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SEASONAL VARIATIONS IN REGIONAL CIRCULATION SYSTEMS: THE MONSOONS

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Outline

  • Definition of Monsoon
    • Element of a Monsoon Circulation
  • Regional Monsoon Systems
    • The Indian Monsoon
    • The East Asia Monsoon
    • The Australian Monsoon / East Asia Winter Monsoon
    • The African Monsoon
    • The American Monsoon
  • Summary

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The

Word "monsoon" is derived from the Arabic word "mausam" which means season and in its broadest definition describes those climates that are seasonally arid.

The Word “Monsoon”

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Ramage’s criteria for a monsoon to exist are as follows :

  • Prevailing wind direction shifts by at least 120° betwen January and July
  • Average frequency of prevailing directions in January and July exceeds 40%
  • Mean wind exceeds 3 m/s in either month
  • Fewer than one cyclone-anticyclone alternation occurs every 2 years in either month in a 5° latitude-longitude rectangle

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Element Of a Monsoon Circulation

1) Seasonal Heating

2) Moisture Processes

3) The Earth’s Rotation

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Element Of a Monsoon : 1) Seasonal Heating

Seasonal contrasts in land surface temperatures produce atmospheric pressure changes.

~ 30C

~ 86F

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Element Of a Monsoon Circulation� 1) Seasonal Heating

As a result, there are major seasonal wind reversals referred to as “the monsoons”

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Elements Of a Monsoon Circulation� 2) Moisture Processes

Energy released in the form of latent heat of condensation raises summer land-ocean pressure differences to a point higher than they would be in the absence of moisture in the atmosphere.

Moisture 🡪 Monsoon Magnitude

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Elements Of a Monsoon� 3) The Earth’s Rotation

Winds change direction as they cross the equator because of changes in the Coriolis sign

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Element Of Monsoon Circulation

1) Seasonal Heating

2) Moisture Processes

3) The Earth’s Rotation

Moiture releases energy (latent heat) that intensifies the monsoon

Seasonal temperature and pressure changes produce seasonal wind reversals

Air moves in curved paths and winds change direction as they cross the equator

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INDIAN MONSOON

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Indian Monsoon

The Indian monsoon is made up of a number of components:

  1. The monsoon trough over northern India;
  2. The Mascarene anti-cyclonic system;
  3. The low level cross-equatorial jet;
  4. The Tibetan high pressure system;
  5. The tropical easterly jet;
  6. Cloudiness;
  7. Monsoon Rainfall

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The Indian Monsoon (surface features)

Monsoon trough:

- Formed over northern India;

- Northern Hemisphere Summer as part of the global ITCZ;

- Associated with surface low pressure.

Mascarene high:

- Situated over the south-west Indian Ocean (30o S, 50o E);

- Generates a large outflow of air;

- The air moves north over the equator where it becomes a south-

westerly flow known as the low level cross-equatorial jet.

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The Indian Monsoon

Fig. 2 from Krishnamurti and Bhalme (1976) Mean Sea Level Pressure for July

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The Indian Monsoon and surface circulation

Monthly progression of the low-level cross-equatorial jet

Fig 5 from Krishnamurti and Bhalme (1976)

Low level cross-equatorial jet:

  • Maximum intensity from June to August;
  • The jet splits in two branches at around 10o N, 60o E at this time;
  • Arrive over central west and southern coasts of India;

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Low pressure

Low level Convergence

Upward vertical movement transports air molecules to upper levels.

More molecules imply in the increase of the weight of the column of the air above a given upper level surface

High pressure

upper levels

High pressure

Low pressure

upper levels

Upper level surface

Low level Divergence

Northern Hemisphere

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Reasons for the easterly jet:

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During summer, the Tibetan Plateau, which is located in subtropical regions, intensify the ascent increasing air pressure in high levels

High level High Pressure

Hot surface

Low pressure system:

Ascending air

High Pressure

High level Easterly Jet

Temperature Gradient

+

-

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INDIAN MONSOON

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JAN

APRIL

JULY

OCT

High level winds

Figs. 6 from Krishnamurti and Bhalme (1976) Monthly mean 200 hPa wind field

Example of wind

(85 knots)

50 + 3x10 + 5

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Convective cloud processes

in the Indian Monsoon

Fig. 1 from Krishnamurti and Bhalme (1976)

Cloud cover:

  • Important component;
  • Manifestation of moist convective processes;
  • Varies in both space and time.

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Onset of Monsoon in India

The guidelines to be followed for declaring the onset of monsoon over Kerala and

its further advance over the country are enlisted below:

  1. Rainfall

If after 10th May, 60% of the available 14 stations enlisted*, viz. Minicoy, Amini,

Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Allapuzha, Kottayam, Kochi, Thrissur,

Kozhikode, Thalassery, Kannur, Kudulu and Mangalore report rainfall of 2.5 mm or

more for two consecutive days, the onset over Kerala be declared on the 2nd day,

provided the following criteria are also in concurrence.

b) Wind field

Depth of westerlies should be maintained upto 600 hPa, in the box equator to Lat. 10ºN

and Long. 55ºE to 80ºE. The zonal wind speed over the area bounded by Lat. 5-10ºN,

Long. 70-80ºE should be of the order of 15 – 20 Kts. at 925 hPa. The source of data

can be RSMC wind analysis/satellite derived winds.

c) Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)

INSAT derived OLR value should be below 200 wm-2 in the box confined by Lat.

5-10ºN and Long. 70-75ºE.

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www.imd.gov.in

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EAST ASIA MONSOON

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1) East Asia Monsoon Trough or convergence zones

2) Mei-Yu Front

Components of the East Asia Monsoon

High level High

3) Tibetan High

4) Western Pacific High:

Low level

5) High level easterly jet

6) Low-level southerly

7) Low-level cross eq. jet

8) Midlatitude disturbances

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EAST ASIA MONSOON

  • The East Asian monsoon is a monsoonal flow that carries moist air from the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean to East Asia.
  • It affects approximately one-third of the global population, influencing the climate of Japan, the Koreas, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, the Philippines, Indo-China, and much of mainland China.
  • It is driven by temperature differences between the Asian continent and the Pacific Ocean.
  • In most years, the monsoonal flow shifts in a very predictable pattern, with winds being southeasterly in late June, bringing significant rainfall to the Korean peninsula and Japan (in Taiwan and Okinawa this flow starts in May).

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Ding (2004) has summarised the climatological dates of the onset of the Asian summer monsoon in different monsoon regions based on various sources, with dividing the whole onset process into four stages :

(1) Stage 1 (late in April or early in May) : the earliest onset in the continental Asia is often observed in the central Indochina Peninsula late in April and early in May, but in some cases, the onset may first begin in the southern part or the western part of the Indochina Peninsula.

(2) Stage 2 (from mid to late May) : this stage is characterized by the areal extending of the summer monsoon, advancing northward up to the Bay of Bengal and eastward down to the SCS.

(3) Stage 3 (from the first dekad to second dekad of June) : this stage is well known for the onset of the Indian summer monsoon and the arrival of the East Asian rainy season such as the Meiyu over the Yangtze River Basin and the Baiu season in Japan.

(4) Stage 4 (the first or second dekad of July) : the summer monsoon at this stage can advance up to North China, the Korean Peninsula (socalled Changma rainy season) and even Central Japan.

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Regional Monsoon Systems�East Asia Monsoon

East Asian Monsoon also originates in air flows from:

  • The Indian Ocean (Indian monsoon airflow);
  • Western Pacific high (south-east flow from its western flank).

The low-level cross equatorial jet:

  • Carries with it large amounts of moisture (Inter-hemispheric mass exchange);
  • Stronger when the pressure difference between the Australian high and the East Asian trough is enhanced;
  • Over the Malaysian Peninsula the low-level jet meets the westerly Indian monsoonal flow and produces large amounts of rainfall.

Monsoon trough:

  • Stretches from western Pacific across Indo-China;
  • Associated with zones of convergence, cloudiness and rainfall.

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Australian Monsoon /

East Asia Winter Monsoon

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Regional Monsoon Systems� 3) Australian Monsoon / East Asia Winter Monsoon

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  • Climate of Australia

Climatological (1971–2000) SST (C) around Australia: (a) February and (b) August

a

b

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  • Climate of Australia

Mean air temperature (°C) over Australia and surrounding regions at 925 mb

(a) February and (b) August (Courtesy: NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project)

a

b

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  • Climate of Australia

a

b

Isobaric height (m) fields at 925 hPa over Australia and surrounding areas during (a) February and (b) August (Courtesy: NCEP Reanalysis)

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  • Climate of Australia

Mean wind field and circulation over Australia and surrounding regions at 925 and 300 hPa (a) February and (b) August (Courtesy: NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project)

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Onset of Australian Monsoon�

  • A change in the gradient-level (900 hPa) wind direction to northwesterly.
  • cross-equatorial flow from the northern hemisphere
  • A spurt in convective activity and precipitation

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Onset of Australian Monsoon

  • A change in the gradient-level (900 hPa) wind direction to northwesterly (at Darwin). (Troup 1961)

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  • cross-equatorial flow from the northern hemisphere

Onset of Australian Monsoon

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  • A spurt in convective activity and precipitation

Onset of Monsoon

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Australian Monsoon Variability

McBride (1987) quotes an example from two contrasting years of rainfall, namely, 1983 and 1974, when the January SOI was highly negative and positive respectively. In January 1983, an SOI of –29.8 corresponded to a distribution of widespread much below average rainfall over northern Australia, whereas in January 1974 with a value of +21.7 for SOI, rainfall was very much above average over a much wider area of tropical Australia.

a. Variability of Australian Rainfall with ENSO (Seasonal Variability)

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SOI

Rainfall

Over Southern Australia

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Australian Monsoon Variability

The MJO is typically at its strongest and most coherent during the southern hemisphere summer. During this season, the MJO displays greatest variability of low-level winds and convection across the eastern Indian Ocean and western Pacific between the equator and about 15°S (e.g., Fig.1). This region encompasses the Australian and related Indonesian summer monsoons. Thus great potential for MJO-induced variability of these monsoon systems exists.

b. Variability of Australian Rainfall with MJO and Tropical Disturbance (Intraseasonal Variability)

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The MJO is typically at its strongest and most coherent during the southern hemisphere summer. During this season, the MJO displays greatest variability of low-level winds and convection across the eastern Indian Ocean and western Pacific between the equator and about 15°S (e.g., Fig.1). This region encompasses the Australian and related Indonesian summer monsoons. Thus great potential for MJO-induced variability of these monsoon systems exists.

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As in Fig.1, except for composites of rainfall and wind over Australia. The precipitation contour interval is 1 mm/day, with additional contours drawn at +-0.5 mm/day. Only those rainfall anomalies that are statistically significant at the 90% level are shaded

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  • Considerable intraseasonal variability of the monsoon rainfall and circulation occurs with each monsoon season being composed of a number of “bursts” and “breaks”, each lasting from a few days to a week or more. A greater portion of this variability can be ascribed to the MJO than to any other intraseasonal mode. During years of strong MJO variability, a large-scale envelope of convection sweeps eastward across the region every 30-90 days, together with changes in low-level winds from easterly to westerly (Fig.1). The precipitation variation associated with a typical MJO event has amplitude of up to 6 mm/day in the far northern coastal region (Fig.2, Phases 5 and 6 versus Phase 2), which is comparable to the standard deviation of weekly rainfall.

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Tracks of named tropical depressions and cyclones which formed during the summer season (December–April) of 1999–2000 between 100 and 180◦ E. Name of the disturbance is given at the location of its first detection. Thearrowshows the direction of its movement (Paterson and Bate, 2001)

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Climate of Africa

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Onset of West African Monsoon

‘‘Preonset’’ of the summer monsoon, defining the beginning of the rainy season over the Sudano–Sahelian zone based on the northward migration of the northern limit of the southwesterly winds of the monsoon (called the intertropical front (ITF))

The real ‘‘onset’’ of the summer monsoon characterized by an abrupt northward shift of the ITCZ from 5°to 10°N (Sultan and Janicot 2000; Le Barbe´et al. 2002), and leading to major changes in the atmospheric circulation over West Africa.

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Intraseasonal variability of West African Monsoon

  • MJO
  • Tropical cyclone

(Eric D. Maloney and Jeffrey Shaman, 2007)

Seasonal variability of West African Monsoon

ENSO:

El Niño 🡪 Subsidence over west Africa and thus below average convection.

La Niña🡪 ascent over west Africa and thus above average convection.

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AMERICAN MONSOON

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AMERICAN MONSOON

NORTH AND CENTRAL

AMERICAN MONSOON

SOUTH AMERICAN MONSOON

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A. SOUTH AMERICA

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AMERICAN MONSOON

1. Introduction

  • Until recently, there had been considerable uncertainty about the presence of monsoon circulation over South America.
  • On the other hand, available publications on the climate of South America make no direct mention of a monsoon circulation over South America.

A. South America

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MEAN MONTHLY RAINFALL

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The reason for not mentioning monsoon in the case of South America earlier,might have been frequent failure of the observed surface wind direction over the continent to show seasonal , reversal which was used criterion for definition of monsoon according Ramage 1971.

Some recent studies appear to have removed the doubt

  • Halley(1686) monsoon constitutes a large scale perturbation in the tradewind circulation
  • Van den Dool and Saha (1993) have shown that if the background annual mean wind were removed from the observed wind

🖎Zhou and Lau study(1997) showed not only the seasonal reversal of the wind at 850 hpa but also a mean meredional circulation

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TRADE WIND

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2. Physical Features and Environment

2.1 Physical Dimension of the Continent

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2.2 Topography

High Andreas Mountain

☞ Venezuelan Highland

  • Brazilian plateau

☞ Amazon basin

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2.3 Oceanic Environment

Pasific Ocean

Atlantic Ocean

Caribbean Ocean

Pasific Ocean

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2.3 Oceanic Environment and its influence on climate

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3. Climatological Features

3.1 Air temperature

1

2

3

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3. Climatological Features

3.2 Wind

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3. Climatological Features

3.3 Co-existense of Monsoon and hadley Circulations

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3. Climatological Features

3.4 Rainfall over South America

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.1 Definition

The wave which are forced by land and sea thermal contrast and/or orography along the northern and the southern boundaries of the heat low over the continent

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2 1 Monsoon Stastionary 🡪 Northern Boundary

✍ Low Level Jet(LLJ)

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2 1 Monsoon Stastionary 🡪 Northern Boundary

✍ Low Level Jet(LLJ)

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2 1 Monsoon Stastionary 🡪 Northern Boundary

✍ Low Level Jet(LLJ)

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2 1 Monsoon Stastionary 🡪 Northern Boundary

✍ Zonal Anomaly of Rainfall over NE Brazil

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2.2 Subtropical Stasionary Wave 🡪 Sourthern Boundary

✓ South Atlantic Convergence Zone(SACZ)

A through of the’heat low’ over SE Brazil at low levels extends southeastward into southwestern Atlantic Ocean. Further southeastward from Brazil coast over the ocean,this through of the”heat low” appears to form an extended through with a quasistationary through in the middle latitude westerlies of the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean

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4. Quasi Stationary Waves and their associated weather

4.2 Quasi Stationary Waves consist:

4.2.2 Subtropical Stasionary Wave 🡪 Sourthern Boundary

✓ South Atlantic Convergence Zone(SACZ)

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5. Tropical Disturbances over South America

A Recent study(Saha and Saha, 2004b) using observed winds,identified two types of tropical disturbances which may form in the circulation around the heat low over South America, these are:

  1. Monsoon lows and depressions over the continent
  2. Upper-tropospheric cyclonic vortices over nearby Atlantic Ocean off the coast of northern Brazil

During January of period 4 years,1999-2002, Saha and Saha detected as many as nine synoptic scale tropical disturbances over South America.

Of the disturbances observed, four were monsoon lows and depressions over the southern part of Brazil and five upper tropospheric cyclonic vortices over the oceanic area close to the coast of NE Brazil

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5. Tropical Disturbances over South America

1

2

3

4

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

The formation of a tropical cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean in March 2004 that hit Brazil on 28March was an event that took the meteorological community all over the world by surprise, since in the past there had been no evidence of a tropical cyclone over this ocean and there had been a general belief that no tropical cyclone could ever form over this ocean, since it was too cold to breed and sustain a tropical cyclone. The belief was not entirely unfounded, for Gray (1968) had shown (see Fig. 2.8) that during a 20-year period no tropical cyclone had ever been reported from the South Atlantic Ocean.(Saha,Khusdiran 2010)

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

1. Subtropical Cyclone of March 1974

2. Angola Tropical Storm of 1991

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

3. Tropical Cyclone of January 2004

4. Cyclone Catharina

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

5. Tropical Cyclone of February 2006

6. Subtropical Storm of January 2009

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

7. Tropical Storm Anita

8. Subtropical Storm of November 2010

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

9. Tropical Storm Arani

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6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

There have been 9 officially recorded tropical and subtropical cyclones in the South Atlantic Ocean since 1974.

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B. MONSOON OVER CENTRAL AMERICA

1. Introduction

WEST

EAST

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3. The Climate of Central America

3.1 Surface Temperature and Winds

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3.1 Surface Temperature and Winds

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3.2 Upper Air Temperature

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3.2 Upper Air Temperature

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3.2 Upper Air Height (gpm)

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3.2 Upper Air Height (gpm)

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3.4 Upper Air Wind Field and Circulation

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3.4 Upper Air Wind Field and Circulation

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4.Rainfall over Central America

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4.1 Annual Rainfall over Mexico

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4.2 Source of Moisture for Rainfall over the Arizona Sonoran Desert

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5. Some Characeristic Features of Weather over central America

5.1 Weather Associated with W’ly Waves

5.2 Weather Associated with ‘Northers’

5.3 Land and Sea Breezes on the Pacific Coast of mexico

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5.4 Temporales of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of mexico

5.5 Hurricanes and Tropical Storm

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EXTRATROPICAL MONSOON OVER NORTH AMERICA

1. Introduction

2. Climatological background of North American Monsoon

2.1 Physical Features of the land

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2.2 Semi Permanent High and Low Pressure System

2.2.1 The Subtropical High Pressure System of the Pacific Ocean

2.2.2 The Subtropical High Pressure System over the Atlantic Ocean

2.2.3 The Artic Ocean High Pressure

2.2.4 Semi Permanent ‘Aelutian Low’ and’Icelandic Low’

3. The Seasonal Movement of Heat Sourecs and Sinks

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4. Seasonal Circulation-Monsoons

4.1 The Winter Monsoon(Dec-Feb)

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4.2 The Spring Transtition Season(Marc-May)

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4.3 The Summer Monsoon(June-August)

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4.3.1 Structure of the Monsoon Boundary Layer

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4.3.2 Moisture Budget and Precipitation

4.3.3 Seasonality in the Distribution of Orographic Precipitation

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4.4 The Autumn Transtition Season(Sept-Nov)

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5. Interaction of Monsoon with W’ly Wave Disturbance

6. Some Characteristic Features of East Coast Monsoon

6.1 Seasonal Variations and Reversals

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6.2 Monsoonal Characteristic of the East Coast Region

7. Role of the Appalachian Mountain range-Leesida clogenesisi-Northeas Storms

8. Interaction of Monsoon with Storms and Hurricanes

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5. Tropical Disturbance over South America

5.1 Types of Disturbances

5.2 Monsoon Lows and Depressions

5.3 Upper Tropospheric Cyclonic Vortices

6. A Tropical Cyclone over the South Atlantic Ocean

6.1 Introduction

6.2 Formation of the initiaal vortex

6.3 Structure, Movement and Development oh the vortex