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  • Measuring impact and impact of the measure: new frontiers for social and solidarity investors�
  • Intervention at 2023 Annual Meeting of
  • SPTF Social Investor Working Group (SIWG) et Financial Inclusion Equity Council (FIEC)
  • Luxembourg, 9 Juin 2023

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  • Jean-Michel Severino
  • President, I&P, senior fellow, FERDI, membre de l’académie des technologies

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  • WHY BOTHER?

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A new impact narrative is spreading in the corporate world�

  • Even with a great diversity of sincerity and reality, a social demand for meaning appears in the business world (consumers, employees, candidates, investors)�General sensitivity to risk, reputation, eco-anxiety and formal climate objectives, are gradually bringing impact into the fiduciary responsibility of senior management and corporate governance.�An increasingly restrictive regulatory framework is implemented: (i) extra-financial accounting standards (CSRD, IFRS, SEC) (ii) ESRS (iii) NFRD�The whole of this new normalization aims to (i) better understand societal and extra-financial risks (ii) by measuring them and giving them a financial value, direct investments towards more sustainable activities

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The line between impact investors and traditional investors could become blurred�

  • Impact is going to be more and more measured and in a normalized way in the corporate world, while impact investors have a non-normalized and very uneven capacity to report on impact
  • Intentionnality is not going to remain a strong barrier for long, with the growth of mission-led corporations, the generalization of mission statements, and formal environmental commitments
  • Better measuring and forecasting impact, creating a strong link between impact and financial performance, establishing norms and linking investment compagnies remuneration to impact results is the way forward
  • One direction: stay ahead of the impact curve!

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

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Our purpose is to make sustainable living commonplace.

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To enrich and extend the lives of every person on earth.

Bringing health through food to as many people as possible.

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  • FROM LOST IN IMPACT TO REALLY IMPACTING SOCIETY

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What is the value of a business?

  • What is a business?
  • An economic organization intended to generate direct and indirect net tangible and intangible benefits for its stakeholders (customers, employees, suppliers, investors, communities, etc.
  • Why is this definition useful?
  • It allows us to define the value of a company by the sum of its impacts
  • It is neutral to the question of property, monopoly or market, profit, morality and meaning
  • It distinguishes a company from non-economic activities�

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  • NEGATIVE IMPACTS�

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

"Dirty" companies Dilemma companies

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Innocent companies Iconic companies

POSITIVE IMPACTS�

Impact investors tend to focus only on positive impacts and miss current trends

The value of any company, sum of its positive and negative impacts�

Impact: tangible and intangible effect, gross or net, of a company's activities on its stakeholders�

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  • IMPACTS BY MISSION�

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  • IMPACTS BY MODALITIES
  • (ESG PERFORMANCE )

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

LA BRUTE LE BON

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LE TRUAND LE MECHANT(OU PRESQUE)

Impact investors tend to focus only on mission

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  • INDIRECT

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  • DIRECT

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

GDP ACCES TO EDUCATION

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JOB PROVISION REAL ESTATE MARKET

Impact investors tend to focus on direct internalities

INTERNALITY

EXTERNALITY

Internality: positive or negative impact voluntarily produced by a company on a stakeholder due to monetary and contractual transactions generated by its activity (sales, purchases, remuneration, dividends, etc.)�Externality: positive or negative impact unintentionally produced by a company on a stakeholder, without monetary counterpart and without compensation unless there is external intervention or negotiation (pollution, formalization, training, etc.)�

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Measurement and balance as a key for effective impact assessment…

  • Most of the metrics of impact actors stop at a few direct internalities�Indirect internalities considerably modify the assessment of the social performance of the company and require sometimes sophisticated instruments or methodologies (example: Leontieff matrices)�Direct or indirect externalities sometimes require a significant effort to understand contexts and deepen social situations.�Indirect externalities are sometimes the most powerful of the impacts generated by the company and less detectable�= A COMPLETE AND "TRUE" APPRECIATION OF THE IMPACT OF AN ECONOMIC ORGANIZATION PRESUPPOSES A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH THAT CAN BE EVOLUTIVE, LIMITED BY A PARTIAL STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AS WELL AS BY THE DIFFICULTY OF QUANTIFICATION, SUMMATION AND ATTRIBUTION

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  • INTENDED IMPACT�

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  • NET POSITIVE IMPACT

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

FAILURE ZONE TARGETED ZONE

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INDIFFERENCE ZONE MIRACLE ZONE

Intentionality remains key

Moving from simple on-the-fly measurement to proactive action on parameters� that will maximize the net impact of a company fundamentally characterizes� the impact approach –

and is linked to the question of the mission and meaning of the company or the fund

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PROFITABILITY�

NET TOTAL IMPACT

SOCIAL BUSINESS MISSION BUSINESS

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GARBAGE BUSINESS REGULAR BUSINESS

Now, is impact linked to profitability?

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FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023

STRUCTURAL PROFITABILITY�

FRICTION COSTS

IMPACT FIRST FUNDS FINANCE FIRST IMPACT FUNDS

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SOCIAL BUSINESS FUNDS COMMERCIAL FUNDS

How to classify impact funds?

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  • EX ANTE SYNTHETIC INDEXES AS TOTAL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (TPIs)?

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  • OUR WAY FORWARD FOR TOTAL IMPACT RETURN ASSEMENT�

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SROIs or IMMs, a new frontier for TPIs

  • We can measure in most cases direct added values, and hence address most of the direct internalities issues
  • Standard macro instruments can be used to address the challenge of indirect internalities
  • Positive intended externalities can be in most cases addressed with parametric terms, drawing from academic evaluation work

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  • Negative externalities can be captured by incorporating taxes in impact calculation, and selective key new ones (CO2 emissions, biodiversity destruction, ressources depletion)
  • A beta index can be calculated comparing financial profitability to impact profitability
  • Investment team remuneration can be linked to (i) financial profitability (ii) impact profitability (iii) social beta index (ratio between social and financial performance)

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Promises and limits of TPIs

  • An ex ante SROI or IMM, linked to team remuneration, gives the opportunity of an in-depth discussion between investors and management teams and allows concentration on all parameters of impact
  • An ex ante SROI or IMM focuses the investment team at investment team decision, portfolio management and exit decisions on the key impact parameters, which include financial sustainability
  • An ex post and ex ante SROI should allow comparison between impact funds, at least between specific categories
  • BUT conventions underlying SROI or IMMs and their heterogeneity will always limit comparability
  • BUT even comparable SROIs may not lead to chosing the « best » ones and cannot scrap the intrinsic challenge of the mission
  • SROIs and IMMs are above all political tools allowing the policy focus of a management team on a specific set of performance targets, dreamed by it and its investors

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A few final suggestions

  • Establish norms and standards for SROIs or IMMs at the level of umbrella organisations
  • Create links between the key measured impacts, and IFRS and EFRAG extrafinancial accounting standards so as to create consistency and continuity
  • Generate training among both investors and funds on innnovative total performance indicators
  • Generalize investment teams incentivization based on total impact returns and total performance indicators

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STAY AHEAD!!!

FIEC LUXEMBURG 9 th JUNE 2023