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���Pricing: The Most Difficult Thing to do in Real Estate?

May 2025

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What Sellers Want – What Agents Want

  • Sellers always have an idea what they want to sell their house for.
  • They may – or may not – be well-informed and objective. If they aren’t, that’s perfectly understandable and it’s our job to listen to their objectives, educate them about the market and help them arrive at a list price.

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What Sellers Want – What Agents Want

  • Are their goals and ours really that different?
  • “Combat pricing” and how to avoid it
  • Sellers may think we want to underprice for a quick sale, and we need to show them how their interests and ours are the same.
  • “It’s in my best interest to get you the highest price:
                  • I want _______________________
    • I want _______________________
    • I want the same thing as you do

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Price For The Market You’re In

  • We want to maximize return without driving away buyers – we’re pricing for traffic
  • Traffic is generated by the value proposition – the most traffic (hopefully) generates the best offer
  • The myth of the “right buyer”
    • “I’ll just wait for the right buyer to come along”
    • That really means someone who wants what the seller has, doesn’t want what the seller doesn’t have and wants to pay the sellers what they want for it.

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Traffic vs. Time on the Market

  • A tale of two listings
  • Two homes listed by the same agent in the same neighborhood with very different results

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Traffic vs. Time on the Market

  • Property #1 sold in 6 months – 2 price reductions totaling 8.5% and offer was 2% below list price
  • Property #2 sold in 6 days 1% above list price

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Trying a Price and the “Great Abyss”

  • Trying a price that is not in line with the market means losing people.
  • “Time kills”
  • The trick is finding the balance point – and that’s why it’s hard
  • Even in a hot market, not everything sells

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“Velocity”

  • How does traffic reflect in results?

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Our Job . . .

  • Our job is to generate a stream of qualified and interested buyers to your house, either online or in person . . .
  • to make sure when they come through the door, they are happy with what they see . . .
  • to make it really easy for the other agent to write an offer . . .
  • and then to help you negotiate the offer when it comes in and oversee your requirements under the contract.

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Pricing: Active, Pendings and Solds

  • Actives
    • These homes haven’t attracted a buyer? So what good are they?
    • Actives – particularly those that have been on the market for a while, indicate what the market is rejecting
    • They are a snapshot of the competition
    • They are of more value is a hot market for pricing guidance
    • In other market conditions, they are best used as a guide of what not to do

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Pricing: Active, Pendings and Solds

  • Pendings
    • You won’t know what they sold for, but there is other important information
    • What kind of list price was required to get an offer?
    • What happened after price adjustments
    • What was their “sell by” date?
    • Starts to give some insight into “Buyer Bias” – what are the similarities in what has gone under contract?

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Pricing: Active, Pendings and Solds

  • Solds
    • Lots of information – and not just the sold price
    • “Shelf Life” – not just average days on market, but how long were the properties on the market with original price and/or after a price adjustment?
    • Sales Price to Original List Price
    • Subsidy – amount, frequency, reason
    • And not just averages, but distribution
    • Remember that solds are a snapshot of market conditions 1-2 months ago

BUYERS LOOK AT AND KNOW WHAT IS SELLING

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Absorption Rates

  • What are absorption rates?
  • How do they relate to pricing?
  • Where do I find them?

MyMcEnearney.com

Statistics

Absorption Rates

Year

Month

Area

    • Timing: Usually published by the 6th of the month

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Absorption Rates

Calculating the absorption rate:

    • Number of contracts / (Number of Active Listings + Number of contracts)

Example:

    • There are 25 properties currently on the market
    • There have been 7 properties go under contract in the last month
    • The absorption rate is 7/(25+7) = 21.9%
    • This simply means that the market is “absorbing” 21.9% of the inventory per month
    • Put another way, a seller has roughly one chance in five of selling their home in a given month

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Absorption Rates

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Absorption Rates

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Price Matters

We started doing research on “Price Matters” about two years ago to help give you and sellers insight into the impact of the right – and wrong – pricing strategy. Here’s an example for the Fairfax County & City for April 2025

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Thank You!

Price may not be the problem – but it’s usually the solution!

  • True confession: I have shamelessly borrowed from the wisdom of Michael Briggs
  • https://vimeopro.com/mcenearney/university/video/52647379– password is MCEdifference