National Briefing

PUBLIC WEBINAR

Photos: New Virginia Majority (Top) & One Pennsylvania (Bottom)

Big Elections This November

Tuesday, September 30, 2025�2-3pm ET • 1-2pm CT • Noon-1pm MT • 11am-Noon PT

Billy Wimsatt

(he/him)

Founder & Executive Director

Movement Voter PAC

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Welcome!

Photo: New Virginia Majority

• Intro yourself in the chat! – what election RU most excited about this fall?
• Invite others (movement.vote/briefing)
• We’ll email slides + recording in 1-2 days
• Ask questions using Zoom Q&A feature
• We’ll pause chat for the presentation, and re-open it during Q&A
• 30m extra Q&A afterward (optional)

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About MVP

Graphic: MVP State Targets • Reviewed September 5, 2025

WELCOME!

MVP exists to help you move funds to local organizing in all the key places every year – so we can change culture, win elections, improve policy, and make America better for everybody.

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PRESIDENT 2028

SENATE 2026

HOUSE 2026

DOWN BALLOT

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Agenda

Photo: Make the Road Action PA

1. Intro: The Big Picture
2. Virginia: Winning Dem Governance�Tram Nguyen, New Virginia Majority
3. Pennsylvania: Defending the Court�Britt Smith, Pennsylvania’s donor table
4. Deeper Dive Conversation
5. Optional: Q&A (30m after call)

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MVP Theory of Change

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Invest in Organizing

Embolden Democrats

INPUTS:

MVP’s Key�Interventions

OUTPUTS:�The Work �We Fund

OUTCOMES:

Real-World Results

IMPACT:

Ultimate �Vision

Maximize Collaboration

Strengthen Organizations

Build State-�Level Power

Scale Up�New Media

Defeat Autocracy

Shifts in Public Opinion

Policy �Change

Governing Power

Deliver Progress

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Our Focus for This Call

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Invest in Organizing

Embolden Democrats

INPUTS:

MVP’s Key�Interventions

OUTPUTS:�The Work �We Fund

OUTCOMES:

Real-World Results

IMPACT:

Ultimate �Vision

Maximize Collaboration

Strengthen Organizations

Build State-�Level Power

Scale Up�New Media

Defeat Autocracy

Shifts in Public Opinion

Policy �Change

Governing Power

Deliver Progress

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Electoral Roadmap: Best-Case Scenario

2025-2026 PLAN

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Win �down-�Ballot

+ building narrative …

Flip the House �(+ Senate? + States!)

Win a �federal trifecta

Win �down-�ballot

End MAGA nightmare+ Govern boldly

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

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Updated September 15, 2025

Electoral Map

PRESIDENT 2028

SENATE 2026

HOUSE 2026

DOWN BALLOT

SENATE 2026

SENATE 2028

HOUSE 2026

2025-2028 LANDSCAPE

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New Materials @ Movement.vote

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Virginia

SPOTLIGHT:

Virginia Balance of Power

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Tram Nguyen

(she/her)

Co-Executive Director

New Virginia Majority

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Pennsylvania

SPOTLIGHT:

Britt Smith

(she/her)

Executive Director

Pennsylvania’s donor table

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SITUATION + wHAT’S AT STAKE

• 3 Democratic retention elections to protect the Democratic majority on the court.
• Losing all three seats would create a 2D-2R deadlocked court.
• Losing any seats will put Dems in jeopardy of losing the majority in 2027 and 2029, and require additional expensive special elections in 2027.

Huge Stakes For PA — and the Country

🗳 Voting Access in 2026, 2028, and Beyond�

🏥 A State Constitutional Right to Abortion Access�

📍 Congressional and Legislative Redistricting in 2031�

❌ Deadlocked until Expensive Special Election in 2027�

👨‍👩‍👦‍👦 Worker, Environmental, and Litigation Rights

Republican spending is Accelerating & Retention race is heating up

• Over the past two weeks, a flurry of Republican spending has begun, all being carried out by groups funded by Tik-Tok billionaire, Jeff Yass

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• Yass groups are flooding the zone with direct mail (up to 7 pieces sent so far)

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• RSLC continues to spend on digital, and are being joined by Yass groups

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• Citizens for Term Limits is on air in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with a Vote No ad (expect expansion to Harrisburg, Erie and Scranton MMs soon

Their attacks

• Yass mail is being delivered on two tracks:

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• Commonwealth Partners is sending deceptive mail to Democrats on retention to prevent Dem consolidation
• Commonwealth Leaders Fund is targeted to Republican voters to mobilize

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• At least 7 pieces dropped statewide in last two weeks. Paired with heavy META investment and texting program to Dem voters

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• Only 2 pieces dropped on the Democratic side so far (ACLU & PJF)

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Commonwealth Partners Flight

Commonwealth Leaders Fund Flight

Their attacks

• Citizens for Term Limits (CfTL), another Yass organization, is carrying the Vote No message on TV
• Definitely trying to pick up Democratic voters with current messaging

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• CfTL is now on air with “Vote No, No, No” in the Philly & Pittsburgh MMs

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• Dems maintain a lead in total TV funding, with a two week head start on CfTL, but Yass has been steadily ramping up buys and advantage may not last long

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Fighting back: discredit no, CALL OUT GOP LIES

Partner Amplification

Creator Amplification

Organizing Amplification

Fighting back: discredit no, CALL OUT GOP LIES

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Fund the field: NeighborHood Captains

Short-term:

• Prevent undervoting - stem the roll-off
• Help partners to scale relational programs that empower their base/leaders

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Long-term:

• Improve contact rates versus traditional paid voter contact programs
• Build up trusted messengers in a society with fewer and fewer trusted institutions
• Create (or recreate) durable political power

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Fund the field: Neighborhood captains

• Anchored by Working Families Party
• 17 PARTNERS ACROSS 22 COUNTIES
• 985 Captains recruited – 600 of them are trained and knocking doors
• On Election Day, onboarded captains will become poll greeters, reducing ballot roll-off in 500+ priority precincts.

Fund the field: Neighborhood Captains

985 Captains Recruited!

NeighborHood Captains

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Building To Win: Communicating, organizing, winning in 2025 prepares for crucial 2026 battlegrounds

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Keys To Power: Strong nesting for in both 2025 (SCOPA, local) and 2026 (Governor, Congress, Legislature)

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Define The Story: 2025 narrative and communicator organizing for accountability and courts builds for 2026

Investment Now �Builds For 2026

Building Our Momentum in �Key Battlegrounds

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Deeper Dive Conversation

What To Do Now

CLOSING

Fund the Movement

WHAT TO DO NOW

Three Big Goals

Photos, left to right: CASA San Jose (PA); Chispa Arizona; Power to the Polls Wisconsin

2025-2026 PLAN

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Block the�Trump Regime

Push for State�Progress

Win �Electoral Power

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Three Connected Strategies

Photos, top to bottom: Down Home NC, Gen-Z for Change, UNIDOS MN

2025-2026 PLAN

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Build State-Level Power

Scale Up New Media

Embolden Democrats

movement.vote |

Updated September 15, 2025

Electoral Map

PRESIDENT 2028

SENATE 2026

HOUSE 2026

DOWN BALLOT

SENATE 2026

SENATE 2028

HOUSE 2026

2025-2026 PLAN

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How to Move Money Through MVP

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Over $10k

Contact your MVP Philanthropic Advisor

OR email: advisor@movement.vote

Up to $10k

Contribute online: movement.vote/sep30

Thank you for helping build a broad-based movement of donors!

movement.vote |

Thank you!

Welcome to Extra Q&A!

• Ask us your burning questions about:
• What you heard on this call
• Our broader strategy
• Use the Zoom “Raise Hand” feature, or share in the chat
• Be concise. (Start with “My question is…”)
• Please use the chat if you have a speech, PSA, or shameless plug!

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SCRAPS

A “Mutual Fund” for Political Giving

Map updated on September 15, 2025

ABOUT MVP

We raise money from donors, then channel it toward the most impactful organizations and power-building work around the country.

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PRESIDENT 2028

SENATE 2026

HOUSE 2026

DOWN BALLOT

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Event Purpose

Photo: Make the Road Action Pennsylvania

WELCOME!

Get to know MVP’s and our grantee partners’ plans to win key elections this November — and why the outcomes matter for all of us.

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The Big Picture

Beyond 2025