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The Metascience Lab

Day 1

https://researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Welcome From Tom Stafford

Professor of Cognitive Science

& University Research Practice Lead

University of Sheffield

https://tomstafford.github.io/

Senior Research Fellow,

Research on Research Institute

https://researchonresearch.org/

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Metascience Lab @ MS2025

- in partnership with Open Philanthropy and RoRI’s AFiRE programme

- three linked sessions will facilitate matchmaking and networking for experimentation

- all areas of metascience, with a focus on interventions to support higher quality, lower cost and more impactful research.

- Each session will showcase metascience principles, methods or examples of experimentation, as well as providing a platform for co-developing new project ideas by participants. Researchers, funders, universities, publishers and other actors in the research ecosystem are invited to propose experiments and matchmake with potential collaborators.

- The Abundance and Growth Fund at Open Philanthropy is happy to consider proposals that emerge from this process

- Topics you’d like considered? Please get in touch

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Three days, three themes, three formats

Why and How to experiment

Funder experiments

Building institutional capacity

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Welcome From Matt Clancy

Senior Program Officer, Abundance & Growth, Open Philanthropy

https://www.openphilanthropy.org/about/team/matt-clancy/

Senior fellow, Institute for Progress

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Today’s plan (DAY ONE)

1400 Chair’s introduction

1405 Matt Clancey, Open Philanthropy: Why metascience needs new experiments

1410 Fiona Booth: "T0255: What is the appropriate ethics and governance framework for meta-research?”

1420 Albert Bravo-Biosca. “T0485 Exploring the use of randomised experiments in metascience”

1430 Response from Misha Teplitskiy

1440 Activity: matchmaking (facilitators: George Richardson, Amanda Kvarven, Youyou Wu, Albert Bravo-Biosca)

1510 Plenary: new idea pitches and challenge suggestions

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What is the appropriate ethics and governance framework for meta-research?

Fiona Booth (University of Bristol)

Neil Jacobs (UK Reproducibility Network)

Marcus Munafò (University of Bath)

Pen-Yuan-Hsing (University of Bristol)

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Local Community

Wider society

Anticipated harm

Unanticipated

harm

Kaupapa Māori Research 1,2

  • Who defined the research problem?
  • For whom is the study worthy and relevant?
  • Who says so?
  • What knowledge will the community gain from this study?
  • What are some likely positive outcomes from this study?
  • What are some possible negative outcomes?
  • How can the negative outcomes be eliminated?
  • To whom is the researcher accountable?
  • What processes are in place to support the research, the researched and the researcher?

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Wamba et al 20242

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“….our story also illustrates the harm and challenges that can occur when researchers do not prioritize developing a foundation of trust with their participants.

Manage relationships when starting and ending research with human participants (Joel Wambua (Busara), Anisha Singh (London School of Economics and Political Science), Kelvin Kihindas (Common Goal Research Center), Irene Gachungi (DIME, The World Bank) and Patrick S. Forscher (Busara) (2024). In P.S. Forscher & M. Schmidt (eds), A better how: notes on developmental meta-research (pp 161-166). Busara. DOI: doi.org/10.62372/ISCI6112

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Trialling narrative CVs

Use of LLMs to screen conference abstracts versus manual review

  • Non-native speakers may be disadvantaged
  • Increased workload for applicants & reviewers
  • Bias against those without institutional support to �adapt to a different style of CV3
  • Potential for bias
  • Transparency of decision-making
  • Risk that authors write in styles adapted to LLMs �rather than styles which are optimised for humans

CONSENT TO PARTICIPATE, FREEDOM TO WITHDRAW WITHOUT PENALTY

Unintended consequences

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Safeguards for Meta-Research

Foundation of Trust

Consent (and withdrawal of it)

Cautious interpretation

“For whom is the study worthy & relevant?”

“Who says so?”

“To whom is the researcher accountable?”

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References

  1. Guidelines for Researchers on Health Research Involving Māori 2010 Version 2, Health Research Council of New Zealand, ISBN 978-9-908700-86-5
  2. Walker, S., Eketone, A., & Gibbs, A. (2006). An exploration of kaupapa Maori research, its principles, processes and applications. International Journal of Social Research Methodology9(4), 331–344. https://doi.org/10.1080/13645570600916049
  3. Manage relationships when starting and ending research with human participants (Joel Wambua (Busara), Anisha Singh (London School of Economics and Political Science), Kelvin Kihindas (Common Goal Research Center), Irene Gachungi (DIME, The World Bank) and Patrick S. Forscher (Busara) (2024). In P.S. Forscher & M. Schmidt (eds), A better how: notes on developmental meta-research (pp 161-166). Busara. DOI: doi.org/10.62372/ISCI6112

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Matchmaking activity

1. Are you a problem owner or a researcher?

2. Take three post-its

Problem owners: Yellow

Researcher: Green

3. Ask yourself this question: “if you are a problem owner, what is the most urgent problem you need a solution to? if you are a researcher, what metascientific area are you most excited about researching?”

4. Now write a two word phrase on a post-its along with your name, replicating the same thing on three other post-its

5. From a pair, ideally with someone with a different colour post-it

6. Explain your post-it note in a short pitch, then hand it to the other person in your pair

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Suggestions ->

1 minute on this activity

Volunteer to pitch!

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Peer review workbench

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Plenary

Where are the biggest gains in improving efficiency or effectiveness in the research system?

What is something you learnt about someone else’s problem or perspective?

Topics for tomorrow?

Got an idea? https://forms.gle/E7hBDqwnbtHW9Bki9

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Art of Funding @ MS2025

Come join a small group of funders to discuss the “Art of Funding”. Topics may include advancing new ideas within your organization, overcoming bottlenecks, efficiencies, and logistics of making and monitoring awards.

Bring your questions and ideas to share. Drinks will be served.

Please RSVP https://forms.gle/aHhpVWWc2gs7Fpux8

Discussions will continue afterwards at a restaurant of your choice.

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Desk Rejection EoI

Funders! We are interested in speaking to research funders who use, or are considering using, quality-review based desk rejection

https://forms.gle/fWL4sa2ZdkU9tEwt8

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TOMORROW: Funder experiments

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2

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Suggestions ->

The Metascience Lab

Day 2

https://researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Welcome From Tom Stafford

Professor of Cognitive Science

& University Research Practice Lead

University of Sheffield

https://tomstafford.github.io/

Senior Research Fellow,

Research on Research Institute

https://researchonresearch.org/

26 of 111

Metascience Lab @ MS2025

- in partnership with Open Philanthropy and RoRI’s AFiRE programme

- three linked sessions will facilitate matchmaking and networking for experimentation

- all areas of metascience, with a focus on interventions to support higher quality, lower cost and more impactful research.

- Each session will showcase metascience principles, methods or examples of experimentation, as well as providing a platform for co-developing new project ideas by participants. Researchers, funders, universities, publishers and other actors in the research ecosystem are invited to propose experiments and matchmake with potential collaborators.

- The Abundance and Growth Fund at Open Philanthropy is happy to consider proposals that emerge from this process

- Topics you’d like considered? Please get in touch

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Three days, three themes, three formats

Suggestions

Why and How to experiment

Funder experiments

Building institutional capacity

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What is an experiment?

PURITY

PLURALISM

RCTs

Planned

Principled

Public

More: https://researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Theodore Hodapp

Program Director, Science

Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

co-chair

AFIRE Programme

Research on Research Institute

researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Today’s plan (DAY TWO)

1400 Chair’s introduction

1405 Ted Hodapp, Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation: What a research funder wants

1410 Stephen Pinfield “T0362 Evaluating Distributed Peer Review at the Volkswagen Foundation”

1420 Rhys Thomas and Adrian Barnett. “T0408 Did the switch to using partial randomisation at The British Academy change the characteristics of applicants?

1430 Eric Brewe ”T0388 Evaluating scientific impact: A control group study at the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

1440 Activity : topic discussions (facilitators: George Richardson, Amanda Kvarven, Youyou Wu, Albert Bravo-Biosca)

1510 Plenary: new idea pitches and challenge suggestions

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Evaluating Distributed Peer Review at the Volkswagen FoundationAnna Butters, Melanie Benson Marshall, Tom Stafford & Stephen Pinfield (Research on Research Institute and University of Sheffield);�Hanna Denecke, Alexander Bondarenko, Barbara Neubauer, Robert Nuske & Pierre Schwidlinski (Volkswagen Foundation)

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Distributed Peer Review (DPR)

  • Potential (being tested)
  • Builds on accepted mechanism: peer review
  • Solves reviewer recruitment
  • Incentivises timely submission by reviewers
  • Aligns reviewer understanding of call criteria
  • Trains participants in grant reviewing (and by extension grant writing)
  • Provides more feedback to applicants
  • Diversified and democratised grant review
  • Scalable: more applicants, more reviewers
  • Accelerated process – time saving
  • Cost savings
  • Concerns (being tested)
  • Lack of expertise
  • Bias
  • Gaming the system
  • Scooping
  • Time commitment for applicants
  • Confidence of applicants
  • Applicants review other applications submitted for the same funding call
  • Has been used at the European Southern Observatory (ESO), Netherlands Research Council (NWO) and more recently by UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)

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DPR Experiment at the Volkswagen Foundation

  • Experiment at the Volkswagen Foundation for the “Open Up” programme – focus on innovation in the Humanities and Social Sciences
  • Parallel implementation of DPR and established panel review
  • Additional funding provided: funding recommendations from both panel review and DPR
  • Mixed methods analysis of results: quantitative analysis of data from submissions and surveys of participants, and qualitative analysis of interviews with a sample of participants
  • Rich datasets to gain insight into dynamics of grant peer review e.g.:
  • Comparisons between review processes
  • Reviewer uncertainty
  • Consistency between reviewers
  • Stability of funding decision
  • Attitudes of actors

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Internal Shortlisting

70 shortlisted

Quick Assessment

45 with 1+ A-, A, A+

Panel discussion

42 discussed

11 proposals recommended for funding

Proposal Matching

323 reviewers

Peer Review

1387 reviews

Proposal ranking

Trimmed mean method

10 proposals recommended for funding

140 proposals submitted

Panel Review

Distributed Peer Review and Panel Review - Parallel Processes

18 proposals funded

3 recommended by both processes

60% overlap

47% overlap

DPR

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Panel selected proposals are found across the full range of DPR scores

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DPR selected proposals are found across all Panel stages

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Some headlines and moving forward

  • In DPR, more time is spent reviewing but distributed more equally between more people (each applicant completed 4 or 5 reviews)
  • DPR could reduce the duration of the funding allocation process
  • DPR and panel reviewers used criteria similarly
  • Stability increases with more reviews per proposal but no optimal number of reviews
  • The majority of DPR participants felt positive about the process but positivity higher amongst those who were funded
  • Comparisons difficult – conventional systems often seen as “tried and tested” but commonly a “black box” (with little feedback) compared with more transparent DPR (each applicant received 9 or 10 review reports)
  • Important not to see one system as normative but recognise trade-offs
  • Implications for peer review more widely: From the ‘wisdom of the gatekeeper’ to the ‘wisdom of the (expert) crowd’

Areas of concern, particularly:

  • Gaming
  • Workload
  • Review quality

Our work is focusing on how these concerns can be addressed

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Please let us know your thoughts!��researchonresearch.org�@RoRInstitute

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Did the switch to using partial randomisation at The British Academy change the characteristics of applicants?

Metascience Lab (II): Brokering experiments

Rhys.Thomas@dph.ox.ac.uk

1st July 2025

Presented by Rhys Llewellyn Thomas

Dr Rhys Llewellyn Thomas (University of Oxford), Dr Ken Emond (The British Academy), Professor Philip Clarke (University of Oxford), Professor Adrian Barnett (Queensland University of Technology)

The pattern may be replaced by an image, if preferred. When replacing the cover image, don't forget to �"send to back"

Slide

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Background

    • In 2022, The British Academy began trialling a conditional lottery to allocate research funding,
    • Aim was to assess the benefits of receiving research funding and assess whether the lottery allocation resulted in fewer ex-ante and ex-post biases,

Small Grant Scheme

  • Awards of up to £10,000,
  • Tenable for up to 24 months,
  • Cover the costs associated with a defined research project,
  • Open to postdoctoral scholars, resident in the United Kingdom.

Conditional Lottery

    • Two-stage application:
      • Applicants are required to pass a high-quality threshold, which is assessed by expert academics,
      • Grants are then randomly allocated to those who pass the threshold.

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To adjust the slide number total:

  • Select the “View” tab from the top ribbon
  • Then select �“Slide Master”
  • Go to the top master slide and you will be able to edit it there. (All the other slides �will then update automatically.)

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Data

    • Anonymised data from the British Academy for the grant rounds 2020-21 to 2023-24 on all applicants to the:
      • British Academy Mid-Career Fellowships
      • British Academy Postdoctoral Fellowships
      • British Academy/Leverhulme Senior Research Fellowships
      • British Academy/Leverhulme Small Research Grants (two rounds per year)
    • Data includes information on current institution, current position, academic discipline, and comparative equal opportunities data,
    • Data aggregated to the scheme-grant period level for analysis.

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Empirical Strategy

Empirical Strategy

    • Statistical analysis uses a two-way fixed effect difference-in-differences estimator,
      • Basic idea: compare the change in outcomes from before and after the partial randomisation with the change in outcomes of a control group,

Control Group

    • We only use Postdoctoral Fellowship (PDF) and Mid-Career Fellowship (MCF) as a control group, because applicants to these schemes are more comparable than those to the Senior Research Fellowship,

Outcomes

  • Total number of applicants
  • Either total number or proportion of applicants that are:
    • Female, Male, Asian or Asian British, Black or Black British, White, Mixed/Multiple Ethnic Groups, Other Ethnic Group, from Golden Triangle universities, or Russell Group Universities.

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Discussion and Conclusion

Mechanism of the effect

  • Introduction of partial increased applicants’ perceived likelihood of receiving funding, leading to an increase in application rates.
  • This change in perceived likelihood of funding was likely heterogeneous across potential applicants.
  • Despite higher perceived chances, the unconditional probability of being awarded funding remained roughly the same (from 25% to 26%).
  • Applicants from minority backgrounds, appeared disproportionately more encouraged to apply, possibly due to reduced concerns about bias in evaluation.

Conclusion

  • The change to lottery led to large increases in the number of applicants to the British Academy’s Small Grant Scheme.
  • The lottery likely contributed to more diverse applicants and research topics.

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Evaluating scientific impact: A control group study at the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

Eric Brewe, Meagan Sundstrom, Theodore Hodapp, Catherine Mader, Manolis Antonoyiannakis, Heidi Williams, Sheen S. Levine

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Acknowledgements

Drexel PER Network

Meagan Sundstrom

Justin Gambrell

Maxwell Franklin

Colin Green

Ibukun Bukola

Ian Olivant

Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation

Tess Labbe

Richard Margoluis

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Background

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Experimental Physics Investigator Initiative (EPI)

  • Goal: Fund transformative science
  • 5 year grants, $1.25 M
  • Post Tenure
    • Pre-proposal - feedback
    • Full proposal - reviews
    • 3 groups
      • Red - flawed in some way
      • Yellow - fund if money were no object
      • Green - fund

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Research Question

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Do people who receive grant funding have more scientific impact than their equal-potential counterparts who do not get funded?

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Measuring Scientific Impact

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  • Citation indexes - author level
    • number of citations
    • h-index, eigenfactor, Erdős number…
  • Issues
    • time
    • field
    • collaboration.

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Network Normalized Citation Index

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  • Ke, Q., Gates, A. J., & Barabási, A. L. (2023)

Citation Network

Normalize by average citations of papers in same year.

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Random Assignment of Participants

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  • Red - Some randomly assigned to Comparison
  • Yellow - Random assignment to Investigators / Compariton
  • Green - Investigators

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Preregistering study of Ĉ

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  • Cohort 1 - 2022
    • 16 Investigators, 8 Comparison
    • OpenAlex data pull
    • Calculation of Ĉ5 for all papers
    • Bayes Factor t-test to compare <Ĉ5>

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Preregistering study of Ĉ

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  • Cohort 1 - 2022
    • 16 Investigators, 8 Comparison
    • OpenAlex data pull
    • Calculation of Ĉ5 for all papers
    • Bayes Factor t-test to compare <Ĉ5>

Role

Investigator

Comparison

Number of papers

734

434

Average Ĉ

1.86

2.09

Standard Dev. Ĉ

1.98

2.22

Bayes Factor = 0.34 Null model is ~3x as likely

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Thank You!

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Activity - until 1510

Suggestions

1. Find a table according the “science production” process stage you are interesting

(ideally spread yourselves out across all tables)

2. The mission: identify an opportunity for improvement and agree on an IF..THEN.. sentence which captures an intervention (the IF) and the outcome measure (the THEN) in a simple sentence.

3. We will be sharing these at the end.

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Suggestions

Suggestion form:

1. Have your details circulated to all attendees (and receive these details + the slides)

2. Suggest topics

3. Record your IF THEN idea

4. Volunteer to pitch

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Plenary

Suggestions

1. Sharing our IF - THEN ideas

2. Suggestions for topics for tomorrow / pitches?

Got an idea? https://forms.gle/E7hBDqwnbtHW9Bki9

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Art of Funding @ MS2025

Come join a small group of funders to discuss the “Art of Funding”. Topics may include advancing new ideas within your organization, overcoming bottlenecks, efficiencies, and logistics of making and monitoring awards.

Bring your questions and ideas to share. Drinks will be served.

Please RSVP https://forms.gle/aHhpVWWc2gs7Fpux8

Discussions will continue afterwards at a restaurant of your choice.

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Desk Rejection EoI

Funders! We are interested in speaking to research funders who use, or are considering using, quality-review based desk rejection

https://forms.gle/fWL4sa2ZdkU9tEwt8

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TOMORROW:

Building institutional capacity

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3

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Suggestions ->

The Metascience Lab

Day 3

https://researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Welcome From Tom Stafford

Professor of Cognitive Science

& University Research Practice Lead

University of Sheffield

https://tomstafford.github.io/

Senior Research Fellow,

Research on Research Institute

https://researchonresearch.org/

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Metascience Lab @ MS2025

- in partnership with Open Philanthropy and RoRI’s AFiRE programme

- three linked sessions will facilitate matchmaking and networking for experimentation

- all areas of metascience, with a focus on interventions to support higher quality, lower cost and more impactful research.

- Each session will showcase metascience principles, methods or examples of experimentation, as well as providing a platform for co-developing new project ideas by participants. Researchers, funders, universities, publishers and other actors in the research ecosystem are invited to propose experiments and matchmake with potential collaborators.

- The Abundance and Growth Fund at Open Philanthropy is happy to consider proposals that emerge from this process

- Topics you’d like considered? Please get in touch

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Three days, three themes, three formats

Suggestions

Why and How to experiment

Funder experiments

Building institutional capacity

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McKenzie Leier

Policy Manager

Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab | MIT

Science for Progress Initiative

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Science for Progress Initiative (SfPI)

McKenzie Leier

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J-PAL Has Funded Over 2,200 RCTs Across the Globe

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Agriculture

Crime, Violence, �& Conflict

Education

Environment & Energy

Finance

Firms

Political Economy �& Governance

Social Protection

Gender

Health

Labor Markets

GROWTH IN J-PAL RCTS OVER TIME

2,223

2024

1,367

2018

792

2013

327

2008

103

2003

J-PAL | Metascience 2025

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Relevant research questions for SfPI

What contracts, incentives, and institutions work best when funding scientific research?

��How can we ensure that the most talented individuals – including younger researchers, those entering science from non-traditional career paths, and those from underrepresented groups – are not discouraged from pursuing science?

��How best should we encourage the diffusion of socially valuable scientific discoveries out of labs and academic papers, so as to encourage innovation and economic growth?

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High-skilled immigration RCT: A case study in failure

High-risk/high-reward project:

  • Young researchers
  • Lack of causal evidence in an area with potential for high policy impact
  • Implementing partner was a startup

The project does end up failing – the researchers realize their design is not feasible after the pilot. However, this was a worthy failure in our eyes and worth taking a risk on.

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Call for Researchers + Proposals + Contact information

  • We have a rolling call for proposals for RCTs in metascience
  • J-PAL is currently accepting invited researcher nominations until August 1st, 2025
  • Feel free to reach out with ideas/question:
    • McKenzie Leier – mleier@povertyactionlab.org

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Today’s plan (DAY THREE)

1130 Chair’s introduction

1135 McKenzie Leier, Poverty Action Lab: Effective partnerships

1145 Tom Stafford “T0354 Can AI be used for better matching of proposals to reviewers? Feasibility and formal evaluation with the Metascience 2025 conference

1155 Hannelore Vanhaverbeke “T0164: Leveraging Success: How KU Leuven’s Internal Grants Boost External Funding Acquisition

1205 Pitch consultancy (facilitators: George Richardson, Amanda Kvarven, Youyou Wu, James Phipps)

1220 Plenary: new idea pitches and challenge suggestions

1255 Jordan Dworkin, Open Philanthropy: Closing remarks

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Can AI be used for better matching of proposals to reviewers? Feasibility and formal evaluation with the Metascience 2025 conference

Tom Stafford, Amanda Kvarven & The MS2025 Programme Committee

2025-06-27

https://researchonresearch.org/project/a-f-i-r-e/

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Meta-metascience

Observation is not enough - we have to try things

- feasibility

- causal inference

Finding (enough, good) reviewers is a conceptual and practical problem

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The “shadow” experiment

Consent from those submitting and reviewers

All analyses done after final programme decisions

All analyses local - no data left the conference

441 submissions: Title, Abstracts

25 reviewers: assigned to submissions via keywords

1323 reviews: scores & suitability

(each proposal seen by 3 reviewers)

Research Questions

1. Can language models help match proposals to reviewers?

2. Is it feasible for something like a conference to adopt/adapt this technology

3. Can it be done securely/privacy respecting?

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Average Suitability was good

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Matching - via embedding

Reviewer keywords & proposal title+abstract -> embedding space

Code from SNSF: https://github.com/snsf-data/snsf-grant-similarity

- thanks Gabriel Osaka and SNSF data team!

Model: SPECTER2: BERT model pre-trained on scientific texts and augmented by a citation graph

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Actual proposal-reviewer matching far outperformed random matching

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Optimal proposal-reviewer matching outperforms actual matching

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You can predict suitability from matching score

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…and from this you can predict gain in suitability from using the optimal match

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Research Questions

1. Can language models help match proposals to reviewers?

2. Is it feasible for something like a conference to adopt/adapt this technology

3. Can it be done securely/privacy respecting?

Maybe - evidence for meaningful improvements beyond human matching

�Definitely yes

Definitely yes

Caveats:

- restricted range: just metascience & metascientists

- are there better models?

- will predicted gains in suitability pan out in metrics like p(accepts review) or review quality?

Thanks to all participants!

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Join the conversation - sign up to the RoRI mailing list for updates on AFIRE projects

researchonresearch.org

@RoRInstitute

Funder Peer learning workshop (online):

Practicalities of implementing

language models locally

8th of July, 2pm BST / 3pm CEST

t.stafford@researchonresearch.org

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Leveraging Success ��KU Leuven’s Internal Grants �Boost External Funding Acquisition

KU Leuven – Research Office

Hannelore Vanhaverbeke, Klara Gijsbers & Levent Bingöl

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Research Coordination Office

KU Leuven (Belgium) - Research Office – Data Management & Analysis Unit

Reorganisation – broadening scope to metascience

Showcase

Network/learn

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Research Coordination Office

KU Leuven (Belgium) - Research Office – Data Management & Analysis Unit

Reorganisation – broadening scope to metascience

Showcase

Network/learn

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Government

Vicerector

Policy makers

RMA colleagues

Team (3.2 FTE)

Reports& Lists

Analyses & dashboards

Workflow optimalisation

New ideas

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Government

Vicerector

Policy makers

RMA colleagues

Team (3.2 FTE)

Reports& Lists

Analyses & dashboards

Workflow optimalisation

New ideas

External panel review of internal funding mechanisms

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Funds

Allocation

Mixed sources

Flemish government (80%)

Directly to institutions

Special Research Fund

Industrial Research Fund

Indirectly & competitively to researchers

Government-subsidized funding agencies

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  • assist KU Leuven researchers in strengthening scientific CVs & develop their research strategies
  • enable researchers to attract external funding or initiate new collaborations

projects

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  • assist KU Leuven researchers in strengthening scientific CVs & develop their research strategies
  • enable researchers to attract external funding or initiate new collaborations

projects

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Counterfactual analysis

Matched pairs/Difference in difference

Significance of observed difference

Approach

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Known issues

Control group: formation

Matthew Effect: how to avoid/reduce?

Causality: how to prove?

Research Coordination Office

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Nearest Neighbour

Control group

formation

Research Coordination Office

Data: 2015-2023; 9 cohorts based on start of the C1/C2 grant

Age

Gender

Nationality

% Employment

Years since PhD

Years tenured

Science group

Internal

funding

No internal

funding

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Some researchers have obtained prior funding - others have limited/no budget = difference at the start

  • 5 budget classes (amount € per person per year)

< 5 k€

5 - 55 k€

55 - 120 k€

120 - 250 k€

>= 250 k€

  • only pairs with research budgets of similar magnitude retained
    • Why not do this before making pairs: tremendous amounts of data & calculations

Matthew effect reduction

Research Coordination Office

198 researcher pairs

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Are these really matches?

  • paired t-tests (Wilcoxon) with Bonferroni correction to account for multiple testing
  • p-values > 0.05 = not significantly different, therefore comparable

Research Coordination Office

Budget size

Nr of matched pairs

p value

< 5 k€

74

0.54

5 - 55 k€

52

0.36

55 - 120 k€

28

0.03

120 - 250 k€

16

0.68

>250 k€

28

0.23

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Leverage effect: expectation

Research Coordination Office

internal

external

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Leverage effect: when in evidence?

Research Coordination Office

+ 1 year

start date = (duration C1 or C2)/2

end date = ((duration C1 or C2)/2 + (duration C1 or C2) + 1 year)

Start project

End project

Mid-term project

2015

2018

2017

2020

2021

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Leverage effect: results

Null hypothesis: there is no difference between the funded target group and the control group in terms of acquiring external funding

Research Coordination Office

Budget size

Nr of matched pairs

p value

Effect size

< 5 k€

74

< 0.0001

0.7468 (medium)

5 - 55 k€

52

0.0067

0.5492 (large)

55 - 120 k€

28

0.0001

0.9067 (large)

120 - 250 k€

16

0.3942

 

>250 k€

28

0.0480

 

 

Difference-in-Difference: Mann-Whitney U hypothesis testing confirms significant difference between both groups with a medium effect size

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Leverage effect: results

Research Coordination Office

Significant leverage effect for researchers with starting budgets under 120 k€

No significant differences observed for those with starting budgets between 120 – 250 k€

however: smallest group in the analysis, caution

Starting budget over 250 k€ initially showed a significant leverage effect, but this dissolved after Bonferroni correction

For budget classes < 5 k€ and 55 - 120 k€, the size effect was significantly large

Negligible or very weak correlations between the amount of external funding and the initial budget size

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Looking for input on collaboration

Expertise on data structure, semantics, limitations, …

Experience with ‘standard’ analyses

Input needed esp. on novel approaches

Towards a RMA – researcher collaboration: advice?

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Pitch consultancy activity - until 1220

Suggestions

1. Groups of Three People: A (pitching), B & C (consultants)

2. A pitches for <2 minutes, B & C don’t interrupt!

B&C take notes on how to improve the pitch

3. B & C discuss pitch idea, A doesn’t interrupt!

A takes notes on how pitch landed

4. A shares what they learnt

Notes: https://learninginnovation.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/3WayPitch.pdf

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Pitches

Mandated external partners: Maria Aleksandrova

Research capacity training: Habeeb Kolade

Communicating Robustness: Alexandra Sarafoglou

Redfining Significance: Jack Fitzgerald

Sharing marginal near hits between funders: Noam Tal-Parry

Funders of Clinical Trials: Maia Salholz-Hillel

Open Research Sabbaticals: Corinne Jola

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Targeted Capacity Development and Mentorship for Researchers in the Global South: Interventions to drive employability and higher quality research outputs

Habeeb Kolade | ResearchRound Institute | habeeb@researchround.com

Metascience Conference 2025 | UCL | July 2, 2025

RESEARCH PROJECTS

MENTORING

TARGETED TRAINING

Provide hands-on practice with real-time feedback during mentorship sessions.

Design and deliver various research classes on foundational research skills and interdisciplinary topics.

Support researchers to complete research projects for critical thinking development and

empowering researchers to design and analyze

THEN

PIPELINES OF MOTIVATED SCIENTISTS WITH TRANSFERABLE SKILLS

STRONGER CONFIDENCE IN DOING RESEARCH

HIGHER QUALITY RESEARCH

IF

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Suggestions

Suggestion form:

1. Have your details circulated to all attendees (and receive these details + the slides)

4. Volunteer to pitch

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Seed Grants

Who we fund

  • Open to researchers at any university
  • Priority for studies that generate insights applicable to the U.S. context or other OECD countries
  • Must be members of the IGL Research Network.
  • Must be submitted by a Principal Investigator (PI) affiliated with an academic institution.

Examples of activities we’re looking to fund

  • Activities Leading to RCTs
  • Pilot Studies
  • Feasibility Assessments
  • Intervention Design
  • Data Collection Methods Development
  • Preliminary Data Analysis

Funded by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, IGL Seed Grants support researchers in piloting innovative experimental ideas and activities that yield the potential to carry out Randomised Controlled Trials (RCTs) that generate high-quality evidence for innovation, science, and productivity.

Funding Range: Awards ranging up to $8,000 USD.

Timeline: Call Opens: 15 September 2025; Deadline for Proposals: 15 October 2025

https://www.innovationgrowthlab.org/seed-grants

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Jordan Dworkin

Suggestions

Senior Program Associate, Innovation Policy

Open Philanthropy

jordan.dworkin@openphilanthropy.org