From code to community
Implementing a flexible generative nowcasting framework
Let’s start with the code
What is Epinowcast?
A package, an ecosystem, and a community project
(sounds like a good start to a joke)
The package
A short introduction to the reporting triangle
Slide by Johannes Bracher
Slide by Johannes Bracher
It’s a framework for the general case of generative hierarchical nowcasts
not “a” model
From Adrian Lison @ETHzurich
EpiNow2
All by:
with partial pooling
From Sebastian Funk
Reporting Triangle
Standardised pre and postprocessing
The ecosystem
It’s all about delays all the way down
Led by Sam Brand primarycensored.epinowcast.org
Led by Adam Howes: epidist.epinowcast.org
Slide by Johannes Bracher
Led by Kaitlyn Johnson baselinenowcast.epinowcast.org
Slide by Johannes Bracher
?
The community
This is really hard and there is a lot to know
It is important to get it as right as possible
We don’t all need to know all of it
Shall we work together?
Monthly seminars co-organised by Kelly Charniga
This is a bit aspirational in some ways
but not in others
Seminar averages 15+ attendees
https://nfidd.github.io/nfidd/
A package, an ecosystem, and a community project
So why do you keep talking about Julia?
Composability
Epinowcast is a monolith
epidist piggy backs on brms using code generation
EpiAware.jl