RESTORE THE CLIMATE
For a safe climate by 2050
We are restoring a safe climate for future generations
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300 ppm CO2 = highest level humans survived long-term
End of last Ice age
Great Pyramid of Giza Built in Egypt
Agriculture develops
Paris goal
460 ppm
Today
425 PPM
300 PPM = SAFE
CO2 is now 50% higher than pre-industrial levels
The “pre-industrial” climate was stable enough for agriculture & civilization. CO2 stayed around 280 ppm. Now it’s over 420.
Humans evolved in conditions below 300 ppm CO2
Paris Goal-
460 ppm
Today- 425
Safe- 300
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Reducing emissions alone won’t restore a safe climate
Our agreed climate goal has been “net zero” emissions.
But that’s not enough any more.
For a safe climate, we also need to remove a trillion tons of “legacy” CO2 already in the air.
Today’s CO2 levels correspond to historical warming of 10-20°C.
Without climate restoration, we could see that in 100-200 years.
Fig. 2. Antarctic Dome C temperature for past 800,000 years. Hansen 2023 Global Warming in the Pipeline
– 420
20 –
15 –
10 –
– 400
– 350
Mission
It’s time to evolve the climate conversation
—and expand our climate goals
We DO have the ability to turn the climate around—
if we choose to
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We are:
Restore the Climate is leading the way to climate restoration
Nature removes a trillion tons of CO2 in the ice age cycle…
425 ppm
460 ppm
Dust storms and volcanoes blow iron into the ocean.
Phytoplankton bloom, absorbing CO2 and nourishing sea life.
Nature blows iron into the ocean, boosting photosynthesis.
We can replicate and optimize the process.
Monthly CO2 Averages (red) and seasonally corrected trend (blue) NOAA
Pinatubo Pause
Pinatubo eruption
Atmospheric CO2 increase paused in 1992
In the right conditions, volcanoes remove CO2 v rapidly
With synthetic limestone, we can build and pave with CO2!
As we restore CO2, we also need to restore safe methane levels. And reduce the risk from a catastrophic methane burst
There are many options for drawdown,
though only a few can scale to gigatons a year
CO2 removal (CDR) tech like direct-air capture (DAC) gets the most attention and funding. But it’s too costly to restore the climate.
The cost to remove a ton CO2 varies by more than a factor of 10,000.
DAC tech costs the most, biomimicry the least.
To restore safe GHG levels by 2050, we need to be preparing now— and reducing GHG levels on a large scale by 2030.
RestoreThe
Climate.org
For a safe climate by 2050
And that’s it!
What follows are optional slides for particular interests
Mission
Nature removes roughly a trillion tons of CO2 levels regularly.
We can reproduce and accelerate her methods safely & cheaply.
Natural dust storms still distribute iron—especially from the Sahara and
Gobi deserts, though less than before due to spread of grasslands.
Iron dust from volcanoes feeds phytoplankton too
Volcanoes distribute iron too:
After a 2008 eruption in Alaska, a large phytoplankton bloom fed record numbers of Sockeye salmon. In 2010, 34 million returned to spawn compared to 1.7 million the previous year.
Phytoplankton blooms also feed fish
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State of Alaska data: https://www.adfg.alaska.gov/index.cfm?adfg=commercialbyfisherysalmon.salmon_grossearnings_byspecies
2012 Haida OIF test
Record pink salmon (2 year lifecycle)
OIF: Intentionally replacing missing iron also feeds fish
2012 Haida Salmon Restoration Project
Data from Fisheries and Oceans Canada, by year:
https://www.pac.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/stats/smon/smon-stats-donnees-2013-eng.html
OIF: Intentionally replacing missing iron also feeds fish
2012 Haida Salmon Restoration Project
Data from Fisheries and Oceans Canada, by year:
https://www.pac.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/stats/smon/smon-stats-donnees-2013-eng.html
Nature shows the path to remove 60 Gt of CO2/ year.
This scale would restore 300 ppm by 2050…
CO2 over time
300 ppm by 2050
Restoration
“RCP 0.0”
IPCC SSP1-1.9
Historically safe CO2 level
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100
CO2 over time
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Zero warming in 2100
Restoration
“RCP 0.0”
IPCC SSP1-1.9
With methane oxidation
…and not 1.5, but zero warming above pre-industrial by 2100
Temp over time
We can use other nature-based solutions
to store more carbon in plants and soil.
With synthetic limestone, we can build and pave with CO2
We can grow / regrow kelp, which draws down CO2 quickly
Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement:
Giving the ocean an “antacid’
Mission
Restore the Climate is designed to:
RTC’s strategy is to use authoritative data, media work, advocacy, and partnerships to hasten climate restoration