will always limit comparability
  • BUT even comparable SROIs may not lead to chosing the « best » ones and cannot scrap the intrinsic challenge of the mission
  • SROIs and IMMs are above all political tools allowing the policy focus of a management team on a specific set of performance targets, dreamed by it and its investors

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A few final suggestions

  • Establish norms and standards for SROIs or IMMs at the level of umbrella organisations
  • Create links between the key measured impacts, and IFRS and EFRAG extrafinancial accounting standards so as to create consistency and continuity
  • Generate training among both investors and funds on innnovative total performance indicators
  • Generalize investment teams incentivization based on total impact returns and total performance indicators

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STAY AHEAD!!!

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023