What Are Buyers Most Concerned About Right Now?
Buyers in the first quarter of this year were more concerned about the economy and mortgage rates than they were about home prices.
Source: CNBC
Mortgage Rates Projections
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Projections, As of 5/13/2026
Quarter | Fannie Mae | MBA | Wells Fargo | Average �of All 3 |
Q2 2026 | 6.30% | 6.30% | 6.25% | 6.28% |
Q3 2026 | 6.20% | 6.30% | 6.20% | 6.23% |
Q4 2026 | 6.10% | 6.20% | 6.20% | 6.16% |
Q1 2027 | 6.10% | 6.20% | 6.20% | 6.16% |
Q2 2027 | 6.10% | 6.20% | 6.20% | 6.16% |
Mortgage Rates Projections
Sources: Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, MBA, Wells Fargo
30-Year Fixed Rate + Projections, as of 5/13/2026
Inventory Continues to Rise
Source: Realtor.com
Active Listing Count, Since January 2020
Inventory Continues to Rise
Active Monthly Listings Count, in Thousands
Source: Realtor.com
Despite the Progress, Inventory Remains Below Typical 2017–2019 Levels
National Inventory Change, Percent Year-Over-Year vs. Percent Pre-Pandemic (2017–2019)
Source: Realtor.com
Pre-Pandemic
Year-Over-Year
15 States Are Back Above 2019 Inventory Levels
Inventory Shift Between April 2019 and April 2026
Source: Realtor.com
1.1%
AK
WA
OR
CA
MT
ID
NV
UT
AZ
ND
WY
SD
MN
IA
NE
CO
NM
KS
OK
TX
WI
IL
MO
AR
LA
MS
AL
GA
FL
SC
IN
OH
KY
TN
MI
HI
NH -48.0%
VT -58.5%
MA -39.1%
RI -63.5%
CT -75.0%
NJ -61.1%
DE -32.8%
MD -29.6%
DC 91.7%
NC
VA
WV
PA
NY
ME
Top 50 Housing Markets in the US
Source: ResiClub, Zillow
Year-Over-Year Change in Home Prices in the 50 Largest Metros, Mar. 2025 – Mar. 2026
80% of Sellers Think They’ll Get Their Asking Price or More
Source: Realtor.com
Which of the following price scenarios do you expect to happen when selling your home?
More Homes Are Selling For Less Than the List Price
Percent of Homes That Sell for Less Than Asking
Source: Redfin, ResiClub
Price Cuts Get Bigger as Listings Linger
Average Percent a Listing Price Is Reduced Based on Days on Market
Source: NAR
Price Cuts Get Bigger as Listings Linger
Average Sale Price of a Home Listed at $400k Based on Days on Market
Source: NAR, KCM Analysis
Today’s Foreclosure �Situation Explained
Foreclosure Activity Is Rising
Properties with Foreclosure Filings
Source: ATTOM
Foreclosure Activity Is Rising… as the Market Normalizes
Properties with Foreclosure Filings
Source: ATTOM
More than 3 in 4 Americans (78%) report that they do not feel financially secure. The top culprit is the rising cost of living (47%), followed by the current state of the economy (42%).
Credit Karma
Struggling Homeowners Are Prioritizing Their Mortgage Payments
Percent of Loans That Are 90+ Days Delinquent, by Loan Type
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Demand for Mortgage Assistance Is Rising Sharply
Index of People Searching for “Help With Mortgage”
Source: Google Trends
Percent of All Mortgages By Interest Rate�
Source: FHFA
6.00% or more
4.00-5.99%
Less than 3.99%
Americans Are Sitting on Tremendous Equity Today
2/3 Have �Paid off �Their Mortgage or Have at Least 50% Equity
Source: Census, ATTOM
Own the Home
Free and Clear
Mortgage Homes
with More Than 50% Equity
Mortgage Homes
with Less Than 50% Equity
Mortgage Debt Is High, But Equity Is Higher
In Trillions
Source: Federal Reserve
$14.4T
$34.1T
$47.9T
Estimated Home Price Performance
December–December, as Forecast in Q1 2026
Source: Q1 2026 HPES
Home Prices Usually Rise Over Time
Annual Change in Home Prices (1956 – 2025)
Sources: S&P Case-Shiller, Bilello
+7%
+5%
+4%
+7%
+8%
+10%
+7%
+5%
+5%
+1%
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
-1%
0%
+8%
+6%
+4%
+2%
+2%
+3%
+2%
+1%
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
+9%
+7%
-4%
-12%
-5%
+2%
+14%
+14%
+10%
+10%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-4%
-4%
+4%
+5%
+6%
+5%
+5%
+5%
+11%
+6%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
+10%
+19%
+1%
+4%
+6%
+6%
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
+1%
+3%
+2%
+1%
+2%
0%
+1%
+1%
0%
+1%
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
+1%
+2%
+7%
+10%
+3%
+3%
+4%
+8%
+7%
+4%
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
+8%
+15%
+14%
+16%
1976
1977
1978
1979