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RESTORE THE CLIMATE

For a safe climate by 2050

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We are restoring a safe climate for future generations

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300 ppm CO2 = highest level humans survived long-term

End of last Ice age

Great Pyramid of Giza Built in Egypt

Agriculture develops

Paris goal

460 ppm

Today

425 PPM

300 PPM = SAFE

CO2 is now 50% higher than pre-industrial levels

The “pre-industrial” climate was stable enough for agriculture & civilization. CO2 stayed around 280 ppm. Now it’s over 420.

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Humans evolved in conditions below 300 ppm CO2

Paris Goal-

460 ppm

Today- 425

Safe- 300

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Reducing emissions alone won’t restore a safe climate

Our agreed climate goal has been “net zero” emissions.

But that’s not enough any more.

For a safe climate, we also need to remove a trillion tons of “legacy” CO2 already in the air.

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Today’s CO2 levels correspond to historical warming of 10-20°C.

Without climate restoration, we could see that in 100-200 years.

Fig. 2. Antarctic Dome C temperature for past 800,000 years. Hansen 2023 Global Warming in the Pipeline

– 420

20 –

15 –

10 –

– 400

– 350

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Mission

It’s time to evolve the climate conversation

—and expand our climate goals

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We DO have the ability to turn the climate around—

if we choose to

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We are:

  • Refreshing the climate conversation so that people know what a safe climate is—and that restoring it is possible
  • Creating partnerships with organizations committed to humanity flourishing
  • Supporting climate restoration projects based on Nature’s methods of significantly reducing CO2 and methane levels

Restore the Climate is leading the way to climate restoration

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Nature removes a trillion tons of CO2 in the ice age cycle…

425 ppm

460 ppm

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Dust storms and volcanoes blow iron into the ocean.

Phytoplankton bloom, absorbing CO2 and nourishing sea life.

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Nature blows iron into the ocean, boosting photosynthesis.

We can replicate and optimize the process.

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Monthly CO2 Averages (red) and seasonally corrected trend (blue) NOAA

Pinatubo Pause

Pinatubo eruption

Atmospheric CO2 increase paused in 1992

In the right conditions, volcanoes remove CO2 v rapidly

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With synthetic limestone, we can build and pave with CO2!

As we restore CO2, we also need to restore safe methane levels. And reduce the risk from a catastrophic methane burst

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There are many options for drawdown,

though only a few can scale to gigatons a year

  1. Boosting ocean photosynthesis (through ocean “iron fertilization”)
  2. Making synthetic limestone - nearly half CO2 by volume
  3. Farming seaweed
  4. Regenerative Agriculture
  5. Eco-restoration and tree planting
  6. Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE)
  7. High-tech CDR technologies, e.g. direct air capture (DAC)

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CO2 removal (CDR) tech like direct-air capture (DAC) gets the most attention and funding. But it’s too costly to restore the climate.

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The cost to remove a ton CO2 varies by more than a factor of 10,000.

DAC tech costs the most, biomimicry the least.

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To restore safe GHG levels by 2050, we need to be preparing now— and reducing GHG levels on a large scale by 2030.

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RestoreThe

Climate.org

For a safe climate by 2050

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And that’s it!

What follows are optional slides for particular interests

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Mission

Nature removes roughly a trillion tons of CO2 levels regularly.

We can reproduce and accelerate her methods safely & cheaply.

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Natural dust storms still distribute iron—especially from the Sahara and

Gobi deserts, though less than before due to spread of grasslands.

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Iron dust from volcanoes feeds phytoplankton too

Volcanoes distribute iron too:

After a 2008 eruption in Alaska, a large phytoplankton bloom fed record numbers of Sockeye salmon. In 2010, 34 million returned to spawn compared to 1.7 million the previous year.

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Phytoplankton blooms also feed fish

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2012 Haida OIF test

Record pink salmon (2 year lifecycle)

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OIF: Intentionally replacing missing iron also feeds fish

2012 Haida Salmon Restoration Project

  • 100 tons of iron dust applied strategically in one ocean eddy, about 100 miles in diameter
  • Pink salmon catch quadrupled in 2013 and every 2 years after (corresponding to 2-year reproductive cycle)
  • Controversy erupted based on fear that OIF is so effective pulling down CO2 that it would let oil companies continue to pollute. Media circus and disinformation discouraged research for over a decade.

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OIF: Intentionally replacing missing iron also feeds fish

2012 Haida Salmon Restoration Project

  • 100 tons of iron dust applied strategically in one ocean eddy, about 100 miles in diameter
  • Pink salmon catch quadrupled in 2013 and every 2 years after (corresponding to 2-year reproductive cycle)
  • Controversy erupted based on fear that OIF is so effective pulling down CO2 that it would let oil companies continue to pollute. Media circus and disinformation discouraged research for over a decade.

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Nature shows the path to remove 60 Gt of CO2/ year.

This scale would restore 300 ppm by 2050…

CO2 over time

300 ppm by 2050

Restoration

“RCP 0.0”

IPCC SSP1-1.9

Historically safe CO2 level

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

CO2 over time

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Zero warming in 2100

Restoration

“RCP 0.0”

IPCC SSP1-1.9

With methane oxidation

…and not 1.5, but zero warming above pre-industrial by 2100

Temp over time

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  • Regenerative agriculture & agroforestry
  • Biochar
  • Conservation of forests, grasslands
  • Eco-restoration
  • Holistic grazing
  • Tree-planting

We can use other nature-based solutions

to store more carbon in plants and soil.

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With synthetic limestone, we can build and pave with CO2

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We can grow / regrow kelp, which draws down CO2 quickly

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Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement:

Giving the ocean an “antacid’

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Mission

Restore the Climate is designed to:

  • Provide data-based information on solutions, including cost-benefit analyses
  • Advocate for formal climate-restoration resolutions and other policy instruments to facilitate climate restoration
  • Advocate for climate leadership, including the IPCC, to expand climate goals to restoring a safe climate
  • Support climate restoration pilots and larger-scale projects
  • Support a safety and governance board to oversee safety, efficacy, and ethics of climate restoration projects
  • Develop partnerships to support climate restoration

RTC’s strategy is to use authoritative data, media work, advocacy, and partnerships to hasten climate restoration