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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Overview�and Updates

GLOBAL COMMUNITY

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GLOBAL COMMUNITY

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PSW

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ISWAT

Mario M. Bisi (1) and Masha Kuznetsova (2),

on behalf of the COSPAR ISWAT Moderators and Nominated COSPAR PSW Members.

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(1) RAL Space, UK Research and Innovation – Science & Technology Facilities Council – Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus, Oxfordshire, OX11 0QX, UK.

(2) NASA/NSF Community Coordinated Modeling Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), Mail Code: 674, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA.

COSPAR ISWAT Working Meeting – September-October 2021 – Zoom

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COSPAR/ILWS Roadmap

• Performed gap and feasibility analyses, identified research priorities in theory, modelling and observations, and analysed opportunities for improvement.

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• The COSPAR PSW is undertaking an update of the roadmap throughout 2021/2022 as part of the new terms of reference introduced on 19 July 2018.

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COSPAR PSW Top-Down/Bottom-Up Approaches

• Top-down approach:
• To actively contribute to global coordination of space weather efforts.
• Formal links and scientific input to the UN COPUOS Expert Group on Space Weather (EGSW).

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• Bottom-up approach:
• To evolve the current SW Roadmap into a regularly-updated “living document”.
• To facilitate/organise task-oriented community-wide campaigns and working meetings.
• To create a dynamic environment that encourages active participation, emergence of new leads, and innovative ideas.
• To facilitate the establishment and coordination of active network of topical action teams: International Space Weather Action Teams – ISWAT.

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International Space Weather Action Teams (ISWAT)

• The understanding and prediction of space-weather phenomena and their respective impact(s) on society have been widely-acknowledged as an international challenge and something that requires a global coordination and focus.

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• The ISWAT initiative places a strong encouragement for scientists to go beyond their funding borders to form a team better suited to address challenges that one individual or small group/team may not be able to address alone.

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• The ISWAT initiative serves as a global hub for community coordinated topical focused collaborations and as a global community voice for the next generation of both scientific and strategic planning.
• Hence will strategically feed into the COSPAR PSW roadmap updates…

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway (1)

• The COSPAR Space Weather Roadmap is in need of updating approximately every five years as per the COSPAR PSW terms of reference.
• This is also needed for, and by, the community as a whole so that the roadmap remains current and valid.
• The scope and coverage of the roadmap can be assessed each time the update period comes around.
• The original COSPAR Space Weather Roadmap (Schrijver et al., 2015) concentrated solely on scientific needs/gaps and pathways forward.
• It is expected that the updated Roadmap will include elements of operations and applications as well as the science (possibly bringing in national/international strategies), but will still be a science-research driven activity overall.

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway (2)

• During the ISWAT inaugural meeting in February 2020 in Florida, it was decided that the next roadmap should take a more bottom-up approach in a set of “tiered” papers and the PSW members have agreed to this approach and have “evolved” the plan…
• The Roadmap will be set up into four levels of papers:
• The bottom-level set of papers (original research) will be the COSPAR ISWAT Team-driven/Multi-Team-driven science and technology papers on ISWAT activities with reference and acknowledgement to the original Roadmap and where the next steps are in each niche area/team topic.
• The lower-middle-level set of papers (quasi-reviews) will be COSPAR ISWAT Cluster-driven/Cross-Cluster-driven papers (meaning across different key space-weather themes/domains) with additional guided papers by the COSPAR PSW to fill any gaps.
• Links into the Space-Weather Impacts and making use of the COSPAR ISWAT Overarching Activities and R2O/O2R concepts can be discussed within these papers too.

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway (3)

• In addition, this lower-middle-level tier may contain papers on national/international strategies, particularly where those strategies tie into the COSPAR PSW goals and activities, and especially where they can show advancement to the COSPAR PSW roadmap and/or points the way forward.
• The upper-middle-level set of papers (impacts focussed) will tie together the four primary pathways/impact chains; these are akin to the original roadmap but can let the necessary detail “evolve” in each while tying back to the lower-level papers and forming a very strong foundation for the top-level paper.
• These papers will include the details necessary for R2O-O2R and even operations when pertinent, but will still be founded in the science that links the space-weather phenomena to these impacts.
• The four impact pathways are: (1) GICs; (2) Communications/Navigation/Radio Propagation; (3) Neutrals and Satellite Drag; and (4) Radiation (all radiation aspects combined together).
• We should also be aware of the potential damage to other areas of science caused by more space-weather infrastructures; for example, more space-weather constellations in Earth orbit causing increased amounts of interference and degradations in signals for ground-based optical and radio astronomers (and these include space-weather applications too).

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway (4)

• The top-level, single, consolidated paper (consolidated roadmap) will provide a suitably-concise PSW-/ISWAT-Moderator-led roadmap overview and recommendations paper for science, operations, and monitoring referring down the chains of papers and to the original roadmap.
• This paper still needs to be somewhat standalone, but not necessarily verbose.
• The roadmap, as a whole, should stimulate national space-weather investments and pave the way for the most-critical international engagements/activities that are needed globally as well as nationally/locally.
• The top-level paper will form an executive overview of the three lower-level sets of papers where the more-detailed descriptions of cutting-edge science and technology and their impact(s) will be described.
• As a double collection in Advances in Space Research (ASR), the papers will form the Updated COSPAR Space Weather Roadmap - an ISWAT Community-led and PSW-backed Roadmap from the bottom-up with key science, validation, old roadmap steps achieved, as well as where to go next/what’s missing/what’s needed steps…

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Updating the COSPAR PSW Roadmap - Overview

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Double Collection of COSPAR Advances in Space Research (ASR)

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway – Summary (1)

• This double Topical Issue of papers in ASR across the four levels/tiers will form the next PSW Roadmap: Mario M. Bisi and Masha Kuznetsova are the Guest Editors.
• A more-open Executive Summary/Overview will also be produced.
• After various disruptions caused by COVID-19, including the postponement of COSPAR 2020 to 2021, the outstanding envisaged timeline is as follows:
• 29 July 2021 – deadline for the NOI for the bottom-tier papers (Roadmap Topical Issue Part 1).
• 15 August 2021 - deadline for NOI for the other tiers of papers (Roadmap Topical Issue Part 2).
• These two deadlines were used to guide the planning – NOIs cans still be submitted through the ISWAT webpages.
• 31 January 2022, 30 April 2022, 30 June 2022, and 31 August 2022 – staggered for the paper submissions - in four phases from the bottom level upwards.
• 31 December 2022 – envisaged final possible date for publication.

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COSPAR PSW/ISWAT Roadmap Update Pathway – Summary (2)

• 54 NOI submissions to date (this is a good number, but we would like some more…).
• Not all ISWAT Teams/Clusters currently represented – so an expectation of more to come during/after this virtual COSPAR ISWAT Working Meeting.
• Of the 54 NOI submissions:
• One NOI is a duplicate submission.
• 40 NOIs are intended for the first Topical Issue of ASR (bottom-level papers only).
• 13 NOIs are for the second Topical Issues of ASR (all other levels of papers).
• Of the 13 NOIs, 12 are linked to the lower-middle level and one to the upper-middle level.
• From an initial assessment, it is likely that around four papers may be suggested moves from one Topical Issue to another and authors will be informed in due course.
• Remaining lower-middle and upper-middle levels of papers will be chased following this meeting if the NOIs are still outstanding – so please submit your NOI ASAP if you are yet to do so – thanks!
• At least two papers have already been submitted and will soon be out for peer review (if not already).

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Understanding and Predicting Space Weather �is a Global Challenge!

• Join here: https://iswat-cospar.org/join-iswat
• Subscribe to the ISWAT mailing list.
• Joint an existing team.
• Register a team.

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• The ISWAT initiative is inclusive and open to all individuals �and/or groups committed to active participation…
• Take part in our next Working Meeting in March 2022!

Unite: Join ISWAT (if you haven’t already done so), and press on with your Roadmap inputs…

GLOBAL COMMUNITY

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GLOBAL COMMUNITY

FORUM

COSPAR ISWAT Working Meeting – September-October 2021 – Zoom