The Time Is NOW!
Fund Our Schools!
TimeIsNowOK.com
A plan from some folks at
Bartlesville Public Schools
to resolve the state school funding crisis
Bartlesville’s Role
Step Up Oklahoma failed on 2/12.
Since then Bartlesville has been a leader in the effort to convince the legislature to finally solve the school funding crisis.
2/13-2/15: Supt. survey by Supt. McCauley on statewide interest in supporting teachers by suspending schools
2/19: Over 300 at board meeting to support action
2/28: Over 500 at board meeting to support action
2/23: 330 high school students protest state cuts
3/7: Local teachers help convince OEA to advance deadline
3/8: Supt. invited to OEA press conference
OEA has called for suspension statewide on 4/2 if legislature does not address crisis
How did it come to this?
How did it come to this?
SQ 640 does nothing to stop tax cuts
Rep. Earl Sears promoted earlier cuts, but his bill in May 2017 led to repeal of another reduction to 4.85%
5%
5.25%
5.5%
5.65%
5.55%
6.25%
6.65%
6.75%
7%
Current legislature highly resistant to permanent restorations of historic rates
How did it come to this?
Income tax cuts provide an outsized benefit to the wealthy
How did it come to this?
Defenders of income tax cuts point out the 2010-2015 income tax revenue growth, but it fell after 2015.
Over long time spans booms & busts even out, so revenues should increase due to population growth, inflation, etc.
But our collections are barely higher than they were 12 years ago.
How did it come to this?
SQ 640 does nothing to stop tax cuts
In 2015, state cut the Gross Production Tax on horizontally drilled wells from 7% to 2% for the first 3 years of production
How did it come to this?
Oklahoma has a lower combined severance and ad valorem effective tax rate than most states. FY16 comparison:
The impact on Bartlesville Schools
Normal Adjustments vs. Revenue Shortfalls
The impact on Bartlesville Schools
District Fund Balance (with % of Total Fund Revenues)
14.4%
13.2%
14.6%
15.0%
15.0%
11.1%
8.1%
5.1%
6.1%
2017: Began rebuilding via personnel reductions & August 2016 bond issue to shift capital costs
How did it come to this?
Many representatives have have supported raising GPT on initial three years of horizontal well production from 2% to 4%. Others have wanted a return to the historic 7%, but shown a willingness to settle for 5%. In general, the members of the two parties have divided on this issue.
How did it come to this?
“In overwhelmingly rejecting a permanent 1-cent increase in the state sales tax to fund teacher pay raises and other education concerns, Oklahoma voters sent a clear message to the members of the Republican-controlled Legislature: Do your jobs.”
The Daily Oklahoman
HB 1054x for $3,000 raise passed Senate with 88% YES
but FAILED in the House with 72% YES (5 votes shy)
HB 1033xx for $5,000 raise FAILED in the House with 64% YES
(13 votes shy; 17/27 Democrats and 18/71 Republicans voted NO)
Or fail
again
What was the rationale for voting NO yet saying teachers do need a raise?
State just needs more audits and efficiencies
REALITY:
Tax increases should be up to a vote of the people
REALITY:
Reallocate existing funds, such as School Land $
REALITY:
Rep. Dunlap
What was the rationale for voting NO yet saying teachers do need a raise?
An improving economy will provide revenue
REALITY:
3/14/2018 UPDATE:
Sen. Daniels voted AYE on SB 133 for a 12.7% teacher raise & also voted AYE on an amended HB 1033 to fund that via a shift to 4% GPT for the first 3 years on horizontally drilled wells, $1/pack increase on cigarettes, and 6 cent/gallon increase on gas and diesel. However, HB 1033 failed by two votes from passing the Senate with the 75% supermajority 34-12.
Sen. Daniels
What does the entire Bartlesville delegation agree on?
Rep. Sears
Rep. Dunlap
Sen. Daniels
A number of tax credits are not paying off economically, but they seem politically immortal; can’t find enough votes to end them.
What were rationales for voting YES on 1054x but NO on 1033xx?
REALITY:
What were reasons for voting YES when that reversed past policies?
Some championed income tax cuts and gross production tax cuts as boosts for the state economy.
HOWEVER, that was risky in a state with the highest barrier to restoring taxes, and the risk did not pay off sufficiently.
Recent years of recurring revenue failures have convinced Rep. Sears and many others that the tax base has eroded too much.
Rep. Sears
How big might a suspension be?
At least 350,656 students, over 50% of the state, are in districts who have/are discussing the walkout:
Positional vs. Interest-Based Bargaining
Adversaries | Joint problem-solvers |
Goal is victory | Goal is a wise decision |
Demand concessions | Work together |
Insist on your position | Evaluate multiple answers with objective criteria |
Dig into position | Focus on interests instead |
What are some of the interests?
Schools
State
Industry
What are the “options” from OEA?
Fiscal Year 2019 | |
$6,000 teacher raise | $366 M |
$2,500 support raise | $65 M |
Formula funding | $75 M |
≅$2,000 state emp. raise | $71 M |
State health care | $235 M |
OEA FY19 Total | $812 M |
OEA FY19-21 Totals | |
$10,000 teacher raise | $610 M |
$5,000 support raise | $130 M |
Formula funding | $200 M |
≅$6,000 state raise | $213 M |
State health care | $256 M |
OEA FY19-21 Total | $1,409 M |
Failed Step Up Oklahoma plan cost $717 M
Over $1.4 billion
over three years
Reasoning for their “options”
Fiscal Year 2019 | |
$6,000 teacher raise | $366 M |
$2,500 support raise | $65 M |
Formula funding | $75 M |
≅$2,000 state emp. raise | $71 M |
State health care | $235 M |
OEA FY19 Total | $812 M |
Failed Step Up Oklahoma plan cost $717 M
Wichita pays $6,720 more
NW Arkansas pays $12,600 more
DFW metro pays $15,640 more
Reasoning for their “options”
Fiscal Year 2019 | |
$6,000 teacher raise | $366 M |
$2,500 support raise | $65 M |
Formula funding | $75 M |
≅$2,000 state emp. raise | $71 M |
State health care | $235 M |
OEA FY19 Total | $812 M |
Failed Step Up Oklahoma plan cost $717 M
It would take:
That’s $80 million already.
What are some “options” from legislators?
On 3/14 the Senate passed this bill for a 12.7% increase to minimum salaries.
That would range from $4,029 at BS Step 0 to $5,865 at DR Step 25 for an average increase across all steps and lanes of $4,902.
Sen. Daniels voted AYE on that measure.
However, the Senate failed by 2 votes (34-12) to reach 75% approval on HB 1033 to fund that change.
That amended revenue measure included these new taxes:
Sen. Daniels voted AYE on that measure.
What are some “options” from legislators?
Speaker McCall has urged funding a teacher pay raise via limiting income tax deductions.
What are some “options” from legislators?
UPDATE:
Originally forced the School Land Commission to fund a $5,000 teacher pay raise, which would have drained the permanent trust fund in 7 years, wiping out a $70 million annual source of school revenues. Bartlesville received almost $932,000 from the Land Office in FY17.
Now amended to only distribute excess proceeds above distributions as a teacher bonus instead of reinvesting them in the permanent trust.
A stubborn minority of legislators are ideologues, not pragmatists
We must focus on those who WILL listen to reason and forget the rest, who only harden under pressure
HB 1054x with $3,000 raise lost by 5 votes
HB 1033xx with $5,000 raise lost by 13 votes
Looking at the votes...