EXR Progress Tracker
Disclaimer: We are NOT renewable energy development experts - this document is used by our team internally to try and track the company’s progress towards building a green hydrogen project, it should not be relied upon by anyone to make any decisions. This document will change over time as the project evolves. For all disclaimers and disclosures please visit our website.
Project 1: Mongolian Gas Project
Project 2: Mongolian Green Hydrogen Project
Project 3: Queensland Gas Asset
Our Big Bet:
“EXR to achieve a $1BN market cap through successfully advancing one or more of its three projects: its Mongolia gas project, Mongolia green hydrogen project, and/or its Queensland gas project.”
NOTE: our “Big Bet” is what we HOPE the ultimate success scenario looks like for this particular Investment over the long term (3+ years). There is a lot of work to be done, many risks involved - just some of which we list in our EXR Investment Memo. Success will require a significant amount of luck. There is no guarantee that our Big Bet will ever come true.
Project 1:
Mongolian Gas Project “Nomgon IX PSC”
December 2018:
April 2019:
May 2019:
2019 Drilling Program First Gas Discovery
Aiming to discover thick gassy coal seams below 300 metres.
Gas Discovery in Nomgon-1 core-hole well
Results compare very well with
CBM projects globally
EXR developed CBM leads defined by surface outcrop, gravity and 2D seismic mapping. High-graded focus areas:
2020 Drilling Program New CBM bearing sub basin
Nomgon-2 appraisal core-hole well
Nomgon-2 indicates that the earlier high gas saturation levels from Nomgon-1 were not a one-off.
November 2020 - EXR discovered a new sub-basin
June 2020: EXR executes MOU with Mongolia’s MT Group to develop a small scale LNG (SSLNG) plant to supply fuel to the South Gobi’s large coal trucking fleet.
7 Wells Drilled in 2020
2 CBM bearing sub-basins now identified
December 2020 - Prospective Resource gets bigger
Independent Prospective Resources report updated.
Unrisked and Risked Prospective Resources have increased significantly in all cases from the 2018 estimates:
CBM bearing areas identified by EXR and independent reserve auditor ERCE:
Read our full commentary on this news
EXR embarks on new ~30 well program
Designed to accrue resources across the PSC, EXR’s “rinse and repeat” model for the repeatable and low cost discovery and appraisal of gas continued to successfully roll out in 2021.
Utilising seismic as a very low cost way of expanding geological knowledge of a vast region
Sept 2021 - New sub-basin: Richcairn-1S well opens up another new and potentially very extensive coal-bearing basin
April 2021 - Independent Prospective Resource Booking
The 2C resources are more than sufficient to provide gas for the expected effective life of the power plant:
Gas fired power project: Executed a MOU with the Ministry of Energy on a framework to investigate and seek to develop a gas fired power project in the South Gobi region.
Entered into an Agreement with CBM to power engineering specialist company Clarke Energy to progress a feasibility study into this gas fired power project.
July 2021 - Exploration continues (update)
EXR is utilising two local drilling sub-contractors and deploying three rigs.
Production testing is close
EXR is in the process of de-risking one of its project areas via production testing.
12 September 2022 Pilot Production Program commenced
Nomgon pilot production program is underway with the first CMB gas well spudded, the Nomgon-8 well.
The 2 well (Nomgon-8 and Nomgon-9) drilling program is expected to take less than 30 days. Pilot production testing operations to begin within weeks after the wells’ completion.
2018 Nomgon IX PSC
A giant 30,000km2 coalbed methane (CBM) (or coal seam gas), Production Sharing Contract (PSC) in Mongolia’s Gobi region near the Chinese border.
September 2018: PSC signed
November 2018: Maiden Prospective Resource
12 September 2022 Exploration update
Since its last CBM update in July, EXR has drilled the Bulag Suuj-2, Yangir-5, Orio-1 and Big Slope-1 exploration wells.
01 March 2023 - Gas production milestone
EXR is now producing ~200,000 standard cubic feet per day (scfpd) of gas and ~150 barrels of water per day.
For context, EXR made a comparison to other Coalbed Methane Gas projects in China that are producing gas.
Our key takeaway was the ramp up time for other coalbed methane gas projects that typically reach peak production rates after ~12 months. This could mean EXR’s production rates could continue improving as the production program continues.
24 March 2023 Operational update
Pilot Production update:
As for EXR’s 2023 exploration drilling program, the company says that the standard government mandated tendering process is almost complete.
This should lead to the award of tenders and the initiation of the drilling program for 2023.
Project 2:
Mongolian Green Hydrogen Project “Gobi H2”
Hydrogen is highly complementary to EXR’s existing natural gas related assets and experience in Mongolia.
Gobi region’s weather makes it ideally suited for green hydrogen production (windy, sunny).
EXR’s quarterly reveals that it has
October 2021 - MOU with Mongolia’s Ministry of Energy
EXR signs MoU with Mongolia’s Ministry of Energy to cooperate over hydrogen
EXR also commissioned a report to evaluate Mongolia’s wind and solar potential in the South Gobi desert:
June 2022 - MOU signed with Softbank’s SB Energy
EXR executes joint hydrogen MOU with SoftBank Group subsidiary SB Energy - providing the foundation for a significant partnership.
Under the MoU EXR and SB Energy will cooperate on research and development of the “Gobi H2” green hydrogen production project in the Gobi Desert of Mongolia.�
The plan is to:
August 2022 - Gobi H2 update
Water
Renewables
EXR outlined the activities being currently undertaking alongside Softbank after the parties recently toured the region.
Other progress:
Read our full commentary on this news
February 2023 - Term sheet with Softbank subsidiary
EXR executed a term sheet with Softbank subsidiary, SB Energy, over the co-development of the Gobi H2 green hydrogen project.
The Term Sheet provides a pathway to a formal joint development agreement and a 50/50 joint venture once a FEED (Front End Engineering and Design) entry decision is made regarding a green hydrogen pilot project.
EXR and SB Energy aim to reach this FEED stage by the middle of this year.
SB Energy is the vehicle in which Softbank invests in renewable energy assets.
It has a renewable energy asset portfolio largely based in Japan, and the operational 50 MW Tsetsii Wind Farm in the Gobi region of Mongolia.
As a renewable energy resource, SB Energy’s wind farm could be used to produce green hydrogen energy.
Project 3:
Queensland Gas Asset “Grandis Gas Project / ATP 2044”
29 August 2022 - EXR acquires Queensland Gas Asset
EXR aims to drill a well in ATP 2044 in 2023
Queensland Gas Project
Previous drilling by BG Group (now Shell) at Daydream-1 proved BCG play concept, 2km west of permit.
Well flowed an instantaneous rate of 3.5 MMcfpd from an interval covering 1/10th of the gross prospective reservoir section.
EXR’s primary objectives here are Permian aged sandstones and coals, with a globally relevant prospective gas resource.
These same objectives are being pursued by neighbouring Shell and Santos.
10 November 2022 - Initial Contingent Resource Booking
Independently certified by ERCE, Initial contingent resources (2C) booked of 395 billion standard cubic feet of gas.
EXR has two primary targets in the Grandis Gas Project:
1. Tight unconventional sandstones.
2. Fractured thermally mature coals.
The contingent resources assigned to only the tight sandstones, & doesn’t include the fractured thermally mature coals.
Daydream-2 appraisal well planned to be drilled in 4Q 2023. Aiming for increased flow rates from multiple zones – success will facilitate reserves and increased contingent resource bookings.
29 March 2023 - Grandis gas project update
In an update on the Qld gas project, EXR confirmed:
Elixir’s Managing Director, Mr Neil Young, said:
“Our Grandis Gas Project is proceeding well as we progress towards the drilling of the Daydream-2 appraisal well by the end of this year.
“This is a very high impact well where success will add material volumes of now even more competitive gas resources to a gas market that Government bodies such as the ACCC and AEMO notes will very soon be desperate for new gas supplies.”
17 May 2023 - QLD Drilling eligible for R&D rebates
EXR confirmed:
Drilling expected later in 2023/early 2024.
EXR also presenting a technical deep dive on the project at the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association (APPEA) conference.
3 July 2023 - QLD gas drilling set for October 2023
Preparation for drilling continues
Drilling expected to start in Q4 2023.
16 August 2023 - QLD gas drilling date set
EXR to drill its Daydream-2 well in the last week of October.
13 September 2023 - Santos data sharing agreement
Data sharing agreement signed with $25BN Santos.
Data shared on wells across two permits - EXR’s permit (ATP 2044) and Santos’ permit (ATP 2056).
EXR to drill its Daydream-2 well in the last week of October.