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ROBBINSVILLE PUBLIC SCHOOLS �

Public Question Proposal

Presented by:

Brian Betze, Superintendent

AUGUST 9, 2023

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TONIGHT’S AGENDA

  1. Defining The Problem
  2. The Options
  3. Sample Question
  4. Tax Impact
  5. Addendum

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  1. DEFINING THE PROBLEM

Define $2.1

Define $2.7

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HERE’S THE PROBLEM…

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  • ~$3 million fixed cost increases MINIMUM
  • MAX Limit on raising taxes at 2% = $840,000 
  • $0 banked cap remains
  • $3 million - $840,000 = $2.16 million short

  • The state should have CUT aid by $2.7 million in 2023-2024…and can next year

The district will experience significant shortfalls until this problem is corrected

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Revenue challenges are NOT going away in the 2024-2025 budget……….Why?

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$2.1 million fixed cost increases MINIMUM

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*ADDENDUM: Slide 35

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$2.7 million

We were 1.2% from being cut $2.7 mm

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Chances we are cut next year

  1. This year we were at 88.8% (spending % of adequacy)...anything below 90% and districts are NOT cut
  2. With the 2% and banked cap this year…we are at 92.34%
  3. Odds are state will increase the adequacy number, but by how much?
    • They must increase by 2.61% so we’re not cut
    • Last three years: Budget Data
      1. 3.05% 2023-2024 (162 districts cut)
      2. 2.75% 2022-2023
      3. Negative 0.99% 2021-2022

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$2.1 million budget shortfall

~$2.7 possible state aid cut

$2.1 + $2.7 = $4.8

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2. THE OPTIONS

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2 OPTIONS

OPTION 1: Do nothing and rely on State Aid

▪Not a consistent or reliable solution

OPTION 2: Fix the problem ourselves

  • Public Question” to permanently increase the operating budget

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RECOMMENDATION

Public Question Proposal: November 7, 2023:

    • This is a permanent increase in the Local Tax Levy

    • Depending on variables: Helps secures the district moving forward for 24/25

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PUBLIC QUESTION

$4.8 million 

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WHY $4.8 MM�DEPENDING ON VARIABLES: SECURES THE DISTRICT FOR NEXT SCHOOL YEAR

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  • At current budgeted staffing and program levels
    • DOES NOT INCLUDE the additional one-time $1mm in State Aid staffing increases
  • Figures include taking 2% each year
  • 2027-2028, the funding formula will be changed, and need to reassess our financial status

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  • The public question does not add anything (i.e., staff, resources, projects, etc.) to the district…we stay status quo of what we have for the 23-24 school year.

  • $4.8 mm fills the financial hole for 1-2 years

  • $7.0 mm fills the financial hole for 3-4 years

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3. SAMPLE QUESTION

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PUBLIC QUESTION sample

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Cost of the potential cuts

A final list would be recommended to the BoE from Adm.

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No Cut State Aid - Short $2.1mm

  • Cut some sports and clubs: $200,000
  • Staffing cuts – 18: $1.52 million
  • Half-Day Kindergarten: $380,000

Cut in State Aid – Short $4.8mm

  • Eliminate all clubs k-12: $300,000
  • Eliminate Kindergarten: $760,000
  • Staffing cuts – 30: $2.74 million
  • Eliminate courtesy busing: $300,000
  • Eliminate all sports 6-12: $700,000

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4. TAX IMPACT

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Property Tax Increase

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  • Analysis assumes board approval of the maximum 2% budget cap for future school budgets
  • Due to tax structure half of the $4.8mm increase is in 2024 with the full tax implication in 2025

*Assumption: 3-Year Historical Growth of Property Values = 0.52%

*

*

*

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WHAT’S NEXT?

  • Board approval of the Public Question
  • Submit the Public Question to the County Clerk
  • Deadline August 25, 2023 per NJ A5175
  • Disseminate information about the election
  • Vote on November 7, 2023

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VOTE �NOVEMBER 7TH�THANK YOU

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ADDENDUM

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5.ADDENDUM

THE FOLLOWING SLIDES DETAIL THE FINANCIAL DATA USED TO BUILD THE BUDGET AND THE CHANGE IN THE STATE FUNDING FORMULA LEADING TO THE SHORTFALL

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THE GOOD NEWS

  • The state provided an additional $983,000 for the 2023-24 school year
  • Our teachers and staff will be prepared for September:
      • Hiring staff
          • Ex. Over 150 applications for openings at Sharon
      • Curriculum resources have arrived
      • Teachers have been revising the curriculum over the summer
      • Summer teacher trainings are proceeding
      • Summer programs are up and running

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WHY 4.8MM AND NOT 7MM?

Going out for a $4.8 million referendum may have a better chance of succeeding than a $7 million referendum due to several key reasons:

  • Affordability: Smaller referendums tend to be more acceptable to taxpayers and voters. A $4.8 million proposal may be perceived as less burdensome on individual taxpayers compared to a $7 million one. People are generally more willing to support projects or initiatives that align with their financial capacity.

  • Greater Consensus: Smaller referendums have the potential to garner broader support among different interest groups and stakeholders. By focusing on a more modest proposal, it may be easier to find common ground and build a coalition of supporters with shared interests.

  • Economic Climate: The overall economic climate can play a significant role in the success of referendums. A smaller referendum may be more appealing as it presents a less substantial financial commitment during uncertain times.

  • In summary, a $4.8 million referendum might have a better chance of success due to its perceived affordability, clarity of purpose, potential for broader consensus, reduced financial risk, past positive experiences, and alignment with the economic climate.

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STATE OF THE BUDGET

  • Expect no additional State Aid in future years
    • Try to anticipate for a cut in State Aid
  • Tightest budget, per auditor for the past two years
    • Current budget – even tighter
  • Large Capital Expenses, i.e. $3mm per year, are out of reach RIGHT NOW
  • Debt reduced significantly in six years

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ASSUMPTIONS – BASELINE REVENUE

  • Local Tax Levy: Maximum Allowed 2%
  • Banked Cap: $0 - None remaining
  • Misc. Revenue: 5%
  • Grant Funding
    • COVID-19: Exhausted
    • Federal: NEGATIVE 2.8%
    • Extraordinary Aid: 5%
  • State Aid: FLAT

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7/26/23

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ASSUMPTIONS – BASELINE EXPENDITURES

  • Salaries: 3.5%
  • Benefits: 7.2%
  • Buildings & Grounds: 6%
  • Transportation: 6%
  • Tuition: 15%
  • Utilities: 2%
  • Insurance: 11%
  • Miscellaneous: 2%
  • NO CAPITAL PROJECTS

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STATE AID - HISTORY

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DEBT

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$4.8mm Request Impact (Risk and Opps)

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Risks

Opportunities

Get $0 if doesn’t pass

Fixed Costs Covered

Staff and School offerings impacted

Possible $2.7mm State Cuts Covered

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Residential Assessment Distribution

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5,301

Number of Properties

$379,458

Average Assessed Value

$0

Lowest Value

$1,422,600

Highest Value

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CAPITAL PROJECTS - 1

  • Architect conducted facilities analysis four years ago

  • Financial Analysis – Average Figures
    • Prior to COVID Inflation
      • Expenditures: $2mm per year
      • Revenue: $2mm per year from Fund Balance/End of Year Funds
      • Net: Sustainable
    • Current
      • Expenditures: $3mm per year
      • Revenue: $1mm (hopeful)
      • Net: NEGATIVE $2mm per year

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CAPITAL PROJECTS - 2

  • Status:
    • $2mm in Capital Reserve
    • Paving projects for RHS & PRMS ($3mm…architect states $5mm) - suspended
    • Tennis Courts - suspended
    • Strategic Plan upgrades – unsupportable
  • Upcoming necessities
    • 2024/25 – RTUs at RHS ($2.8mm)
    • 2025/26 – RTUs at SES ($2mm)
    • 2026/27 – Unit Ventilators ($2.9mm)
    • 2027/28 – PRMS Re-Roof and RTUs ($5mm)
    • All of the above are eligible ~32% State Aid Contribution if approved via a bond referendum

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BASELINE

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BASELINE TALKING POINTS

  • Baseline
    • Revenue: Increasing around $900k/year
    • Expenses: Increasing around $3mm/year
    • Deficit: More than $2mm/year
  • Scenarios
    • State Aid Cut - $2,710,298
    • State Aid Cut - $2,710,298 & 2nd Question Passes $4,542,303
      • $4,542,303 = Two years of expired banked cap ($1,832,005) plus the cut in State Aid
    • State Aid Flat & 2nd Question Passes $4,542,303
    • State Aid Cut - $2,710,298 & 2nd Question Passes $6,980,558
      • $6,980,558 = Local Fair Share
    • State Aid Flat & 2nd Question Passes $6,980,558

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SUMMARY – PRO FORMA SCENARIOS

  • Scenarios do not account for increased recurring expenses with 2nd Questions

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TAXES – HISTORICAL INCREASES

< Eight Year Average Increase 0.42% >

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TAXES

What if Max 2% used and allowable adjustments since 2018/19

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*Around $12 million of avoided local tax increases since 2018/19

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��NEED TO BE AWARE OF RECURRING COSTS

  • Fill the $1.4 annual million hole
  • Curriculum upgrades
  • Offer additional programs 
  • Modernize classrooms
  • Additional staff
  • Additional nurse
  • Additional secretaries
  • Add one to three adm.
  • Chromebooks 1 to 1 all three schools

  • Paving lots/road
  • Cyber security upgrades
  • Build new tennis courts
  • Upgrade auditorium
  • Replace stage
  • Additional bus
  • Add after-school busing
  • Warning system in all three schools
  • Generators

*some will need to be added to a potential long-term referendum later

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DIRECT STUDENT                          CAPITAL PROJECTS*

          IMPACT

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WHY WOULD WE COUNT ON STATE AID?

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2022-23 State Aid Calculation.       

Underfunded:               -$2,991,249

Additional Funding:      $1,645,184

Anticipated Next Year: $1,346,055

Assuming no increase in calculations

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STATE AID�-NO INCREASE AND $6 MILLION DIFFERENCE?

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Shorted

$13,665,924

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MERCER COUNTY COMPARISONCOUNTY AVERAGE WITHOUT ROBBINSVILLE: 47.3% INCREASE

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3/14/23

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LOCAL FAIR SHARE = $48,255,537

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STATE AID RECAP

  • For 23/24 – we expected at least $1,346,045
  • Calculations Flipped
    • Decreasing enrollment
    • Increased property values
    • Increased district income
    • State should have CUT State Aid $2,710,298
  • Fortunately we were held flat, but will most likely be cut next school year

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REVENUES

Local Tax Levy:

  • 2% Cap = $786,298
  • Banked Cap = $917,496
  • Health Care Adjustment = $224,173

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EXPENDITURES

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3/14/23

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RESERVES - DEPLETING

While Repairs Increasing

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BURN RATE – OPERATING FUND 11

  • Operating Budget SY22/23 = $51,861,678
  • Tighter and tighter budget…around 96% spending vs budgeted
  • Auditor has stated we have the tightest budget out of 40 districts for 20/21 & 21/22
  • End of year balances are used to fund Capital Reserve projects for future years

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Year Over Year

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Questions regarding the slides

Please email or call:

Brian Betze, Superintendent

betze.brian@robbinsville.k12.nj.us

(609) 632-0910 ext. 2201

Nick Mackres, Business Administrator

mackres.nick@robbinsville.k12.nj.us

(609) 632-0910 ext. 2203

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